Prices pulled at 10:16 AM EDT on Thu, Oct 15. bet365 refreshed separately at 4:39 PM EDT.

Isaiah Likely

NYG · NFLTENO @ NYGSun 1:00 PM
FacingNew Orleans Saintsdefence51.1 receiving yards allowed to TEs (2026) · ranks 19 of 32 NFL defences

Prices last pulled 10:16 AM ET

Anytime TD

37 games logged

Isaiah Likely Anytime TD · 37 games logged

4 of 20 (20%) scored a touchdown over his last 20 · to score +225 BetMGM · prices from

line0.5
1+ TD
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0
2

quoted at 0.5: O +225 (BetMGM) · no under

1/19@ BUF9/28@ KC10/5vs HOU10/12vs LAR10/26vs CHI10/30@ MIA11/9@ MIN11/16@ CLE11/23vs NYJ11/27vs CIN12/7vs PIT12/14@ CIN12/21vs NE12/27@ GB1/4@ PIT9/13vs DAL9/21@ LAR9/27vs TEN10/4vs ARI10/11@ WAS

latest2 Sun, Oct 11, 2026 · @ WAS

TD

4 of 20 (20%) cleared 0.5 over his last 20

red zone touchesno range set0.5 avg over the 20 charted
by window, any range:last 51.6last 100.9last 200.5last 300.520261.620250.120240.4all0.5
Red zone touch sharelatest game: 28.6% · 2 of 71 gameL5: 20.5% · 8 of 395 gamesL10: 11.4% · 9 of 799 of 10 games2026: 20.5% · 8 of 395 gamesShare of team red zone carries + catches, across games on file (playoffs included).

Anytime TD: Breakdowns

Isaiah Likely Breakdown · his own data
red zone touches per game0.141.601.60
SZN
32nd percentile for mostleague avg 0.3514 games (2025)98th percentileleague avg 0.355 games (last 5)2026 season 1.6098th percentile for mostleague avg 0.355 games (2026)supports UNDERsupports OVER2/86 TEssupports OVER
red zone targets per game0.431.601.60
SZN
49th percentile for mostleague avg 0.5214 games (2025)95th percentileleague avg 0.495 games (last 5)2026 season 1.6095th percentile for mostleague avg 0.495 games (2026)neutralsupports OVER5/86 TEssupports OVER
receptions per game1.936.606.60
SZN
51st percentile for mostleague avg 2.2014 games (2025)97th percentileleague avg 2.165 games (last 5)2026 season 6.6097th percentile for mostleague avg 2.165 games (2026)neutralsupports OVER3/86 TEssupports OVER
red zone target share12.8%44.4%44.4%
SZN
61st percentile for highest shareleague avg 11.8%12 games with red zone data (2025)99th percentileleague avg 11.0%5 regular-season games with red zone data (last 5)2026 season 44.4%99th percentile for highest shareleague avg 11.0%5 games with red zone data (2026)supports OVER34/85 TEssupports OVER1/86 TEssupports OVER
red zone rush share0.0%0.0%0.0%
SZN
42nd percentile for highest shareleague avg 0.4%13 games with red zone data (2025)48th percentileleague avg 0.2%5 regular-season games with red zone data (last 5)2026 season 0.0%48th percentile for highest shareleague avg 0.2%5 games with red zone data (2026)supports FLAT14/85 TEsneutral5/86 TEsneutral
red zone touch share1.7%20.5%20.5%
SZN
28th percentile for highest shareleague avg 4.7%13 games with red zone data (2025)97th percentileleague avg 4.7%5 regular-season games with red zone data (last 5)2026 season 20.5%97th percentile for highest shareleague avg 4.7%5 games with red zone data (2026)supports UNDER60/85 TEssupports OVER3/86 TEssupports OVER
NO · what this defence allows
TDs allowed to TEs0.30.40.4
SZN
39th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.417 games (2025) · 6 total44th percentileleague avg 0.55 games (last 5)2026 season 0.444th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.55 games (2026) · 2 totalsupports UNDERT-15/32 NFL defencesneutralT-16/32 NFL defencesneutral
red zone targets allowed to TEs1.21.61.6
SZN
61st percentile for most allowedleague avg 1.217 games (2025) · 21 total76th percentileleague avg 1.25 games (last 5)2026 season 1.676th percentile for most allowedleague avg 1.25 games (2026) · 8 totalsupports OVERT-11/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-8/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
touchdowns allowed2.23.63.6
SZN
29th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.417 games (2025) · 37 total92nd percentileleague avg 2.55 games (last 5)2026 season 3.692nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.55 games (2026) · 18 totalsupports UNDER23/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-3/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
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See the full defense funnels for NO @ NYG →

