Base market snapshot from 10:03 AM EDT on Thu, Oct 1. bet365 refreshed separately at 12:21 PM EDT. Check your book before acting on anything here.
Jared Goff
DETDetroit Lions @ Carolina PanthersSun 8:20 PM
Goff on the fieldred zone touches per game 0.18carries per game 1.12
Anytime TD
38 games loggedline0.5
red zone touches
CAR · what this defence allows
TDs allowed to QBs0.20.20.7
44th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.217 games (2025) · 3 totalseason 0.2no per-play form for this stat90th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.23 games (2026) · 2 totalneutralT-15/32 NFL defencesseason onlyT-2/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
red zone carries allowed to QBs1.11.12.0
85th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.817 games (2025) · 18 totalseason 1.1no per-play form for this stat89th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.93 games (2026) · 6 totalsupports OVERT-5/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-4/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
touchdowns allowed2.42.43.3
48th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.417 games (2025) · 40 totalseason 2.4no per-play form for this stat79th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.53 games (2026) · 10 totalneutralT-16/32 NFL defencesseason onlyT-6/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
Jared Goff Breakdown · his own data
red zone touches per game0.180.20
SZN12th percentile for mostleague avg 0.7217 games (2025)vs last 5 · 15th pctseason 0.18 (12th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
carries per game1.122.40
SZN7th percentile for mostleague avg 3.5517 games (2025)vs last 5 · 33rd pctseason 1.12 (7th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
0.5line
OVER+1400Bally Betat 0.5
Completions
38 games loggedline23.5
pass attempts
CAR · what this defence allows
completions allowed19.866.3%18.7
27th percentile for most allowedleague avg 20.617 games (2025) · 336 totalvs per attempt · 71st pct · 10 of 32season 19.8 (27th)17 games16th percentile for most allowedleague avg 20.93 games (2026) · 56 totalsupports UNDERT-23/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-26/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
dropbacks faced33.156.4%38.7
6th percentile for most facedleague avg 36.517 games (2025) · 563 totalvs per play · 15th pct · T-27 of 32season 33.1 (6th)17 games73rd percentile for most facedleague avg 36.73 games (2026) · 116 totalsupports UNDER30/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-9/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
sacks per dropback5.3%5.3%6.0%
16th percentile for highest sack rateleague avg 6.5%17 games (2025)vs per dropback · 16th pct · 27 of 32season 5.3% (16th)17 games42nd percentile for highest sack rateleague avg 5.9%3 games (2026)supports OVER27/32 NFL defencessupports OVER19/32 NFL defencesneutral
Jared Goff Breakdown · his own data
pass attempts per game34.0036.00
SZN87th percentile for mostleague avg 28.2817 games (2025)vs last 5 · 99th pctseason 34.00 (87th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
passing yards per game268.47266.00
SZN95th percentile for mostleague avg 198.1017 games (2025)vs last 5 · 93rd pctseason 268.47 (95th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
19.5line
OVER-600bet365at 19.5
23.5line
OVER+100betPARXat 23.5
UNDER-109DraftKingsat 23.5
24.5line
OVER+110bet365at 24.5
29.5line
OVER+500bet365at 29.5
Interceptions
38 games loggedline0.5
pass attempts
CAR · what this defence allows
interceptions forced0.93.0%1.0
76th percentile for most forcedleague avg 0.717 games (2025) · 15 totalvs per attempt · 84th pct · T-5 of 32season 0.9 (76th)17 games73rd percentile for most forcedleague avg 0.73 games (2026) · 3 totalsupports OVERT-8/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-6/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
completions allowed19.866.3%18.7
27th percentile for most allowedleague avg 20.617 games (2025) · 336 totalvs per attempt · 71st pct · 10 of 32season 19.8 (27th)17 games16th percentile for most allowedleague avg 20.93 games (2026) · 56 totalsupports UNDERT-23/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-26/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
passing yards allowed215.17.2186.0
42nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 225.017 games (2025) · 3657 totalvs per attempt · 65th pct · 12 of 32season 215.1 (42nd)17 games13th percentile for most allowedleague avg 231.33 games (2026) · 558 totalneutral19/32 NFL defencessupports OVER28/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
Jared Goff Breakdown · his own data
pass attempts per game34.0036.00
SZN87th percentile for mostleague avg 28.2817 games (2025)vs last 5 · 99th pctseason 34.00 (87th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
completions per game23.1224.40
SZN98th percentile for mostleague avg 18.1617 games (2025)vs last 5 · 100th pctseason 23.12 (98th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
0.5line
