Base market snapshot from 10:03 AM EDT on Thu, Oct 1. bet365 refreshed separately at 2:26 PM EDT. Check your book before acting on anything here.
Justin Herbert
LACLos Angeles Chargers @ Seattle SeahawksSun 4:25 PM
Herbert on the fieldred zone touches per game 0.88carries per game 5.19
Anytime TD
38 games loggedline0.5
red zone touches
SEA · what this defence allows
TDs allowed to QBs0.20.20.0
44th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.217 games (2025) · 3 totalseason 0.2no per-play form for this stat27th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.23 games (2026) · 0 totalneutralT-15/32 NFL defencesseason onlyT-15/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
red zone carries allowed to QBs0.70.70.7
29th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.817 games (2025) · 11 totalseason 0.7no per-play form for this stat45th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.93 games (2026) · 2 totalsupports UNDERT-21/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-14/32 NFL defencesneutral
touchdowns allowed1.71.71.7
5th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.417 games (2025) · 29 totalseason 1.7no per-play form for this stat16th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.53 games (2026) · 5 totalsupports UNDERT-30/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-24/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
Justin Herbert Breakdown · his own data
red zone touches per game0.881.20
SZN69th percentile for mostleague avg 0.7216 games (2025)vs last 5 · 79th pctseason 0.88 (69th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
carries per game5.195.20
SZN86th percentile for mostleague avg 3.5516 games (2025)vs last 5 · 86th pctseason 5.19 (86th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
0.5line
OVER+600Bovadaat 0.5
Completions
38 games loggedline18.5
pass attempts
SEA · what this defence allows
completions allowed22.162.5%19.7
73rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 20.617 games (2025) · 375 totalvs per attempt · 26th pct · 24 of 32season 22.1 (73rd)17 games32nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 20.93 games (2026) · 59 totalsupports OVERT-9/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-20/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
dropbacks faced40.865.3%36.0
87th percentile for most facedleague avg 36.517 games (2025) · 693 totalvs per play · 94th pct · 3 of 32season 40.8 (87th)17 games50th percentile for most facedleague avg 36.73 games (2026) · 108 totalsupports OVER5/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-16/32 NFL defencesneutral
sacks per dropback6.8%6.8%6.5%
61st percentile for highest sack rateleague avg 6.5%17 games (2025)vs per dropback · 61st pct · 13 of 32season 6.8% (61st)17 games55th percentile for highest sack rateleague avg 5.9%3 games (2026)supports UNDER13/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER15/32 NFL defencesneutral
Justin Herbert Breakdown · his own data
pass attempts per game32.0029.80
SZN76th percentile for mostleague avg 28.2816 games (2025)vs last 5 · 55th pctseason 32.00 (76th)5 gamessupports OVERneutral
passing yards per game232.94232.60
SZN76th percentile for mostleague avg 198.1016 games (2025)vs last 5 · 74th pctseason 232.94 (76th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
18.5line
OVER-105bet365at 18.5
UNDER+100Bovadaat 18.5
19.5line
OVER+140bet365at 19.5
24.5line
OVER+650bet365at 24.5
Interceptions
38 games loggedline0.5
pass attempts
SEA · what this defence allows
interceptions forced1.13.0%1.3
87th percentile for most forcedleague avg 0.717 games (2025) · 18 totalvs per attempt · 84th pct · T-5 of 32season 1.1 (87th)17 games94th percentile for most forcedleague avg 0.73 games (2026) · 4 totalsupports OVER5/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-1/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
completions allowed22.162.5%19.7
73rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 20.617 games (2025) · 375 totalvs per attempt · 26th pct · 24 of 32season 22.1 (73rd)17 games32nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 20.93 games (2026) · 59 totalsupports OVERT-9/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-20/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
passing yards allowed212.96.0152.0
35th percentile for most allowedleague avg 225.017 games (2025) · 3619 totalvs per attempt · 0th pct · 32 of 32season 212.9 (35th)17 games0th percentile for most allowedleague avg 231.33 games (2026) · 456 totalsupports UNDER21/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER32/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
Justin Herbert Breakdown · his own data
pass attempts per game32.0029.80
SZN76th percentile for mostleague avg 28.2816 games (2025)vs last 5 · 55th pctseason 32.00 (76th)5 gamessupports OVERneutral
completions per game21.2519.20
SZN80th percentile for mostleague avg 18.1616 games (2025)vs last 5 · 48th pctseason 21.25 (80th)5 gamessupports OVERneutral
0.5line
OVER-123BetOnline.agat 0.5
UNDER+118betPARXat 0.5
1.5line
OVER+350bet365at 1.5
2.5line
OVER+1000bet365at 2.5
Longest Completion
38 games loggedline32.5
pass attempts
SEA · what this defence allows
20+ yard receptions allowed2.611.7%0.7
31st percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.917 games (2025) · 44 totalvs per completion · 18th pct · T-26 of 32season 2.6 (31st)17 games0th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.93 games (2026) · 2 totalsupports UNDERT-22/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER32/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
30+ yard receptions allowed0.52.4%0.3
0th percentile for most allowedleague avg 1.017 games (2025) · 9 totalvs per completion · 0th pct · 32 of 32season 0.5 (0th)17 games10th percentile for most allowedleague avg 1.13 games (2026) · 1 totalsupports UNDER32/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-26/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
40+ yard receptions allowed0.41.9%0.0
53rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.417 games (2025) · 7 totalvs per completion · 47th pct · T-17 of 32season 0.4 (53rd)17 games5th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.63 games (2026) · 0 totalneutralT-13/32 NFL defencesneutralT-29/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
yards after catch allowed116.55.382.0
74th percentile for most allowedleague avg 106.017 games (2025) · 1980 totalvs per reception · 65th pct · 12 of 32season 116.5 (74th)17 games3rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 104.73 games (2026) · 246 totalsupports OVER9/32 NFL defencessupports OVER31/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
air yards faced230.76.8180.7
42nd percentile for most facedleague avg 239.817 games (2025) · 3921 totalvs per target · 3rd pct · 31 of 32season 230.7 (42nd)17 games6th percentile for most facedleague avg 248.73 games (2026) · 542 totalneutral19/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER30/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
Justin Herbert Breakdown · his own data
pass attempts per game32.0029.80
SZN76th percentile for mostleague avg 28.2816 games (2025)vs last 5 · 55th pctseason 32.00 (76th)5 gamessupports OVERneutral
completions per game21.2519.20
SZN80th percentile for mostleague avg 18.1616 games (2025)vs last 5 · 48th pctseason 21.25 (80th)5 gamessupports OVERneutral
19.5line
OVER-1600bet365at 19.5
29.5line
OVER-165bet365at 29.5
31.5line
OVER-110Bovadaat 31.5
UNDER-118DraftKingsat 31.5
32.5line
OVER-110Hard Rock Betat 32.5
UNDER-115bet365at 32.5
39.5line
OVER+165bet365at 39.5
49.5line
OVER+400bet365at 49.5
59.5line
OVER+750bet365at 59.5
Longest Rush
38 games loggedline10.5
carries
SEA · what this defence allows
10+ yard rushes allowed to QBs0.620.0%0.7
45th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.617 games (2025) · 10 totalvs per carry · 73rd pct · T-8 of 32season 0.6 (45th)17 games61st percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.63 games (2026) · 2 totalneutralT-15/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-8/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
