← Jacksonville Jaguars @ Cincinnati Bengals
Base market snapshot from 10:03 AM EDT on Thu, Oct 1. bet365 refreshed separately at 2:31 PM EDT. Check your book before acting on anything here.

Joe Burrow

CINJacksonville Jaguars @ Cincinnati BengalsSun 1:00 PM

Burrow on the fieldred zone touches per game 0.25carries per game 1.75

Anytime TD

28 games logged
line0.5

JAX · what this defence allows
TDs allowed to QBs0.30.30.0
77th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.217 games (2025) · 5 totalseason 0.3no per-play form for this stat27th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.23 games (2026) · 0 totalsupports OVERT-6/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-15/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
red zone carries allowed to QBs0.70.72.3
44th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.817 games (2025) · 12 totalseason 0.7no per-play form for this stat95th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.93 games (2026) · 7 totalneutralT-17/32 NFL defencesseason onlyT-2/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
touchdowns allowed2.22.21.0
32nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.417 games (2025) · 38 totalseason 2.2no per-play form for this stat2nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.53 games (2026) · 3 totalsupports UNDER22/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-31/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
Head to HeadJoe Burrow vs JAX0/1 with a touchdown
dateRZtouchrush ydsTD
09/14'250000
Joe Burrow Breakdown · his own data
red zone touches per game0.251.00
SZN
18th percentile for mostleague avg 0.728 games (2025)vs last 5 · 73rd pctseason 0.25 (18th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports OVER
carries per game1.752.60
SZN
23rd percentile for mostleague avg 3.558 games (2025)vs last 5 · 33rd pctseason 1.75 (23rd)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
0.5line
OVER+950Courtsideat 0.5

Completions

28 games logged
line24.5

JAX · what this defence allows
completions allowed23.362.4%18.7
89th percentile for most allowedleague avg 20.617 games (2025) · 396 totalvs per attempt · 21st pct · T-25 of 32season 23.3 (89th)17 games16th percentile for most allowedleague avg 20.93 games (2026) · 56 totalsupports OVERT-4/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-26/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
dropbacks faced41.568.5%32.7
100th percentile for most facedleague avg 36.517 games (2025) · 706 totalvs per play · 100th pct · 1 of 32season 41.5 (100th)17 games19th percentile for most facedleague avg 36.73 games (2026) · 98 totalsupports OVER1/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-25/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
sacks per dropback4.5%4.5%8.2%
10th percentile for highest sack rateleague avg 6.5%17 games (2025)vs per dropback · 10th pct · 29 of 32season 4.5% (10th)17 games85th percentile for highest sack rateleague avg 5.9%3 games (2026)supports OVER29/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-5/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
Head to HeadJoe Burrow vs JAX0/1 over 24.5
datecmpattpass ydspass TD
09/14'25713761
Joe Burrow Breakdown · his own data
pass attempts per game32.3834.60
SZN
81st percentile for mostleague avg 28.288 games (2025)vs last 5 · 88th pctseason 32.38 (81st)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
passing yards per game226.12256.80
SZN
64th percentile for mostleague avg 198.108 games (2025)vs last 5 · 90th pctseason 226.12 (64th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
24.5line
OVER+105bet365at 24.5
UNDER-123BetOnline.agat 24.5

Interceptions

28 games logged
line0.5

JAX · what this defence allows
interceptions forced1.33.5%1.3
97th percentile for most forcedleague avg 0.717 games (2025) · 22 totalvs per attempt · 92nd pct · T-3 of 32season 1.3 (97th)17 games94th percentile for most forcedleague avg 0.73 games (2026) · 4 totalsupports OVER2/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-1/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
completions allowed23.362.4%18.7
89th percentile for most allowedleague avg 20.617 games (2025) · 396 totalvs per attempt · 21st pct · T-25 of 32season 23.3 (89th)17 games16th percentile for most allowedleague avg 20.93 games (2026) · 56 totalsupports OVERT-4/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-26/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
passing yards allowed231.36.2246.0
58th percentile for most allowedleague avg 225.017 games (2025) · 3933 totalvs per attempt · 6th pct · 30 of 32season 231.3 (58th)17 games68th percentile for most allowedleague avg 231.33 games (2026) · 738 totalneutral14/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER11/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
Head to HeadJoe Burrow vs JAX0/1 over 0.5
dateintattcmppass yds
09/14'25013776
Joe Burrow Breakdown · his own data
pass attempts per game32.3834.60
SZN
81st percentile for mostleague avg 28.288 games (2025)vs last 5 · 88th pctseason 32.38 (81st)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
completions per game21.6225.20
SZN
81st percentile for mostleague avg 18.168 games (2025)vs last 5 · 100th pctseason 21.62 (81st)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
0.5line
OVER+100bet365at 0.5
UNDER-106DraftKingsat 0.5

