Justus Savage

JXST · NCAAFRBJXST @ NMSUWed 8:00 PM
FacingNew Mexico State Aggiesdefence1.0 TDs allowed to RBs (2025) · ranks T-26 of 141 NCAAF defences

Prices last pulled 6:09 AM ET

Anytime TD

3 games logged

Justus Savage Anytime TD · 3 games logged

1 of 3 (33%) scored a touchdown over all 3, too few games to read anything into · to score +145 FanDuel · prices from

line0.5
1+ TD
0
0
1

quoted at 0.5: O +145 (FanDuel) · no under

10/15vs DEL12/5vs KENN10/13vs FIU

latest1 Tue, Oct 13, 2026 · vs FIU

TD

1 of 3 (33%) cleared 0.5 over all 3, too few games to read anything into

touchesno range set4.3 avg over the 3 charted
by window, any range:20268.020252.5all4.3

Anytime TD: Breakdowns

Justus Savage Breakdown · his own data
carries per gamethin2.504.007.00
SZN
7th percentile for mostleague avg 7.93thin sample: 2 games (2025)prior season, not the current role39th percentileleague avg 6.243 games (last 5)2026 season 7.0064th percentile for mostleague avg 6.241 game (2026)supports UNDER249/701 RBssupports OVER
receptions per gamethin0.000.331.00
SZN
2nd percentile for mostleague avg 1.09thin sample: 2 games (2025)prior season, not the current role42nd percentileleague avg 0.723 games (last 5)2026 season 1.0070th percentile for mostleague avg 0.721 game (2026)neutral184/701 RBssupports OVER
NMSU · what this defence allows
TDs allowed to RBs1.01.41.3
SZN
79th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.710 games (2025) · 10 total70th percentileleague avg 1.15 games (last 5)2026 season 1.367th percentile for most allowedleague avg 1.16 games (2026) · 8 totalsupports OVERT-26/141 FBS defencessupports OVERT-42/138 FBS defencessupports OVER
carries faced38.633.634.5
SZN
74th percentile for most facedleague avg 36.010 games (2025) · 386 total32nd percentileleague avg 35.75 games (last 5)2026 season 34.539th percentile for most facedleague avg 35.76 games (2026) · 207 totalsupports OVER38/141 FBS defencessupports UNDERT-84/138 FBS defencessupports UNDER
touchdowns allowed3.72.62.8
SZN
75th percentile for most allowedleague avg 3.110 games (2025) · 37 total31st percentileleague avg 3.15 games (last 5)2026 season 2.837th percentile for most allowedleague avg 3.16 games (2026) · 17 totalsupports OVERT-35/141 FBS defencessupports UNDERT-85/138 FBS defencessupports UNDER

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