20+ yard rushes allowed (all positions)0.31.2%0.0
3rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.617 games (2025) · 5 totalvs per carry · 3rd pct · T-30 of 32season 0.3 (3rd)17 games16th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.53 games (2026) · 0 totalsupports UNDERT-30/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-22/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
yards per carry allowed to QBs6.06.06.1
77th percentile for most allowedleague avg 5.617 games (2025)vs per carry · 77th pct · 8 of 32season 6.0 (77th)17 games65th percentile for most allowedleague avg 5.73 games (2026)supports OVER8/32 NFL defencessupports OVER12/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
runs stuffed at the line4.420.4%5.7
60th percentile for most stuffsleague avg 4.317 games (2025) · 75 totalvs per carry · 81st pct · 7 of 32season 4.4 (60th)17 games89th percentile for most stuffsleague avg 4.23 games (2026) · 17 totalsupports UNDERT-13/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-4/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
Justin Herbert Breakdown · his own data
carries per game5.195.20
SZN86th percentile for mostleague avg 3.5516 games (2025)vs last 5 · 86th pctseason 5.19 (86th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
yards per carry6.494.43
SZN90th percentile for mostleague avg 4.2716 games (2025)vs last 5 · 50th pctseason 6.49 (90th)5 gamessupports OVERneutral
10+ yard runs per game1.000.60
SZN85th percentile for mostleague avg 0.5516 games (2025)vs last 5 · 56th pctseason 1.00 (85th)5 gamessupports OVERneutral
snap share96.8%100.0%
SZN76th percentile for mostleague avg 87.6%16 games (2025)vs last 5 · 100th pctseason 96.8% (76th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
9.5line
OVER-190bet365at 9.5
10.5line
OVER-120Hard Rock Betat 10.5
UNDER-107DraftKingsat 10.5
11.5line
OVER-115bet365at 11.5
UNDER-115bet365at 11.5
19.5line
OVER+400bet365at 19.5
29.5line
OVER+800bet365at 29.5
39.5line
OVER+1100bet365at 39.5
Passing Attempts
38 games loggedline29.5
completions
SEA · what this defence allows
pass attempts faced35.335.330.7
87th percentile for most facedleague avg 32.117 games (2025) · 600 totalseason 35.3no per-play form for this stat32nd percentile for most facedleague avg 32.53 games (2026) · 92 totalsupports OVER5/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-21/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
pass rate faced65.3%65.3%61.0%
94th percentile for most passed againstleague avg 60.2%17 games (2025)season 65.3%no per-play form for this stat52nd percentile for most passed againstleague avg 60.4%3 games (2026)supports OVER3/32 NFL defencessupports OVER16/32 NFL defencesneutral
pass rate over expected faced-0.2%-0.2%0.6%
76th percentile for most passed againstleague avg -2.2%17 games (2025)season -0.2%no per-play form for this stat74th percentile for most passed againstleague avg -2.0%3 games (2026)supports OVERT-8/32 NFL defencessupports OVER9/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
plays faced62.462.459.0
81st percentile for most facedleague avg 60.617 games (2025) · 1061 totalseason 62.4no per-play form for this stat35th percentile for most facedleague avg 60.73 games (2026) · 177 totalsupports OVER7/32 NFL defencessupports OVER21/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
sacks per dropback6.8%6.8%6.5%
61st percentile for highest sack rateleague avg 6.5%17 games (2025)season 6.8%no per-play form for this stat55th percentile for highest sack rateleague avg 5.9%3 games (2026)supports UNDER13/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER15/32 NFL defencesneutral
Justin Herbert Breakdown · his own data
completions per game21.2519.20
SZN80th percentile for mostleague avg 18.1616 games (2025)vs last 5 · 48th pctseason 21.25 (80th)5 gamessupports OVERneutral
passing yards per game232.94232.60
