Jake Ferguson

DAL · NFLTEARI @ DALSun 1:00 PM
FacingArizona Cardinalsdefence68.6 receiving yards allowed to TEs (2026) · ranks 3 of 32 NFL defences

Prices last pulled 10:05 AM ET

Anytime TD

38 games logged

Jake Ferguson Anytime TD · 38 games logged

7 of 20 (35%) scored a touchdown over his last 20 · to score +240 BetMGM · prices from

line0.5
1+ TD
2
1
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
2
1
0
0
0
0

quoted at 0.5: O +240 (BetMGM) · no under

10/5@ NYJ10/12@ CAR10/19vs WAS10/26@ DEN11/3vs ARI11/17@ LV11/23vs PHI11/27vs KC12/4@ DET12/14vs MIN12/21vs LAC12/25@ WAS1/4@ NYG9/13@ NYG9/20vs WAS9/27vs BAL10/4@ HOU10/8vs TB10/18@ GB10/26@ PHI

latest0 Mon, Oct 26, 2026 · @ PHI

TD

7 of 20 (35%) cleared 0.5 over his last 20

red zone touchesno range set0.8 avg over the 20 charted
by window, any range:last 50.2last 100.5last 200.8last 300.620260.620250.920240.3all0.6

Anytime TD: Breakdowns

Jake Ferguson Breakdown · his own data
red zone touches per game0.880.200.57
SZN
93rd percentile for mostleague avg 0.3517 games (2025)38th percentileleague avg 0.355 games (last 5)2026 season 0.5778th percentile for mostleague avg 0.357 games (2026)supports OVERsupports UNDER19/88 TEssupports OVER
red zone targets per game1.470.400.71
SZN
95th percentile for mostleague avg 0.5217 games (2025)51st percentileleague avg 0.505 games (last 5)2026 season 0.7173rd percentile for mostleague avg 0.507 games (2026)supports OVERneutral23/88 TEssupports OVER
receptions per game4.822.202.43
SZN
93rd percentile for mostleague avg 2.2017 games (2025)59th percentileleague avg 2.135 games (last 5)2026 season 2.4366th percentile for mostleague avg 2.137 games (2026)supports OVERneutral30/88 TEssupports OVER
red zone target share24.0%5.9%11.4%
SZN
89th percentile for highest shareleague avg 11.8%17 games with red zone data (2025)36th percentileleague avg 11.4%5 regular-season games with red zone data (last 5)2026 season 11.4%62nd percentile for highest shareleague avg 11.4%7 games with red zone data (2026)supports OVER10/85 TEssupports UNDER34/88 TEssupports OVER
red zone rush share0.0%0.0%0.0%
SZN
42nd percentile for highest shareleague avg 0.4%17 games with red zone data (2025)48th percentileleague avg 0.1%5 regular-season games with red zone data (last 5)2026 season 0.0%48th percentile for highest shareleague avg 0.1%7 games with red zone data (2026)supports FLAT14/85 TEsneutral5/88 TEsneutral
red zone touch share10.2%2.1%6.1%
SZN
89th percentile for highest shareleague avg 4.7%17 games with red zone data (2025)33rd percentileleague avg 4.5%5 regular-season games with red zone data (last 5)2026 season 6.1%70th percentile for highest shareleague avg 4.5%7 games with red zone data (2026)supports OVER10/85 TEssupports UNDER27/88 TEssupports OVER
ARI · what this defence allows
TDs allowed to TEs0.71.00.9
SZN
89th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.417 games (2025) · 11 total89th percentileleague avg 0.55 games (last 5)2026 season 0.987th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.57 games (2026) · 6 totalsupports OVERT-4/32 NFL defencessupports OVER5/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
red zone targets allowed to TEs2.12.01.7
SZN
95th percentile for most allowedleague avg 1.217 games (2025) · 36 total84th percentileleague avg 1.35 games (last 5)2026 season 1.781st percentile for most allowedleague avg 1.37 games (2026) · 12 totalsupports OVERT-2/32 NFL defencessupports OVER7/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
touchdowns allowed2.93.83.6
SZN
84th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.417 games (2025) · 50 total100th percentileleague avg 2.55 games (last 5)2026 season 3.695th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.57 games (2026) · 25 totalsupports OVER6/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-2/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
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See the full defense funnels for ARI @ DAL →

