Base market snapshot from 10:03 AM EDT on Thu, Oct 1. bet365 refreshed separately at 2:26 PM EDT. Check your book before acting on anything here.
J.K. Dobbins
DENDenver Broncos @ San Francisco 49ersSun 4:25 PM
Dobbins on the fieldred zone touches per game 2.00red zone targets per game 0.00carries per game 15.30
Anytime TD
27 games loggedline0.5
red zone touches
SF · what this defence allows
TDs allowed to RBs0.90.90.7
56th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.917 games (2025) · 15 totalseason 0.9no per-play form for this stat50th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.83 games (2026) · 2 totalneutralT-13/32 NFL defencesseason onlyT-13/32 NFL defencesneutral
red zone carries allowed to RBs3.23.26.0
21st percentile for most allowedleague avg 3.817 games (2025) · 55 totalseason 3.2no per-play form for this stat87th percentile for most allowedleague avg 3.93 games (2026) · 18 totalsupports UNDERT-25/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER5/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
touchdowns allowed2.52.51.7
58th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.417 games (2025) · 42 totalseason 2.5no per-play form for this stat16th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.53 games (2026) · 5 totalneutral14/32 NFL defencesseason onlyT-24/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
J.K. Dobbins Breakdown · his own data
red zone touches per game2.001.40
SZN43rd percentile for mostleague avg 2.1910 games (2025)vs last 5 · 20th pctseason 2.00 (43rd)5 gamesneutralsupports UNDER
red zone targets per game0.000.00
SZN2nd percentile for mostleague avg 0.3610 games (2025)vs last 5 · 2nd pctseason 0.00 (2nd)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
carries per game15.3013.60
SZN81st percentile for mostleague avg 10.9410 games (2025)vs last 5 · 63rd pctseason 15.30 (81st)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
receptions per game1.100.60
SZN18th percentile for mostleague avg 2.1510 games (2025)vs last 5 · 5th pctseason 1.10 (18th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
0.5line
OVER+120FanDuelat 0.5
Longest Reception
27 games loggedline4.5
targets
SF · what this defence allows
20+ yard receptions allowed to RBs0.12.1%0.0
13th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.317 games (2025) · 2 totalvs per completion · 6th pct · 30 of 32season 0.1 (13th)17 games23rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.23 games (2026) · 0 totalsupports UNDERT-26/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-18/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
30+ yard receptions allowed to RBs0.11.1%0.0
35th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.117 games (2025) · 1 totalvs per completion · 23rd pct · 25 of 32season 0.1 (35th)17 games40th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.13 games (2026) · 0 totalsupports UNDERT-17/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-7/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
40+ yard receptions allowed (all positions)0.31.3%0.7
19th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.417 games (2025) · 5 totalvs per completion · 16th pct · T-26 of 32season 0.3 (19th)17 games65th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.63 games (2026) · 2 totalsupports UNDERT-24/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-7/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
yards after catch allowed to RBs40.07.229.3
84th percentile for most allowedleague avg 34.317 games (2025) · 680 totalvs per reception · 34th pct · T-21 of 32season 40.0 (84th)17 games34th percentile for most allowedleague avg 32.63 games (2026) · 88 totalsupports OVER6/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-21/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
air yards faced255.97.7250.0
71st percentile for most facedleague avg 239.817 games (2025) · 4351 totalvs per target · 45th pct · 18 of 32season 255.9 (71st)17 games48th percentile for most facedleague avg 248.73 games (2026) · 750 totalsupports OVER10/32 NFL defencesneutral17/32 NFL defencesneutral
J.K. Dobbins Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game1.100.60
SZN18th percentile for mostleague avg 2.1510 games (2025)vs last 5 · 5th pctseason 1.10 (18th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
yards per catch3.282.60
SZN2nd percentile for mostleague avg 7.599 games (2025)vs last 5 · 0th pctseason 3.28 (2nd)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
air yards per target-2.20-1.10
