Base market snapshot from 12:05 PM EDT on Thu, Oct 1. bet365 refreshed separately at 3:51 PM EDT. Check your book before acting on anything here.
John Alan Richter
TOLToledo Rockets @ Ball State CardinalsSat 2:00 PM
Richter on the fieldcarries per game 1.33
Anytime TD
7 games loggedline0.5
touches
BALL · what this defence allows
TDs allowed to QBs0.50.51.0
69th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.411 games (2025) · 5 totalseason 0.5no per-play form for this stat92nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.43 games (2026) · 3 totalsupports OVERT-39/141 FBS defencessupports OVERT-3/123 FBS defencessupports OVER
carries faced38.138.139.3
68th percentile for most facedleague avg 36.011 games (2025) · 419 totalseason 38.1no per-play form for this stat79th percentile for most facedleague avg 35.43 games (2026) · 118 totalsupports OVER46/141 FBS defencessupports OVERT-26/123 FBS defencessupports OVER
touchdowns allowed3.83.86.0
78th percentile for most allowedleague avg 3.111 games (2025) · 42 totalseason 3.8no per-play form for this stat98th percentile for most allowedleague avg 3.13 games (2026) · 18 totalsupports OVERT-31/141 FBS defencessupports OVER3/123 FBS defencessupports OVER
John Alan Richter Breakdown · his own data
carries per game1.331.20
SZN3rd percentile for mostleague avg 6.623 games (2025)vs last 5 · 2nd pctseason 1.33 (3rd)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
0.5line
OVER+190Bovadaat 0.5
odds snapshot · pulled 12:05 PM EDT on Thu, Oct 1 · not live pricing