Josh Downs

IND · NFLWRIND @ MINSun 1:00 PM
FacingMinnesota Vikingsdefence115.9 receiving yards allowed to WRs (2026) · ranks 30 of 32 NFL defences

Prices last pulled 6:12 AM ET

Anytime TD

36 games logged

Josh Downs Anytime TD · 36 games logged

4 of 20 (20%) scored a touchdown over his last 20 · to score +360 FanDuel · prices from

line0.5
1+ TD
0
0
0
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

quoted at 0.5: O +360 (FanDuel) · no under

9/21@ TEN9/28@ LAR10/5vs LV10/12vs ARI10/26vs TEN11/2@ PIT11/9vs ATL11/23@ KC11/30vs HOU12/7@ JAX12/14@ SEA12/22vs SF12/28vs JAX1/4@ HOU9/13vs BAL9/20@ KC9/27vs HOU10/4@ WAS10/11@ PIT10/18vs TEN

latest0 Sun, Oct 18, 2026 · vs TEN

TD

4 of 20 (20%) cleared 0.5 over his last 20

red zone touchesno range set0.7 avg over the 20 charted
by window, any range:last 50.8last 100.5last 200.7last 300.620260.720250.620240.5all0.6

Anytime TD: Breakdowns

Josh Downs Breakdown · his own data
red zone touches per game0.620.800.67
SZN
85th percentile for mostleague avg 0.3416 games (2025)86th percentileleague avg 0.375 games (last 5)2026 season 0.6782nd percentile for mostleague avg 0.376 games (2026)supports OVERsupports OVER23/138 WRssupports OVER
red zone targets per game0.941.000.83
SZN
83rd percentile for mostleague avg 0.6016 games (2025)78th percentileleague avg 0.655 games (last 5)2026 season 0.8368th percentile for mostleague avg 0.656 games (2026)supports OVERsupports OVER42/138 WRssupports OVER
receptions per game3.624.404.00
SZN
69th percentile for mostleague avg 2.7616 games (2025)78th percentileleague avg 2.895 games (last 5)2026 season 4.0075th percentile for mostleague avg 2.896 games (2026)supports OVERsupports OVER34/138 WRssupports OVER
red zone target share19.7%27.8%23.8%
SZN
76th percentile for highest shareleague avg 13.5%16 games with red zone data (2025)91st percentileleague avg 14.5%5 regular-season games with red zone data (last 5)2026 season 23.8%82nd percentile for highest shareleague avg 14.5%6 games with red zone data (2026)supports OVER33/133 WRssupports OVER25/138 WRssupports OVER
red zone rush share0.0%3.4%2.9%
SZN
38th percentile for highest shareleague avg 0.6%16 games with red zone data (2025)94th percentileleague avg 0.4%5 regular-season games with red zone data (last 5)2026 season 2.9%94th percentile for highest shareleague avg 0.4%6 games with red zone data (2026)supports UNDER32/133 WRssupports OVER9/138 WRssupports OVER
red zone touch share7.1%10.3%8.5%
SZN
77th percentile for highest shareleague avg 4.6%16 games with red zone data (2025)90th percentileleague avg 4.6%5 regular-season games with red zone data (last 5)2026 season 8.5%83rd percentile for highest shareleague avg 4.6%6 games with red zone data (2026)supports OVER30/133 WRssupports OVER24/138 WRssupports OVER
MIN · what this defence allows
TDs allowed to WRs0.50.60.6
SZN
6th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.917 games (2025) · 9 total23rd percentileleague avg 0.95 games (last 5)2026 season 0.623rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.95 games (2026) · 3 totalsupports UNDER30/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER25/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
red zone targets allowed to WRs1.92.02.0
SZN
23rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.417 games (2025) · 32 total26th percentileleague avg 2.55 games (last 5)2026 season 2.026th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.55 games (2026) · 10 totalsupports UNDERT-23/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-23/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
touchdowns allowed1.61.01.0
SZN
0th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.417 games (2025) · 28 total0th percentileleague avg 2.55 games (last 5)2026 season 1.00th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.55 games (2026) · 5 totalsupports UNDER32/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER32/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
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Receptions

36 games logged

Josh Downs Receptions · 36 games logged

10 of 20 (50%) cleared 3.5 over his last 20 · over −145 Courtside · under +128 FanDuel · prices from

line3.5
3.5
2
4
6
6
3
6
1
2
2
4
3
5
2
4
2
7
5
3
3
4

quoted at 3.5: O -145 (Courtside) · U +128 (FanDuel)

