Base market snapshot from 10:03 AM EDT on Thu, Oct 1. bet365 refreshed separately at 1:31 PM EDT. Check your book before acting on anything here.
Jaylin Noel
HOUDallas Cowboys @ Houston TexansSun 1:00 PM
Noel on the fieldred zone touches per game 0.29red zone targets per game 0.36receptions per game 1.86
Anytime TD
19 games loggedline0.5
red zone touches
DAL · what this defence allows
TDs allowed to WRs1.51.51.0
100th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.917 games (2025) · 26 totalseason 1.5no per-play form for this stat58th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.93 games (2026) · 3 totalsupports OVER1/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-10/32 NFL defencesneutral
red zone targets allowed to WRs2.92.93.3
84th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.417 games (2025) · 50 totalseason 2.9no per-play form for this stat82nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.53 games (2026) · 10 totalsupports OVER6/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-5/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
touchdowns allowed3.53.53.3
100th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.417 games (2025) · 59 totalseason 3.5no per-play form for this stat79th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.53 games (2026) · 10 totalsupports OVER1/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-6/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
Jaylin Noel Breakdown · his own data
red zone touches per game0.290.20
SZN47th percentile for mostleague avg 0.3614 games (2025)vs last 5 · 29th pctseason 0.29 (47th)5 gamesneutralsupports UNDER
red zone targets per game0.360.00
SZN29th percentile for mostleague avg 0.6314 games (2025)vs last 5 · 1st pctseason 0.36 (29th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
receptions per game1.861.80
SZN34th percentile for mostleague avg 2.8914 games (2025)vs last 5 · 28th pctseason 1.86 (34th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
0.5line
OVER+650Courtsideat 0.5
Longest Reception
19 games loggedline8.5
targets
DAL · what this defence allows
20+ yard receptions allowed to WRs2.621.4%2.0
94th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.017 games (2025) · 44 totalvs per completion · 87th pct · 5 of 32season 2.6 (94th)17 games52nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.13 games (2026) · 6 totalsupports OVER3/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-14/32 NFL defencesneutral
30+ yard receptions allowed to WRs1.19.2%0.3
92nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.817 games (2025) · 19 totalvs per completion · 81st pct · 7 of 32season 1.1 (92nd)17 games13th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.93 games (2026) · 1 totalsupports OVERT-3/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-24/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
40+ yard receptions allowed to WRs0.86.3%0.0
100th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.317 games (2025) · 13 totalvs per completion · 100th pct · 1 of 32season 0.8 (100th)17 games8th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.43 games (2026) · 0 totalsupports OVER1/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-27/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
yards after catch allowed to WRs58.74.837.3
97th percentile for most allowedleague avg 45.517 games (2025) · 998 totalvs per reception · 90th pct · 4 of 32season 58.7 (97th)17 games16th percentile for most allowedleague avg 45.03 games (2026) · 112 totalsupports OVER2/32 NFL defencessupports OVER27/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
air yards faced246.28.1262.3
65th percentile for most facedleague avg 239.817 games (2025) · 4185 totalvs per target · 74th pct · 9 of 32season 246.2 (65th)17 games58th percentile for most facedleague avg 248.73 games (2026) · 787 totalsupports OVER12/32 NFL defencessupports OVER14/32 NFL defencesneutral
Jaylin Noel Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game1.861.80
SZN34th percentile for mostleague avg 2.8914 games (2025)vs last 5 · 28th pctseason 1.86 (34th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
yards per catch9.0919.40
SZN10th percentile for mostleague avg 12.9012 games (2025)vs last 5 · 95th pctseason 9.09 (10th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports OVER
air yards per target4.8410.41
SZN5th percentile for mostleague avg 11.2013 games (2025)vs last 5 · 43rd pctseason 4.84 (5th)5 gamessupports UNDERneutral
20+ yard catches per game0.430.60
SZN50th percentile for mostleague avg 0.5314 games (2025)vs last 5 · 66th pctseason 0.43 (50th)5 gamesneutralsupports OVER
8.5line
OVER-115bet365at 8.5
UNDER-115bet365at 8.5
19.5line
OVER+300bet365at 19.5
29.5line
OVER+750bet365at 29.5
39.5line
OVER+1100bet365at 39.5
Receiving Yards
19 games loggedline11.5
receptions
DAL · what this defence allows
receiving yards allowed to WRs171.014.1129.3
100th percentile for most allowedleague avg 139.617 games (2025) · 2907 totalvs per reception · 97th pct · 2 of 32season 171.0 (100th)17 games29th percentile for most allowedleague avg 148.33 games (2026) · 388 totalsupports OVER1/32 NFL defencessupports OVER23/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
receptions allowed to WRs12.167.8%10.7
82nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 11.017 games (2025) · 206 totalvs per target · 97th pct · 2 of 32season 12.1 (82nd)17 games48th percentile for most allowedleague avg 11.33 games (2026) · 32 totalsupports OVERT-6/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-15/32 NFL defencesneutral
receiving yards allowed265.911.9207.7