SZN76th percentile for mostleague avg 198.1016 games (2025)vs last 5 · 74th pctseason 232.94 (76th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
19.5line
OVER-3300bet365at 19.5
24.5line
OVER-550bet365at 24.5
29.5line
OVER-120bet365at 29.5
UNDER+100theScore Betat 29.5
30.5line
OVER+100betPARXat 30.5
UNDER-123BetOnline.agat 30.5
34.5line
OVER+250bet365at 34.5
39.5line
OVER+700bet365at 39.5
Passing Touchdowns
38 games loggedline0.5
pass attempts
SEA · what this defence allows
passing TDs allowed1.23.3%1.7
23rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 1.517 games (2025) · 20 totalvs per attempt · 10th pct · 29 of 32season 1.2 (23rd)17 games58th percentile for most allowedleague avg 1.63 games (2026) · 5 totalsupports UNDERT-24/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-11/32 NFL defencesneutral
red zone trips allowed3.150.0%2.0
48th percentile for most allowedleague avg 3.217 games (2025) · 52 totalvs TD rate · 13th pct · 28 of 32season 3.1 (48th)17 games3rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 3.33 games (2026) · 6 totalneutralT-15/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER31/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
passing yards allowed212.96.0152.0
35th percentile for most allowedleague avg 225.017 games (2025) · 3619 totalvs per attempt · 0th pct · 32 of 32season 212.9 (35th)17 games0th percentile for most allowedleague avg 231.33 games (2026) · 456 totalsupports UNDER21/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER32/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
Justin Herbert Breakdown · his own data
pass attempts per game32.0029.80
SZN76th percentile for mostleague avg 28.2816 games (2025)vs last 5 · 55th pctseason 32.00 (76th)5 gamessupports OVERneutral
completions per game21.2519.20
SZN80th percentile for mostleague avg 18.1616 games (2025)vs last 5 · 48th pctseason 21.25 (80th)5 gamessupports OVERneutral
0.5line
OVER-230FanDuelat 0.5
UNDER+200DraftKingsat 0.5
1.5line
OVER+210bet365at 1.5
2.5line
OVER+800bet365at 2.5
Passing Yards
38 games loggedline198.5
completions
SEA · what this defence allows
passing yards allowed212.96.0152.0
35th percentile for most allowedleague avg 225.017 games (2025) · 3619 totalvs per attempt · 0th pct · 32 of 32season 212.9 (35th)17 games0th percentile for most allowedleague avg 231.33 games (2026) · 456 totalsupports UNDER21/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER32/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
dropbacks faced40.865.3%36.0
87th percentile for most facedleague avg 36.517 games (2025) · 693 totalvs per play · 94th pct · 3 of 32season 40.8 (87th)17 games50th percentile for most facedleague avg 36.73 games (2026) · 108 totalsupports OVER5/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-16/32 NFL defencesneutral
sacks per dropback6.8%6.8%6.5%
61st percentile for highest sack rateleague avg 6.5%17 games (2025)vs per dropback · 61st pct · 13 of 32season 6.8% (61st)17 games55th percentile for highest sack rateleague avg 5.9%3 games (2026)supports UNDER13/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER15/32 NFL defencesneutral
Justin Herbert Breakdown · his own data
pass attempts per game32.0029.80
SZN76th percentile for mostleague avg 28.2816 games (2025)vs last 5 · 55th pctseason 32.00 (76th)5 gamessupports OVERneutral
completions per game21.2519.20
SZN80th percentile for mostleague avg 18.1616 games (2025)vs last 5 · 48th pctseason 21.25 (80th)5 gamessupports OVERneutral
149.5line
OVER-400bet365at 149.5
174.5line
OVER-185bet365at 174.5
192.5line
OVER-115bet365at 192.5
UNDER-115bet365at 192.5
197.5line
OVER-115Bally Betat 197.5
UNDER-113betPARXat 197.5
198.5line
OVER-113DraftKingsat 198.5
UNDER-111DraftKingsat 198.5
199.5line
OVER+110bet365at 199.5
UNDER-115theScore Betat 199.5
224.5line
OVER+200bet365at 224.5
249.5line
OVER+400bet365at 249.5
274.5line
OVER+650bet365at 274.5
299.5line
OVER+1000bet365at 299.5
Rushing Attempts
38 games loggedline4.5
snap share
SEA · what this defence allows
carries allowed to QBs3.413.9%4.3