OVER+123betPARXat 0.5
UNDER-135bet365at 0.5
1.5line
OVER+500bet365at 1.5
2.5line
OVER+1150bet365at 2.5
Longest Completion
38 games loggedline35.5
pass attempts
CAR · what this defence allows
20+ yard receptions allowed2.512.5%1.7
21st percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.917 games (2025) · 42 totalvs per completion · 29th pct · 23 of 32season 2.5 (21st)17 games16th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.93 games (2026) · 5 totalsupports UNDERT-25/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-25/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
30+ yard receptions allowed1.36.5%0.3
82nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 1.017 games (2025) · 22 totalvs per completion · 87th pct · 5 of 32season 1.3 (82nd)17 games10th percentile for most allowedleague avg 1.13 games (2026) · 1 totalsupports OVERT-5/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-26/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
40+ yard receptions allowed0.52.7%0.3
77th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.417 games (2025) · 9 totalvs per completion · 87th pct · 5 of 32season 0.5 (77th)17 games29th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.63 games (2026) · 1 totalsupports OVERT-6/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-18/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
yards after catch allowed101.25.191.0
48th percentile for most allowedleague avg 106.017 games (2025) · 1721 totalvs per reception · 52nd pct · 16 of 32season 101.2 (48th)17 games19th percentile for most allowedleague avg 104.73 games (2026) · 273 totalneutral17/32 NFL defencesneutral26/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
air yards faced222.37.8197.0
32nd percentile for most facedleague avg 239.817 games (2025) · 3779 totalvs per target · 48th pct · 17 of 32season 222.3 (32nd)17 games29th percentile for most facedleague avg 248.73 games (2026) · 591 totalsupports UNDER22/32 NFL defencesneutral23/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
Jared Goff Breakdown · his own data
pass attempts per game34.0036.00
SZN87th percentile for mostleague avg 28.2817 games (2025)vs last 5 · 99th pctseason 34.00 (87th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
completions per game23.1224.40
SZN98th percentile for mostleague avg 18.1617 games (2025)vs last 5 · 100th pctseason 23.12 (98th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
19.5line
OVER-6579bet365at 19.5
29.5line
OVER-280bet365at 29.5
35.5line
OVER-108DraftKingsat 35.5
UNDER-120Bovadaat 35.5
36.5line
OVER-115bet365at 36.5
UNDER-115bet365at 36.5
39.5line
OVER+110bet365at 39.5
49.5line
OVER+275bet365at 49.5
59.5line
OVER+650bet365at 59.5
Longest Rush
38 games loggedline2.5
carries
CAR · what this defence allows
10+ yard rushes allowed to QBs0.310.2%1.3
5th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.617 games (2025) · 6 totalvs per carry · 3rd pct · 31 of 32season 0.3 (5th)17 games95th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.63 games (2026) · 4 totalsupports UNDERT-30/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-2/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
20+ yard rushes allowed (all positions)0.82.8%1.7
71st percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.617 games (2025) · 13 totalvs per carry · 63rd pct · T-12 of 32season 0.8 (71st)17 games98th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.53 games (2026) · 5 totalsupports OVERT-9/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-1/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
yards per carry allowed to QBs4.94.96.4
16th percentile for most allowedleague avg 5.617 games (2025)vs per carry · 16th pct · 27 of 32season 4.9 (16th)17 games71st percentile for most allowedleague avg 5.73 games (2026)supports UNDER27/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER10/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
runs stuffed at the line3.614.0%3.0
11th percentile for most stuffsleague avg 4.317 games (2025) · 61 totalvs per carry · 6th pct · 30 of 32season 3.6 (11th)17 games15th percentile for most stuffsleague avg 4.23 games (2026) · 9 totalsupports OVERT-28/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-27/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
Jared Goff Breakdown · his own data
carries per game1.122.40
SZN7th percentile for mostleague avg 3.5517 games (2025)vs last 5 · 33rd pctseason 1.12 (7th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
yards per carry3.420.90
SZN26th percentile for mostleague avg 4.2711 games (2025)vs last 5 · 2nd pctseason 3.42 (26th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
10+ yard runs per game0.060.00
SZN14th percentile for mostleague avg 0.5517 games (2025)vs last 5 · 6th pctseason 0.06 (14th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
snap share98.5%100.0%
SZN95th percentile for mostleague avg 87.6%17 games (2025)vs last 5 · 100th pctseason 98.5% (95th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
2.5line
OVER-125bet365at 2.5
