Base market snapshot from 10:03 AM EDT on Thu, Oct 1. bet365 refreshed separately at 2:04 PM EDT. Check your book before acting on anything here.
Josh Whyle
GBGreen Bay Packers @ Tampa Bay BuccaneersSun 1:00 PM
Whyle on the fieldred zone touches per game 0.17red zone targets per game 0.17receptions per game 0.83
Anytime TD
21 games loggedline0.5
red zone touches
TB · what this defence allows
TDs allowed to TEs0.70.70.7
94th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.417 games (2025) · 12 totalseason 0.7no per-play form for this stat66th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.63 games (2026) · 2 totalsupports OVER3/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-8/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
red zone targets allowed to TEs1.11.11.3
42nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 1.217 games (2025) · 19 totalseason 1.1no per-play form for this stat63rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 1.23 games (2026) · 4 totalneutral19/32 NFL defencesseason onlyT-9/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
touchdowns allowed2.72.71.7
69th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.417 games (2025) · 46 totalseason 2.7no per-play form for this stat16th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.53 games (2026) · 5 totalsupports OVERT-10/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-24/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
Josh Whyle Breakdown · his own data
red zone touches per game0.170.00
SZN26th percentile for mostleague avg 0.406 games (2025)vs last 5 · 3rd pctseason 0.17 (26th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
red zone targets per game0.170.00
SZN15th percentile for mostleague avg 0.596 games (2025)vs last 5 · 2nd pctseason 0.17 (15th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
receptions per game0.830.80
SZN2nd percentile for mostleague avg 2.556 games (2025)vs last 5 · 1st pctseason 0.83 (2nd)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
0.5line
OVER+3000BetMGMat 0.5
odds snapshot · pulled 10:03 AM EDT on Thu, Oct 1 · not live pricing