Justin Jefferson

MIN · NFLLBIND @ MINSun 1:00 PM
FacingIndianapolis Coltsdefence262.5 receiving yards allowed (2025) · ranks 2 of 32 NFL defences

Prices last pulled 6:12 AM ET

Anytime TD

39 games logged

Justin Jefferson Anytime TD · 39 games logged

3 of 20 (15%) scored a touchdown over his last 20 · to score +175 Fanatics · prices from

line0.5
1+ TD
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
1

quoted at 0.5: O +175 (Fanatics) · no under

9/14vs ATL9/21vs CIN9/28@ PIT10/5@ CLE10/19vs PHI10/23@ LAC11/2@ DET11/9vs BAL11/16vs CHI11/23@ GB11/30@ SEA12/7vs WAS12/14@ DAL12/21@ NYG12/25vs DET1/4vs GB9/13vs GB9/20@ CHI9/27@ TB10/11@ NO

latest1 Sun, Oct 11, 2026 · @ NO

TD

3 of 20 (15%) cleared 0.5 over his last 20

red zone touchesno range set0.3 avg over the 20 charted
by window, any range:last 50.6last 100.4last 200.3last 300.620260.820250.320240.8all0.6

Anytime TD: Breakdowns

Justin Jefferson Breakdown · his own data
red zone target share24.7%31.6%38.5%
no comparison available2026 comparison coming: 3 games with red zone data on file
16 games with red zone data (2025)4 regular-season games with red zone data (last 5)2026 season 38.5%3 games with red zone data (2026)neutralneutral
red zone rush share0.0%0.0%0.0%
no comparison availablelast 5 not on file2026 comparison coming: 2 games with red zone data on file
16 games with red zone data (2025)3 regular-season games with red zone data (last 5)2026 season 0.0%2 games with red zone data (2026)neutralneutral
red zone touch share5.2%9.1%11.5%
no comparison available2026 comparison coming: 2 games with red zone data on file
17 games with red zone data (2025)3 regular-season games with red zone data (last 5)2026 season 11.5%2 games with red zone data (2026)neutralneutral
IND · what this defence allows
touchdowns allowed2.42.22.7
SZN
48th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.417 games (2025) · 40 total48th percentileleague avg 2.55 games (last 5)2026 season 2.761st percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.56 games (2026) · 16 totalneutralT-16/32 NFL defencesneutralT-11/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
passing TDs allowed1.41.81.7
SZN
37th percentile for most allowedleague avg 1.517 games (2025) · 24 total71st percentileleague avg 1.55 games (last 5)2026 season 1.766th percentile for most allowedleague avg 1.56 games (2026) · 10 totalsupports UNDERT-20/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-10/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
receptions allowed23.419.819.3
SZN
94th percentile for most allowedleague avg 20.617 games (2025) · 397 total23rd percentileleague avg 21.65 games (last 5)2026 season 19.319th percentile for most allowedleague avg 21.66 games (2026) · 116 totalsupports OVER3/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER26/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
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Receptions

39 games logged

Justin Jefferson Receptions · 39 games logged

8 of 20 (40%) cleared 5.5 over his last 20 · over −130 Hard Rock Bet · under +120 bet365 · pull times beside each book

line5.5
5.5
3
5
10
7
5
7
6
4
5
4
2
2
2
6
4
8
8
3
2
6

quoted at 5.5: O -130 (Hard Rock Bet) · U +120 (bet365)

9/14vs ATL9/21vs CIN9/28@ PIT10/5@ CLE10/19vs PHI10/23@ LAC11/2@ DET11/9vs BAL11/16vs CHI11/23@ GB11/30@ SEA12/7vs WAS12/14@ DAL12/21@ NYG12/25vs DET1/4vs GB9/13vs GB9/20@ CHI9/27@ TB10/11@ NO

latest6 Sun, Oct 11, 2026 · @ NO

5.5

8 of 20 (40%) cleared 5.5 over his last 20

targetsno range set7.9 avg over the 20 charted
by window, any range:last 57.0last 106.6last 207.9last 308.320266.020258.320249.0all8.4

Receptions: Breakdowns

IND · what this defence allows
completions allowed23.419.819.3
SZN
94th percentile for most allowedleague avg 20.617 games (2025) · 397 total23rd percentileleague avg 21.65 games (last 5)2026 season 19.319th percentile for most allowedleague avg 21.66 games (2026) · 116 totalsupports OVER3/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER26/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
dropbacks faced40.835.834.7
SZN
90th percentile for most facedleague avg 36.517 games (2025) · 694 total31st percentileleague avg 38.05 games (last 5)2026 season 34.719th percentile for most facedleague avg 38.06 games (2026) · 208 totalsupports OVER4/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER26/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
yards after catch allowed114.7108.2118.3
SZN
71st percentile for most allowedleague avg 106.017 games (2025) · 1950 total61st percentileleague avg 108.15 games (last 5)2026 season 118.377th percentile for most allowedleague avg 108.16 games (2026) · 710 totalsupports OVER10/32 NFL defencessupports OVER8/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
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Receiving Yards

