Base market snapshot from 1:02 PM EDT on Thu, Oct 1. bet365 refreshed separately at 2:52 PM EDT. Check your book before acting on anything here.
Keelon Russell
ALAAlabama Crimson Tide @ Mississippi State BulldogsSat 12:00 PM
Russell on the fieldcarries per game 1.50
Anytime TD
6 games loggedline0.5
touches
MSST · what this defence allows
TDs allowed to QBs0.20.20.0
28th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.411 games (2025) · 2 totalseason 0.2no per-play form for this stat13th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.44 games (2026) · 0 totalsupports UNDERT-92/141 FBS defencessupports UNDERT-91/123 FBS defencessupports UNDER
carries faced39.239.232.0
78th percentile for most facedleague avg 36.011 games (2025) · 431 totalseason 39.2no per-play form for this stat27th percentile for most facedleague avg 35.44 games (2026) · 128 totalsupports OVERT-32/141 FBS defencessupports OVERT-88/123 FBS defencessupports UNDER
touchdowns allowed3.53.51.8
62nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 3.111 games (2025) · 38 totalseason 3.5no per-play form for this stat17th percentile for most allowedleague avg 3.14 games (2026) · 7 totalsupports OVERT-53/141 FBS defencessupports OVER102/123 FBS defencessupports UNDER
Keelon Russell Breakdown · his own data
carries per gamethin1.506.80
SZN4th percentile for mostleague avg 6.62thin sample: 2 games (2025)vs last 5 · 57th pctseason 1.50 (4th)5 gamessupports UNDERneutral
0.5line
OVER+110Hard Rock Betat 0.5
Passing Touchdowns
6 games loggedline1.5
pass attempts
MSST · what this defence allows
passing TDs allowed1.96.2%1.5
80th percentile for most allowedleague avg 1.511 games (2025) · 21 totalvs per attempt · 78th pct · T-32 of 141season 1.9 (80th)11 games50th percentile for most allowedleague avg 1.64 games (2026) · 6 totalsupports OVERT-26/141 FBS defencessupports OVERT-61/123 FBS defencesneutral
passing yards allowed227.67.3249.0
56th percentile for most allowedleague avg 223.111 games (2025) · 2503 totalvs per attempt · 53rd pct · 67 of 141season 227.6 (56th)11 games70th percentile for most allowedleague avg 226.44 games (2026) · 996 totalneutral63/141 FBS defencesneutral38/123 FBS defencessupports OVER
Keelon Russell Breakdown · his own data
pass attempts per gamethin7.5023.80
SZN24th percentile for mostleague avg 19.63thin sample: 2 games (2025)vs last 5 · 52nd pctseason 7.50 (24th)5 gamessupports UNDERneutral
completions per gamethin5.5017.00
SZN26th percentile for mostleague avg 12.27thin sample: 2 games (2025)vs last 5 · 67th pctseason 5.50 (26th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports OVER
0.5line
OVER-800bet365at 0.5
1.5line
OVER-130bet365at 1.5
UNDER+105theScore Betat 1.5
2.5line
OVER+265bet365at 2.5
3.5line
OVER+800bet365at 3.5
4.5line
OVER+1700bet365at 4.5
Passing Yards
6 games loggedline269.5
completions
MSST · what this defence allows
passing yards allowed227.67.3249.0
56th percentile for most allowedleague avg 223.111 games (2025) · 2503 totalvs per attempt · 53rd pct · 67 of 141season 227.6 (56th)11 games70th percentile for most allowedleague avg 226.44 games (2026) · 996 totalneutral63/141 FBS defencesneutral38/123 FBS defencessupports OVER
Keelon Russell Breakdown · his own data
pass attempts per gamethin7.5023.80
SZN24th percentile for mostleague avg 19.63thin sample: 2 games (2025)vs last 5 · 52nd pctseason 7.50 (24th)5 gamessupports UNDERneutral
completions per gamethin5.5017.00
SZN26th percentile for mostleague avg 12.27thin sample: 2 games (2025)vs last 5 · 67th pctseason 5.50 (26th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports OVER
149.5line
OVER-8000bet365at 149.5
174.5line
OVER-2000bet365at 174.5
199.5line
OVER-800bet365at 199.5
224.5line
OVER-350bet365at 224.5
249.5line
OVER-180bet365at 249.5
259.5line
OVER-125Fliffat 259.5
UNDER-125Fliffat 259.5
269.5line
OVER-110theScore Betat 269.5
UNDER-115bet365at 269.5
274.5line
OVER-105bet365at 274.5
299.5line
OVER+172bet365at 299.5
324.5line
OVER+300bet365at 324.5
349.5line
OVER+500bet365at 349.5
374.5line
OVER+800bet365at 374.5
399.5line
OVER+1200bet365at 399.5
Rushing Yards
6 games loggedline27.5
carries
MSST · what this defence allows
rushing yards allowed200.85.1105.8
88th percentile for most allowedleague avg 156.511 games (2025) · 2209 totalvs per carry · 87th pct · 19 of 141season 200.8 (88th)11 games21st percentile for most allowedleague avg 150.04 games (2026) · 423 totalsupports OVER18/141 FBS defencessupports OVER97/123 FBS defencessupports UNDER
Keelon Russell Breakdown · his own data
carries per gamethin1.506.80
SZN4th percentile for mostleague avg 6.62thin sample: 2 games (2025)vs last 5 · 57th pctseason 1.50 (4th)5 gamessupports UNDERneutral
yards per carrythin4.507.31
SZN77th percentile for mostleague avg 2.91thin sample: 2 games (2025)vs last 5 · 96th pctseason 4.50 (77th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
19.5line
OVER-180bet365at 19.5
25.5line
OVER-110Hard Rock Betat 25.5
UNDER-120Hard Rock Betat 25.5
27.5line
OVER-115bet365at 27.5
UNDER-115bet365at 27.5
29.5line
OVER-105bet365at 29.5
UNDER-125theScore Betat 29.5
39.5line
OVER+170bet365at 39.5
49.5line
OVER+265bet365at 49.5
59.5line
OVER+400bet365at 59.5
69.5line
OVER+600bet365at 69.5
79.5line
OVER+850bet365at 79.5
89.5line
OVER+1050bet365at 89.5
99.5line
OVER+1300bet365at 99.5
109.5line
OVER+1700bet365at 109.5
odds snapshot · pulled 1:02 PM EDT on Thu, Oct 1 · not live pricing