Receptions

38 games logged

Jake Ferguson Receptions · 38 games logged

16 of 20 (80%) cleared 1.5 over his last 20 · over −155 Hard Rock Bet · under +140 FanDuel · prices from

line1.5
1.5
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5
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1
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4
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0

quoted at 1.5: O -155 (Hard Rock Bet) · U +140 (FanDuel)

10/5@ NYJ10/12@ CAR10/19vs WAS10/26@ DEN11/3vs ARI11/17@ LV11/23vs PHI11/27vs KC12/4@ DET12/14vs MIN12/21vs LAC12/25@ WAS1/4@ NYG9/13@ NYG9/20vs WAS9/27vs BAL10/4@ HOU10/8vs TB10/18@ GB10/26@ PHI

latest0 Mon, Oct 26, 2026 · @ PHI

1.5

16 of 20 (80%) cleared 1.5 over his last 20

targetsno range set4.4 avg over the 20 charted
by window, any range:last 53.8last 103.3last 204.4last 305.220263.620256.020246.1all5.6

Receptions: Breakdowns

Jake Ferguson Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game4.822.202.43
SZN
93rd percentile for mostleague avg 2.2017 games (2025)59th percentileleague avg 2.135 games (last 5)2026 season 2.4366th percentile for mostleague avg 2.137 games (2026)supports OVERneutral30/88 TEssupports OVER
targets per game6.003.803.57
SZN
89th percentile for mostleague avg 3.0317 games (2025)67th percentileleague avg 2.965 games (last 5)2026 season 3.5764th percentile for mostleague avg 2.967 games (2026)supports OVERsupports OVER32/88 TEssupports OVER
target share16.4%9.0%9.2%
SZN
79th percentile for mostleague avg 9.9%17 games (2025)56th percentileleague avg 9.3%5 games (last 5)2026 season 9.2%57th percentile for mostleague avg 9.3%7 games (2026)supports OVERneutral38/88 TEsneutral
snap share66.7%66.6%67.0%
SZN
76th percentile for mostleague avg 54.1%17 games (2025)76th percentileleague avg 53.3%5 games (last 5)2026 season 67.0%78th percentile for mostleague avg 53.3%7 games (2026)supports OVERsupports OVER20/88 TEssupports OVER
ARI · what this defence allows
receptions allowed to TEs6.36.05.7
SZN
95th percentile for most allowedleague avg 5.317 games (2025) · 107 total66th percentileleague avg 5.55 games (last 5)2026 season 5.760th percentile for most allowedleague avg 5.57 games (2026) · 40 totalsupports OVERT-2/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-13/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
targets allowed to TEs8.48.47.4
SZN
81st percentile for most allowedleague avg 7.317 games (2025) · 143 total71st percentileleague avg 7.75 games (last 5)2026 season 7.445th percentile for most allowedleague avg 7.77 games (2026) · 52 totalsupports OVERT-6/32 NFL defencessupports OVER18/32 NFL defencesneutral
receptions allowed22.118.418.3
SZN
73rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 20.617 games (2025) · 375 total6th percentileleague avg 21.45 games (last 5)2026 season 18.36th percentile for most allowedleague avg 21.47 games (2026) · 128 totalsupports OVERT-9/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER30/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
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See the full defense funnels for ARI @ DAL →

Receiving Yards

38 games logged

Jake Ferguson Receiving Yards · 38 games logged

13 of 20 (65%) cleared 15.5 over his last 20 · over +100 theScore Bet · under −121 betPARX · prices from

line15.5
15.5
49
33
29
0
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16
60
36
58
16
19
6
5
6
43
23
11
19
13
0

quoted at 15.5: O +100 (theScore Bet) · U -121 (betPARX)