Receptions

37 games logged

Isaiah Likely Receptions · 37 games logged

3 of 20 (15%) cleared 5.5 over his last 20 · over +120 theScore Bet · under −140 bet365 · pull times beside each book

line5.5
5.5
4
0
1
2
2
3
2
2
1
5
4
0
0
3
2
8
5
2
7
11

quoted at 5.5: O +120 (theScore Bet) · U -140 (bet365)

1/19@ BUF9/28@ KC10/5vs HOU10/12vs LAR10/26vs CHI10/30@ MIA11/9@ MIN11/16@ CLE11/23vs NYJ11/27vs CIN12/7vs PIT12/14@ CIN12/21vs NE12/27@ GB1/4@ PIT9/13vs DAL9/21@ LAR9/27vs TEN10/4vs ARI10/11@ WAS

latest11 Sun, Oct 11, 2026 · @ WAS

5.5

3 of 20 (15%) cleared 5.5 over his last 20

targetsno range set4.5 avg over the 20 charted
by window, any range:last 59.6last 105.9last 204.5last 304.120269.620252.620243.7all4.1

Receptions: Breakdowns

Isaiah Likely Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game1.936.606.60
SZN
51st percentile for mostleague avg 2.2014 games (2025)97th percentileleague avg 2.165 games (last 5)2026 season 6.6097th percentile for mostleague avg 2.165 games (2026)neutralsupports OVER3/86 TEssupports OVER
targets per game2.649.609.60
SZN
49th percentile for mostleague avg 3.0314 games (2025)97th percentileleague avg 2.965 games (last 5)2026 season 9.6097th percentile for mostleague avg 2.965 games (2026)neutralsupports OVER3/86 TEssupports OVER
target share10.5%29.5%29.5%
SZN
58th percentile for mostleague avg 9.9%14 games (2025)97th percentileleague avg 9.3%5 games (last 5)2026 season 29.5%97th percentile for mostleague avg 9.3%5 games (2026)neutralsupports OVER3/86 TEssupports OVER
snap share55.9%69.6%69.6%
SZN
60th percentile for mostleague avg 54.1%14 games (2025)81st percentileleague avg 53.5%5 games (last 5)2026 season 69.6%81st percentile for mostleague avg 53.5%5 games (2026)supports OVERsupports OVER17/86 TEssupports OVER
NO · what this defence allows
receptions allowed to TEs5.27.27.2
SZN
45th percentile for most allowedleague avg 5.317 games (2025) · 89 total89th percentileleague avg 5.45 games (last 5)2026 season 7.289th percentile for most allowedleague avg 5.45 games (2026) · 36 totalneutral18/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-4/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
targets allowed to TEs7.39.29.2
SZN
53rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 7.317 games (2025) · 125 total87th percentileleague avg 7.65 games (last 5)2026 season 9.287th percentile for most allowedleague avg 7.65 games (2026) · 46 totalneutralT-15/32 NFL defencessupports OVER5/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
receptions allowed18.421.621.6
SZN
16th percentile for most allowedleague avg 20.617 games (2025) · 312 total56th percentileleague avg 21.35 games (last 5)2026 season 21.656th percentile for most allowedleague avg 21.35 games (2026) · 108 totalsupports UNDER27/32 NFL defencesneutralT-14/32 NFL defencesneutral
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Receiving Yards