UNDER-105bet365at 2.5
9.5line
OVER+450bet365at 9.5
19.5line
OVER+1200bet365at 19.5
Passing Attempts
38 games loggedline34.5
completions
CAR · what this defence allows
pass attempts faced29.829.830.7
16th percentile for most facedleague avg 32.117 games (2025) · 507 totalseason 29.8no per-play form for this stat32nd percentile for most facedleague avg 32.53 games (2026) · 92 totalsupports UNDER27/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-21/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
pass rate faced56.4%56.4%58.3%
15th percentile for most passed againstleague avg 60.2%17 games (2025)season 56.4%no per-play form for this stat29th percentile for most passed againstleague avg 60.4%3 games (2026)supports UNDERT-27/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER23/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
pass rate over expected faced-5.2%-5.2%-4.0%
16th percentile for most passed againstleague avg -2.2%17 games (2025)season -5.2%no per-play form for this stat32nd percentile for most passed againstleague avg -2.0%3 games (2026)supports UNDER27/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER22/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
plays faced58.758.766.3
26th percentile for most facedleague avg 60.617 games (2025) · 998 totalseason 58.7no per-play form for this stat90th percentile for most facedleague avg 60.73 games (2026) · 199 totalsupports UNDER24/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-3/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
sacks per dropback5.3%5.3%6.0%
16th percentile for highest sack rateleague avg 6.5%17 games (2025)season 5.3%no per-play form for this stat42nd percentile for highest sack rateleague avg 5.9%3 games (2026)supports OVER27/32 NFL defencessupports OVER19/32 NFL defencesneutral
Jared Goff Breakdown · his own data
completions per game23.1224.40
SZN98th percentile for mostleague avg 18.1617 games (2025)vs last 5 · 100th pctseason 23.12 (98th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
passing yards per game268.47266.00
SZN95th percentile for mostleague avg 198.1017 games (2025)vs last 5 · 93rd pctseason 268.47 (95th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
24.5line
OVER-3300bet365at 24.5
29.5line
OVER-450bet365at 29.5
34.5line
OVER-103betPARXat 34.5
UNDER-115bet365at 34.5
39.5line
OVER+250bet365at 39.5
44.5line
OVER+650bet365at 44.5
49.5line
OVER+1200bet365at 49.5
Passing Touchdowns
38 games loggedline1.5
pass attempts
CAR · what this defence allows
passing TDs allowed1.23.9%1.3
23rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 1.517 games (2025) · 20 totalvs per attempt · 31st pct · T-22 of 32season 1.2 (23rd)17 games35th percentile for most allowedleague avg 1.63 games (2026) · 4 totalsupports UNDERT-24/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-18/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
red zone trips allowed3.455.2%2.3
68th percentile for most allowedleague avg 3.217 games (2025) · 58 totalvs TD rate · 42nd pct · 19 of 32season 3.4 (68th)17 games11th percentile for most allowedleague avg 3.33 games (2026) · 7 totalsupports OVERT-10/32 NFL defencesneutralT-27/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
passing yards allowed215.17.2186.0
42nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 225.017 games (2025) · 3657 totalvs per attempt · 65th pct · 12 of 32season 215.1 (42nd)17 games13th percentile for most allowedleague avg 231.33 games (2026) · 558 totalneutral19/32 NFL defencessupports OVER28/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
Jared Goff Breakdown · his own data
pass attempts per game34.0036.00
SZN87th percentile for mostleague avg 28.2817 games (2025)vs last 5 · 99th pctseason 34.00 (87th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
completions per game23.1224.40
SZN98th percentile for mostleague avg 18.1617 games (2025)vs last 5 · 100th pctseason 23.12 (98th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
0.5line
OVER-1600bet365at 0.5
1.5line
OVER-180theScore Betat 1.5
UNDER+155bet365at 1.5
2.5line
OVER+180bet365at 2.5
3.5line
OVER+600bet365at 3.5
Passing Yards
38 games loggedline265.5
completions
CAR · what this defence allows
passing yards allowed215.17.2186.0
42nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 225.017 games (2025) · 3657 totalvs per attempt · 65th pct · 12 of 32season 215.1 (42nd)17 games13th percentile for most allowedleague avg 231.33 games (2026) · 558 totalneutral19/32 NFL defencessupports OVER28/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
dropbacks faced33.156.4%38.7
6th percentile for most facedleague avg 36.517 games (2025) · 563 totalvs per play · 15th pct · T-27 of 32season 33.1 (6th)17 games73rd percentile for most facedleague avg 36.73 games (2026) · 116 totalsupports UNDER30/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-9/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
sacks per dropback5.3%5.3%6.0%
