Base market snapshot from 10:03 AM EDT on Thu, Oct 1. bet365 refreshed separately at 1:31 PM EDT. Check your book before acting on anything here.
Hunter Luepke
DALDallas Cowboys @ Houston TexansSun 1:00 PM
Luepke on the fieldred zone touches per game 0.45red zone targets per game 0.36carries per game 1.45
Anytime TD
26 games loggedline0.5
red zone touches
HOU · what this defence allows
TDs allowed to RBs0.80.80.0
42nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.917 games (2025) · 14 totalseason 0.8no per-play form for this stat6th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.83 games (2026) · 0 totalneutralT-17/32 NFL defencesseason onlyT-28/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
red zone carries allowed to RBs2.62.62.0
8th percentile for most allowedleague avg 3.817 games (2025) · 45 totalseason 2.6no per-play form for this stat11th percentile for most allowedleague avg 3.93 games (2026) · 6 totalsupports UNDERT-29/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-27/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
touchdowns allowed1.91.92.3
16th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.417 games (2025) · 33 totalseason 1.9no per-play form for this stat50th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.53 games (2026) · 7 totalsupports UNDER27/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-15/32 NFL defencesneutral
Hunter Luepke Breakdown · his own data
red zone touches per game0.450.40
SZN25th percentile for mostleague avg 1.0411 games (2025)vs last 5 · 13th pctseason 0.45 (25th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
red zone targets per game0.360.20
SZN22nd percentile for mostleague avg 0.6511 games (2025)vs last 5 · 0th pctseason 0.36 (22nd)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
carries per game1.452.40
SZN0th percentile for mostleague avg 14.5211 games (2025)vs last 5 · 0th pctseason 1.45 (0th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
receptions per game1.180.60
SZN0th percentile for mostleague avg 4.2011 games (2025)vs last 5 · 0th pctseason 1.18 (0th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
0.5line
OVER+1600Bally Betat 0.5
odds snapshot · pulled 10:03 AM EDT on Thu, Oct 1 · not live pricing