Base market snapshot from 10:03 AM EDT on Thu, Oct 1. bet365 refreshed separately at 2:26 PM EDT. Check your book before acting on anything here.
Keaton Mitchell
LACLos Angeles Chargers @ Seattle SeahawksSun 4:25 PM
Mitchell on the fieldred zone touches per game 1.17red zone targets per game 0.00carries per game 4.92
Anytime TD
17 games loggedline0.5
red zone touches
SEA · what this defence allows
TDs allowed to RBs0.40.40.3
2nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.917 games (2025) · 7 totalseason 0.4no per-play form for this stat26th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.83 games (2026) · 1 totalsupports UNDERT-31/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-21/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
red zone carries allowed to RBs3.53.52.0
35th percentile for most allowedleague avg 3.817 games (2025) · 60 totalseason 3.5no per-play form for this stat11th percentile for most allowedleague avg 3.93 games (2026) · 6 totalsupports UNDERT-20/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-27/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
touchdowns allowed1.71.71.7
5th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.417 games (2025) · 29 totalseason 1.7no per-play form for this stat16th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.53 games (2026) · 5 totalsupports UNDERT-30/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-24/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
Keaton Mitchell Breakdown · his own data
red zone touches per game1.171.40
SZN14th percentile for mostleague avg 2.1912 games (2025)vs last 5 · 20th pctseason 1.17 (14th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
red zone targets per game0.000.20
SZN2nd percentile for mostleague avg 0.3612 games (2025)vs last 5 · 39th pctseason 0.00 (2nd)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
carries per game4.925.60
SZN14th percentile for mostleague avg 10.9412 games (2025)vs last 5 · 15th pctseason 4.92 (14th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
receptions per game0.751.20
SZN5th percentile for mostleague avg 2.1512 games (2025)vs last 5 · 20th pctseason 0.75 (5th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
0.5line
OVER+600BetMGMat 0.5
Longest Reception
17 games loggedline7.5
targets
SEA · what this defence allows
20+ yard receptions allowed to RBs0.35.2%0.0
71st percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.317 games (2025) · 5 totalvs per completion · 45th pct · 18 of 32season 0.3 (71st)17 games23rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.23 games (2026) · 0 totalsupports OVERT-8/32 NFL defencesneutralT-18/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
30+ yard receptions allowed to RBs0.12.1%0.0
65th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.117 games (2025) · 2 totalvs per completion · 52nd pct · 16 of 32season 0.1 (65th)17 games40th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.13 games (2026) · 0 totalsupports OVERT-8/32 NFL defencesneutralT-7/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
40+ yard receptions allowed (all positions)0.41.9%0.0
53rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.417 games (2025) · 7 totalvs per completion · 47th pct · T-17 of 32season 0.4 (53rd)17 games5th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.63 games (2026) · 0 totalneutralT-13/32 NFL defencesneutralT-29/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
yards after catch allowed to RBs42.87.529.0
87th percentile for most allowedleague avg 34.317 games (2025) · 728 totalvs per reception · 45th pct · 18 of 32season 42.8 (87th)17 games29th percentile for most allowedleague avg 32.63 games (2026) · 87 totalsupports OVER5/32 NFL defencesneutral23/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
air yards faced230.76.8180.7
42nd percentile for most facedleague avg 239.817 games (2025) · 3921 totalvs per target · 3rd pct · 31 of 32season 230.7 (42nd)17 games6th percentile for most facedleague avg 248.73 games (2026) · 542 totalneutral19/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER30/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
Keaton Mitchell Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game0.751.20
SZN5th percentile for mostleague avg 2.1512 games (2025)vs last 5 · 20th pctseason 0.75 (5th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
yards per catch7.006.37
SZN37th percentile for mostleague avg 7.596 games (2025)vs last 5 · 27th pctseason 7.00 (37th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
