These are the prices from a snapshot taken at 12:05 PM EDT on Sun, Oct 4. Nothing has been re-pulled since. Check your book before acting on anything here.
Jeremy Ruckert
NYJNew York Jets @ Chicago BearsSun 1:00 PM
Ruckert on the fieldred zone touches per game 0.08red zone targets per game 0.23receptions per game 1.77
Anytime TD
29 games loggedline0.5
red zone touches
CHI · what this defence allows
TDs allowed to TEs0.30.30.0
39th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.417 games (2025) · 6 totalseason 0.3no per-play form for this stat11th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.63 games (2026) · 0 totalsupports UNDERT-15/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-25/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
red zone targets allowed to TEs1.11.11.0
32nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 1.217 games (2025) · 18 totalseason 1.1no per-play form for this stat35th percentile for most allowedleague avg 1.23 games (2026) · 3 totalsupports UNDERT-20/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-17/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
touchdowns allowed2.82.82.0
77th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.417 games (2025) · 47 totalseason 2.8no per-play form for this stat32nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.53 games (2026) · 6 totalsupports OVERT-7/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-20/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
Jeremy Ruckert Breakdown · his own data
red zone touches per game0.080.40
SZN10th percentile for mostleague avg 0.4013 games (2025)vs last 5 · 54th pctseason 0.08 (10th)5 gamessupports UNDERneutral
red zone targets per game0.230.60
SZN17th percentile for mostleague avg 0.5913 games (2025)vs last 5 · 57th pctseason 0.23 (17th)5 gamessupports UNDERneutral
receptions per game1.772.20
SZN37th percentile for mostleague avg 2.5513 games (2025)vs last 5 · 47th pctseason 1.77 (37th)5 gamessupports UNDERneutral
0.5line
OVER+950Courtsideat 0.5
Longest Reception
29 games loggedline10.5
targets
CHI · what this defence allows
20+ yard receptions allowed to TEs0.711.5%0.3
68th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.617 games (2025) · 11 totalvs per completion · 61st pct · 13 of 32season 0.7 (68th)17 games50th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.53 games (2026) · 1 totalsupports OVERT-9/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-12/32 NFL defencesneutral
30+ yard receptions allowed to TEs0.11.0%0.0
21st percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.217 games (2025) · 1 totalvs per completion · 10th pct · T-28 of 32season 0.1 (21st)17 games35th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.23 games (2026) · 0 totalsupports UNDERT-20/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-10/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
40+ yard receptions allowed (all positions)0.52.5%0.7
77th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.417 games (2025) · 9 totalvs per completion · 76th pct · T-7 of 32season 0.5 (77th)17 games61st percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.63 games (2026) · 2 totalsupports OVERT-6/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-8/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
yards after catch allowed to TEs23.14.125.0
39th percentile for most allowedleague avg 25.817 games (2025) · 392 totalvs per reception · 19th pct · 26 of 32season 23.1 (39th)17 games45th percentile for most allowedleague avg 26.93 games (2026) · 75 totalsupports UNDER20/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-17/32 NFL defencesneutral
air yards faced243.38.2219.0
61st percentile for most facedleague avg 239.817 games (2025) · 4136 totalvs per target · 81st pct · 7 of 32season 243.3 (61st)17 games39th percentile for most facedleague avg 249.83 games (2026) · 657 totalsupports OVER13/32 NFL defencessupports OVER20/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
Jeremy Ruckert Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game1.772.20
SZN37th percentile for mostleague avg 2.5513 games (2025)vs last 5 · 47th pctseason 1.77 (37th)5 gamessupports UNDERneutral
yards per catch8.654.66
SZN30th percentile for mostleague avg 10.1112 games (2025)vs last 5 · 1st pctseason 8.65 (30th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
air yards per target3.330.93
SZN12th percentile for mostleague avg 5.8713 games (2025)vs last 5 · 5th pctseason 3.33 (12th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
20+ yard catches per game0.080.00
SZN19th percentile for mostleague avg 0.3113 games (2025)vs last 5 · 6th pctseason 0.08 (19th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
9.5line
OVER-120Bovadaat 9.5