Longest Completion

28 games logged
line37.5

JAX · what this defence allows
20+ yard receptions allowed2.711.6%4.3
44th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.917 games (2025) · 46 totalvs per completion · 13th pct · 28 of 32season 2.7 (44th)17 games92nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.93 games (2026) · 13 totalneutralT-18/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-3/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
30+ yard receptions allowed1.04.3%1.3
47th percentile for most allowedleague avg 1.017 games (2025) · 17 totalvs per completion · 31st pct · T-22 of 32season 1.0 (47th)17 games68th percentile for most allowedleague avg 1.13 games (2026) · 4 totalneutralT-16/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-8/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
40+ yard receptions allowed0.31.5%0.7
35th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.417 games (2025) · 6 totalvs per completion · 26th pct · 24 of 32season 0.3 (35th)17 games65th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.63 games (2026) · 2 totalsupports UNDERT-19/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-7/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
yards after catch allowed100.14.394.0
44th percentile for most allowedleague avg 106.017 games (2025) · 1702 totalvs per reception · 5th pct · T-30 of 32season 100.1 (44th)17 games26th percentile for most allowedleague avg 104.73 games (2026) · 282 totalneutralT-18/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER24/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
air yards faced285.28.0281.7
90th percentile for most facedleague avg 239.817 games (2025) · 4848 totalvs per target · 58th pct · 14 of 32season 285.2 (90th)17 games74th percentile for most facedleague avg 248.73 games (2026) · 845 totalsupports OVER4/32 NFL defencesneutral9/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
Head to HeadJoe Burrow vs JAX0/1 over 37.5
datecmpattpass ydslng cmp
09/14'257137625
Joe Burrow Breakdown · his own data
pass attempts per game32.3834.60
SZN
81st percentile for mostleague avg 28.288 games (2025)vs last 5 · 88th pctseason 32.38 (81st)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
completions per game21.6225.20
SZN
81st percentile for mostleague avg 18.168 games (2025)vs last 5 · 100th pctseason 21.62 (81st)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
37.5line
OVER-110Hard Rock Betat 37.5
UNDER-112DraftKingsat 37.5

Longest Rush

28 games logged
line7.5

JAX · what this defence allows
10+ yard rushes allowed to QBs0.619.6%0.0
45th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.617 games (2025) · 10 totalvs per carry · 61st pct · 13 of 32season 0.6 (45th)17 games6th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.63 games (2026) · 0 totalneutralT-15/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-28/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
20+ yard rushes allowed (all positions)0.31.4%0.0
3rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.617 games (2025) · 5 totalvs per carry · 10th pct · 29 of 32season 0.3 (3rd)17 games16th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.53 games (2026) · 0 totalsupports UNDERT-30/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-22/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
yards per carry allowed to QBs5.85.85.2
65th percentile for most allowedleague avg 5.617 games (2025)vs per carry · 65th pct · 12 of 32season 5.8 (65th)17 games42nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 5.73 games (2026)supports OVER12/32 NFL defencessupports OVER19/32 NFL defencesneutral
runs stuffed at the line3.417.9%3.3
6th percentile for most stuffsleague avg 4.317 games (2025) · 58 totalvs per carry · 40th pct · T-19 of 32season 3.4 (6th)17 games24th percentile for most stuffsleague avg 4.23 games (2026) · 10 totalsupports OVER30/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-23/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
Head to HeadJoe Burrow vs JAX0/1 over 7.5
datecarrush ydslng rush
09/14'2500—
Joe Burrow Breakdown · his own data
carries per game1.752.60
SZN
23rd percentile for mostleague avg 3.558 games (2025)vs last 5 · 33rd pctseason 1.75 (23rd)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
yards per carry3.143.73
SZN
23rd percentile for mostleague avg 4.276 games (2025)vs last 5 · 33rd pctseason 3.14 (23rd)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
10+ yard runs per game0.000.20
SZN
6th percentile for mostleague avg 0.558 games (2025)vs last 5 · 25th pctseason 0.00 (6th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
snap share87.8%96.4%
SZN
32nd percentile for mostleague avg 87.6%8 games (2025)vs last 5 · 69th pctseason 87.8% (32nd)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports OVER
7.5line
OVER-105theScore Betat 7.5
UNDER-120bet365at 7.5