air yards per target-2.26-2.10
SZN8th percentile for mostleague avg -0.137 games (2025)vs last 5 · 10th pctseason -2.26 (8th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
20+ yard catches per game0.000.00
SZN8th percentile for mostleague avg 0.1512 games (2025)vs last 5 · 8th pctseason 0.00 (8th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
7.5line
OVER-115bet365at 7.5
UNDER-115bet365at 7.5
19.5line
OVER+600bet365at 19.5
29.5line
OVER+1100bet365at 29.5
Longest Rush
17 games loggedline8.5
carries
SEA · what this defence allows
10+ yard rushes allowed to RBs1.04.8%1.0
0th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.217 games (2025) · 17 totalvs per carry · 0th pct · 32 of 32season 1.0 (0th)17 games13th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.03 games (2026) · 3 totalsupports UNDER32/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-26/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
20+ yard rushes allowed to RBs0.21.1%0.0
8th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.517 games (2025) · 4 totalvs per carry · 3rd pct · T-30 of 32season 0.2 (8th)17 games19th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.33 games (2026) · 0 totalsupports UNDERT-27/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-20/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
yards per carry allowed to RBs3.53.52.9
0th percentile for most allowedleague avg 4.317 games (2025)vs per carry · 0th pct · 32 of 32season 3.5 (0th)17 games3rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 4.13 games (2026)supports UNDER32/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER31/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
RB carries stuffed at the line4.119.9%5.7
73rd percentile for most stuffsleague avg 3.817 games (2025) · 70 totalvs per carry · 81st pct · 7 of 32season 4.1 (73rd)17 games92nd percentile for most stuffsleague avg 3.83 games (2026) · 17 totalsupports UNDERT-9/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-3/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
Keaton Mitchell Breakdown · his own data
carries per game4.925.60
SZN14th percentile for mostleague avg 10.9412 games (2025)vs last 5 · 15th pctseason 4.92 (14th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
yards per carry5.873.60
SZN98th percentile for mostleague avg 4.2312 games (2025)vs last 5 · 19th pctseason 5.87 (98th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports UNDER
10+ yard runs per game0.830.80
SZN34th percentile for mostleague avg 1.1312 games (2025)vs last 5 · 31st pctseason 0.83 (34th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
snap share18.7%25.2%
SZN0th percentile for mostleague avg 51.1%12 games (2025)vs last 5 · 0th pctseason 18.7% (0th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
8.5line
OVER-120bet365at 8.5
UNDER-110bet365at 8.5
Receiving Yards
17 games loggedline9.5
receptions
SEA · what this defence allows
receiving yards allowed to RBs37.66.630.3
84th percentile for most allowedleague avg 31.617 games (2025) · 640 totalvs per reception · 26th pct · 24 of 32season 37.6 (84th)17 games45th percentile for most allowedleague avg 30.43 games (2026) · 91 totalsupports OVER6/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-17/32 NFL defencesneutral
receptions allowed to RBs5.776.4%4.7
100th percentile for most allowedleague avg 4.317 games (2025) · 97 totalvs per target · 29th pct · 23 of 32season 5.7 (100th)17 games61st percentile for most allowedleague avg 4.43 games (2026) · 14 totalsupports OVER1/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-10/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
receiving yards allowed212.99.7152.0
35th percentile for most allowedleague avg 225.017 games (2025) · 3619 totalvs per reception · 0th pct · 32 of 32season 212.9 (35th)17 games0th percentile for most allowedleague avg 231.33 games (2026) · 456 totalsupports UNDER21/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER32/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
yards after catch allowed to RBs42.87.529.0
87th percentile for most allowedleague avg 34.317 games (2025) · 728 totalvs per reception · 45th pct · 18 of 32season 42.8 (87th)17 games29th percentile for most allowedleague avg 32.63 games (2026) · 87 totalsupports OVER5/32 NFL defencesneutral23/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
Keaton Mitchell Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game0.751.20