UNDER-108DraftKingsat 9.5
10.5line
OVER-110Hard Rock Betat 10.5
UNDER-115bet365at 10.5
19.5line
OVER+350bet365at 19.5
29.5line
OVER+850bet365at 29.5
Receiving Yards
29 games loggedline16.5
receptions
CHI · what this defence allows
receiving yards allowed to TEs50.89.042.7
39th percentile for most allowedleague avg 53.317 games (2025) · 864 totalvs per reception · 13th pct · 28 of 32season 50.8 (39th)17 games35th percentile for most allowedleague avg 52.23 games (2026) · 128 totalsupports UNDER20/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER21/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
receptions allowed to TEs5.776.8%4.0
68th percentile for most allowedleague avg 5.317 games (2025) · 96 totalvs per target · 94th pct · 3 of 32season 5.7 (68th)17 games24th percentile for most allowedleague avg 5.23 games (2026) · 12 totalsupports OVER11/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-24/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
receiving yards allowed239.211.5219.0
68th percentile for most allowedleague avg 225.017 games (2025) · 4067 totalvs per reception · 84th pct · 6 of 32season 239.2 (68th)17 games35th percentile for most allowedleague avg 232.23 games (2026) · 657 totalsupports OVER11/32 NFL defencessupports OVER21/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
yards after catch allowed to TEs23.14.125.0
39th percentile for most allowedleague avg 25.817 games (2025) · 392 totalvs per reception · 19th pct · 26 of 32season 23.1 (39th)17 games45th percentile for most allowedleague avg 26.93 games (2026) · 75 totalsupports UNDER20/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-17/32 NFL defencesneutral
Jeremy Ruckert Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game1.772.20
SZN37th percentile for mostleague avg 2.5513 games (2025)vs last 5 · 47th pctseason 1.77 (37th)5 gamessupports UNDERneutral
targets per game2.232.80
SZN35th percentile for mostleague avg 3.5113 games (2025)vs last 5 · 43rd pctseason 2.23 (35th)5 gamessupports UNDERneutral
target share7.8%8.3%
SZN37th percentile for mostleague avg 11.5%13 games (2025)vs last 5 · 40th pctseason 7.8% (37th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
snap share48.3%49.4%
SZN36th percentile for mostleague avg 57.4%13 games (2025)vs last 5 · 37th pctseason 48.3% (36th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
14.5line
OVER-116DraftKingsat 14.5
UNDER-109DraftKingsat 14.5
16.5line
OVER-110Hard Rock Betat 16.5
UNDER-113FanDuelat 16.5
17.5line
OVER-112betPARXat 17.5
UNDER-110bet365at 17.5
19.5line
OVER-105bet365at 19.5
29.5line
OVER+210bet365at 29.5
39.5line
OVER+400bet365at 39.5
49.5line
OVER+650bet365at 49.5
59.5line
OVER+900bet365at 59.5
69.5line
OVER+1200bet365at 69.5
Receptions
29 games loggedline2.5
targets
CHI · what this defence allows
receptions allowed to TEs5.776.8%4.0
68th percentile for most allowedleague avg 5.317 games (2025) · 96 totalvs per target · 94th pct · 3 of 32season 5.7 (68th)17 games24th percentile for most allowedleague avg 5.23 games (2026) · 12 totalsupports OVER11/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-24/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
targets allowed to TEs7.37.35.7
53rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 7.317 games (2025) · 125 totalseason 7.3no per-play form for this stat19th percentile for most allowedleague avg 7.23 games (2026) · 17 totalneutralT-15/32 NFL defencesseason onlyT-25/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
receptions allowed20.920.916.7
55th percentile for most allowedleague avg 20.617 games (2025) · 355 totalseason 20.9no per-play form for this stat0th percentile for most allowedleague avg 21.03 games (2026) · 50 totalneutral15/32 NFL defencesseason only32/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
Jeremy Ruckert Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game1.772.20
SZN37th percentile for mostleague avg 2.5513 games (2025)vs last 5 · 47th pctseason 1.77 (37th)5 gamessupports UNDERneutral
targets per game2.232.80
SZN35th percentile for mostleague avg 3.5113 games (2025)vs last 5 · 43rd pctseason 2.23 (35th)5 gamessupports UNDERneutral
target share7.8%8.3%
SZN37th percentile for mostleague avg 11.5%13 games (2025)vs last 5 · 40th pctseason 7.8% (37th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
snap share48.3%49.4%
SZN36th percentile for mostleague avg 57.4%13 games (2025)vs last 5 · 37th pctseason 48.3% (36th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
0.5line
OVER-2500bet365at 0.5
1.5line
OVER-300bet365at 1.5
2.5line
OVER+147DraftKingsat 2.5
UNDER-145bet365at 2.5
3.5line
OVER+275bet365at 3.5
4.5line
OVER+550bet365at 4.5
5.5line
OVER+1000bet365at 5.5
odds snapshot · pulled 12:05 PM EDT on Sun, Oct 4 · not live pricing