SZN9th percentile for mostleague avg -0.1310 games (2025)vs last 5 · 32nd pctseason -2.20 (9th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
20+ yard catches per game0.000.00
SZN8th percentile for mostleague avg 0.1510 games (2025)vs last 5 · 8th pctseason 0.00 (8th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
4.5line
OVER-110bet365at 4.5
UNDER-120bet365at 4.5
19.5line
OVER+800bet365at 19.5
Longest Rush
27 games loggedline14.5
carries
SF · what this defence allows
10+ yard rushes allowed to RBs1.99.3%1.0
29th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.217 games (2025) · 33 totalvs per carry · 34th pct · T-21 of 32season 1.9 (29th)17 games13th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.03 games (2026) · 3 totalsupports UNDER23/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-26/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
20+ yard rushes allowed to RBs0.62.8%0.0
73rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.517 games (2025) · 10 totalvs per carry · 79th pct · T-7 of 32season 0.6 (73rd)17 games19th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.33 games (2026) · 0 totalsupports OVERT-8/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-20/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
yards per carry allowed to RBs4.54.54.0
68th percentile for most allowedleague avg 4.317 games (2025)vs per carry · 68th pct · 11 of 32season 4.5 (68th)17 games42nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 4.13 games (2026)supports OVER11/32 NFL defencessupports OVER19/32 NFL defencesneutral
RB carries stuffed at the line3.617.2%4.0
40th percentile for most stuffsleague avg 3.817 games (2025) · 61 totalvs per carry · 47th pct · T-17 of 32season 3.6 (40th)17 games61st percentile for most stuffsleague avg 3.83 games (2026) · 12 totalsupports OVERT-19/32 NFL defencesneutralT-12/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
J.K. Dobbins Breakdown · his own data
carries per game15.3013.60
SZN81st percentile for mostleague avg 10.9410 games (2025)vs last 5 · 63rd pctseason 15.30 (81st)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
yards per carry5.163.87
SZN90th percentile for mostleague avg 4.2310 games (2025)vs last 5 · 29th pctseason 5.16 (90th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports UNDER
10+ yard runs per game2.100.80
SZN91st percentile for mostleague avg 1.1310 games (2025)vs last 5 · 31st pctseason 2.10 (91st)5 gamessupports OVERsupports UNDER
snap share51.1%44.8%
SZN52nd percentile for mostleague avg 51.1%10 games (2025)vs last 5 · 34th pctseason 51.1% (52nd)5 gamesneutralsupports UNDER
9.5line
OVER-400bet365at 9.5
13.5line
OVER-120bet365at 13.5
UNDER-110bet365at 13.5
14.5line
OVER-118DraftKingsat 14.5
UNDER-110DraftKingsat 14.5
19.5line
OVER+210bet365at 19.5
29.5line
OVER+550bet365at 29.5
39.5line
OVER+850bet365at 39.5
49.5line
OVER+1150bet365at 49.5
Receiving Yards
27 games loggedline4.5
receptions
SF · what this defence allows
receiving yards allowed to RBs35.26.431.7
71st percentile for most allowedleague avg 31.617 games (2025) · 598 totalvs per reception · 19th pct · 26 of 32season 35.2 (71st)17 games52nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 30.43 games (2026) · 95 totalsupports OVER10/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER16/32 NFL defencesneutral
receptions allowed to RBs5.583.2%5.7
95th percentile for most allowedleague avg 4.317 games (2025) · 94 totalvs per target · 90th pct · 4 of 32season 5.5 (95th)17 games87th percentile for most allowedleague avg 4.43 games (2026) · 17 totalsupports OVERT-2/32 NFL defencessupports OVER5/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
receiving yards allowed241.810.3215.0
71st percentile for most allowedleague avg 225.017 games (2025) · 4110 totalvs per reception · 19th pct · 26 of 32season 241.8 (71st)17 games32nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 231.33 games (2026) · 645 totalsupports OVER10/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER22/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
yards after catch allowed to RBs40.07.229.3
84th percentile for most allowedleague avg 34.317 games (2025) · 680 totalvs per reception · 34th pct · T-21 of 32season 40.0 (84th)17 games34th percentile for most allowedleague avg 32.63 games (2026) · 88 totalsupports OVER6/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-21/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
J.K. Dobbins Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game1.100.60
