Base market snapshot from 10:03 AM EDT on Thu, Oct 1. bet365 refreshed separately at 10:27 AM EDT. Check your book before acting on anything here.
Gunnar Helm
TENTennessee Titans @ Baltimore RavensSun 1:00 PM
Helm on the fieldred zone touches per game 0.31red zone targets per game 0.50receptions per game 2.75
Anytime TD
19 games loggedline0.5
red zone touches
BAL · what this defence allows
TDs allowed to TEs0.30.30.7
15th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.417 games (2025) · 5 totalseason 0.3no per-play form for this stat66th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.63 games (2026) · 2 totalsupports UNDERT-26/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-8/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
red zone targets allowed to TEs1.21.21.0
61st percentile for most allowedleague avg 1.217 games (2025) · 21 totalseason 1.2no per-play form for this stat37th percentile for most allowedleague avg 1.23 games (2026) · 3 totalsupports OVERT-11/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-17/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
touchdowns allowed2.42.42.7
55th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.417 games (2025) · 41 totalseason 2.4no per-play form for this stat63rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.53 games (2026) · 8 totalneutral15/32 NFL defencesseason onlyT-11/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
Gunnar Helm Breakdown · his own data
red zone touches per game0.310.20
SZN47th percentile for mostleague avg 0.4016 games (2025)vs last 5 · 34th pctseason 0.31 (47th)5 gamesneutralsupports UNDER
red zone targets per game0.500.60
SZN49th percentile for mostleague avg 0.5916 games (2025)vs last 5 · 57th pctseason 0.50 (49th)5 gamesneutralneutral
receptions per game2.752.20
SZN57th percentile for mostleague avg 2.5516 games (2025)vs last 5 · 47th pctseason 2.75 (57th)5 gamesneutralneutral
0.5line
OVER+600BetMGMat 0.5
Longest Reception
19 games loggedline10.5
targets
BAL · what this defence allows
20+ yard receptions allowed to TEs0.510.8%0.7
39th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.617 games (2025) · 9 totalvs per completion · 48th pct · 17 of 32season 0.5 (39th)17 games73rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.53 games (2026) · 2 totalsupports UNDERT-18/32 NFL defencesneutralT-8/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
30+ yard receptions allowed to TEs0.11.2%0.0
21st percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.217 games (2025) · 1 totalvs per completion · 32nd pct · 22 of 32season 0.1 (21st)17 games35th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.23 games (2026) · 0 totalsupports UNDERT-20/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-10/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
40+ yard receptions allowed (all positions)0.52.3%0.3
77th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.417 games (2025) · 9 totalvs per completion · 65th pct · T-11 of 32season 0.5 (77th)17 games29th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.63 games (2026) · 1 totalsupports OVERT-6/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-18/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
yards after catch allowed to TEs16.83.531.0
6th percentile for most allowedleague avg 25.817 games (2025) · 286 totalvs per reception · 0th pct · 32 of 32season 16.8 (6th)17 games73rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 27.03 games (2026) · 93 totalsupports UNDER30/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-9/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
air yards faced294.08.4217.7
97th percentile for most facedleague avg 239.817 games (2025) · 4998 totalvs per target · 84th pct · 6 of 32season 294.0 (97th)17 games35th percentile for most facedleague avg 248.73 games (2026) · 653 totalsupports OVER2/32 NFL defencessupports OVER21/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
Gunnar Helm Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game2.752.20
SZN57th percentile for mostleague avg 2.5516 games (2025)vs last 5 · 47th pctseason 2.75 (57th)5 gamesneutralneutral
yards per catch8.655.20
SZN30th percentile for mostleague avg 10.1116 games (2025)vs last 5 · 2nd pctseason 8.65 (30th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
air yards per target5.943.00
SZN53rd percentile for mostleague avg 5.8716 games (2025)vs last 5 · 9th pctseason 5.94 (53rd)5 gamesneutralsupports UNDER
20+ yard catches per game0.120.00
SZN26th percentile for mostleague avg 0.3116 games (2025)vs last 5 · 6th pctseason 0.12 (26th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