39 games logged

Justin Jefferson Receiving Yards · 39 games logged

10 of 20 (50%) cleared 71.5 over his last 20 · over −113 betPARX · under −111 DraftKings · prices from

line71.5
71.5
81
75
126
123
79
74
47
37
61
48
4
11
22
85
30
101
92
55
32
79

quoted at 71.5: O -113 (betPARX) · U -111 (DraftKings)

9/14vs ATL9/21vs CIN9/28@ PIT10/5@ CLE10/19vs PHI10/23@ LAC11/2@ DET11/9vs BAL11/16vs CHI11/23@ GB11/30@ SEA12/7vs WAS12/14@ DAL12/21@ NYG12/25vs DET1/4vs GB9/13vs GB9/20@ CHI9/27@ TB10/11@ NO

latest79 Sun, Oct 11, 2026 · @ NO

71.5

10 of 20 (50%) cleared 71.5 over his last 20

receptionsno range set5.0 avg over the 20 charted
by window, any range:last 55.4last 104.3last 205.0last 305.320264.820254.920246.0all5.4

Receiving Yards: Breakdowns

IND · what this defence allows
receiving yards allowed262.5223.6240.3
SZN
97th percentile for most allowedleague avg 225.017 games (2025) · 4462 total26th percentileleague avg 236.35 games (last 5)2026 season 240.361st percentile for most allowedleague avg 236.36 games (2026) · 1442 totalsupports OVER2/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER13/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
receptions allowed23.419.819.3
SZN
94th percentile for most allowedleague avg 20.617 games (2025) · 397 total23rd percentileleague avg 21.65 games (last 5)2026 season 19.319th percentile for most allowedleague avg 21.66 games (2026) · 116 totalsupports OVER3/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER26/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
yards after catch allowed114.7108.2118.3
SZN
71st percentile for most allowedleague avg 106.017 games (2025) · 1950 total61st percentileleague avg 108.15 games (last 5)2026 season 118.377th percentile for most allowedleague avg 108.16 games (2026) · 710 totalsupports OVER10/32 NFL defencessupports OVER8/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
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Longest Reception

39 games logged

Justin Jefferson Longest Reception · 39 games logged

8 of 20 (40%) cleared 24.5 over his last 20 · over −109 Bally Bet · under −110 bet365 · pull times beside each book

line24.5
24.5
50
36
29
38
40
17
21
11
27
19
8
13
12
21
10
18
39
30
22
21

quoted at 24.5: O -109 (Bally Bet) · U -110 (bet365)

9/14vs ATL9/21vs CIN9/28@ PIT10/5@ CLE10/19vs PHI10/23@ LAC11/2@ DET11/9vs BAL11/16vs CHI11/23@ GB11/30@ SEA12/7vs WAS12/14@ DAL12/21@ NYG12/25vs DET1/4vs GB9/13vs GB9/20@ CHI9/27@ TB10/11@ NO

latest21 Sun, Oct 11, 2026 · @ NO

24.5

8 of 20 (40%) cleared 24.5 over his last 20

targetsno range set7.9 avg over the 20 charted
by window, any range:last 57.0last 106.6last 207.9last 308.320266.020258.320249.0all8.4

Longest Reception: Breakdowns

IND · what this defence allows
20+ yard receptions allowed3.42.62.7
SZN
79th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.917 games (2025) · 57 total37th percentileleague avg 2.95 games (last 5)2026 season 2.739th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.96 games (2026) · 16 totalsupports OVERT-7/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER20/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
30+ yard receptions allowed1.11.61.8
SZN
60th percentile for most allowedleague avg 1.017 games (2025) · 19 total87th percentileleague avg 1.15 games (last 5)2026 season 1.895th percentile for most allowedleague avg 1.16 games (2026) · 11 totalsupports OVERT-13/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-2/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
40+ yard receptions allowed0.30.81.2
SZN
19th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.417 games (2025) · 5 total82nd percentileleague avg 0.55 games (last 5)2026 season 1.297th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.56 games (2026) · 7 totalsupports UNDERT-24/32 NFL defencessupports OVER2/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
yards after catch allowed114.7108.2118.3
SZN
71st percentile for most allowedleague avg 106.017 games (2025) · 1950 total61st percentileleague avg 108.15 games (last 5)2026 season 118.377th percentile for most allowedleague avg 108.16 games (2026) · 710 totalsupports OVER10/32 NFL defencessupports OVER8/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
air yards faced282.1246.6250.5
SZN
87th percentile for most facedleague avg 239.817 games (2025) · 4796 total42nd percentileleague avg 255.85 games (last 5)2026 season 250.542nd percentile for most facedleague avg 255.86 games (2026) · 1503 totalsupports OVER5/32 NFL defencesneutral19/32 NFL defencesneutral
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Justin Jefferson, every other prop for this game

Anytime TD
last 10 2 of 10 (20%) · last 20 3 of 20 (15%)
Yes +175
show
Receptions5.5
last 10 4 of 10 (40%) · last 20 8 of 20 (40%)
O −130 · U +120
show
Longest Reception24.5
last 10 2 of 10 (20%) · last 20 8 of 20 (40%)
O −109 · U −110
show
O 71.5 −113 betPARX · U 71.5 −111 DraftKingsprices from