Base market snapshot from 1:00 PM EDT on Wed, Oct 7. bet365 refreshed separately at 2:04 PM EDT. Check your book before acting on anything here.
Keenan Phillips
USASouth Alabama Jaguars @ Arkansas State Red WolvesThu 7:30 PM
Phillips on the fieldcarries per game 10.82yards per carry 4.59
Rushing Yards
16 games loggedline59.5
carries
quoted at 59.5: O -110 (BetOnline.ag) · U -118 (BetOnline.ag)
7 of 16 (44%) cleared 59.5 over all 16
ARST · what this defence allows
rushing yards allowed177.14.6227.3
69th percentile for most allowedleague avg 156.511 games (2025) · 1948 totalvs per carry · 64th pct · 52 of 141season 177.1 (69th)11 games93rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 153.04 games (2026) · 909 totalsupports OVER44/141 FBS defencessupports OVER10/139 FBS defencessupports OVER
Keenan Phillips Breakdown · his own data
carries per game10.8212.20
SZN78th percentile for mostleague avg 7.9311 games (2025)vs last 5 · 85th pctseason 10.82 (78th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
yards per carry4.594.37
SZN49th percentile for mostleague avg 4.7911 games (2025)vs last 5 · 42nd pctseason 4.59 (49th)5 gamesneutralneutral
59.5line
OVER-110BetOnline.agat 59.5
UNDER-118BetOnline.agat 59.5
Anytime TD
16 games loggedline0.5
touches
quoted at 0.5: O -150 (bet365) · no under
5 of 16 (31%) cleared 0.5 over all 16
ARST · what this defence allows
TDs allowed to RBs0.60.62.0
44th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.711 games (2025) · 7 totalseason 0.6no per-play form for this stat87th percentile for most allowedleague avg 1.24 games (2026) · 8 totalneutralT-74/141 FBS defencesseason onlyT-16/139 FBS defencessupports OVER
carries faced38.438.441.8
71st percentile for most facedleague avg 36.011 games (2025) · 422 totalseason 38.4no per-play form for this stat87th percentile for most facedleague avg 35.74 games (2026) · 167 totalsupports OVER42/141 FBS defencessupports OVERT-18/139 FBS defencessupports OVER
touchdowns allowed3.63.63.5
70th percentile for most allowedleague avg 3.111 games (2025) · 40 totalseason 3.6no per-play form for this stat64th percentile for most allowedleague avg 3.24 games (2026) · 14 totalsupports OVERT-42/141 FBS defencessupports OVERT-45/139 FBS defencessupports OVER
Keenan Phillips Breakdown · his own data
carries per game10.8212.20
SZN78th percentile for mostleague avg 7.9311 games (2025)vs last 5 · 85th pctseason 10.82 (78th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
receptions per game0.821.40
SZN44th percentile for mostleague avg 1.0911 games (2025)vs last 5 · 73rd pctseason 0.82 (44th)5 gamesneutralsupports OVER
0.5line
OVER-150bet365at 0.5
Receiving Yards
16 games loggedline5.5
receptions
quoted at 5.5: O +100 (BetOnline.ag) · U -130 (BetOnline.ag)
6 of 16 (38%) cleared 5.5 over all 16
ARST · what this defence allows
receiving yards allowed254.212.5210.8
84th percentile for most allowedleague avg 223.111 games (2025) · 2796 totalvs per reception · 76th pct · 34 of 141season 254.2 (84th)11 games38th percentile for most allowedleague avg 224.64 games (2026) · 843 totalsupports OVER23/141 FBS defencessupports OVER86/139 FBS defencessupports UNDER
receptions allowed20.420.417.0
72nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 19.011 games (2025) · 224 totalseason 20.4no per-play form for this stat28th percentile for most allowedleague avg 18.94 games (2026) · 68 totalsupports OVERT-39/141 FBS defencessupports OVERT-99/139 FBS defencessupports UNDER
Keenan Phillips Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game0.821.40
SZN44th percentile for mostleague avg 1.0911 games (2025)vs last 5 · 73rd pctseason 0.82 (44th)5 gamesneutralsupports OVER
5.5line
OVER+100BetOnline.agat 5.5
UNDER-130BetOnline.agat 5.5
odds snapshot · pulled 1:00 PM EDT on Wed, Oct 7 · not live pricing