Base market snapshot from 10:03 AM EDT on Thu, Oct 1. bet365 refreshed separately at 11:07 AM EDT. Check your book before acting on anything here.
Josh Downs
INDIndianapolis Colts @ Washington CommandersSun 9:30 AM
Downs on the fieldred zone touches per game 0.62red zone targets per game 0.94receptions per game 3.62
Anytime TD
33 games loggedline0.5
red zone touches
WSH · what this defence allows
TDs allowed to WRs1.01.02.0
71st percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.917 games (2025) · 17 totalseason 1.0no per-play form for this stat98th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.93 games (2026) · 6 totalsupports OVERT-8/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-1/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
red zone targets allowed to WRs2.12.12.3
37th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.417 games (2025) · 36 totalseason 2.1no per-play form for this stat44th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.53 games (2026) · 7 totalsupports UNDERT-20/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-18/32 NFL defencesneutral
touchdowns allowed3.03.03.7
90th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.417 games (2025) · 51 totalseason 3.0no per-play form for this stat92nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.53 games (2026) · 11 totalsupports OVERT-3/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-2/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
Josh Downs Breakdown · his own data
red zone touches per game0.620.60
SZN85th percentile for mostleague avg 0.3616 games (2025)vs last 5 · 83rd pctseason 0.62 (85th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
red zone targets per game0.941.00
SZN83rd percentile for mostleague avg 0.6316 games (2025)vs last 5 · 85th pctseason 0.94 (83rd)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
receptions per game3.624.00
SZN69th percentile for mostleague avg 2.8916 games (2025)vs last 5 · 80th pctseason 3.62 (69th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
0.5line
OVER+190Fanaticsat 0.5
Longest Reception
33 games loggedline21.5
targets
WSH · what this defence allows
20+ yard receptions allowed to WRs2.016.5%2.7
56th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.017 games (2025) · 34 totalvs per completion · 24th pct · T-24 of 32season 2.0 (56th)17 games76th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.13 games (2026) · 8 totalneutralT-14/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-7/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
30+ yard receptions allowed to WRs0.75.8%1.3
39th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.817 games (2025) · 12 totalvs per completion · 23rd pct · 25 of 32season 0.7 (39th)17 games87th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.93 games (2026) · 4 totalsupports UNDERT-19/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-3/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
40+ yard receptions allowed to WRs0.53.9%0.3
89th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.317 games (2025) · 8 totalvs per completion · 81st pct · T-6 of 32season 0.5 (89th)17 games39th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.43 games (2026) · 1 totalsupports OVERT-3/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-14/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
yards after catch allowed to WRs65.25.439.0
100th percentile for most allowedleague avg 45.517 games (2025) · 1108 totalvs per reception · 100th pct · 1 of 32season 65.2 (100th)17 games23rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 45.03 games (2026) · 117 totalsupports OVER1/32 NFL defencessupports OVER25/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
air yards faced241.78.0249.7
52nd percentile for most facedleague avg 239.817 games (2025) · 4109 totalvs per target · 71st pct · 10 of 32season 241.7 (52nd)17 games45th percentile for most facedleague avg 248.73 games (2026) · 749 totalneutral16/32 NFL defencessupports OVER18/32 NFL defencesneutral
Josh Downs Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game3.624.00
SZN69th percentile for mostleague avg 2.8916 games (2025)vs last 5 · 80th pctseason 3.62 (69th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
yards per catch10.0815.29
SZN19th percentile for mostleague avg 12.9016 games (2025)vs last 5 · 84th pctseason 10.08 (19th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports OVER
air yards per target7.4710.86
SZN13th percentile for mostleague avg 11.2016 games (2025)vs last 5 · 46th pctseason 7.47 (13th)5 gamessupports UNDERneutral
20+ yard catches per game0.251.00
SZN21st percentile for mostleague avg 0.5316 games (2025)vs last 5 · 85th pctseason 0.25 (21st)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports OVER
19.5line
OVER-200bet365at 19.5
21.5line
OVER-120Bovadaat 21.5
UNDER-105Hard Rock Betat 21.5
22.5line
OVER-115bet365at 22.5
UNDER-115bet365at 22.5
29.5line
OVER+200bet365at 29.5
39.5line
OVER+400bet365at 39.5
49.5line
OVER+750bet365at 49.5
Receiving Yards
33 games loggedline62.5
receptions
WSH · what this defence allows
receiving yards allowed to WRs162.713.4191.0