SZN5th percentile for mostleague avg 2.1512 games (2025)vs last 5 · 20th pctseason 0.75 (5th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
targets per game1.001.20
SZN8th percentile for mostleague avg 2.7212 games (2025)vs last 5 · 12th pctseason 1.00 (8th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
target share4.5%4.6%
SZN17th percentile for mostleague avg 8.9%12 games (2025)vs last 5 · 17th pctseason 4.5% (17th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
snap share18.7%25.2%
SZN0th percentile for mostleague avg 51.1%12 games (2025)vs last 5 · 0th pctseason 18.7% (0th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
9.5line
OVER-115bet365at 9.5
UNDER-115bet365at 9.5
19.5line
OVER+225bet365at 19.5
29.5line
OVER+500bet365at 29.5
39.5line
OVER+850bet365at 39.5
49.5line
OVER+1150bet365at 49.5
Receptions
17 games loggedline1.5
targets
SEA · what this defence allows
receptions allowed to RBs5.776.4%4.7
100th percentile for most allowedleague avg 4.317 games (2025) · 97 totalvs per target · 29th pct · 23 of 32season 5.7 (100th)17 games61st percentile for most allowedleague avg 4.43 games (2026) · 14 totalsupports OVER1/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-10/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
targets allowed to RBs7.57.55.0
100th percentile for most allowedleague avg 5.517 games (2025) · 127 totalseason 7.5no per-play form for this stat37th percentile for most allowedleague avg 5.53 games (2026) · 15 totalsupports OVER1/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-19/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
receptions allowed22.122.119.7
73rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 20.617 games (2025) · 375 totalseason 22.1no per-play form for this stat32nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 20.93 games (2026) · 59 totalsupports OVERT-9/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-20/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
Keaton Mitchell Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game0.751.20
SZN5th percentile for mostleague avg 2.1512 games (2025)vs last 5 · 20th pctseason 0.75 (5th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
targets per game1.001.20
SZN8th percentile for mostleague avg 2.7212 games (2025)vs last 5 · 12th pctseason 1.00 (8th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
target share4.5%4.6%
SZN17th percentile for mostleague avg 8.9%12 games (2025)vs last 5 · 17th pctseason 4.5% (17th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
snap share18.7%25.2%
SZN0th percentile for mostleague avg 51.1%12 games (2025)vs last 5 · 0th pctseason 18.7% (0th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
0.5line
OVER-600bet365at 0.5
1.5line
OVER-125bet365at 1.5
UNDER-105bet365at 1.5
2.5line
OVER+225bet365at 2.5
3.5line
OVER+550bet365at 3.5
4.5line
OVER+1100bet365at 4.5
Rush + Rec Yards
17 games loggedline32.5
touches
SEA · what this defence allows
rushing yards allowed to RBs72.93.565.3
6th percentile for most allowedleague avg 94.917 games (2025) · 1239 totalvs per carry · 0th pct · 32 of 32season 72.9 (6th)17 games13th percentile for most allowedleague avg 91.63 games (2026) · 196 totalsupports UNDER30/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER28/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
receiving yards allowed to RBs37.66.630.3
84th percentile for most allowedleague avg 31.617 games (2025) · 640 totalvs per reception · 26th pct · 24 of 32season 37.6 (84th)17 games45th percentile for most allowedleague avg 30.43 games (2026) · 91 totalsupports OVER6/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-17/32 NFL defencesneutral
rushing yards allowed91.93.787.0
6th percentile for most allowedleague avg 116.917 games (2025) · 1563 totalvs per carry · 0th pct · 32 of 32season 91.9 (6th)17 games16th percentile for most allowedleague avg 111.93 games (2026) · 261 totalsupports UNDER30/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER27/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
yards after catch allowed to RBs42.87.529.0
87th percentile for most allowedleague avg 34.317 games (2025) · 728 totalvs per reception · 45th pct · 18 of 32season 42.8 (87th)17 games29th percentile for most allowedleague avg 32.63 games (2026) · 87 totalsupports OVER5/32 NFL defencesneutral23/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
Keaton Mitchell Breakdown · his own data
touches per game5.676.80
no comparison available12 games (2025)vs last 5season 5.675 gamesneutralneutral
carries per game4.925.60