37 games logged

Isaiah Likely Receiving Yards · 37 games logged

6 of 20 (30%) cleared 48.5 over his last 20 · over −111 DraftKings · under −113 DraftKings · prices from

line48.5
48.5
73
0
12
6
8
60
17
15
10
95
25
0
0
27
32
78
33
13
66
94

quoted at 48.5: O -111 (DraftKings) · U -113 (DraftKings)

1/19@ BUF9/28@ KC10/5vs HOU10/12vs LAR10/26vs CHI10/30@ MIA11/9@ MIN11/16@ CLE11/23vs NYJ11/27vs CIN12/7vs PIT12/14@ CIN12/21vs NE12/27@ GB1/4@ PIT9/13vs DAL9/21@ LAR9/27vs TEN10/4vs ARI10/11@ WAS

latest94 Sun, Oct 11, 2026 · @ WAS

48.5

6 of 20 (30%) cleared 48.5 over his last 20

receptionsno range set3.2 avg over the 20 charted
by window, any range:last 56.6last 104.2last 203.2last 303.020266.620251.920242.7all2.9

Receiving Yards: Breakdowns

Isaiah Likely Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game1.936.606.60
SZN
51st percentile for mostleague avg 2.2014 games (2025)97th percentileleague avg 2.165 games (last 5)2026 season 6.6097th percentile for mostleague avg 2.165 games (2026)neutralsupports OVER3/86 TEssupports OVER
targets per game2.649.609.60
SZN
49th percentile for mostleague avg 3.0314 games (2025)97th percentileleague avg 2.965 games (last 5)2026 season 9.6097th percentile for mostleague avg 2.965 games (2026)neutralsupports OVER3/86 TEssupports OVER
target share10.5%29.5%29.5%
SZN
58th percentile for mostleague avg 9.9%14 games (2025)97th percentileleague avg 9.3%5 games (last 5)2026 season 29.5%97th percentile for mostleague avg 9.3%5 games (2026)neutralsupports OVER3/86 TEssupports OVER
snap share55.9%69.6%69.6%
SZN
60th percentile for mostleague avg 54.1%14 games (2025)81st percentileleague avg 53.5%5 games (last 5)2026 season 69.6%81st percentile for mostleague avg 53.5%5 games (2026)supports OVERsupports OVER17/86 TEssupports OVER
NO · what this defence allows
receiving yards allowed to TEs51.171.271.2
SZN
42nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 53.317 games (2025) · 869 total81st percentileleague avg 53.55 games (last 5)2026 season 71.281st percentile for most allowedleague avg 53.55 games (2026) · 356 totalneutral19/32 NFL defencessupports OVER7/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
receptions allowed to TEs5.27.27.2
SZN
45th percentile for most allowedleague avg 5.317 games (2025) · 89 total89th percentileleague avg 5.45 games (last 5)2026 season 7.289th percentile for most allowedleague avg 5.45 games (2026) · 36 totalneutral18/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-4/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
receiving yards allowed196.2228.2228.2
SZN
13th percentile for most allowedleague avg 225.017 games (2025) · 3336 total35th percentileleague avg 234.35 games (last 5)2026 season 228.235th percentile for most allowedleague avg 234.35 games (2026) · 1141 totalsupports UNDER28/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER21/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
yards after catch allowed to TEs27.935.835.8
SZN
58th percentile for most allowedleague avg 25.817 games (2025) · 474 total87th percentileleague avg 26.25 games (last 5)2026 season 35.887th percentile for most allowedleague avg 26.25 games (2026) · 179 totalneutral14/32 NFL defencessupports OVER5/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
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Longest Reception

37 games logged

Isaiah Likely Longest Reception · 37 games logged

6 of 20 (30%) cleared 18.5 over his last 20 · over −110 Hard Rock Bet · under −111 DraftKings · prices from

line18.5
18.5
39
0
12
5
5
35
11
10
10
43
8
0
0
11
26
19
13
10
34
17

quoted at 18.5: O -110 (Hard Rock Bet) · U -111 (DraftKings)

