Base market snapshot from 1:02 PM EDT on Thu, Oct 1. bet365 refreshed separately at 2:52 PM EDT. Check your book before acting on anything here.
Kevin Riley
ALAAlabama Crimson Tide @ Mississippi State BulldogsSat 12:00 PM
Riley on the fieldcarries per game 6.22receptions per game 2.11
Anytime TD
11 games loggedline0.5
touches
MSST · what this defence allows
TDs allowed to RBs1.01.00.8
80th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.711 games (2025) · 11 totalseason 1.0no per-play form for this stat36th percentile for most allowedleague avg 1.24 games (2026) · 3 totalsupports OVERT-25/141 FBS defencessupports OVERT-78/123 FBS defencessupports UNDER
carries faced39.239.232.0
78th percentile for most facedleague avg 36.011 games (2025) · 431 totalseason 39.2no per-play form for this stat27th percentile for most facedleague avg 35.44 games (2026) · 128 totalsupports OVERT-32/141 FBS defencessupports OVERT-88/123 FBS defencessupports UNDER
touchdowns allowed3.53.51.8
62nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 3.111 games (2025) · 38 totalseason 3.5no per-play form for this stat17th percentile for most allowedleague avg 3.14 games (2026) · 7 totalsupports OVERT-53/141 FBS defencessupports OVER102/123 FBS defencessupports UNDER
Kevin Riley Breakdown · his own data
carries per game6.223.80
SZN38th percentile for mostleague avg 7.939 games (2025)vs last 5 · 16th pctseason 6.22 (38th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
receptions per game2.111.00
SZN88th percentile for mostleague avg 1.099 games (2025)vs last 5 · 53rd pctseason 2.11 (88th)5 gamessupports OVERneutral
0.5line
OVER+310bet365at 0.5
odds snapshot · pulled 1:02 PM EDT on Thu, Oct 1 · not live pricing