← Denver Broncos @ San Francisco 49ers
Base market snapshot from 10:03 AM EDT on Thu, Oct 1. bet365 refreshed separately at 2:26 PM EDT. Check your book before acting on anything here.

Jaylen Waddle

DENDenver Broncos @ San Francisco 49ersSun 4:25 PM

Waddle on the fieldred zone touches per game 0.50red zone targets per game 0.69receptions per game 4.00

Anytime TD

34 games logged
line0.5

SF · what this defence allows
TDs allowed to WRs0.90.90.7
40th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.917 games (2025) · 15 totalseason 0.9no per-play form for this stat29th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.93 games (2026) · 2 totalsupports UNDERT-19/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-19/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
red zone targets allowed to WRs1.71.72.7
6th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.417 games (2025) · 29 totalseason 1.7no per-play form for this stat56th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.53 games (2026) · 8 totalsupports UNDER30/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-12/32 NFL defencesneutral
touchdowns allowed2.52.51.7
58th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.417 games (2025) · 42 totalseason 2.5no per-play form for this stat16th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.53 games (2026) · 5 totalneutral14/32 NFL defencesseason onlyT-24/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
Jaylen Waddle Breakdown · his own data
red zone touches per game0.500.20
SZN
76th percentile for mostleague avg 0.3616 games (2025)vs last 5 · 29th pctseason 0.50 (76th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports UNDER
red zone targets per game0.690.40
SZN
62nd percentile for mostleague avg 0.6316 games (2025)vs last 5 · 30th pctseason 0.69 (62nd)5 gamessupports OVERsupports UNDER
receptions per game4.003.20
SZN
80th percentile for mostleague avg 2.8916 games (2025)vs last 5 · 64th pctseason 4.00 (80th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
0.5line
OVER+215Bovadaat 0.5

Longest Reception

34 games logged
line21.5

SF · what this defence allows
20+ yard receptions allowed to WRs2.016.7%1.3
56th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.017 games (2025) · 34 totalvs per completion · 31st pct · T-22 of 32season 2.0 (56th)17 games19th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.13 games (2026) · 4 totalneutralT-14/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-24/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
30+ yard receptions allowed to WRs0.97.8%0.7
73rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.817 games (2025) · 16 totalvs per completion · 71st pct · 10 of 32season 0.9 (73rd)17 games32nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.93 games (2026) · 2 totalsupports OVERT-8/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-21/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
40+ yard receptions allowed to WRs0.22.0%0.7
26th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.317 games (2025) · 4 totalvs per completion · 24th pct · T-23 of 32season 0.2 (26th)17 games76th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.43 games (2026) · 2 totalsupports UNDERT-22/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-4/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
yards after catch allowed to WRs40.93.453.3
29th percentile for most allowedleague avg 45.517 games (2025) · 695 totalvs per reception · 6th pct · 30 of 32season 40.9 (29th)17 games81st percentile for most allowedleague avg 45.03 games (2026) · 160 totalsupports UNDER23/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER7/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
air yards faced255.97.7250.0
71st percentile for most facedleague avg 239.817 games (2025) · 4351 totalvs per target · 45th pct · 18 of 32season 255.9 (71st)17 games48th percentile for most facedleague avg 248.73 games (2026) · 750 totalsupports OVER10/32 NFL defencesneutral17/32 NFL defencesneutral
Jaylen Waddle Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game4.003.20
SZN
80th percentile for mostleague avg 2.8916 games (2025)vs last 5 · 64th pctseason 4.00 (80th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
yards per catch14.1610.33
SZN
71st percentile for mostleague avg 12.9015 games (2025)vs last 5 · 22nd pctseason 14.16 (71st)5 gamessupports OVERsupports UNDER
air yards per target13.1111.73
SZN
74th percentile for mostleague avg 11.2016 games (2025)vs last 5 · 53rd pctseason 13.11 (74th)5 gamessupports OVERneutral
20+ yard catches per game0.880.80
SZN
80th percentile for mostleague avg 0.5316 games (2025)vs last 5 · 78th pctseason 0.88 (80th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
21.5line
OVER+100theScore Betat 21.5
UNDER-120Fliffat 21.5

