Base market snapshot from 1:00 PM EDT on Wed, Oct 7. bet365 refreshed separately at 2:57 PM EDT. Check your book before acting on anything here.
Jared Hollins
USASouth Alabama Jaguars @ Arkansas State Red WolvesThu 7:30 PM
Hollins under centerpass attempts per game 4.00completions per game 3.00
Passing Yards
8 games loggedline194.5
completions
quoted at 194.5: O -112 (BetOnline.ag) · U -115 (BetOnline.ag)
2 of 8 (25%) cleared 194.5 over all 8
ARST · what this defence allows
passing yards allowed254.08.4210.8
84th percentile for most allowedleague avg 223.111 games (2025) · 2794 totalvs per attempt · 86th pct · 20 of 141season 254.0 (84th)11 games38th percentile for most allowedleague avg 224.64 games (2026) · 843 totalsupports OVER24/141 FBS defencessupports OVER86/139 FBS defencessupports UNDER
Jared Hollins Breakdown · his own data
pass attempts per game4.0018.60
SZN16th percentile for mostleague avg 19.634 games (2025)vs last 5 · 41st pctseason 4.00 (16th)5 gamessupports UNDERneutral
completions per game3.0011.40
SZN21st percentile for mostleague avg 12.274 games (2025)vs last 5 · 41st pctseason 3.00 (21st)5 gamessupports UNDERneutral
149.5line
OVER-390bet365at 149.5
174.5line
OVER-190bet365at 174.5
194.5line
OVER-112BetOnline.agat 194.5
UNDER-115BetOnline.agat 194.5
199.5line
OVER-105bet365at 199.5
224.5line
OVER+180bet365at 224.5
249.5line
OVER+320bet365at 249.5
274.5line
OVER+550bet365at 274.5
299.5line
OVER+875bet365at 299.5
324.5line
OVER+1300bet365at 324.5
Anytime TD
8 games loggedline0.5
touches
quoted at 0.5: O +165 (bet365) · no under
0 of 8 (0%) cleared 0.5 over all 8
ARST · what this defence allows
TDs allowed to QBs0.80.80.3
95th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.411 games (2025) · 9 totalseason 0.8no per-play form for this stat30th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.54 games (2026) · 1 totalsupports OVERT-7/141 FBS defencessupports OVERT-82/139 FBS defencessupports UNDER
carries faced38.438.441.8
71st percentile for most facedleague avg 36.011 games (2025) · 422 totalseason 38.4no per-play form for this stat87th percentile for most facedleague avg 35.74 games (2026) · 167 totalsupports OVER42/141 FBS defencessupports OVERT-18/139 FBS defencessupports OVER
touchdowns allowed3.63.63.5
70th percentile for most allowedleague avg 3.111 games (2025) · 40 totalseason 3.6no per-play form for this stat64th percentile for most allowedleague avg 3.24 games (2026) · 14 totalsupports OVERT-42/141 FBS defencessupports OVERT-45/139 FBS defencessupports OVER
Jared Hollins Breakdown · his own data
carries per game0.254.80
SZN1st percentile for mostleague avg 6.624 games (2025)vs last 5 · 37th pctseason 0.25 (1st)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
0.5line
OVER+165bet365at 0.5
Passing Touchdowns
8 games loggedline1.5
pass attempts
quoted at 1.5: O +126 (BetOnline.ag) · U -164 (BetOnline.ag)
2 of 8 (25%) cleared 1.5 over all 8
ARST · what this defence allows
passing TDs allowed1.75.7%1.3
68th percentile for most allowedleague avg 1.511 games (2025) · 19 totalvs per attempt · 72nd pct · T-40 of 141season 1.7 (68th)11 games35th percentile for most allowedleague avg 1.64 games (2026) · 5 totalsupports OVERT-46/141 FBS defencessupports OVERT-84/139 FBS defencessupports UNDER
passing yards allowed254.08.4210.8
84th percentile for most allowedleague avg 223.111 games (2025) · 2794 totalvs per attempt · 86th pct · 20 of 141season 254.0 (84th)11 games38th percentile for most allowedleague avg 224.64 games (2026) · 843 totalsupports OVER24/141 FBS defencessupports OVER86/139 FBS defencessupports UNDER
Jared Hollins Breakdown · his own data
pass attempts per game4.0018.60
SZN16th percentile for mostleague avg 19.634 games (2025)vs last 5 · 41st pctseason 4.00 (16th)5 gamessupports UNDERneutral
completions per game3.0011.40
SZN21st percentile for mostleague avg 12.274 games (2025)vs last 5 · 41st pctseason 3.00 (21st)5 gamessupports UNDERneutral
0.5line
OVER-400bet365at 0.5
1.5line
OVER+126BetOnline.agat 1.5
UNDER-164BetOnline.agat 1.5
2.5line
OVER+450bet365at 2.5
3.5line
OVER+1200bet365at 3.5
Rushing Yards
8 games loggedline16.5
carries
quoted at 16.5: O -114 (BetOnline.ag) · U -114 (BetOnline.ag)
3 of 8 (38%) cleared 16.5 over all 8
ARST · what this defence allows
rushing yards allowed177.14.6227.3
69th percentile for most allowedleague avg 156.511 games (2025) · 1948 totalvs per carry · 64th pct · 52 of 141season 177.1 (69th)11 games93rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 153.04 games (2026) · 909 totalsupports OVER44/141 FBS defencessupports OVER10/139 FBS defencessupports OVER
Jared Hollins Breakdown · his own data
carries per game0.254.80
SZN1st percentile for mostleague avg 6.624 games (2025)vs last 5 · 37th pctseason 0.25 (1st)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
yards per carrythin-5.001.11
SZN0th percentile for mostleague avg 2.91thin sample: 1 games (2025)vs last 5 · 25th pctseason -5.00 (0th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
16.5line
OVER-114BetOnline.agat 16.5
UNDER-114BetOnline.agat 16.5
19.5line
OVER+105bet365at 19.5
29.5line
OVER+200bet365at 29.5
39.5line
OVER+350bet365at 39.5
49.5line
OVER+575bet365at 49.5
59.5line
OVER+850bet365at 59.5
69.5line
OVER+1100bet365at 69.5
79.5line
OVER+1500bet365at 79.5
odds snapshot · pulled 1:00 PM EDT on Wed, Oct 7 · not live pricing