9/21@ TEN9/28@ LAR10/5vs LV10/12vs ARI10/26vs TEN11/2@ PIT11/9vs ATL11/23@ KC11/30vs HOU12/7@ JAX12/14@ SEA12/22vs SF12/28vs JAX1/4@ HOU9/13vs BAL9/20@ KC9/27vs HOU10/4@ WAS10/11@ PIT10/18vs TEN

latest4 Sun, Oct 18, 2026 · vs TEN

3.5

10 of 20 (50%) cleared 3.5 over his last 20

targetsno range set6.0 avg over the 20 charted
by window, any range:last 57.6last 106.5last 206.0last 306.320267.020255.520247.6all6.6

Receptions: Breakdowns

Josh Downs Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game3.624.404.00
SZN
69th percentile for mostleague avg 2.7616 games (2025)78th percentileleague avg 2.895 games (last 5)2026 season 4.0075th percentile for mostleague avg 2.896 games (2026)supports OVERsupports OVER34/138 WRssupports OVER
targets per game5.507.607.00
SZN
65th percentile for mostleague avg 4.4316 games (2025)83rd percentileleague avg 4.675 games (last 5)2026 season 7.0079th percentile for mostleague avg 4.676 games (2026)supports OVERsupports OVER30/138 WRssupports OVER
target share17.3%22.1%20.7%
SZN
62nd percentile for mostleague avg 14.4%16 games (2025)78th percentileleague avg 14.5%5 games (last 5)2026 season 20.7%75th percentile for mostleague avg 14.5%6 games (2026)supports OVERsupports OVER35/138 WRssupports OVER
snap share58.7%79.8%81.3%
SZN
52nd percentile for mostleague avg 59.5%16 games (2025)80th percentileleague avg 60.6%5 games (last 5)2026 season 81.3%84th percentile for mostleague avg 60.6%6 games (2026)neutralsupports OVER22/138 WRssupports OVER
MIN · what this defence allows
receptions allowed to WRs8.810.210.2
SZN
2nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 11.017 games (2025) · 149 total26th percentileleague avg 11.65 games (last 5)2026 season 10.226th percentile for most allowedleague avg 11.65 games (2026) · 51 totalsupports UNDERT-31/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER24/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
targets allowed to WRs14.318.418.4
SZN
3rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 17.817 games (2025) · 244 total48th percentileleague avg 18.85 games (last 5)2026 season 18.448th percentile for most allowedleague avg 18.85 games (2026) · 92 totalsupports UNDER31/32 NFL defencesneutral17/32 NFL defencesneutral
receptions allowed16.416.616.6
SZN
3rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 20.617 games (2025) · 279 total0th percentileleague avg 21.65 games (last 5)2026 season 16.60th percentile for most allowedleague avg 21.65 games (2026) · 83 totalsupports UNDER31/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER32/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
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Receiving Yards

36 games logged

Josh Downs Receiving Yards · 36 games logged

8 of 20 (40%) cleared 42.5 over his last 20 · over −110 Courtside · under −114 DraftKings · prices from

line42.5
42.5
34
24
54
42
39
57
3
10
44
23
13
65
34
61
37
72
77
16
47
40

quoted at 42.5: O -110 (Courtside) · U -114 (DraftKings)

9/21@ TEN9/28@ LAR10/5vs LV10/12vs ARI10/26vs TEN11/2@ PIT11/9vs ATL11/23@ KC11/30vs HOU12/7@ JAX12/14@ SEA12/22vs SF12/28vs JAX1/4@ HOU9/13vs BAL9/20@ KC9/27vs HOU10/4@ WAS10/11@ PIT10/18vs TEN

latest40 Sun, Oct 18, 2026 · vs TEN

42.5

8 of 20 (40%) cleared 42.5 over his last 20

receptionsno range set3.7 avg over the 20 charted
by window, any range:last 54.4last 103.8last 203.7last 304.120264.020253.620245.1all4.3

