STEEZANOMICS.

Justin Watson

KC · NFLWRLAC @ KCSun 4:25 PM
FacingLos Angeles Chargersdefence0.6 TDs allowed to WRs (2025) · ranks T-27 of 32 NFL defences

Prices last pulled 10:10 AM ET

Anytime TD

23 games logged

Justin Watson Anytime TD · 23 games logged

2 of 20 (10%) scored a touchdown over his last 20 · to score +1700 Courtside · prices from

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quoted at 0.5: O +1700 (Courtside) · no under

9/29@ LAC10/7vs NO10/20@ SF10/27@ LV11/4vs TB11/10vs DEN11/17@ BUF11/24@ CAR11/29vs LV12/8vs LAC12/15@ CLE12/21vs HOU12/25@ PIT1/5@ DEN1/18vs HOU1/26vs BUF2/9@ PHI9/7@ LAR9/15vs TB1/4vs IND

latest0 Sun, Jan 4, 2026 · vs IND

TD

2 of 20 (10%) cleared 0.5 over his last 20

red zone touchesno range set0.2 avg over the 20 charted
by window, any range:last 50.2last 100.2last 200.220250.320240.2all0.2

Anytime TD: Breakdowns

Justin Watson Breakdown · his own data
red zone touches per game0.330.40
54th percentile for mostleague avg 0.343 games (2025)61st percentileleague avg 0.365 games (last 5)neutralsupports OVER
red zone targets per game0.670.60
64th percentile for mostleague avg 0.603 games (2025)57th percentileleague avg 0.635 games (last 5)supports OVERneutral
receptions per game1.001.20
14th percentile for mostleague avg 2.753 games (2025)24th percentileleague avg 2.825 games (last 5)supports UNDERsupports UNDER
red zone target share22.2%15.0%
84th percentile for highest shareleague avg 13.5%3 games with red zone data (2025)55th percentileleague avg 14.1%4 regular-season games with red zone data (last 5)supports OVER23/135 WRsneutral
red zone rush share0.0%0.0%
39th percentile for highest shareleague avg 0.6%3 games with red zone data (2025)48th percentileleague avg 0.2%4 regular-season games with red zone data (last 5)supports UNDER32/135 WRsneutral
red zone touch share9.1%10.5%
90th percentile for highest shareleague avg 4.5%3 games with red zone data (2025)89th percentileleague avg 4.5%4 regular-season games with red zone data (last 5)supports OVER15/135 WRssupports OVER
LAC · what this defence allows
TDs allowed to WRs0.61.21.2
SZN
13th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.917 games (2025) · 10 total76th percentileleague avg 0.95 games (last 5)2026 season 1.276th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.95 games (2026) · 6 totalsupports UNDERT-27/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-7/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
red zone targets allowed to WRs2.52.22.2
SZN
63rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.417 games (2025) · 42 total34th percentileleague avg 2.55 games (last 5)2026 season 2.234th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.55 games (2026) · 11 totalsupports OVERT-12/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-21/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
touchdowns allowed1.92.82.8
SZN
11th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.417 games (2025) · 32 total65th percentileleague avg 2.55 games (last 5)2026 season 2.865th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.55 games (2026) · 14 totalsupports UNDERT-28/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-11/32 NFL defencessupports OVER

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