10/5@ NYJ10/12@ CAR10/19vs WAS10/26@ DEN11/3vs ARI11/17@ LV11/23vs PHI11/27vs KC12/4@ DET12/14vs MIN12/21vs LAC12/25@ WAS1/4@ NYG9/13@ NYG9/20vs WAS9/27vs BAL10/4@ HOU10/8vs TB10/18@ GB10/26@ PHI

latest0 Mon, Oct 26, 2026 · @ PHI

15.5

13 of 20 (65%) cleared 15.5 over his last 20

receptionsno range set3.3 avg over the 20 charted
by window, any range:last 52.2last 102.2last 203.3last 303.920262.420254.820244.2all4.2

Receiving Yards: Breakdowns

Jake Ferguson Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game4.822.202.43
SZN
93rd percentile for mostleague avg 2.2017 games (2025)59th percentileleague avg 2.135 games (last 5)2026 season 2.4366th percentile for mostleague avg 2.137 games (2026)supports OVERneutral30/88 TEssupports OVER
targets per game6.003.803.57
SZN
89th percentile for mostleague avg 3.0317 games (2025)67th percentileleague avg 2.965 games (last 5)2026 season 3.5764th percentile for mostleague avg 2.967 games (2026)supports OVERsupports OVER32/88 TEssupports OVER
target share16.4%9.0%9.2%
SZN
79th percentile for mostleague avg 9.9%17 games (2025)56th percentileleague avg 9.3%5 games (last 5)2026 season 9.2%57th percentile for mostleague avg 9.3%7 games (2026)supports OVERneutral38/88 TEsneutral
snap share66.7%66.6%67.0%
SZN
76th percentile for mostleague avg 54.1%17 games (2025)76th percentileleague avg 53.3%5 games (last 5)2026 season 67.0%78th percentile for mostleague avg 53.3%7 games (2026)supports OVERsupports OVER20/88 TEssupports OVER
ARI · what this defence allows
receiving yards allowed to TEs68.662.659.7
SZN
94th percentile for most allowedleague avg 53.317 games (2025) · 1166 total71st percentileleague avg 54.45 games (last 5)2026 season 59.768th percentile for most allowedleague avg 54.47 games (2026) · 418 totalsupports OVER3/32 NFL defencessupports OVER11/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
receptions allowed to TEs6.36.05.7
SZN
95th percentile for most allowedleague avg 5.317 games (2025) · 107 total66th percentileleague avg 5.55 games (last 5)2026 season 5.760th percentile for most allowedleague avg 5.57 games (2026) · 40 totalsupports OVERT-2/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-13/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
receiving yards allowed242.8252.4243.7
SZN
74th percentile for most allowedleague avg 225.017 games (2025) · 4128 total77th percentileleague avg 235.85 games (last 5)2026 season 243.765th percentile for most allowedleague avg 235.87 games (2026) · 1706 totalsupports OVER9/32 NFL defencessupports OVER12/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
yards after catch allowed to TEs31.028.228.4
SZN
74th percentile for most allowedleague avg 25.817 games (2025) · 527 total61st percentileleague avg 26.75 games (last 5)2026 season 28.461st percentile for most allowedleague avg 26.77 games (2026) · 199 totalsupports OVER9/32 NFL defencessupports OVER13/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
see the games

See the full defense funnels for ARI @ DAL →

Longest Reception

38 games logged

Jake Ferguson Longest Reception · 38 games logged

10 of 20 (50%) cleared 10.5 over his last 20 · over −110 Hard Rock Bet · under −115 bet365 · pull times beside each book

line10.5
10.5
26
19
15
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7
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11
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9
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14
19
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7
0

quoted at 10.5: O -110 (Hard Rock Bet) · U -115 (bet365)