Receiving Yards: Breakdowns

Josh Downs Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game3.624.404.00
SZN
69th percentile for mostleague avg 2.7616 games (2025)78th percentileleague avg 2.895 games (last 5)2026 season 4.0075th percentile for mostleague avg 2.896 games (2026)supports OVERsupports OVER34/138 WRssupports OVER
targets per game5.507.607.00
SZN
65th percentile for mostleague avg 4.4316 games (2025)83rd percentileleague avg 4.675 games (last 5)2026 season 7.0079th percentile for mostleague avg 4.676 games (2026)supports OVERsupports OVER30/138 WRssupports OVER
target share17.3%22.1%20.7%
SZN
62nd percentile for mostleague avg 14.4%16 games (2025)78th percentileleague avg 14.5%5 games (last 5)2026 season 20.7%75th percentile for mostleague avg 14.5%6 games (2026)supports OVERsupports OVER35/138 WRssupports OVER
snap share58.7%79.8%81.3%
SZN
52nd percentile for mostleague avg 59.5%16 games (2025)80th percentileleague avg 60.6%5 games (last 5)2026 season 81.3%84th percentile for mostleague avg 60.6%6 games (2026)neutralsupports OVER22/138 WRssupports OVER
MIN · what this defence allows
receiving yards allowed to WRs115.9132.8132.8
SZN
6th percentile for most allowedleague avg 139.617 games (2025) · 1971 total19th percentileleague avg 150.95 games (last 5)2026 season 132.819th percentile for most allowedleague avg 150.95 games (2026) · 664 totalsupports UNDER30/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER26/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
receptions allowed to WRs8.810.210.2
SZN
2nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 11.017 games (2025) · 149 total26th percentileleague avg 11.65 games (last 5)2026 season 10.226th percentile for most allowedleague avg 11.65 games (2026) · 51 totalsupports UNDERT-31/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER24/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
receiving yards allowed177.7195.4195.4
SZN
3rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 225.017 games (2025) · 3021 total6th percentileleague avg 236.35 games (last 5)2026 season 195.46th percentile for most allowedleague avg 236.35 games (2026) · 977 totalsupports UNDER31/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER30/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
yards after catch allowed to WRs41.553.453.4
SZN
32nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 45.517 games (2025) · 705 total74th percentileleague avg 48.05 games (last 5)2026 season 53.474th percentile for most allowedleague avg 48.05 games (2026) · 267 totalsupports UNDER22/32 NFL defencessupports OVER9/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
see the games

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Longest Reception

36 games logged

Josh Downs Longest Reception · 36 games logged

8 of 20 (40%) cleared 18.5 over his last 20 · over −102 DraftKings · under −115 bet365 · pull times beside each book

line18.5
18.5
29
8
12
11
18
17
3
6
34
12
8
18
18
30
25
20
24
9
42
23

quoted at 18.5: O -102 (DraftKings) · U -115 (bet365)

9/21@ TEN9/28@ LAR10/5vs LV10/12vs ARI10/26vs TEN11/2@ PIT11/9vs ATL11/23@ KC11/30vs HOU12/7@ JAX12/14@ SEA12/22vs SF12/28vs JAX1/4@ HOU9/13vs BAL9/20@ KC9/27vs HOU10/4@ WAS10/11@ PIT10/18vs TEN

latest23 Sun, Oct 18, 2026 · vs TEN

18.5

8 of 20 (40%) cleared 18.5 over his last 20

targetsno range set6.0 avg over the 20 charted
by window, any range:last 57.6last 106.5last 206.0last 306.320267.020255.520247.6all6.6

Longest Reception: Breakdowns

Josh Downs Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game3.624.404.00
SZN
69th percentile for mostleague avg 2.7616 games (2025)78th percentileleague avg 2.895 games (last 5)2026 season 4.0075th percentile for mostleague avg 2.896 games (2026)supports OVERsupports OVER34/138 WRssupports OVER
yards per catch10.0811.3412.53
SZN
18th percentile for mostleague avg 13.0516 games (2025)36th percentileleague avg 13.595 games (last 5)2026 season 12.5343rd percentile for mostleague avg 13.596 games (2026)supports UNDERsupports UNDER78/136 WRsneutral
air yards per target7.479.769.63
SZN
14th percentile for mostleague avg 11.3816 games (2025)37th percentileleague avg 11.175 games (last 5)2026 season 9.6334th percentile for mostleague avg 11.176 games (2026)supports UNDERsupports UNDER91/138 WRssupports UNDER
20+ yard catches per game0.250.800.83
SZN
21st percentile for mostleague avg 0.5416 games (2025)71st percentileleague avg 0.555 games (last 5)2026 season 0.8374th percentile for mostleague avg 0.556 games (2026)supports UNDERsupports OVER34/138 WRssupports OVER
MIN · what this defence allows
20+ yard receptions allowed to WRs1.51.41.4
SZN
6th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.017 games (2025) · 26 total21st percentileleague avg 2.15 games (last 5)2026 season 1.421st percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.15 games (2026) · 7 totalsupports UNDERT-29/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-25/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
30+ yard receptions allowed to WRs0.50.80.8
SZN
10th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.817 games (2025) · 8 total44th percentileleague avg 0.95 games (last 5)2026 season 0.844th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.95 games (2026) · 4 totalsupports UNDERT-28/32 NFL defencesneutralT-18/32 NFL defencesneutral
40+ yard receptions allowed to WRs0.20.60.6
SZN
13th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.317 games (2025) · 3 total79th percentileleague avg 0.55 games (last 5)2026 season 0.679th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.55 games (2026) · 3 totalsupports UNDERT-27/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-6/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
yards after catch allowed to WRs41.553.453.4
SZN
32nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 45.517 games (2025) · 705 total74th percentileleague avg 48.05 games (last 5)2026 season 53.474th percentile for most allowedleague avg 48.05 games (2026) · 267 totalsupports UNDER22/32 NFL defencessupports OVER9/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
air yards faced168.9251.2251.2
SZN
0th percentile for most facedleague avg 239.817 games (2025) · 2872 total45th percentileleague avg 255.85 games (last 5)2026 season 251.245th percentile for most facedleague avg 255.85 games (2026) · 1256 totalsupports UNDER32/32 NFL defencesneutral18/32 NFL defencesneutral
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See the full defense funnels for IND @ MIN →

