Base market snapshot from 10:03 AM EDT on Thu, Oct 1. bet365 refreshed separately at 1:31 PM EDT. Check your book before acting on anything here.
Jake Ferguson
DALDallas Cowboys @ Houston TexansSun 1:00 PM
Ferguson on the fieldred zone touches per game 0.88red zone targets per game 1.47receptions per game 4.82
Anytime TD
34 games loggedline0.5
red zone touches
HOU · what this defence allows
TDs allowed to TEs0.50.50.0
66th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.417 games (2025) · 8 totalseason 0.5no per-play form for this stat11th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.63 games (2026) · 0 totalsupports OVERT-10/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-25/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
red zone targets allowed to TEs1.21.20.0
61st percentile for most allowedleague avg 1.217 games (2025) · 21 totalseason 1.2no per-play form for this stat2nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 1.23 games (2026) · 0 totalsupports OVERT-11/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-31/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
touchdowns allowed1.91.92.3
16th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.417 games (2025) · 33 totalseason 1.9no per-play form for this stat50th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.53 games (2026) · 7 totalsupports UNDER27/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-15/32 NFL defencesneutral
Head to HeadJake Ferguson vs HOU0/1 with a touchdown
| date | RZ | touch | rush yds | rec yds | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/19'24 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 0 |
Jake Ferguson Breakdown · his own data
red zone touches per game0.881.00
SZN91st percentile for mostleague avg 0.4017 games (2025)vs last 5 · 94th pctseason 0.88 (91st)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
red zone targets per game1.471.40
SZN94th percentile for mostleague avg 0.5917 games (2025)vs last 5 · 94th pctseason 1.47 (94th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
receptions per game4.822.20
SZN93rd percentile for mostleague avg 2.5517 games (2025)vs last 5 · 47th pctseason 4.82 (93rd)5 gamessupports OVERneutral
0.5line
OVER+335Bally Betat 0.5
Longest Reception
34 games loggedline11.5
targets
HOU · what this defence allows
20+ yard receptions allowed to TEs0.59.2%1.0
29th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.617 games (2025) · 8 totalvs per completion · 26th pct · 24 of 32season 0.5 (29th)17 games84th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.53 games (2026) · 3 totalsupports UNDER23/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-5/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
30+ yard receptions allowed to TEs0.11.1%1.0
21st percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.217 games (2025) · 1 totalvs per completion · 23rd pct · T-23 of 32season 0.1 (21st)17 games98th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.23 games (2026) · 3 totalsupports UNDERT-20/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-1/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
40+ yard receptions allowed (all positions)0.52.5%0.7
66th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.417 games (2025) · 8 totalvs per completion · 76th pct · T-7 of 32season 0.5 (66th)17 games65th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.63 games (2026) · 2 totalsupports OVERT-11/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-7/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
yards after catch allowed to TEs21.24.134.0
24th percentile for most allowedleague avg 25.817 games (2025) · 360 totalvs per reception · 23rd pct · 25 of 32season 21.2 (24th)17 games84th percentile for most allowedleague avg 27.03 games (2026) · 102 totalsupports UNDERT-24/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER6/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
air yards faced255.58.6269.3
68th percentile for most facedleague avg 239.817 games (2025) · 4344 totalvs per target · 87th pct · 5 of 32season 255.5 (68th)17 games68th percentile for most facedleague avg 248.73 games (2026) · 808 totalsupports OVER11/32 NFL defencessupports OVER11/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
Head to HeadJake Ferguson vs HOU0/1 over 11.5
| date | tgt | rec | rec yds | lng rec |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/19'24 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 11 |
Jake Ferguson Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game4.822.20
SZN93rd percentile for mostleague avg 2.5517 games (2025)vs last 5 · 47th pctseason 4.82 (93rd)5 gamessupports OVERneutral
yards per catch7.356.48
SZN12th percentile for mostleague avg 10.1116 games (2025)vs last 5 · 7th pctseason 7.35 (12th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
air yards per target6.003.63
SZN56th percentile for mostleague avg 5.8717 games (2025)vs last 5 · 14th pctseason 6.00 (56th)5 gamesneutralsupports UNDER
20+ yard catches per game0.120.00
SZN26th percentile for mostleague avg 0.3117 games (2025)vs last 5 · 6th pctseason 0.12 (26th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
