Isaiah Likely

NYG · NFLTENYG @ HOUSun 1:00 PM
FacingHouston Texansdefence45.6 receiving yards allowed to TEs (2026) · ranks T-25 of 32 NFL defences

Prices last pulled 6:11 AM ET

Anytime TD

38 games logged

Isaiah Likely Anytime TD · 38 games logged

4 of 20 (20%) scored a touchdown over his last 20 · to score +270 BetMGM · prices from

line0.5
1+ TD
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0
2
1

quoted at 0.5: O +270 (BetMGM) · no under

9/28@ KC10/5vs HOU10/12vs LAR10/26vs CHI10/30@ MIA11/9@ MIN11/16@ CLE11/23vs NYJ11/27vs CIN12/7vs PIT12/14@ CIN12/21vs NE12/27@ GB1/4@ PIT9/13vs DAL9/21@ LAR9/27vs TEN10/4vs ARI10/11@ WAS10/18vs NO

latest1 Sun, Oct 18, 2026 · vs NO

TD

4 of 20 (20%) cleared 0.5 over his last 20

red zone touchesno range set0.5 avg over the 20 charted
by window, any range:last 50.8last 100.8last 200.5last 300.420261.320250.120240.4all0.5

Anytime TD: Breakdowns

Isaiah Likely Breakdown · his own data
red zone touches per game0.140.801.33
SZN
32nd percentile for mostleague avg 0.3514 games (2025)88th percentileleague avg 0.365 games (last 5)2026 season 1.3398th percentile for mostleague avg 0.366 games (2026)supports UNDERsupports OVER1/85 TEssupports OVER
red zone targets per game0.431.201.67
SZN
49th percentile for mostleague avg 0.5214 games (2025)93rd percentileleague avg 0.525 games (last 5)2026 season 1.6795th percentile for mostleague avg 0.526 games (2026)neutralsupports OVER4/85 TEssupports OVER
receptions per game1.936.206.50
SZN
51st percentile for mostleague avg 2.2014 games (2025)96th percentileleague avg 2.195 games (last 5)2026 season 6.5097th percentile for mostleague avg 2.196 games (2026)neutralsupports OVER3/85 TEssupports OVER
red zone target share12.8%31.6%38.5%
SZN
61st percentile for highest shareleague avg 11.8%12 games with red zone data (2025)96th percentileleague avg 11.7%5 regular-season games with red zone data (last 5)2026 season 38.5%98th percentile for highest shareleague avg 11.7%6 games with red zone data (2026)supports OVER34/85 TEssupports OVER2/85 TEssupports OVER
red zone rush share0.0%0.0%0.0%
SZN
42nd percentile for highest shareleague avg 0.4%13 games with red zone data (2025)48th percentileleague avg 0.2%5 regular-season games with red zone data (last 5)2026 season 0.0%48th percentile for highest shareleague avg 0.2%6 games with red zone data (2026)supports FLAT14/85 TEsneutral5/85 TEsneutral
red zone touch share1.7%12.9%18.2%
SZN
28th percentile for highest shareleague avg 4.7%13 games with red zone data (2025)94th percentileleague avg 4.7%5 regular-season games with red zone data (last 5)2026 season 18.2%99th percentile for highest shareleague avg 4.7%6 games with red zone data (2026)supports UNDER60/85 TEssupports OVER1/85 TEssupports OVER
HOU · what this defence allows
TDs allowed to TEs0.50.20.2
SZN
66th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.417 games (2025) · 8 total26th percentileleague avg 0.55 games (last 5)2026 season 0.218th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.56 games (2026) · 1 totalsupports OVERT-10/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-24/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
red zone targets allowed to TEs1.20.40.3
SZN
61st percentile for most allowedleague avg 1.217 games (2025) · 21 total2nd percentileleague avg 1.35 games (last 5)2026 season 0.30th percentile for most allowedleague avg 1.36 games (2026) · 2 totalsupports OVERT-11/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER32/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
touchdowns allowed1.92.22.5
SZN
16th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.417 games (2025) · 33 total48th percentileleague avg 2.55 games (last 5)2026 season 2.552nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.56 games (2026) · 15 totalsupports UNDER27/32 NFL defencesneutral16/32 NFL defencesneutral
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Receptions

38 games logged

Isaiah Likely Receptions · 38 games logged

4 of 20 (20%) cleared 5.5 over his last 20 · over +102 FanDuel · under −114 betPARX · prices from

line5.5
5.5
0
1
2
2
3
2
2
1
5
4
0
0
3
2
8
5
2
7
11
6

quoted at 5.5: O +102 (FanDuel) · U -114 (betPARX)

9/28@ KC10/5vs HOU10/12vs LAR10/26vs CHI10/30@ MIA11/9@ MIN11/16@ CLE11/23vs NYJ11/27vs CIN12/7vs PIT12/14@ CIN12/21vs NE12/27@ GB1/4@ PIT9/13vs DAL9/21@ LAR9/27vs TEN10/4vs ARI10/11@ WAS10/18vs NO

latest6 Sun, Oct 18, 2026 · vs NO

5.5

4 of 20 (20%) cleared 5.5 over his last 20

targetsno range set4.8 avg over the 20 charted
by window, any range:last 510.2last 106.4last 204.8last 304.320269.820252.620243.7all4.3