Passing Attempts

28 games logged
line35.5

JAX · what this defence allows
pass attempts faced37.437.428.0
100th percentile for most facedleague avg 32.117 games (2025) · 635 totalseason 37.4no per-play form for this stat16th percentile for most facedleague avg 32.53 games (2026) · 84 totalsupports OVER1/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-26/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
pass rate faced68.5%68.5%59.4%
100th percentile for most passed againstleague avg 60.2%17 games (2025)season 68.5%no per-play form for this stat39th percentile for most passed againstleague avg 60.4%3 games (2026)supports OVER1/32 NFL defencessupports OVER20/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
pass rate over expected faced1.7%1.7%-6.3%
97th percentile for most passed againstleague avg -2.2%17 games (2025)season 1.7%no per-play form for this stat13th percentile for most passed againstleague avg -2.0%3 games (2026)supports OVER2/32 NFL defencessupports OVER28/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
plays faced60.660.655.0
48th percentile for most facedleague avg 60.617 games (2025) · 1030 totalseason 60.6no per-play form for this stat15th percentile for most facedleague avg 60.73 games (2026) · 165 totalneutral17/32 NFL defencesseason onlyT-27/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
sacks per dropback4.5%4.5%8.2%
10th percentile for highest sack rateleague avg 6.5%17 games (2025)season 4.5%no per-play form for this stat85th percentile for highest sack rateleague avg 5.9%3 games (2026)supports OVER29/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-5/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
Head to HeadJoe Burrow vs JAX0/1 over 35.5
dateattcmppass ydspass TD
09/14'25137761
Joe Burrow Breakdown · his own data
completions per game21.6225.20
SZN
81st percentile for mostleague avg 18.168 games (2025)vs last 5 · 100th pctseason 21.62 (81st)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
passing yards per game226.12256.80
SZN
64th percentile for mostleague avg 198.108 games (2025)vs last 5 · 90th pctseason 226.12 (64th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
35.5line
OVER-120Fanaticsat 35.5
UNDER-104BetOnline.agat 35.5

Passing Touchdowns

28 games logged
line1.5

JAX · what this defence allows
passing TDs allowed1.53.9%0.7
48th percentile for most allowedleague avg 1.517 games (2025) · 25 totalvs per attempt · 31st pct · T-22 of 32season 1.5 (48th)17 games3rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 1.63 games (2026) · 2 totalneutralT-15/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-30/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
red zone trips allowed2.859.6%3.3
15th percentile for most allowedleague avg 3.217 games (2025) · 47 totalvs TD rate · 63rd pct · T-11 of 32season 2.8 (15th)17 games52nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 3.33 games (2026) · 10 totalsupports UNDERT-26/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-14/32 NFL defencesneutral
passing yards allowed231.36.2246.0
58th percentile for most allowedleague avg 225.017 games (2025) · 3933 totalvs per attempt · 6th pct · 30 of 32season 231.3 (58th)17 games68th percentile for most allowedleague avg 231.33 games (2026) · 738 totalneutral14/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER11/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
Head to HeadJoe Burrow vs JAX0/1 over 1.5
dateattcmppass ydspass TD
09/14'25137761
Joe Burrow Breakdown · his own data
pass attempts per game32.3834.60
SZN
81st percentile for mostleague avg 28.288 games (2025)vs last 5 · 88th pctseason 32.38 (81st)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
completions per game21.6225.20
SZN
81st percentile for mostleague avg 18.168 games (2025)vs last 5 · 100th pctseason 21.62 (81st)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
1.5line
OVER-182Bally Betat 1.5
UNDER+155BetMGMat 1.5

Passing Yards

28 games logged
line268.5

JAX · what this defence allows
passing yards allowed231.36.2246.0
58th percentile for most allowedleague avg 225.017 games (2025) · 3933 totalvs per attempt · 6th pct · 30 of 32season 231.3 (58th)17 games68th percentile for most allowedleague avg 231.33 games (2026) · 738 totalneutral14/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER11/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
dropbacks faced41.568.5%32.7
100th percentile for most facedleague avg 36.517 games (2025) · 706 totalvs per play · 100th pct · 1 of 32season 41.5 (100th)17 games19th percentile for most facedleague avg 36.73 games (2026) · 98 totalsupports OVER1/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-25/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
sacks per dropback4.5%4.5%8.2%
10th percentile for highest sack rateleague avg 6.5%17 games (2025)vs per dropback · 10th pct · 29 of 32season 4.5% (10th)17 games85th percentile for highest sack rateleague avg 5.9%3 games (2026)supports OVER29/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-5/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
Head to HeadJoe Burrow vs JAX0/1 over 268.5
datecmpattpass ydspass TD
09/14'25713761
Joe Burrow Breakdown · his own data
pass attempts per game32.3834.60
SZN
81st percentile for mostleague avg 28.288 games (2025)vs last 5 · 88th pctseason 32.38 (81st)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
completions per game21.6225.20
SZN
81st percentile for mostleague avg 18.168 games (2025)vs last 5 · 100th pctseason 21.62 (81st)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
268.5line
OVER-113Bally Betat 268.5
UNDER-115betPARXat 268.5