16th percentile for highest sack rateleague avg 6.5%17 games (2025)vs per dropback · 16th pct · 27 of 32season 5.3% (16th)17 games42nd percentile for highest sack rateleague avg 5.9%3 games (2026)supports OVER27/32 NFL defencessupports OVER19/32 NFL defencesneutral
Jared Goff Breakdown · his own data
pass attempts per game34.0036.00
SZN87th percentile for mostleague avg 28.2817 games (2025)vs last 5 · 99th pctseason 34.00 (87th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
completions per game23.1224.40
SZN98th percentile for mostleague avg 18.1617 games (2025)vs last 5 · 100th pctseason 23.12 (98th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
149.5line
OVER-8000bet365at 149.5
174.5line
OVER-2000bet365at 174.5
199.5line
OVER-900bet365at 199.5
224.5line
OVER-400bet365at 224.5
249.5line
OVER-185bet365at 249.5
260.5line
OVER-114FanDuelat 260.5
UNDER-114FanDuelat 260.5
261.5line
OVER-115Hard Rock Betat 261.5
UNDER-115Hard Rock Betat 261.5
263.5line
OVER-112DraftKingsat 263.5
UNDER-112DraftKingsat 263.5
265.5line
OVER-113Bally Betat 265.5
UNDER-115bet365at 265.5
274.5line
OVER+105bet365at 274.5
299.5line
OVER+190bet365at 299.5
324.5line
OVER+320bet365at 324.5
349.5line
OVER+550bet365at 349.5
374.5line
OVER+800bet365at 374.5
399.5line
OVER+1150bet365at 399.5
Rushing Attempts
38 games loggedline2.5
snap share
CAR · what this defence allows
carries allowed to QBs4.415.7%8.3
63rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 4.217 games (2025) · 75 totalvs share of carries · 52nd pct · 16 of 32season 4.4 (63rd)17 games98th percentile for most allowedleague avg 4.03 games (2026) · 25 totalsupports OVERT-12/32 NFL defencesneutralT-1/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
runs faced25.643.6%27.7
77th percentile for most run againstleague avg 24.117 games (2025) · 435 totalvs per play · 85th pct · T-5 of 32season 25.6 (77th)17 games84th percentile for most run againstleague avg 24.03 games (2026) · 83 totalsupports OVER8/32 NFL defencessupports OVER6/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
rushing yards allowed to QBs15.83.648.7
29th percentile for most allowedleague avg 18.017 games (2025) · 268 totalvs per carry · 19th pct · 26 of 32season 15.8 (29th)17 games97th percentile for most allowedleague avg 17.73 games (2026) · 146 totalsupports UNDER23/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER2/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
Jared Goff Breakdown · his own data
snap share98.5%100.0%
SZN95th percentile for mostleague avg 87.6%17 games (2025)vs last 5 · 100th pctseason 98.5% (95th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
rushing yards per game2.653.40
SZN10th percentile for mostleague avg 16.1917 games (2025)vs last 5 · 14th pctseason 2.65 (10th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
yards per carry3.420.90
SZN26th percentile for mostleague avg 4.2711 games (2025)vs last 5 · 2nd pctseason 3.42 (26th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
2.5line
OVER+135bet365at 2.5
UNDER-170bet365at 2.5
4.5line
OVER+600bet365at 4.5
Rushing Yards
38 games loggedline1.5
carries
CAR · what this defence allows
rushing yards allowed to QBs15.83.648.7
29th percentile for most allowedleague avg 18.017 games (2025) · 268 totalvs per carry · 19th pct · 26 of 32season 15.8 (29th)17 games97th percentile for most allowedleague avg 17.73 games (2026) · 146 totalsupports UNDER23/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER2/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
carries allowed to QBs4.415.7%8.3
63rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 4.217 games (2025) · 75 totalvs share of carries · 52nd pct · 16 of 32season 4.4 (63rd)17 games98th percentile for most allowedleague avg 4.03 games (2026) · 25 totalsupports OVERT-12/32 NFL defencesneutralT-1/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
runs faced25.643.6%27.7
77th percentile for most run againstleague avg 24.117 games (2025) · 435 totalvs per play · 85th pct · T-5 of 32season 25.6 (77th)17 games84th percentile for most run againstleague avg 24.03 games (2026) · 83 totalsupports OVER8/32 NFL defencessupports OVER6/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
runs stuffed at the line3.614.0%3.0
11th percentile for most stuffsleague avg 4.317 games (2025) · 61 totalvs per carry · 6th pct · 30 of 32season 3.6 (11th)17 games15th percentile for most stuffsleague avg 4.23 games (2026) · 9 totalsupports OVERT-28/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-27/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
Jared Goff Breakdown · his own data
carries per game1.122.40
SZN7th percentile for mostleague avg 3.5517 games (2025)vs last 5 · 33rd pctseason 1.12 (7th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
yards per carry3.420.90
SZN26th percentile for mostleague avg 4.2711 games (2025)vs last 5 · 2nd pctseason 3.42 (26th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
1.5line
OVER-113DraftKingsat 1.5
UNDER-111DraftKingsat 1.5
2.5line
OVER-110bet365at 2.5
UNDER-120bet365at 2.5
19.5line
OVER+800bet365at 19.5
odds snapshot · pulled 10:03 AM EDT on Thu, Oct 1 · not live pricing