Receptions: Breakdowns

Isaiah Likely Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game1.936.206.50
SZN
51st percentile for mostleague avg 2.2014 games (2025)96th percentileleague avg 2.195 games (last 5)2026 season 6.5097th percentile for mostleague avg 2.196 games (2026)neutralsupports OVER3/85 TEssupports OVER
targets per game2.6410.209.83
SZN
49th percentile for mostleague avg 3.0314 games (2025)98th percentileleague avg 3.075 games (last 5)2026 season 9.8397th percentile for mostleague avg 3.076 games (2026)neutralsupports OVER3/85 TEssupports OVER
target share10.5%28.9%28.7%
SZN
58th percentile for mostleague avg 9.9%14 games (2025)98th percentileleague avg 9.4%5 games (last 5)2026 season 28.7%97th percentile for mostleague avg 9.4%6 games (2026)neutralsupports OVER3/85 TEssupports OVER
snap share55.9%78.0%73.2%
SZN
60th percentile for mostleague avg 54.1%14 games (2025)87th percentileleague avg 54.3%5 games (last 5)2026 season 73.2%82nd percentile for mostleague avg 54.3%6 games (2026)supports OVERsupports OVER16/85 TEssupports OVER
HOU · what this defence allows
receptions allowed to TEs5.14.64.8
SZN
37th percentile for most allowedleague avg 5.317 games (2025) · 87 total29th percentileleague avg 5.55 games (last 5)2026 season 4.840th percentile for most allowedleague avg 5.56 games (2026) · 29 totalsupports UNDERT-20/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-18/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
targets allowed to TEs7.26.46.5
SZN
47th percentile for most allowedleague avg 7.317 games (2025) · 123 total26th percentileleague avg 7.75 games (last 5)2026 season 6.527th percentile for most allowedleague avg 7.76 games (2026) · 39 totalneutralT-17/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-23/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
receptions allowed18.824.623.8
SZN
19th percentile for most allowedleague avg 20.617 games (2025) · 319 total90th percentileleague avg 21.55 games (last 5)2026 season 23.885th percentile for most allowedleague avg 21.56 games (2026) · 143 totalsupports UNDER26/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-5/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
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Receiving Yards

38 games logged

Isaiah Likely Receiving Yards · 38 games logged

6 of 20 (30%) cleared 49.5 over his last 20 · over −102 FanDuel · under −112 betPARX · prices from

line49.5
49.5
0
12
6
8
60
17
15
10
95
25
0
0
27
32
78
33
13
66
94
99

quoted at 49.5: O -102 (FanDuel) · U -112 (betPARX)

9/28@ KC10/5vs HOU10/12vs LAR10/26vs CHI10/30@ MIA11/9@ MIN11/16@ CLE11/23vs NYJ11/27vs CIN12/7vs PIT12/14@ CIN12/21vs NE12/27@ GB1/4@ PIT9/13vs DAL9/21@ LAR9/27vs TEN10/4vs ARI10/11@ WAS10/18vs NO

latest99 Sun, Oct 18, 2026 · vs NO

49.5

6 of 20 (30%) cleared 49.5 over his last 20

receptionsno range set3.3 avg over the 20 charted
by window, any range:last 56.2last 104.4last 203.3last 303.020266.520251.920242.7all3.0

Receiving Yards: Breakdowns

Isaiah Likely Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game1.936.206.50
SZN
51st percentile for mostleague avg 2.2014 games (2025)96th percentileleague avg 2.195 games (last 5)2026 season 6.5097th percentile for mostleague avg 2.196 games (2026)neutralsupports OVER3/85 TEssupports OVER
targets per game2.6410.209.83
SZN
49th percentile for mostleague avg 3.0314 games (2025)98th percentileleague avg 3.075 games (last 5)2026 season 9.8397th percentile for mostleague avg 3.076 games (2026)neutralsupports OVER3/85 TEssupports OVER
target share10.5%28.9%28.7%
SZN
58th percentile for mostleague avg 9.9%14 games (2025)98th percentileleague avg 9.4%5 games (last 5)2026 season 28.7%97th percentile for mostleague avg 9.4%6 games (2026)neutralsupports OVER3/85 TEssupports OVER
snap share55.9%78.0%73.2%
SZN
60th percentile for mostleague avg 54.1%14 games (2025)87th percentileleague avg 54.3%5 games (last 5)2026 season 73.2%82nd percentile for mostleague avg 54.3%6 games (2026)supports OVERsupports OVER16/85 TEssupports OVER
HOU · what this defence allows
receiving yards allowed to TEs45.628.846.8
SZN
21st percentile for most allowedleague avg 53.317 games (2025) · 775 total3rd percentileleague avg 53.75 games (last 5)2026 season 46.845th percentile for most allowedleague avg 53.76 games (2026) · 281 totalsupports UNDERT-25/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER18/32 NFL defencesneutral
receptions allowed to TEs5.14.64.8
SZN
37th percentile for most allowedleague avg 5.317 games (2025) · 87 total29th percentileleague avg 5.55 games (last 5)2026 season 4.840th percentile for most allowedleague avg 5.56 games (2026) · 29 totalsupports UNDERT-20/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-18/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
receiving yards allowed205.1250.6264.5
SZN
19th percentile for most allowedleague avg 225.017 games (2025) · 3486 total74th percentileleague avg 235.65 games (last 5)2026 season 264.584th percentile for most allowedleague avg 235.66 games (2026) · 1587 totalsupports UNDER26/32 NFL defencessupports OVER6/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
yards after catch allowed to TEs21.215.219.8
SZN
24th percentile for most allowedleague avg 25.817 games (2025) · 360 total10th percentileleague avg 26.15 games (last 5)2026 season 19.823rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 26.16 games (2026) · 119 totalsupports UNDERT-24/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER25/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
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See the full defense funnels for NYG @ HOU →

