Base market snapshot from 10:03 AM EDT on Thu, Oct 1. bet365 refreshed separately at 2:04 PM EDT. Check your book before acting on anything here.
Jonnu Smith
GBGreen Bay Packers @ Tampa Bay BuccaneersSun 1:00 PM
Smith on the fieldred zone touches per game 0.41red zone targets per game 0.47receptions per game 2.24
Anytime TD
37 games loggedline0.5
red zone touches
TB · what this defence allows
TDs allowed to TEs0.70.70.7
94th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.417 games (2025) · 12 totalseason 0.7no per-play form for this stat66th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.63 games (2026) · 2 totalsupports OVER3/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-8/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
red zone targets allowed to TEs1.11.11.3
42nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 1.217 games (2025) · 19 totalseason 1.1no per-play form for this stat63rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 1.23 games (2026) · 4 totalneutral19/32 NFL defencesseason onlyT-9/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
touchdowns allowed2.72.71.7
69th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.417 games (2025) · 46 totalseason 2.7no per-play form for this stat16th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.53 games (2026) · 5 totalsupports OVERT-10/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-24/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
Jonnu Smith Breakdown · his own data
red zone touches per game0.410.20
SZN54th percentile for mostleague avg 0.4017 games (2025)vs last 5 · 34th pctseason 0.41 (54th)5 gamesneutralsupports UNDER
red zone targets per game0.470.40
SZN43rd percentile for mostleague avg 0.5917 games (2025)vs last 5 · 36th pctseason 0.47 (43rd)5 gamesneutralsupports UNDER
receptions per game2.242.00
SZN48th percentile for mostleague avg 2.5517 games (2025)vs last 5 · 45th pctseason 2.24 (48th)5 gamesneutralneutral
0.5line
OVER+775BetMGMat 0.5
Longest Reception
37 games loggedline7.5
targets
TB · what this defence allows
20+ yard receptions allowed to TEs0.36.1%1.0
10th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.617 games (2025) · 6 totalvs per completion · 6th pct · 30 of 32season 0.3 (10th)17 games84th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.53 games (2026) · 3 totalsupports UNDERT-28/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-5/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
30+ yard receptions allowed to TEs0.11.0%0.0
21st percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.217 games (2025) · 1 totalvs per completion · 10th pct · T-28 of 32season 0.1 (21st)17 games35th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.23 games (2026) · 0 totalsupports UNDERT-20/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-10/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
40+ yard receptions allowed (all positions)0.62.6%0.7
89th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.417 games (2025) · 10 totalvs per completion · 84th pct · 6 of 32season 0.6 (89th)17 games65th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.63 games (2026) · 2 totalsupports OVERT-4/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-7/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
yards after catch allowed to TEs28.34.933.0
61st percentile for most allowedleague avg 25.817 games (2025) · 481 totalvs per reception · 45th pct · 18 of 32season 28.3 (61st)17 games81st percentile for most allowedleague avg 27.03 games (2026) · 99 totalsupports OVER13/32 NFL defencesneutral7/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
air yards faced257.48.0188.7
74th percentile for most facedleague avg 239.817 games (2025) · 4375 totalvs per target · 65th pct · 12 of 32season 257.4 (74th)17 games10th percentile for most facedleague avg 248.73 games (2026) · 566 totalsupports OVER9/32 NFL defencessupports OVER29/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
Jonnu Smith Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game2.242.00
SZN48th percentile for mostleague avg 2.5517 games (2025)vs last 5 · 45th pctseason 2.24 (48th)5 gamesneutralneutral
yards per catch5.808.92
SZN4th percentile for mostleague avg 10.1114 games (2025)vs last 5 · 33rd pctseason 5.80 (4th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
air yards per target4.797.39
SZN33rd percentile for mostleague avg 5.8717 games (2025)vs last 5 · 74th pctseason 4.79 (33rd)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports OVER
20+ yard catches per game0.060.20