84th percentile for most allowedleague avg 139.617 games (2025) · 2766 totalvs per reception · 84th pct · 6 of 32season 162.7 (84th)17 games94th percentile for most allowedleague avg 148.33 games (2026) · 573 totalsupports OVER6/32 NFL defencessupports OVER3/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
receptions allowed to WRs12.165.0%15.3
82nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 11.017 games (2025) · 206 totalvs per target · 81st pct · 7 of 32season 12.1 (82nd)17 games100th percentile for most allowedleague avg 11.33 games (2026) · 46 totalsupports OVERT-6/32 NFL defencessupports OVER1/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
receiving yards allowed257.112.5291.7
87th percentile for most allowedleague avg 225.017 games (2025) · 4371 totalvs per reception · 100th pct · 1 of 32season 257.1 (87th)17 games97th percentile for most allowedleague avg 231.33 games (2026) · 875 totalsupports OVER5/32 NFL defencessupports OVER2/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
yards after catch allowed to WRs65.25.439.0
100th percentile for most allowedleague avg 45.517 games (2025) · 1108 totalvs per reception · 100th pct · 1 of 32season 65.2 (100th)17 games23rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 45.03 games (2026) · 117 totalsupports OVER1/32 NFL defencessupports OVER25/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
Josh Downs Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game3.624.00
SZN69th percentile for mostleague avg 2.8916 games (2025)vs last 5 · 80th pctseason 3.62 (69th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
targets per game5.506.60
SZN65th percentile for mostleague avg 4.6816 games (2025)vs last 5 · 82nd pctseason 5.50 (65th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
target share17.3%20.9%
SZN63rd percentile for mostleague avg 15.1%16 games (2025)vs last 5 · 79th pctseason 17.3% (63rd)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
snap share58.7%72.8%
SZN47th percentile for mostleague avg 61.6%16 games (2025)vs last 5 · 69th pctseason 58.7% (47th)5 gamesneutralsupports OVER
19.5line
OVER-2500bet365at 19.5
29.5line
OVER-900bet365at 29.5
39.5line
OVER-450bet365at 39.5
49.5line
OVER-250bet365at 49.5
60.5line
OVER-115Hard Rock Betat 60.5
UNDER-105Fanaticsat 60.5
62.5line
OVER-110DraftKingsat 62.5
UNDER+100BetMGMat 62.5
63.5line
OVER-112BetOnline.agat 63.5
UNDER-115BetOnline.agat 63.5
64.5line
OVER-115bet365at 64.5
UNDER-115bet365at 64.5
66.5line
OVER-112betPARXat 66.5
UNDER-117betPARXat 66.5
69.5line
OVER+105bet365at 69.5
79.5line
OVER+155bet365at 79.5
89.5line
OVER+225bet365at 89.5
99.5line
OVER+320bet365at 99.5
109.5line
OVER+475bet365at 109.5
119.5line
OVER+600bet365at 119.5
129.5line
OVER+800bet365at 129.5
139.5line
OVER+900bet365at 139.5
149.5line
OVER+1150bet365at 149.5
Receptions
33 games loggedline5.5
targets
WSH · what this defence allows
receptions allowed to WRs12.165.0%15.3
82nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 11.017 games (2025) · 206 totalvs per target · 81st pct · 7 of 32season 12.1 (82nd)17 games100th percentile for most allowedleague avg 11.33 games (2026) · 46 totalsupports OVERT-6/32 NFL defencessupports OVER1/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
targets allowed to WRs18.618.620.7
69th percentile for most allowedleague avg 17.817 games (2025) · 317 totalseason 18.6no per-play form for this stat89th percentile for most allowedleague avg 18.23 games (2026) · 62 totalsupports OVERT-10/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-4/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
receptions allowed20.620.624.0
47th percentile for most allowedleague avg 20.617 games (2025) · 350 totalseason 20.6no per-play form for this stat90th percentile for most allowedleague avg 20.93 games (2026) · 72 totalneutralT-17/32 NFL defencesseason onlyT-3/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
Josh Downs Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game3.624.00
SZN69th percentile for mostleague avg 2.8916 games (2025)vs last 5 · 80th pctseason 3.62 (69th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
targets per game5.506.60
SZN65th percentile for mostleague avg 4.6816 games (2025)vs last 5 · 82nd pctseason 5.50 (65th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
target share17.3%20.9%
SZN63rd percentile for mostleague avg 15.1%16 games (2025)vs last 5 · 79th pctseason 17.3% (63rd)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
snap share58.7%72.8%
SZN47th percentile for mostleague avg 61.6%16 games (2025)vs last 5 · 69th pctseason 58.7% (47th)5 gamesneutralsupports OVER
1.5line
OVER-6579bet365at 1.5
2.5line
OVER-1401bet365at 2.5
3.5line
OVER-450bet365at 3.5
4.5line
OVER-190bet365at 4.5
5.5line
OVER+120bet365at 5.5
UNDER-141DraftKingsat 5.5
6.5line
OVER+210bet365at 6.5
7.5line
OVER+400bet365at 7.5
8.5line
OVER+700bet365at 8.5
9.5line
OVER+1000bet365at 9.5
Rush + Rec Yards
33 games loggedline65.5
touches
WSH · what this defence allows
receiving yards allowed to WRs162.713.4191.0
84th percentile for most allowedleague avg 139.617 games (2025) · 2766 totalvs per reception · 84th pct · 6 of 32season 162.7 (84th)17 games94th percentile for most allowedleague avg 148.33 games (2026) · 573 totalsupports OVER6/32 NFL defencessupports OVER3/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