Rush + Rec Yards

36 games logged

Josh Downs Rush + Rec Yards · 36 games logged

9 of 20 (45%) cleared 42.5 over his last 20 · over −115 bet365 · under −115 bet365 · prices from

line42.5
42.5
34
24
54
42
39
57
3
10
44
23
13
68
34
56
37
72
77
16
47
47

quoted at 42.5: O -115 (bet365) · U -115 (bet365)

9/21@ TEN9/28@ LAR10/5vs LV10/12vs ARI10/26vs TEN11/2@ PIT11/9vs ATL11/23@ KC11/30vs HOU12/7@ JAX12/14@ SEA12/22vs SF12/28vs JAX1/4@ HOU9/13vs BAL9/20@ KC9/27vs HOU10/4@ WAS10/11@ PIT10/18vs TEN

latest47 Sun, Oct 18, 2026 · vs TEN

42.5

9 of 20 (45%) cleared 42.5 over his last 20

touchesno range set3.9 avg over the 20 charted
by window, any range:last 54.6last 104.1last 203.9last 304.220264.220253.820245.2all4.4

Rush + Rec Yards: Breakdowns

Josh Downs Breakdown · his own data
touches per game3.754.604.17
SZN
69th percentile for mostleague avg 2.9216 games (2025)78th percentileleague avg 3.025 games (last 5)2026 season 4.1772nd percentile for mostleague avg 3.026 games (2026)supports OVERsupports OVER39/138 WRssupports OVER
targets per game5.507.607.00
SZN
65th percentile for mostleague avg 4.4316 games (2025)83rd percentileleague avg 4.675 games (last 5)2026 season 7.0079th percentile for mostleague avg 4.676 games (2026)supports OVERsupports OVER30/138 WRssupports OVER
snap share58.7%79.8%81.3%
SZN
52nd percentile for mostleague avg 59.5%16 games (2025)80th percentileleague avg 60.6%5 games (last 5)2026 season 81.3%84th percentile for mostleague avg 60.6%6 games (2026)neutralsupports OVER22/138 WRssupports OVER
MIN · what this defence allows
receiving yards allowed to WRs115.9132.8132.8
SZN
6th percentile for most allowedleague avg 139.617 games (2025) · 1971 total19th percentileleague avg 150.95 games (last 5)2026 season 132.819th percentile for most allowedleague avg 150.95 games (2026) · 664 totalsupports UNDER30/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER26/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
rushing yards allowed to WRs3.00.60.6
SZN
48th percentile for most allowedleague avg 3.717 games (2025) · 51 total26th percentileleague avg 2.95 games (last 5)2026 season 0.626th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.95 games (2026) · 3 totalneutral17/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER24/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
receiving yards allowed177.7195.4195.4
SZN
3rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 225.017 games (2025) · 3021 total6th percentileleague avg 236.35 games (last 5)2026 season 195.46th percentile for most allowedleague avg 236.35 games (2026) · 977 totalsupports UNDER31/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER30/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
yards after catch allowed to WRs41.553.453.4
SZN
32nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 45.517 games (2025) · 705 total74th percentileleague avg 48.05 games (last 5)2026 season 53.474th percentile for most allowedleague avg 48.05 games (2026) · 267 totalsupports UNDER22/32 NFL defencessupports OVER9/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
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Josh Downs, every other prop for this game

Anytime TD
last 10 1 of 10 (10%) · last 20 4 of 20 (20%)
Yes +360
show
Receptions3.5
last 10 5 of 10 (50%) · last 20 10 of 20 (50%)
O −145 · U +128
show
Longest Reception18.5
last 10 6 of 10 (60%) · last 20 8 of 20 (40%)
O −102 · U −115
show
Rush + Rec Yards42.5
last 10 6 of 10 (60%) · last 20 9 of 20 (45%)
O −115 · U −115
show
O 42.5 −110 Courtside · U 42.5 −114 DraftKingsprices from