10.5line
OVER-109DraftKingsat 10.5
UNDER-115bet365at 10.5
19.5line
OVER+350bet365at 19.5
29.5line
OVER+1000bet365at 29.5
Receiving Yards
19 games loggedline18.5
receptions
BAL · what this defence allows
receiving yards allowed to TEs46.79.646.0
29th percentile for most allowedleague avg 53.317 games (2025) · 794 totalvs per reception · 19th pct · 26 of 32season 46.7 (29th)17 games44th percentile for most allowedleague avg 52.53 games (2026) · 138 totalsupports UNDER23/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-18/32 NFL defencesneutral
receptions allowed to TEs4.973.5%4.3
26th percentile for most allowedleague avg 5.317 games (2025) · 83 totalvs per target · 68th pct · 11 of 32season 4.9 (26th)17 games32nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 5.23 games (2026) · 13 totalsupports UNDER24/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-21/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
receiving yards allowed259.011.0231.3
90th percentile for most allowedleague avg 225.017 games (2025) · 4403 totalvs per reception · 61st pct · 13 of 32season 259.0 (90th)17 games58th percentile for most allowedleague avg 231.33 games (2026) · 694 totalsupports OVER4/32 NFL defencessupports OVER14/32 NFL defencesneutral
yards after catch allowed to TEs16.83.531.0
6th percentile for most allowedleague avg 25.817 games (2025) · 286 totalvs per reception · 0th pct · 32 of 32season 16.8 (6th)17 games73rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 27.03 games (2026) · 93 totalsupports UNDER30/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-9/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
Gunnar Helm Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game2.752.20
SZN57th percentile for mostleague avg 2.5516 games (2025)vs last 5 · 47th pctseason 2.75 (57th)5 gamesneutralneutral
targets per game3.443.20
SZN56th percentile for mostleague avg 3.5116 games (2025)vs last 5 · 52nd pctseason 3.44 (56th)5 gamesneutralneutral
target share10.6%11.6%
SZN52nd percentile for mostleague avg 11.5%16 games (2025)vs last 5 · 57th pctseason 10.6% (52nd)5 gamesneutralneutral
snap share52.6%74.8%
SZN46th percentile for mostleague avg 57.4%16 games (2025)vs last 5 · 78th pctseason 52.6% (46th)5 gamesneutralsupports OVER
17.5line
OVER-115BetOnline.agat 17.5
UNDER-108DraftKingsat 17.5
18.5line
OVER-114FanDuelat 18.5
UNDER-110theScore Betat 18.5
19.5line
OVER-109betPARXat 19.5
UNDER-115BetMGMat 19.5
29.5line
OVER+210bet365at 29.5
39.5line
OVER+450bet365at 39.5
49.5line
OVER+750bet365at 49.5
59.5line
OVER+1000bet365at 59.5
Receptions
19 games loggedline2.5
targets
BAL · what this defence allows
receptions allowed to TEs4.973.5%4.3
26th percentile for most allowedleague avg 5.317 games (2025) · 83 totalvs per target · 68th pct · 11 of 32season 4.9 (26th)17 games32nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 5.23 games (2026) · 13 totalsupports UNDER24/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-21/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
targets allowed to TEs6.76.76.0
23rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 7.317 games (2025) · 113 totalseason 6.7no per-play form for this stat31st percentile for most allowedleague avg 7.23 games (2026) · 18 totalsupports UNDER25/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-21/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
receptions allowed23.523.523.7
100th percentile for most allowedleague avg 20.617 games (2025) · 399 totalseason 23.5no per-play form for this stat84th percentile for most allowedleague avg 20.93 games (2026) · 71 totalsupports OVER1/32 NFL defencessupports OVER6/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
Gunnar Helm Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game2.752.20
SZN57th percentile for mostleague avg 2.5516 games (2025)vs last 5 · 47th pctseason 2.75 (57th)5 gamesneutralneutral
targets per game3.443.20
SZN56th percentile for mostleague avg 3.5116 games (2025)vs last 5 · 52nd pctseason 3.44 (56th)5 gamesneutralneutral
target share10.6%11.6%
SZN52nd percentile for mostleague avg 11.5%16 games (2025)vs last 5 · 57th pctseason 10.6% (52nd)5 gamesneutralneutral
snap share52.6%74.8%
SZN46th percentile for mostleague avg 57.4%16 games (2025)vs last 5 · 78th pctseason 52.6% (46th)5 gamesneutralsupports OVER
0.5line
OVER-4000bet365at 0.5
1.5line
OVER-550bet365at 1.5
2.5line
OVER-134DraftKingsat 2.5
UNDER+120bet365at 2.5
3.5line
OVER+160bet365at 3.5
4.5line
OVER+400bet365at 4.5
5.5line
OVER+750bet365at 5.5
6.5line
OVER+1150bet365at 6.5
odds snapshot · pulled 10:03 AM EDT on Thu, Oct 1 · not live pricing