11.5line
OVER-105bet365at 11.5
UNDER-110Hard Rock Betat 11.5
19.5line
OVER+450bet365at 19.5
29.5line
OVER+1000bet365at 29.5
Receiving Yards
34 games loggedline24.5
receptions
HOU · what this defence allows
receiving yards allowed to TEs45.68.971.0
21st percentile for most allowedleague avg 53.317 games (2025) · 775 totalvs per reception · 10th pct · 29 of 32season 45.6 (21st)17 games90th percentile for most allowedleague avg 52.53 games (2026) · 213 totalsupports UNDERT-25/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER4/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
receptions allowed to TEs5.170.7%6.0
37th percentile for most allowedleague avg 5.317 games (2025) · 87 totalvs per target · 32nd pct · 22 of 32season 5.1 (37th)17 games71st percentile for most allowedleague avg 5.23 games (2026) · 18 totalsupports UNDERT-20/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-9/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
receiving yards allowed205.110.9258.7
19th percentile for most allowedleague avg 225.017 games (2025) · 3486 totalvs per reception · 55th pct · 15 of 32season 205.1 (19th)17 games77th percentile for most allowedleague avg 231.33 games (2026) · 776 totalsupports UNDER26/32 NFL defencesneutral8/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
yards after catch allowed to TEs21.24.134.0
24th percentile for most allowedleague avg 25.817 games (2025) · 360 totalvs per reception · 23rd pct · 25 of 32season 21.2 (24th)17 games84th percentile for most allowedleague avg 27.03 games (2026) · 102 totalsupports UNDERT-24/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER6/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
Head to HeadJake Ferguson vs HOU0/1 over 24.5
| date | tgt | rec | rec yds | tgt % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/19'24 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 1.9% |
Jake Ferguson Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game4.822.20
SZN93rd percentile for mostleague avg 2.5517 games (2025)vs last 5 · 47th pctseason 4.82 (93rd)5 gamessupports OVERneutral
targets per game6.003.00
SZN89th percentile for mostleague avg 3.5117 games (2025)vs last 5 · 45th pctseason 6.00 (89th)5 gamessupports OVERneutral
target share16.4%9.2%
SZN77th percentile for mostleague avg 11.5%17 games (2025)vs last 5 · 44th pctseason 16.4% (77th)5 gamessupports OVERneutral
snap share66.7%58.8%
SZN75th percentile for mostleague avg 57.4%17 games (2025)vs last 5 · 58th pctseason 66.7% (75th)5 gamessupports OVERneutral
19.5line
OVER-190bet365at 19.5
23.5line
OVER-114FanDuelat 23.5
UNDER-110Hard Rock Betat 23.5
24.5line
OVER-110betPARXat 24.5
UNDER-110DraftKingsat 24.5
29.5line
OVER+135bet365at 29.5
39.5line
OVER+275bet365at 39.5
49.5line
OVER+500bet365at 49.5
59.5line
OVER+800bet365at 59.5
69.5line
OVER+1100bet365at 69.5
Receptions
34 games loggedline3.5
targets
HOU · what this defence allows
receptions allowed to TEs5.170.7%6.0
37th percentile for most allowedleague avg 5.317 games (2025) · 87 totalvs per target · 32nd pct · 22 of 32season 5.1 (37th)17 games71st percentile for most allowedleague avg 5.23 games (2026) · 18 totalsupports UNDERT-20/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-9/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
targets allowed to TEs7.27.27.0
47th percentile for most allowedleague avg 7.317 games (2025) · 123 totalseason 7.2no per-play form for this stat45th percentile for most allowedleague avg 7.23 games (2026) · 21 totalneutralT-17/32 NFL defencesseason only18/32 NFL defencesneutral
receptions allowed18.818.821.3
19th percentile for most allowedleague avg 20.617 games (2025) · 319 totalseason 18.8no per-play form for this stat63rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 20.93 games (2026) · 64 totalsupports UNDER26/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-12/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
Head to HeadJake Ferguson vs HOU0/1 over 3.5
| date | tgt | rec | rec yds | tgt % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/19'24 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 1.9% |
Jake Ferguson Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game4.822.20
SZN93rd percentile for mostleague avg 2.5517 games (2025)vs last 5 · 47th pctseason 4.82 (93rd)5 gamessupports OVERneutral
targets per game6.003.00
SZN89th percentile for mostleague avg 3.5117 games (2025)vs last 5 · 45th pctseason 6.00 (89th)5 gamessupports OVERneutral
target share16.4%9.2%
SZN77th percentile for mostleague avg 11.5%17 games (2025)vs last 5 · 44th pctseason 16.4% (77th)5 gamessupports OVERneutral
snap share66.7%58.8%
SZN75th percentile for mostleague avg 57.4%17 games (2025)vs last 5 · 58th pctseason 66.7% (75th)5 gamessupports OVERneutral
0.5line
OVER-8000bet365at 0.5
1.5line
OVER-900bet365at 1.5
2.5line
OVER-250bet365at 2.5
3.5line
OVER+120BetMGMat 3.5
UNDER-127DraftKingsat 3.5
4.5line
OVER+225bet365at 4.5
5.5line
OVER+450bet365at 5.5
6.5line
OVER+800bet365at 6.5
7.5line
OVER+1200bet365at 7.5
odds snapshot · pulled 10:03 AM EDT on Thu, Oct 1 · not live pricing