Base market snapshot from 1:01 PM EDT on Thu, Oct 1. bet365 refreshed separately at 5:02 PM EDT. Check your book before acting on anything here.
Josiah Thomas
NMSUWestern Kentucky Hilltoppers @ New Mexico State AggiesThu 8:00 PM
Thomas on the fieldreceptions per game 2.00
Anytime TD
5 games loggedline0.5
touches
WKU · what this defence allows
TDs allowed to TEs0.10.10.7
45th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.29 games (2025) · 1 totalseason 0.1no per-play form for this stat88th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.33 games (2026) · 2 totalneutral78/141 FBS defencesseason onlyT-8/123 FBS defencessupports OVER
receptions allowed to TEs2.92.91.3
96th percentile for most allowedleague avg 1.69 games (2025) · 26 totalseason 2.9no per-play form for this stat9th percentile for most allowedleague avg 3.23 games (2026) · 4 totalsupports OVER6/141 FBS defencessupports OVERT-110/123 FBS defencessupports UNDER
touchdowns allowed2.32.36.7
18th percentile for most allowedleague avg 3.19 games (2025) · 21 totalseason 2.3no per-play form for this stat99th percentile for most allowedleague avg 3.13 games (2026) · 20 totalsupports UNDERT-115/141 FBS defencessupports UNDER2/123 FBS defencessupports OVER
Josiah Thomas Breakdown · his own data
receptions per gamethin2.002.80
SZN47th percentile for mostleague avg 2.22thin sample: 1 games (2025)vs last 5 · 77th pctseason 2.00 (47th)5 gamesneutralsupports OVER
0.5line
OVER+525bet365at 0.5
Receiving Yards
5 games loggedline27.5
receptions
WKU · what this defence allows
receiving yards allowed223.812.1234.0
48th percentile for most allowedleague avg 223.19 games (2025) · 2014 totalvs per reception · 68th pct · 46 of 141season 223.8 (48th)9 games61st percentile for most allowedleague avg 226.53 games (2026) · 702 totalneutral74/141 FBS defencessupports OVERT-48/123 FBS defencessupports OVER
receptions allowed18.418.414.7
36th percentile for most allowedleague avg 19.09 games (2025) · 166 totalseason 18.4no per-play form for this stat8th percentile for most allowedleague avg 19.23 games (2026) · 44 totalsupports UNDER90/141 FBS defencessupports UNDERT-113/123 FBS defencessupports UNDER
Josiah Thomas Breakdown · his own data
receptions per gamethin2.002.80
SZN47th percentile for mostleague avg 2.22thin sample: 1 games (2025)vs last 5 · 77th pctseason 2.00 (47th)5 gamesneutralsupports OVER
19.5line
OVER-200bet365at 19.5
26.5line
OVER-115bet365at 26.5
UNDER-115bet365at 26.5
27.5line
OVER-120Hard Rock Betat 27.5
UNDER-110Hard Rock Betat 27.5
28.5line
OVER-114BetOnline.agat 28.5
UNDER-114BetOnline.agat 28.5
29.5line
OVER+105bet365at 29.5
39.5line
OVER+200bet365at 39.5
49.5line
OVER+350bet365at 49.5
59.5line
OVER+600bet365at 59.5
69.5line
OVER+875bet365at 69.5
79.5line
OVER+1200bet365at 79.5
89.5line
OVER+1700bet365at 89.5
Receptions
5 games loggedline2.5
receiving yards
WKU · what this defence allows
completions allowed18.454.6%14.7
36th percentile for most allowedleague avg 19.09 games (2025) · 166 totalvs per attempt · 4th pct · 135 of 141season 18.4 (36th)9 games8th percentile for most allowedleague avg 19.23 games (2026) · 44 totalsupports UNDER90/141 FBS defencessupports UNDERT-113/123 FBS defencessupports UNDER
Josiah Thomas Breakdown · his own data
receptions per gamethin2.002.80
SZN47th percentile for mostleague avg 2.22thin sample: 1 games (2025)vs last 5 · 77th pctseason 2.00 (47th)5 gamesneutralsupports OVER
2.5line
OVER-140bet365at 2.5
UNDER+119BetOnline.agat 2.5
odds snapshot · pulled 1:01 PM EDT on Thu, Oct 1 · not live pricing