rushing yards allowed to WRs6.37.70.3
77th percentile for most allowedleague avg 3.717 games (2025) · 108 totalvs per carry · 87th pct · 5 of 32season 6.3 (77th)17 games42nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.43 games (2026) · 1 totalsupports OVER8/32 NFL defencessupports OVER19/32 NFL defencesneutral
receiving yards allowed257.112.5291.7
87th percentile for most allowedleague avg 225.017 games (2025) · 4371 totalvs per reception · 100th pct · 1 of 32season 257.1 (87th)17 games97th percentile for most allowedleague avg 231.33 games (2026) · 875 totalsupports OVER5/32 NFL defencessupports OVER2/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
yards after catch allowed to WRs65.25.439.0
100th percentile for most allowedleague avg 45.517 games (2025) · 1108 totalvs per reception · 100th pct · 1 of 32season 65.2 (100th)17 games23rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 45.03 games (2026) · 117 totalsupports OVER1/32 NFL defencessupports OVER25/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
Josh Downs Breakdown · his own data
touches per game3.754.20
no comparison available16 games (2025)vs last 5season 3.755 gamesneutralneutral
targets per game5.506.60
SZN65th percentile for mostleague avg 4.6816 games (2025)vs last 5 · 82nd pctseason 5.50 (65th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
snap share58.7%72.8%
SZN47th percentile for mostleague avg 61.6%16 games (2025)vs last 5 · 69th pctseason 58.7% (47th)5 gamesneutralsupports OVER
49.5line
OVER-260bet365at 49.5
65.5line
OVER-115bet365at 65.5
UNDER-115bet365at 65.5
74.5line
OVER+120bet365at 74.5
99.5line
OVER+320bet365at 99.5
124.5line
OVER+700bet365at 124.5
149.5line
OVER+1150bet365at 149.5
Rushing Attempts
33 games loggedline0.5
snap share
WSH · what this defence allows
carries allowed to WRs0.82.8%0.3
73rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.717 games (2025) · 14 totalvs share of carries · 66th pct · T-11 of 32season 0.8 (73rd)17 games47th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.53 games (2026) · 1 totalsupports OVERT-9/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-13/32 NFL defencesneutral
runs faced26.842.4%17.7
87th percentile for most run againstleague avg 24.117 games (2025) · 455 totalvs per play · 77th pct · 8 of 32season 26.8 (87th)17 games6th percentile for most run againstleague avg 24.03 games (2026) · 53 totalsupports OVER5/32 NFL defencessupports OVER30/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
rushing yards allowed to WRs6.37.70.3
77th percentile for most allowedleague avg 3.717 games (2025) · 108 totalvs per carry · 87th pct · 5 of 32season 6.3 (77th)17 games42nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.43 games (2026) · 1 totalsupports OVER8/32 NFL defencessupports OVER19/32 NFL defencesneutral
Josh Downs Breakdown · his own data
snap share58.7%72.8%
SZN47th percentile for mostleague avg 61.6%16 games (2025)vs last 5 · 69th pctseason 58.7% (47th)5 gamesneutralsupports OVER
rushing yards per game-0.12-1.00
SZN4th percentile for mostleague avg 0.9716 games (2025)vs last 5 · 0th pctseason -0.12 (4th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
yards per carrythin-1.00-1.00
SZN7th percentile for mostleague avg 5.22thin sample: 2 games (2025)vs last 5 · 7th pctseason -1.00 (7th)3 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
0.5line
OVER+195bet365at 0.5
UNDER-260bet365at 0.5
Rushing Yards
33 games loggedline0.5
carries
WSH · what this defence allows
rushing yards allowed to WRs6.37.70.3
77th percentile for most allowedleague avg 3.717 games (2025) · 108 totalvs per carry · 87th pct · 5 of 32season 6.3 (77th)17 games42nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.43 games (2026) · 1 totalsupports OVER8/32 NFL defencessupports OVER19/32 NFL defencesneutral
carries allowed to WRs0.82.8%0.3
73rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.717 games (2025) · 14 totalvs share of carries · 66th pct · T-11 of 32season 0.8 (73rd)17 games47th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.53 games (2026) · 1 totalsupports OVERT-9/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-13/32 NFL defencesneutral
runs faced26.842.4%17.7
87th percentile for most run againstleague avg 24.117 games (2025) · 455 totalvs per play · 77th pct · 8 of 32season 26.8 (87th)17 games6th percentile for most run againstleague avg 24.03 games (2026) · 53 totalsupports OVER5/32 NFL defencessupports OVER30/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
runs stuffed at the line4.215.8%5.3
45th percentile for most stuffsleague avg 4.317 games (2025) · 72 totalvs per carry · 23rd pct · 25 of 32season 4.2 (45th)17 games82nd percentile for most stuffsleague avg 4.23 games (2026) · 16 totalneutral18/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-6/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
Josh Downs Breakdown · his own data
yards per carrythin-1.00-1.00
SZN7th percentile for mostleague avg 5.22thin sample: 2 games (2025)vs last 5 · 7th pctseason -1.00 (7th)3 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
0.5line
OVER+265bet365at 0.5
UNDER-365bet365at 0.5
odds snapshot · pulled 10:03 AM EDT on Thu, Oct 1 · not live pricing