Rushing Attempts

28 games logged
line2.5

JAX · what this defence allows
carries allowed to QBs3.616.8%5.3
26th percentile for most allowedleague avg 4.217 games (2025) · 62 totalvs share of carries · 68th pct · 11 of 32season 3.6 (26th)17 games87th percentile for most allowedleague avg 4.03 games (2026) · 16 totalsupports UNDER24/32 NFL defencessupports OVER5/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
runs faced19.131.5%22.3
0th percentile for most run againstleague avg 24.117 games (2025) · 324 totalvs per play · 0th pct · 32 of 32season 19.1 (0th)17 games24th percentile for most run againstleague avg 24.03 games (2026) · 67 totalsupports UNDER32/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-24/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
rushing yards allowed to QBs16.64.621.3
35th percentile for most allowedleague avg 18.017 games (2025) · 283 totalvs per carry · 61st pct · 13 of 32season 16.6 (35th)17 games68th percentile for most allowedleague avg 17.73 games (2026) · 64 totalsupports UNDER21/32 NFL defencessupports OVER11/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
Head to HeadJoe Burrow vs JAX0/1 over 2.5
datecarrush ydsTD
09/14'25000
Joe Burrow Breakdown · his own data
snap share87.8%96.4%
SZN
32nd percentile for mostleague avg 87.6%8 games (2025)vs last 5 · 69th pctseason 87.8% (32nd)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports OVER
rushing yards per game5.1210.20
SZN
19th percentile for mostleague avg 16.198 games (2025)vs last 5 · 38th pctseason 5.12 (19th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
yards per carry3.143.73
SZN
23rd percentile for mostleague avg 4.276 games (2025)vs last 5 · 33rd pctseason 3.14 (23rd)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
2.5line
OVER+100bet365at 2.5
UNDER-130bet365at 2.5

Rushing Yards

28 games logged
line8.5

JAX · what this defence allows
rushing yards allowed to QBs16.64.621.3
35th percentile for most allowedleague avg 18.017 games (2025) · 283 totalvs per carry · 61st pct · 13 of 32season 16.6 (35th)17 games68th percentile for most allowedleague avg 17.73 games (2026) · 64 totalsupports UNDER21/32 NFL defencessupports OVER11/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
carries allowed to QBs3.616.8%5.3
26th percentile for most allowedleague avg 4.217 games (2025) · 62 totalvs share of carries · 68th pct · 11 of 32season 3.6 (26th)17 games87th percentile for most allowedleague avg 4.03 games (2026) · 16 totalsupports UNDER24/32 NFL defencessupports OVER5/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
runs faced19.131.5%22.3
0th percentile for most run againstleague avg 24.117 games (2025) · 324 totalvs per play · 0th pct · 32 of 32season 19.1 (0th)17 games24th percentile for most run againstleague avg 24.03 games (2026) · 67 totalsupports UNDER32/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-24/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
runs stuffed at the line3.417.9%3.3
6th percentile for most stuffsleague avg 4.317 games (2025) · 58 totalvs per carry · 40th pct · T-19 of 32season 3.4 (6th)17 games24th percentile for most stuffsleague avg 4.23 games (2026) · 10 totalsupports OVER30/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-23/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
Head to HeadJoe Burrow vs JAX0/1 over 8.5
datecarrush ydsTD
09/14'25000
Joe Burrow Breakdown · his own data
carries per game1.752.60
SZN
23rd percentile for mostleague avg 3.558 games (2025)vs last 5 · 33rd pctseason 1.75 (23rd)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
yards per carry3.143.73
SZN
23rd percentile for mostleague avg 4.276 games (2025)vs last 5 · 33rd pctseason 3.14 (23rd)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
8.5line
OVER-113DraftKingsat 8.5
UNDER-110theScore Betat 8.5

odds snapshot · pulled 10:03 AM EDT on Thu, Oct 1 · not live pricing