100th percentile for most allowedleague avg 225.017 games (2025) · 4521 totalvs per reception · 90th pct · 4 of 32season 265.9 (100th)17 games26th percentile for most allowedleague avg 231.33 games (2026) · 623 totalsupports OVER1/32 NFL defencessupports OVER24/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
yards after catch allowed to WRs58.74.837.3
97th percentile for most allowedleague avg 45.517 games (2025) · 998 totalvs per reception · 90th pct · 4 of 32season 58.7 (97th)17 games16th percentile for most allowedleague avg 45.03 games (2026) · 112 totalsupports OVER2/32 NFL defencessupports OVER27/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
Jaylin Noel Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game1.861.80
SZN34th percentile for mostleague avg 2.8914 games (2025)vs last 5 · 28th pctseason 1.86 (34th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
targets per game2.502.80
SZN17th percentile for mostleague avg 4.6814 games (2025)vs last 5 · 24th pctseason 2.50 (17th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
target share7.3%8.5%
SZN13th percentile for mostleague avg 15.1%14 games (2025)vs last 5 · 21st pctseason 7.3% (13th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
snap share27.2%31.4%
SZN1st percentile for mostleague avg 61.6%14 games (2025)vs last 5 · 5th pctseason 27.2% (1st)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
9.5line
OVER-115bet365at 9.5
UNDER+105theScore Betat 9.5
11.5line
OVER-111DraftKingsat 11.5
UNDER-113DraftKingsat 11.5
19.5line
OVER+190bet365at 19.5
29.5line
OVER+350bet365at 29.5
39.5line
OVER+550bet365at 39.5
49.5line
OVER+800bet365at 49.5
59.5line
OVER+1100bet365at 59.5
Receptions
19 games loggedline1.5
targets
DAL · what this defence allows
receptions allowed to WRs12.167.8%10.7
82nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 11.017 games (2025) · 206 totalvs per target · 97th pct · 2 of 32season 12.1 (82nd)17 games48th percentile for most allowedleague avg 11.33 games (2026) · 32 totalsupports OVERT-6/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-15/32 NFL defencesneutral
targets allowed to WRs17.917.917.0
52nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 17.817 games (2025) · 304 totalseason 17.9no per-play form for this stat34th percentile for most allowedleague avg 18.23 games (2026) · 51 totalneutral16/32 NFL defencesseason onlyT-21/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
receptions allowed22.422.420.3
84th percentile for most allowedleague avg 20.617 games (2025) · 381 totalseason 22.4no per-play form for this stat50th percentile for most allowedleague avg 20.93 games (2026) · 61 totalsupports OVER6/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-16/32 NFL defencesneutral
Jaylin Noel Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game1.861.80
SZN34th percentile for mostleague avg 2.8914 games (2025)vs last 5 · 28th pctseason 1.86 (34th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
targets per game2.502.80
SZN17th percentile for mostleague avg 4.6814 games (2025)vs last 5 · 24th pctseason 2.50 (17th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
target share7.3%8.5%
SZN13th percentile for mostleague avg 15.1%14 games (2025)vs last 5 · 21st pctseason 7.3% (13th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
snap share27.2%31.4%
SZN1st percentile for mostleague avg 61.6%14 games (2025)vs last 5 · 5th pctseason 27.2% (1st)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
0.5line
OVER-300bet365at 0.5
1.5line
OVER+170bet365at 1.5
UNDER-194DraftKingsat 1.5
2.5line
OVER+475bet365at 2.5
3.5line
OVER+900bet365at 3.5
Rush + Rec Yards
19 games loggedline11.5
touches
DAL · what this defence allows
receiving yards allowed to WRs171.014.1129.3
100th percentile for most allowedleague avg 139.617 games (2025) · 2907 totalvs per reception · 97th pct · 2 of 32season 171.0 (100th)17 games29th percentile for most allowedleague avg 148.33 games (2026) · 388 totalsupports OVER1/32 NFL defencessupports OVER23/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
rushing yards allowed to WRs6.85.86.7
89th percentile for most allowedleague avg 3.717 games (2025) · 116 totalvs per carry · 58th pct · 14 of 32season 6.8 (89th)17 games90th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.43 games (2026) · 20 totalsupports OVERT-4/32 NFL defencesneutral4/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
receiving yards allowed265.911.9207.7
100th percentile for most allowedleague avg 225.017 games (2025) · 4521 totalvs per reception · 90th pct · 4 of 32season 265.9 (100th)17 games26th percentile for most allowedleague avg 231.33 games (2026) · 623 totalsupports OVER1/32 NFL defencessupports OVER24/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
yards after catch allowed to WRs58.74.837.3
97th percentile for most allowedleague avg 45.517 games (2025) · 998 totalvs per reception · 90th pct · 4 of 32season 58.7 (97th)17 games16th percentile for most allowedleague avg 45.03 games (2026) · 112 totalsupports OVER2/32 NFL defencessupports OVER27/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
Jaylin Noel Breakdown · his own data
touches per game2.292.40
no comparison available14 games (2025)vs last 5season 2.295 gamesneutralneutral
targets per game2.502.80
SZN17th percentile for mostleague avg 4.6814 games (2025)vs last 5 · 24th pctseason 2.50 (17th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
snap share27.2%31.4%
SZN1st percentile for mostleague avg 61.6%14 games (2025)vs last 5 · 5th pctseason 27.2% (1st)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
11.5line
OVER-115bet365at 11.5
UNDER-115bet365at 11.5
49.5line
OVER+750bet365at 49.5
odds snapshot · pulled 10:03 AM EDT on Thu, Oct 1 · not live pricing