Base market snapshot from 12:05 PM EDT on Thu, Oct 1. bet365 refreshed separately at 2:27 PM EDT. Check your book before acting on anything here.
JJ Buchanan
MICHMichigan Wolverines @ Minnesota Golden GophersSat 12:00 PM
Buchanan on the fieldreceptions per game 2.20
Anytime TD
14 games loggedline0.5
touches
MINN · what this defence allows
TDs allowed to WRs0.60.61.3
45th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.711 games (2025) · 7 totalseason 0.6no per-play form for this stat63rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 1.13 games (2026) · 4 totalneutralT-72/141 FBS defencesseason onlyT-37/123 FBS defencessupports OVER
receptions allowed to WRs8.68.614.0
74th percentile for most allowedleague avg 7.411 games (2025) · 94 totalseason 8.6no per-play form for this stat73rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 12.03 games (2026) · 42 totalsupports OVER38/141 FBS defencessupports OVERT-32/123 FBS defencessupports OVER
touchdowns allowed2.92.93.0
43rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 3.111 games (2025) · 32 totalseason 2.9no per-play form for this stat45th percentile for most allowedleague avg 3.13 games (2026) · 9 totalneutralT-78/141 FBS defencesseason onlyT-62/123 FBS defencesneutral
JJ Buchanan Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game2.204.40
SZN37th percentile for mostleague avg 2.8610 games (2025)vs last 5 · 85th pctseason 2.20 (37th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports OVER
0.5line
OVER+160Bovadaat 0.5
Receiving Yards
14 games loggedline70.5
receptions
MINN · what this defence allows
receiving yards allowed238.711.7213.0
71st percentile for most allowedleague avg 223.111 games (2025) · 2626 totalvs per reception · 51st pct · 69 of 141season 238.7 (71st)11 games34th percentile for most allowedleague avg 226.53 games (2026) · 639 totalsupports OVERT-41/141 FBS defencesneutralT-81/123 FBS defencessupports UNDER
receptions allowed20.420.418.3
72nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 19.011 games (2025) · 224 totalseason 20.4no per-play form for this stat43rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 19.23 games (2026) · 55 totalsupports OVERT-39/141 FBS defencessupports OVERT-69/123 FBS defencesneutral
JJ Buchanan Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game2.204.40
SZN37th percentile for mostleague avg 2.8610 games (2025)vs last 5 · 85th pctseason 2.20 (37th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports OVER
19.5line
OVER-2198bet365at 19.5
29.5line
OVER-950bet365at 29.5
39.5line
OVER-500bet365at 39.5
49.5line
OVER-280bet365at 49.5
59.5line
OVER-180bet365at 59.5
65.5line
OVER-140theScore Betat 65.5
UNDER+110theScore Betat 65.5
69.5line
OVER-115bet365at 69.5
70.5line
OVER-114BetOnline.agat 70.5
UNDER-114BetOnline.agat 70.5
79.5line
OVER+125bet365at 79.5
89.5line
OVER+175bet365at 89.5
99.5line
OVER+250bet365at 99.5
109.5line
OVER+350bet365at 109.5
119.5line
OVER+450bet365at 119.5
129.5line
OVER+625bet365at 129.5
139.5line
OVER+800bet365at 139.5
149.5line
OVER+950bet365at 149.5
Receptions
14 games loggedline4.5
receiving yards
MINN · what this defence allows
completions allowed20.468.5%18.3
72nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 19.011 games (2025) · 224 totalvs per attempt · 96th pct · 7 of 141season 20.4 (72nd)11 games43rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 19.23 games (2026) · 55 totalsupports OVERT-39/141 FBS defencessupports OVERT-69/123 FBS defencesneutral
JJ Buchanan Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game2.204.40
SZN37th percentile for mostleague avg 2.8610 games (2025)vs last 5 · 85th pctseason 2.20 (37th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports OVER
4.5line
OVER-155bet365at 4.5
UNDER+122bet365at 4.5
5.5line
OVER+126BetOnline.agat 5.5
UNDER-164BetOnline.agat 5.5
odds snapshot · pulled 12:05 PM EDT on Thu, Oct 1 · not live pricing