SZN14th percentile for mostleague avg 10.9412 games (2025)vs last 5 · 15th pctseason 4.92 (14th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
targets per game1.001.20
SZN8th percentile for mostleague avg 2.7212 games (2025)vs last 5 · 12th pctseason 1.00 (8th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
snap share18.7%25.2%
SZN0th percentile for mostleague avg 51.1%12 games (2025)vs last 5 · 0th pctseason 18.7% (0th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
32.5line
OVER-115bet365at 32.5
UNDER-115bet365at 32.5
49.5line
OVER+250bet365at 49.5
74.5line
OVER+800bet365at 74.5
Rushing Attempts
17 games loggedline4.5
snap share
SEA · what this defence allows
carries allowed to RBs20.684.0%22.3
26th percentile for most allowedleague avg 21.917 games (2025) · 351 totalvs share of carries · 84th pct · 6 of 32season 20.6 (26th)17 games50th percentile for most allowedleague avg 22.23 games (2026) · 67 totalsupports UNDER24/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-16/32 NFL defencesneutral
runs faced21.634.7%23.0
16th percentile for most run againstleague avg 24.117 games (2025) · 368 totalvs per play · 6th pct · 30 of 32season 21.6 (16th)17 games37th percentile for most run againstleague avg 24.03 games (2026) · 69 totalsupports UNDER27/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-20/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
rushing yards allowed to RBs72.93.565.3
6th percentile for most allowedleague avg 94.917 games (2025) · 1239 totalvs per carry · 0th pct · 32 of 32season 72.9 (6th)17 games13th percentile for most allowedleague avg 91.63 games (2026) · 196 totalsupports UNDER30/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER28/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
Keaton Mitchell Breakdown · his own data
snap share18.7%25.2%
SZN0th percentile for mostleague avg 51.1%12 games (2025)vs last 5 · 0th pctseason 18.7% (0th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
rushing yards per game28.4223.60
SZN22nd percentile for mostleague avg 48.1412 games (2025)vs last 5 · 15th pctseason 28.42 (22nd)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
yards per carry5.873.60
SZN98th percentile for mostleague avg 4.2312 games (2025)vs last 5 · 19th pctseason 5.87 (98th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports UNDER
4.5line
OVER-150bet365at 4.5
UNDER+120bet365at 4.5
9.5line
OVER+850bet365at 9.5
Rushing Yards
17 games loggedline19.5
carries
SEA · what this defence allows
rushing yards allowed to RBs72.93.565.3
6th percentile for most allowedleague avg 94.917 games (2025) · 1239 totalvs per carry · 0th pct · 32 of 32season 72.9 (6th)17 games13th percentile for most allowedleague avg 91.63 games (2026) · 196 totalsupports UNDER30/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER28/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
carries allowed to RBs20.684.0%22.3
26th percentile for most allowedleague avg 21.917 games (2025) · 351 totalvs share of carries · 84th pct · 6 of 32season 20.6 (26th)17 games50th percentile for most allowedleague avg 22.23 games (2026) · 67 totalsupports UNDER24/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-16/32 NFL defencesneutral
runs faced21.634.7%23.0
16th percentile for most run againstleague avg 24.117 games (2025) · 368 totalvs per play · 6th pct · 30 of 32season 21.6 (16th)17 games37th percentile for most run againstleague avg 24.03 games (2026) · 69 totalsupports UNDER27/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-20/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
RB carries stuffed at the line4.119.9%5.7
73rd percentile for most stuffsleague avg 3.817 games (2025) · 70 totalvs per carry · 81st pct · 7 of 32season 4.1 (73rd)17 games92nd percentile for most stuffsleague avg 3.83 games (2026) · 17 totalsupports UNDERT-9/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-3/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
Keaton Mitchell Breakdown · his own data
carries per game4.925.60
SZN14th percentile for mostleague avg 10.9412 games (2025)vs last 5 · 15th pctseason 4.92 (14th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
yards per carry5.873.60
SZN98th percentile for mostleague avg 4.2312 games (2025)vs last 5 · 19th pctseason 5.87 (98th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports UNDER
19.5line
OVER-115bet365at 19.5
UNDER-115bet365at 19.5
29.5line
OVER+210bet365at 29.5
39.5line
OVER+400bet365at 39.5
49.5line
OVER+700bet365at 49.5
59.5line
OVER+900bet365at 59.5
odds snapshot · pulled 10:03 AM EDT on Thu, Oct 1 · not live pricing