SZN18th percentile for mostleague avg 2.1510 games (2025)vs last 5 · 5th pctseason 1.10 (18th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
targets per game1.400.80
SZN16th percentile for mostleague avg 2.7210 games (2025)vs last 5 · 3rd pctseason 1.40 (16th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
target share4.5%2.5%
SZN16th percentile for mostleague avg 8.9%10 games (2025)vs last 5 · 3rd pctseason 4.5% (16th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
snap share51.1%44.8%
SZN52nd percentile for mostleague avg 51.1%10 games (2025)vs last 5 · 34th pctseason 51.1% (52nd)5 gamesneutralsupports UNDER
4.5line
OVER-110bet365at 4.5
UNDER-120bet365at 4.5
19.5line
OVER+500bet365at 19.5
29.5line
OVER+850bet365at 29.5
Receptions
27 games loggedline1.5
targets
SF · what this defence allows
receptions allowed to RBs5.583.2%5.7
95th percentile for most allowedleague avg 4.317 games (2025) · 94 totalvs per target · 90th pct · 4 of 32season 5.5 (95th)17 games87th percentile for most allowedleague avg 4.43 games (2026) · 17 totalsupports OVERT-2/32 NFL defencessupports OVER5/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
targets allowed to RBs6.76.77.3
94th percentile for most allowedleague avg 5.517 games (2025) · 113 totalseason 6.7no per-play form for this stat89th percentile for most allowedleague avg 5.53 games (2026) · 22 totalsupports OVER3/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-4/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
receptions allowed23.423.423.0
97th percentile for most allowedleague avg 20.617 games (2025) · 398 totalseason 23.4no per-play form for this stat79th percentile for most allowedleague avg 20.93 games (2026) · 69 totalsupports OVER2/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-7/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
J.K. Dobbins Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game1.100.60
SZN18th percentile for mostleague avg 2.1510 games (2025)vs last 5 · 5th pctseason 1.10 (18th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
targets per game1.400.80
SZN16th percentile for mostleague avg 2.7210 games (2025)vs last 5 · 3rd pctseason 1.40 (16th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
target share4.5%2.5%
SZN16th percentile for mostleague avg 8.9%10 games (2025)vs last 5 · 3rd pctseason 4.5% (16th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
snap share51.1%44.8%
SZN52nd percentile for mostleague avg 51.1%10 games (2025)vs last 5 · 34th pctseason 51.1% (52nd)5 gamesneutralsupports UNDER
0.5line
OVER-275bet365at 0.5
1.5line
OVER+180bet365at 1.5
UNDER-235bet365at 1.5
2.5line
OVER+550bet365at 2.5
3.5line
OVER+1150bet365at 3.5
Rush + Rec Yards
27 games loggedline64.5
touches
SF · what this defence allows
rushing yards allowed to RBs93.24.598.3
42nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 94.917 games (2025) · 1584 totalvs per carry · 68th pct · 11 of 32season 93.2 (42nd)17 games58th percentile for most allowedleague avg 91.63 games (2026) · 295 totalneutral19/32 NFL defencessupports OVER14/32 NFL defencesneutral
receiving yards allowed to RBs35.26.431.7
71st percentile for most allowedleague avg 31.617 games (2025) · 598 totalvs per reception · 19th pct · 26 of 32season 35.2 (71st)17 games52nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 30.43 games (2026) · 95 totalsupports OVER10/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER16/32 NFL defencesneutral
rushing yards allowed107.84.3105.7
32nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 116.917 games (2025) · 1833 totalvs per carry · 61st pct · 13 of 32season 107.8 (32nd)17 games45th percentile for most allowedleague avg 111.93 games (2026) · 317 totalsupports UNDER22/32 NFL defencessupports OVER18/32 NFL defencesneutral
yards after catch allowed to RBs40.07.229.3
84th percentile for most allowedleague avg 34.317 games (2025) · 680 totalvs per reception · 34th pct · T-21 of 32season 40.0 (84th)17 games34th percentile for most allowedleague avg 32.63 games (2026) · 88 totalsupports OVER6/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-21/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
J.K. Dobbins Breakdown · his own data
touches per game16.4014.20
no comparison available10 games (2025)vs last 5season 16.405 gamesneutralneutral
carries per game15.3013.60
SZN81st percentile for mostleague avg 10.9410 games (2025)vs last 5 · 63rd pctseason 15.30 (81st)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
targets per game1.400.80
SZN16th percentile for mostleague avg 2.7210 games (2025)vs last 5 · 3rd pctseason 1.40 (16th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