Receiving Yards

34 games logged
line56.5

SF · what this defence allows
receiving yards allowed to WRs149.112.4132.7
68th percentile for most allowedleague avg 139.617 games (2025) · 2534 totalvs per reception · 42nd pct · 19 of 32season 149.1 (68th)17 games32nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 148.33 games (2026) · 398 totalsupports OVER11/32 NFL defencesneutral22/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
receptions allowed to WRs12.066.9%10.7
74th percentile for most allowedleague avg 11.017 games (2025) · 204 totalvs per target · 87th pct · 5 of 32season 12.0 (74th)17 games48th percentile for most allowedleague avg 11.33 games (2026) · 32 totalsupports OVER9/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-15/32 NFL defencesneutral
receiving yards allowed241.810.3215.0
71st percentile for most allowedleague avg 225.017 games (2025) · 4110 totalvs per reception · 19th pct · 26 of 32season 241.8 (71st)17 games32nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 231.33 games (2026) · 645 totalsupports OVER10/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER22/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
yards after catch allowed to WRs40.93.453.3
29th percentile for most allowedleague avg 45.517 games (2025) · 695 totalvs per reception · 6th pct · 30 of 32season 40.9 (29th)17 games81st percentile for most allowedleague avg 45.03 games (2026) · 160 totalsupports UNDER23/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER7/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
Jaylen Waddle Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game4.003.20
SZN
80th percentile for mostleague avg 2.8916 games (2025)vs last 5 · 64th pctseason 4.00 (80th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
targets per game6.256.00
SZN
76th percentile for mostleague avg 4.6816 games (2025)vs last 5 · 72nd pctseason 6.25 (76th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
target share23.2%20.5%
SZN
86th percentile for mostleague avg 15.1%16 games (2025)vs last 5 · 78th pctseason 23.2% (86th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
snap share77.6%61.0%
SZN
74th percentile for mostleague avg 61.6%16 games (2025)vs last 5 · 52nd pctseason 77.6% (74th)5 gamessupports OVERneutral
56.5line
OVER-114BetOnline.agat 56.5
UNDER-114BetOnline.agat 56.5

Receptions

34 games logged
line4.5

SF · what this defence allows
receptions allowed to WRs12.066.9%10.7
74th percentile for most allowedleague avg 11.017 games (2025) · 204 totalvs per target · 87th pct · 5 of 32season 12.0 (74th)17 games48th percentile for most allowedleague avg 11.33 games (2026) · 32 totalsupports OVER9/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-15/32 NFL defencesneutral
targets allowed to WRs17.917.917.7
55th percentile for most allowedleague avg 17.817 games (2025) · 305 totalseason 17.9no per-play form for this stat44th percentile for most allowedleague avg 18.23 games (2026) · 53 totalneutral15/32 NFL defencesseason onlyT-18/32 NFL defencesneutral
receptions allowed23.423.423.0
97th percentile for most allowedleague avg 20.617 games (2025) · 398 totalseason 23.4no per-play form for this stat79th percentile for most allowedleague avg 20.93 games (2026) · 69 totalsupports OVER2/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-7/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
Jaylen Waddle Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game4.003.20
SZN
80th percentile for mostleague avg 2.8916 games (2025)vs last 5 · 64th pctseason 4.00 (80th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
targets per game6.256.00
SZN
76th percentile for mostleague avg 4.6816 games (2025)vs last 5 · 72nd pctseason 6.25 (76th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
target share23.2%20.5%
SZN
86th percentile for mostleague avg 15.1%16 games (2025)vs last 5 · 78th pctseason 23.2% (86th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
snap share77.6%61.0%
SZN
74th percentile for mostleague avg 61.6%16 games (2025)vs last 5 · 52nd pctseason 77.6% (74th)5 gamessupports OVERneutral
4.5line
OVER+118betPARXat 4.5
UNDER-127DraftKingsat 4.5

Rush + Rec Yards

34 games logged
line59.5

SF · what this defence allows
receiving yards allowed to WRs149.112.4132.7
68th percentile for most allowedleague avg 139.617 games (2025) · 2534 totalvs per reception · 42nd pct · 19 of 32season 149.1 (68th)17 games32nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 148.33 games (2026) · 398 totalsupports OVER11/32 NFL defencesneutral22/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
rushing yards allowed to WRs1.53.61.3
19th percentile for most allowedleague avg 3.717 games (2025) · 25 totalvs per carry · 26th pct · 24 of 32season 1.5 (19th)17 games50th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.43 games (2026) · 4 totalsupports UNDER26/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-16/32 NFL defencesneutral
receiving yards allowed241.810.3215.0
71st percentile for most allowedleague avg 225.017 games (2025) · 4110 totalvs per reception · 19th pct · 26 of 32season 241.8 (71st)17 games32nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 231.33 games (2026) · 645 totalsupports OVER10/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER22/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
yards after catch allowed to WRs40.93.453.3
29th percentile for most allowedleague avg 45.517 games (2025) · 695 totalvs per reception · 6th pct · 30 of 32season 40.9 (29th)17 games81st percentile for most allowedleague avg 45.03 games (2026) · 160 totalsupports UNDER23/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER7/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
Jaylen Waddle Breakdown · his own data
touches per game4.123.60
no comparison available
16 games (2025)vs last 5season 4.125 gamesneutralneutral
targets per game6.256.00
SZN
76th percentile for mostleague avg 4.6816 games (2025)vs last 5 · 72nd pctseason 6.25 (76th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
snap share77.6%61.0%
SZN
74th percentile for mostleague avg 61.6%16 games (2025)vs last 5 · 52nd pctseason 77.6% (74th)5 gamessupports OVERneutral
59.5line
OVER-115bet365at 59.5
UNDER-115bet365at 59.5

odds snapshot · pulled 10:03 AM EDT on Thu, Oct 1 · not live pricing