15th percentile for most allowedleague avg 4.217 games (2025) · 58 totalvs share of carries · 24th pct · T-24 of 32season 3.4 (15th)17 games68th percentile for most allowedleague avg 4.03 games (2026) · 13 totalsupports UNDERT-26/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-10/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
runs faced21.634.7%23.0
16th percentile for most run againstleague avg 24.117 games (2025) · 368 totalvs per play · 6th pct · 30 of 32season 21.6 (16th)17 games37th percentile for most run againstleague avg 24.03 games (2026) · 69 totalsupports UNDER27/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-20/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
rushing yards allowed to QBs17.25.021.7
45th percentile for most allowedleague avg 18.017 games (2025) · 292 totalvs per carry · 90th pct · 4 of 32season 17.2 (45th)17 games73rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 17.73 games (2026) · 65 totalneutral18/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-9/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
Justin Herbert Breakdown · his own data
snap share96.8%100.0%
SZN76th percentile for mostleague avg 87.6%16 games (2025)vs last 5 · 100th pctseason 96.8% (76th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
rushing yards per game31.1225.40
SZN88th percentile for mostleague avg 16.1916 games (2025)vs last 5 · 76th pctseason 31.12 (88th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
yards per carry6.494.43
SZN90th percentile for mostleague avg 4.2716 games (2025)vs last 5 · 50th pctseason 6.49 (90th)5 gamessupports OVERneutral
4.5line
OVER-125bet365at 4.5
UNDER-105bet365at 4.5
9.5line
OVER+1000bet365at 9.5
Rushing Yards
38 games loggedline21.5
carries
SEA · what this defence allows
rushing yards allowed to QBs17.25.021.7
45th percentile for most allowedleague avg 18.017 games (2025) · 292 totalvs per carry · 90th pct · 4 of 32season 17.2 (45th)17 games73rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 17.73 games (2026) · 65 totalneutral18/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-9/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
carries allowed to QBs3.413.9%4.3
15th percentile for most allowedleague avg 4.217 games (2025) · 58 totalvs share of carries · 24th pct · T-24 of 32season 3.4 (15th)17 games68th percentile for most allowedleague avg 4.03 games (2026) · 13 totalsupports UNDERT-26/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-10/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
runs faced21.634.7%23.0
16th percentile for most run againstleague avg 24.117 games (2025) · 368 totalvs per play · 6th pct · 30 of 32season 21.6 (16th)17 games37th percentile for most run againstleague avg 24.03 games (2026) · 69 totalsupports UNDER27/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-20/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
runs stuffed at the line4.420.4%5.7
60th percentile for most stuffsleague avg 4.317 games (2025) · 75 totalvs per carry · 81st pct · 7 of 32season 4.4 (60th)17 games89th percentile for most stuffsleague avg 4.23 games (2026) · 17 totalsupports UNDERT-13/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-4/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
Justin Herbert Breakdown · his own data
carries per game5.195.20
SZN86th percentile for mostleague avg 3.5516 games (2025)vs last 5 · 86th pctseason 5.19 (86th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
yards per carry6.494.43
SZN90th percentile for mostleague avg 4.2716 games (2025)vs last 5 · 50th pctseason 6.49 (90th)5 gamessupports OVERneutral
19.5line
OVER-190bet365at 19.5
21.5line
OVER-114DraftKingsat 21.5
UNDER-110betPARXat 21.5
24.5line
OVER-115bet365at 24.5
UNDER-115bet365at 24.5
29.5line
OVER+125bet365at 29.5
39.5line
OVER+250bet365at 39.5
49.5line
OVER+475bet365at 49.5
59.5line
OVER+700bet365at 59.5
69.5line
OVER+900bet365at 69.5
79.5line
OVER+1150bet365at 79.5
odds snapshot · pulled 10:03 AM EDT on Thu, Oct 1 · not live pricing