snap share51.1%44.8%
SZN52nd percentile for mostleague avg 51.1%10 games (2025)vs last 5 · 34th pctseason 51.1% (52nd)5 gamesneutralsupports UNDER
49.5line
OVER-280bet365at 49.5
64.5line
OVER-115bet365at 64.5
UNDER-115bet365at 64.5
74.5line
OVER+140bet365at 74.5
99.5line
OVER+350bet365at 99.5
124.5line
OVER+800bet365at 124.5
Rushing Attempts
27 games loggedline13.5
snap share
SF · what this defence allows
carries allowed to RBs20.983.7%24.7
35th percentile for most allowedleague avg 21.917 games (2025) · 355 totalvs share of carries · 77th pct · 8 of 32season 20.9 (35th)17 games77th percentile for most allowedleague avg 22.23 games (2026) · 74 totalsupports UNDER21/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-7/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
runs faced22.737.9%27.3
26th percentile for most run againstleague avg 24.117 games (2025) · 386 totalvs per play · 26th pct · 24 of 32season 22.7 (26th)17 games81st percentile for most run againstleague avg 24.03 games (2026) · 82 totalsupports UNDER24/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER7/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
rushing yards allowed to RBs93.24.598.3
42nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 94.917 games (2025) · 1584 totalvs per carry · 68th pct · 11 of 32season 93.2 (42nd)17 games58th percentile for most allowedleague avg 91.63 games (2026) · 295 totalneutral19/32 NFL defencessupports OVER14/32 NFL defencesneutral
J.K. Dobbins Breakdown · his own data
snap share51.1%44.8%
SZN52nd percentile for mostleague avg 51.1%10 games (2025)vs last 5 · 34th pctseason 51.1% (52nd)5 gamesneutralsupports UNDER
rushing yards per game77.2051.80
SZN91st percentile for mostleague avg 48.1410 games (2025)vs last 5 · 56th pctseason 77.20 (91st)5 gamessupports OVERneutral
yards per carry5.163.87
SZN90th percentile for mostleague avg 4.2310 games (2025)vs last 5 · 29th pctseason 5.16 (90th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports UNDER
9.5line
OVER-550bet365at 9.5
13.5line
OVER+100bet365at 13.5
UNDER-111DraftKingsat 13.5
19.5line
OVER+700bet365at 19.5
Rushing Yards
27 games loggedline59.5
carries
SF · what this defence allows
rushing yards allowed to RBs93.24.598.3
42nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 94.917 games (2025) · 1584 totalvs per carry · 68th pct · 11 of 32season 93.2 (42nd)17 games58th percentile for most allowedleague avg 91.63 games (2026) · 295 totalneutral19/32 NFL defencessupports OVER14/32 NFL defencesneutral
carries allowed to RBs20.983.7%24.7
35th percentile for most allowedleague avg 21.917 games (2025) · 355 totalvs share of carries · 77th pct · 8 of 32season 20.9 (35th)17 games77th percentile for most allowedleague avg 22.23 games (2026) · 74 totalsupports UNDER21/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-7/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
runs faced22.737.9%27.3
26th percentile for most run againstleague avg 24.117 games (2025) · 386 totalvs per play · 26th pct · 24 of 32season 22.7 (26th)17 games81st percentile for most run againstleague avg 24.03 games (2026) · 82 totalsupports UNDER24/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER7/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
RB carries stuffed at the line3.617.2%4.0
40th percentile for most stuffsleague avg 3.817 games (2025) · 61 totalvs per carry · 47th pct · T-17 of 32season 3.6 (40th)17 games61st percentile for most stuffsleague avg 3.83 games (2026) · 12 totalsupports OVERT-19/32 NFL defencesneutralT-12/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
J.K. Dobbins Breakdown · his own data
carries per game15.3013.60
SZN81st percentile for mostleague avg 10.9410 games (2025)vs last 5 · 63rd pctseason 15.30 (81st)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
yards per carry5.163.87
SZN90th percentile for mostleague avg 4.2310 games (2025)vs last 5 · 29th pctseason 5.16 (90th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports UNDER
19.5line
OVER-4000bet365at 19.5
29.5line
OVER-1000bet365at 29.5
39.5line
OVER-350bet365at 39.5
49.5line
OVER-180bet365at 49.5
56.5line
OVER-115bet365at 56.5
UNDER-115bet365at 56.5
59.5line
OVER+100bet365at 59.5
UNDER-111DraftKingsat 59.5
69.5line
OVER+160bet365at 69.5
79.5line
OVER+250bet365at 79.5
89.5line
OVER+350bet365at 89.5
99.5line
OVER+550bet365at 99.5
109.5line
OVER+750bet365at 109.5
119.5line
OVER+900bet365at 119.5
129.5line
OVER+1100bet365at 129.5
odds snapshot · pulled 10:03 AM EDT on Thu, Oct 1 · not live pricing