SZN14th percentile for mostleague avg 0.3117 games (2025)vs last 5 · 46th pctseason 0.06 (14th)5 gamessupports UNDERneutral
7.5line
OVER-115bet365at 7.5
UNDER-115bet365at 7.5
19.5line
OVER+500bet365at 19.5
29.5line
OVER+1150bet365at 29.5
Receiving Yards
37 games loggedline7.5
receptions
TB · what this defence allows
receiving yards allowed to TEs56.69.761.0
61st percentile for most allowedleague avg 53.317 games (2025) · 963 totalvs per reception · 29th pct · 23 of 32season 56.6 (61st)17 games66th percentile for most allowedleague avg 52.53 games (2026) · 183 totalsupports OVER13/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-11/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
receptions allowed to TEs5.876.7%5.7
76th percentile for most allowedleague avg 5.317 games (2025) · 99 totalvs per target · 89th pct · T-4 of 32season 5.8 (76th)17 games61st percentile for most allowedleague avg 5.23 games (2026) · 17 totalsupports OVERT-8/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-12/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
receiving yards allowed254.811.4220.0
84th percentile for most allowedleague avg 225.017 games (2025) · 4332 totalvs per reception · 77th pct · 8 of 32season 254.8 (84th)17 games42nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 231.33 games (2026) · 660 totalsupports OVER6/32 NFL defencessupports OVER19/32 NFL defencesneutral
yards after catch allowed to TEs28.34.933.0
61st percentile for most allowedleague avg 25.817 games (2025) · 481 totalvs per reception · 45th pct · 18 of 32season 28.3 (61st)17 games81st percentile for most allowedleague avg 27.03 games (2026) · 99 totalsupports OVER13/32 NFL defencesneutral7/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
Jonnu Smith Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game2.242.00
SZN48th percentile for mostleague avg 2.5517 games (2025)vs last 5 · 45th pctseason 2.24 (48th)5 gamesneutralneutral
targets per game3.182.80
SZN52nd percentile for mostleague avg 3.5117 games (2025)vs last 5 · 43rd pctseason 3.18 (52nd)5 gamesneutralneutral
target share10.6%6.8%
SZN51st percentile for mostleague avg 11.5%17 games (2025)vs last 5 · 28th pctseason 10.6% (51st)5 gamesneutralsupports UNDER
snap share52.7%40.6%
SZN48th percentile for mostleague avg 57.4%17 games (2025)vs last 5 · 17th pctseason 52.7% (48th)5 gamesneutralsupports UNDER
7.5line
OVER-110DraftKingsat 7.5
UNDER-105Hard Rock Betat 7.5
8.5line
OVER-114FanDuelat 8.5
UNDER-114FanDuelat 8.5
19.5line
OVER+250bet365at 19.5
29.5line
OVER+550bet365at 29.5
39.5line
OVER+850bet365at 39.5
49.5line
OVER+1200bet365at 49.5
Receptions
37 games loggedline1.5
targets
TB · what this defence allows
receptions allowed to TEs5.876.7%5.7
76th percentile for most allowedleague avg 5.317 games (2025) · 99 totalvs per target · 89th pct · T-4 of 32season 5.8 (76th)17 games61st percentile for most allowedleague avg 5.23 games (2026) · 17 totalsupports OVERT-8/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-12/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
targets allowed to TEs7.67.67.7
63rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 7.317 games (2025) · 129 totalseason 7.6no per-play form for this stat63rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 7.23 games (2026) · 23 totalsupports OVERT-12/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-10/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
receptions allowed22.322.321.3
81st percentile for most allowedleague avg 20.617 games (2025) · 379 totalseason 22.3no per-play form for this stat63rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 20.93 games (2026) · 64 totalsupports OVER7/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-12/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
Jonnu Smith Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game2.242.00
SZN48th percentile for mostleague avg 2.5517 games (2025)vs last 5 · 45th pctseason 2.24 (48th)5 gamesneutralneutral
targets per game3.182.80
SZN52nd percentile for mostleague avg 3.5117 games (2025)vs last 5 · 43rd pctseason 3.18 (52nd)5 gamesneutralneutral
target share10.6%6.8%
SZN51st percentile for mostleague avg 11.5%17 games (2025)vs last 5 · 28th pctseason 10.6% (51st)5 gamesneutralsupports UNDER
snap share52.7%40.6%
SZN48th percentile for mostleague avg 57.4%17 games (2025)vs last 5 · 17th pctseason 52.7% (48th)5 gamesneutralsupports UNDER
0.5line
OVER-325bet365at 0.5
1.5line
OVER+160bet365at 1.5
UNDER-202DraftKingsat 1.5
2.5line
OVER+475bet365at 2.5
3.5line
OVER+1000bet365at 3.5
odds snapshot · pulled 10:03 AM EDT on Thu, Oct 1 · not live pricing