1/19@ BUF9/28@ KC10/5vs HOU10/12vs LAR10/26vs CHI10/30@ MIA11/9@ MIN11/16@ CLE11/23vs NYJ11/27vs CIN12/7vs PIT12/14@ CIN12/21vs NE12/27@ GB1/4@ PIT9/13vs DAL9/21@ LAR9/27vs TEN10/4vs ARI10/11@ WAS

latest17 Sun, Oct 11, 2026 · @ WAS

18.5

6 of 20 (30%) cleared 18.5 over his last 20

targetsno range set4.5 avg over the 20 charted
by window, any range:last 59.6last 105.9last 204.5last 304.120269.620252.620243.7all4.1

Longest Reception: Breakdowns

Isaiah Likely Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game1.936.606.60
SZN
51st percentile for mostleague avg 2.2014 games (2025)97th percentileleague avg 2.165 games (last 5)2026 season 6.6097th percentile for mostleague avg 2.165 games (2026)neutralsupports OVER3/86 TEssupports OVER
yards per catch10.488.178.17
SZN
58th percentile for mostleague avg 10.0811 games (2025)39th percentileleague avg 9.435 games (last 5)2026 season 8.1739th percentile for mostleague avg 9.435 games (2026)neutralsupports UNDER52/85 TEssupports UNDER
air yards per target7.906.886.88
SZN
84th percentile for mostleague avg 5.7811 games (2025)66th percentileleague avg 5.845 games (last 5)2026 season 6.8866th percentile for mostleague avg 5.845 games (2026)supports OVERsupports OVER30/86 TEssupports OVER
20+ yard catches per game0.360.200.20
SZN
68th percentile for mostleague avg 0.2911 games (2025)57th percentileleague avg 0.245 games (last 5)2026 season 0.2057th percentile for mostleague avg 0.245 games (2026)supports OVERneutral32/86 TEsneutral
NO · what this defence allows
20+ yard receptions allowed to TEs0.50.40.4
SZN
39th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.617 games (2025) · 9 total39th percentileleague avg 0.55 games (last 5)2026 season 0.439th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.55 games (2026) · 2 totalsupports UNDERT-18/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-18/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
30+ yard receptions allowed to TEs0.20.00.0
SZN
66th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.217 games (2025) · 3 total27th percentileleague avg 0.25 games (last 5)2026 season 0.027th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.25 games (2026) · 0 totalsupports OVERT-9/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-15/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
40+ yard receptions allowed (all positions)0.40.20.2
SZN
53rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.417 games (2025) · 7 total11th percentileleague avg 0.65 games (last 5)2026 season 0.211th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.65 games (2026) · 1 totalneutralT-13/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-26/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
yards after catch allowed to TEs27.935.835.8
SZN
58th percentile for most allowedleague avg 25.817 games (2025) · 474 total87th percentileleague avg 26.25 games (last 5)2026 season 35.887th percentile for most allowedleague avg 26.25 games (2026) · 179 totalneutral14/32 NFL defencessupports OVER5/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
air yards faced219.5216.2216.2
SZN
29th percentile for most facedleague avg 239.817 games (2025) · 3732 total26th percentileleague avg 253.95 games (last 5)2026 season 216.226th percentile for most facedleague avg 253.95 games (2026) · 1081 totalsupports UNDER23/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER24/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
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Other markets

Isaiah Likely, every other prop for this game

Anytime TD
last 10 3 of 10 (30%) · last 20 4 of 20 (20%)
Yes +225
show
Receptions5.5
last 10 3 of 10 (30%) · last 20 3 of 20 (15%)
O +120 · U −140
show
Longest Reception18.5
last 10 3 of 10 (30%) · last 20 6 of 20 (30%)
O −110 · U −111
show
O 48.5 −111 DraftKings · U 48.5 −113 DraftKingsprices from