10/5@ NYJ10/12@ CAR10/19vs WAS10/26@ DEN11/3vs ARI11/17@ LV11/23vs PHI11/27vs KC12/4@ DET12/14vs MIN12/21vs LAC12/25@ WAS1/4@ NYG9/13@ NYG9/20vs WAS9/27vs BAL10/4@ HOU10/8vs TB10/18@ GB10/26@ PHI

latest0 Mon, Oct 26, 2026 · @ PHI

10.5

10 of 20 (50%) cleared 10.5 over his last 20

targetsno range set4.4 avg over the 20 charted
by window, any range:last 53.8last 103.3last 204.4last 305.220263.620256.020246.1all5.6

Longest Reception: Breakdowns

Jake Ferguson Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game4.822.202.43
SZN
93rd percentile for mostleague avg 2.2017 games (2025)59th percentileleague avg 2.135 games (last 5)2026 season 2.4366th percentile for mostleague avg 2.137 games (2026)supports OVERneutral30/88 TEssupports OVER
yards per catch7.356.986.32
SZN
13th percentile for mostleague avg 10.0816 games (2025)26th percentileleague avg 9.125 games (last 5)2026 season 6.3218th percentile for mostleague avg 9.126 games (2026)supports UNDERsupports UNDER72/87 TEssupports UNDER
air yards per target6.005.685.52
SZN
58th percentile for mostleague avg 5.7817 games (2025)59th percentileleague avg 5.715 games (last 5)2026 season 5.5256th percentile for mostleague avg 5.717 games (2026)neutralneutral39/88 TEsneutral
20+ yard catches per game0.120.000.00
SZN
31st percentile for mostleague avg 0.2917 games (2025)23rd percentileleague avg 0.225 games (last 5)2026 season 0.0023rd percentile for mostleague avg 0.227 games (2026)supports UNDERsupports UNDER49/88 TEssupports UNDER
ARI · what this defence allows
20+ yard receptions allowed to TEs0.80.60.6
SZN
87th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.617 games (2025) · 14 total61st percentileleague avg 0.55 games (last 5)2026 season 0.656th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.57 games (2026) · 4 totalsupports OVERT-4/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-13/32 NFL defencesneutral
30+ yard receptions allowed to TEs0.20.40.3
SZN
81st percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.217 games (2025) · 4 total90th percentileleague avg 0.25 games (last 5)2026 season 0.373rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.27 games (2026) · 2 totalsupports OVERT-6/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-8/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
40+ yard receptions allowed (all positions)0.31.00.9
SZN
35th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.417 games (2025) · 6 total94th percentileleague avg 0.65 games (last 5)2026 season 0.990th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.67 games (2026) · 6 totalsupports UNDERT-19/32 NFL defencessupports OVER4/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
yards after catch allowed to TEs31.028.228.4
SZN
74th percentile for most allowedleague avg 25.817 games (2025) · 527 total61st percentileleague avg 26.75 games (last 5)2026 season 28.461st percentile for most allowedleague avg 26.77 games (2026) · 199 totalsupports OVER9/32 NFL defencessupports OVER13/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
air yards faced243.1263.8259.9
SZN
55th percentile for most facedleague avg 239.817 games (2025) · 4133 total65th percentileleague avg 251.65 games (last 5)2026 season 259.965th percentile for most facedleague avg 251.67 games (2026) · 1819 totalneutral15/32 NFL defencessupports OVER12/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
see the games

See the full defense funnels for ARI @ DAL →

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Other markets

Jake Ferguson, every other prop for this game

Anytime TD
last 10 3 of 10 (30%) · last 20 7 of 20 (35%)
Yes +240
show
Receptions1.5
last 10 7 of 10 (70%) · last 20 16 of 20 (80%)
O −155 · U +140
show
Longest Reception10.5
last 10 3 of 10 (30%) · last 20 10 of 20 (50%)
O −110 · U −115
show
O 15.5 +100 theScore Bet · U 15.5 −121 betPARXprices from