Longest Reception

38 games logged

Isaiah Likely Longest Reception · 38 games logged

6 of 20 (30%) cleared 17.5 over his last 20 · over −115 bet365 · under −110 Fliff · pull times beside each book

line17.5
17.5
0
12
5
5
35
11
10
10
43
8
0
0
11
26
19
13
10
34
17
24

quoted at 17.5: O -115 (bet365) · U -110 (Fliff)

9/28@ KC10/5vs HOU10/12vs LAR10/26vs CHI10/30@ MIA11/9@ MIN11/16@ CLE11/23vs NYJ11/27vs CIN12/7vs PIT12/14@ CIN12/21vs NE12/27@ GB1/4@ PIT9/13vs DAL9/21@ LAR9/27vs TEN10/4vs ARI10/11@ WAS10/18vs NO

latest24 Sun, Oct 18, 2026 · vs NO

17.5

6 of 20 (30%) cleared 17.5 over his last 20

targetsno range set4.8 avg over the 20 charted
by window, any range:last 510.2last 106.4last 204.8last 304.320269.820252.620243.7all4.3

Longest Reception: Breakdowns

Isaiah Likely Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game1.936.206.50
SZN
51st percentile for mostleague avg 2.2014 games (2025)96th percentileleague avg 2.195 games (last 5)2026 season 6.5097th percentile for mostleague avg 2.196 games (2026)neutralsupports OVER3/85 TEssupports OVER
yards per catch10.489.529.55
SZN
58th percentile for mostleague avg 10.0811 games (2025)58th percentileleague avg 9.095 games (last 5)2026 season 9.5559th percentile for mostleague avg 9.096 games (2026)neutralneutral35/84 TEsneutral
air yards per target7.907.427.51
SZN
84th percentile for mostleague avg 5.7811 games (2025)75th percentileleague avg 5.795 games (last 5)2026 season 7.5178th percentile for mostleague avg 5.796 games (2026)supports OVERsupports OVER19/85 TEssupports OVER
20+ yard catches per game0.360.800.67
SZN
68th percentile for mostleague avg 0.2911 games (2025)94th percentileleague avg 0.235 games (last 5)2026 season 0.6789th percentile for mostleague avg 0.236 games (2026)supports OVERsupports OVER9/85 TEssupports OVER
HOU · what this defence allows
20+ yard receptions allowed to TEs0.50.20.7
SZN
29th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.617 games (2025) · 8 total29th percentileleague avg 0.55 games (last 5)2026 season 0.766th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.56 games (2026) · 4 totalsupports UNDER23/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-10/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
30+ yard receptions allowed to TEs0.10.00.5
SZN
21st percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.217 games (2025) · 1 total29th percentileleague avg 0.15 games (last 5)2026 season 0.595th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.16 games (2026) · 3 totalsupports UNDERT-20/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-2/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
40+ yard receptions allowed (all positions)0.50.20.5
SZN
66th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.417 games (2025) · 8 total15th percentileleague avg 0.55 games (last 5)2026 season 0.548th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.56 games (2026) · 3 totalsupports OVERT-11/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-12/32 NFL defencesneutral
yards after catch allowed to TEs21.215.219.8
SZN
24th percentile for most allowedleague avg 25.817 games (2025) · 360 total10th percentileleague avg 26.15 games (last 5)2026 season 19.823rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 26.16 games (2026) · 119 totalsupports UNDERT-24/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER25/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
air yards faced255.5275.8289.7
SZN
68th percentile for most facedleague avg 239.817 games (2025) · 4344 total71st percentileleague avg 255.45 games (last 5)2026 season 289.781st percentile for most facedleague avg 255.46 games (2026) · 1738 totalsupports OVER11/32 NFL defencessupports OVER7/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
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Other markets

Isaiah Likely, every other prop for this game

Anytime TD
last 10 3 of 10 (30%) · last 20 4 of 20 (20%)
Yes +270
show
Receptions5.5
last 10 4 of 10 (40%) · last 20 4 of 20 (20%)
O +102 · U −114
show
Longest Reception17.5
last 10 4 of 10 (40%) · last 20 6 of 20 (30%)
O −115 · U −110
show
O 49.5 −102 FanDuel · U 49.5 −112 betPARXprices from