Prices pulled at 10:16 AM EDT on Thu, Oct 15. bet365 refreshed separately at 3:30 PM EDT.
SFTEWashington Commanders @ San Francisco 49ersMon 8:15 PM
Farrell on the fieldred zone touches per game 0.18red zone targets per game 0.24receptions per game 0.65
FacingWSHdefence0.8 TDs allowed to TEs (2026) · ranks 2 of 32 NFL defences
Prices last pulled 10:16 AM ET
Anytime TD
41 games loggedLuke Farrell Anytime TD · 41 games logged
1 of 20 (5%) scored a touchdown over his last 20 · to score +1050 Bally Bet · prices from
line0.5
1+ TD
quoted at 0.5: O +1050 (Bally Bet) · no under
10/2@ LAR10/12@ TB10/19vs ATL10/26@ HOU11/2@ NYG11/9vs LAR11/16@ ARI11/24vs CAR11/30@ CLE12/14vs TEN12/22@ IND12/28vs CHI1/3vs SEA1/11@ PHI1/17@ SEA9/10@ LAR9/20vs MIA9/27vs ARI10/4vs DEN10/11@ SEA
latest0 Sun, Oct 11, 2026 · @ SEA
TD
1 of 20 (5%) cleared 0.5 over his last 20
red zone touchesno range set0.1 avg over the 20 charted
by window, any range:last 50.0last 100.0last 200.1last 300.120260.020250.220240.1all0.1
Red zone touch sharelatest game: 0.0% · 0 of 61 gameL5: 0.0% · 0 of 465 gamesL10: 0.0% · 0 of 879 of 10 games2026: 0.0% · 0 of 465 gamesShare of team red zone carries + catches, across games on file (playoffs included).
Anytime TD: Breakdowns
Luke Farrell Breakdown · his own data
red zone touches per game0.180.000.00
SZN39th percentile for mostleague avg 0.3517 games (2025)16th percentileleague avg 0.355 games (last 5)2026 season 0.0016th percentile for mostleague avg 0.355 games (2026)supports UNDERsupports UNDER59/86 TEssupports UNDER
red zone targets per game0.240.200.20
SZN32nd percentile for mostleague avg 0.5217 games (2025)32nd percentileleague avg 0.495 games (last 5)2026 season 0.2032nd percentile for mostleague avg 0.495 games (2026)supports UNDERsupports UNDER53/86 TEssupports UNDER
receptions per game0.650.400.40
SZN15th percentile for mostleague avg 2.2017 games (2025)12th percentileleague avg 2.165 games (last 5)2026 season 0.4012th percentile for mostleague avg 2.165 games (2026)supports UNDERsupports UNDER73/86 TEssupports UNDER
red zone target share4.2%3.7%3.7%
SZN22nd percentile for highest shareleague avg 11.8%17 games with red zone data (2025)28th percentileleague avg 11.0%5 regular-season games with red zone data (last 5)2026 season 3.7%28th percentile for highest shareleague avg 11.0%5 games with red zone data (2026)supports UNDER66/85 TEssupports UNDER62/86 TEssupports UNDER
red zone rush share0.0%0.0%0.0%
SZN42nd percentile for highest shareleague avg 0.4%17 games with red zone data (2025)48th percentileleague avg 0.2%5 regular-season games with red zone data (last 5)2026 season 0.0%48th percentile for highest shareleague avg 0.2%5 games with red zone data (2026)supports FLAT14/85 TEsneutral5/86 TEsneutral
red zone touch share1.7%0.0%0.0%
SZN28th percentile for highest shareleague avg 4.7%17 games with red zone data (2025)16th percentileleague avg 4.7%5 regular-season games with red zone data (last 5)2026 season 0.0%16th percentile for highest shareleague avg 4.7%5 games with red zone data (2026)supports UNDER60/85 TEssupports UNDER59/86 TEssupports UNDER
WSH · what this defence allowssee the games
TDs allowed to TEs0.81.41.4
SZN97th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.417 games (2025) · 13 total97th percentileleague avg 0.55 games (last 5)2026 season 1.497th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.55 games (2026) · 7 totalsupports OVER2/32 NFL defencessupports OVER2/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
red zone targets allowed to TEs1.62.22.2
SZN89th percentile for most allowedleague avg 1.217 games (2025) · 28 total94th percentileleague avg 1.25 games (last 5)2026 season 2.294th percentile for most allowedleague avg 1.25 games (2026) · 11 totalsupports OVERT-4/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-2/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
touchdowns allowed3.03.43.4
SZN90th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.417 games (2025) · 51 total85th percentileleague avg 2.55 games (last 5)2026 season 3.485th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.55 games (2026) · 17 totalsupports OVERT-3/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-5/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
Anytime TD: Head to Head
SAME ROLE VS WSH
TE2s vs WSH
Anytime TD · Luke Farrell is SF's TE2
TE2s scored a touchdown in 0 of 5 games vs WSH · 0 of 5 went over their own line
| DATE | TEAM | PLAYER | TD | SCORED? | OWN LINE | CAR | TGT | REC | SNAPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/13 | PHI | 0 | no TD | 0.5under | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | |
| 9/20 | DAL | 0 | no TD | 0.5under | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | |
| 9/27 | SEA | 0 | no TD | 0.5under | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | |
| 10/4 | IND | 0 | no TD | 0.5under | 0 | 0 | 0 | 31 | |
| 10/11 | NYG | 0 | no TD | 0.5under | 0 | 3 | 2 | 43 |
Each past TE2 is set by the receiving yards lines books posted for that game, or by usage over the four games before it where none were posted. Players who left early are greyed and not counted. Own line is the middle of the main lines books posted for him that game (a push counts as not over). Luke Farrell is SF's TE2 by today's receiving yards lines. WSH has played 5 games; the TE2 was clear in all 5.
Anytime TD: Lineup
Anytime TD: Splits
Splits
All games on file · Anytime TD at 0.5
| Split | Games | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Away | 22 | 1 of 22 | 5% |
| 2024 | 17 | 0 of 17 | 0% |
| vs MIA | 2 | 0 of 2 | 0% |
| Home | 19 | 1 of 19 | 5% |
| vs CLE | 2 | 0 of 2 | 0% |
| vs BUF | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| vs HOU | 3 | 0 of 3 | 0% |
| vs IND | 3 | 0 of 3 | 0% |
| vs CHI | 2 | 0 of 2 | 0% |
| vs NE | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| vs GB | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| vs PHI | 2 | 0 of 2 | 0% |
| vs MIN | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| vs DET | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| vs TEN | 3 | 0 of 3 | 0% |
| vs NYJ | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| vs LV | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| 2025 | 19 | 2 of 19 | 11% |
| vs SEA | 4 | 0 of 4 | 0% |
| vs NO | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% |
| vs ARI | 3 | 0 of 3 | 0% |
| vs JAX | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| vs LAR | 3 | 1 of 3 | 33% |
| vs TB | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| vs ATL | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| vs NYG | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| vs CAR | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| 2026 | 5 | 0 of 5 | 0% |
| vs DEN | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
Anytime TD: Game Log
Game Log
20 games, newest first · scored a touchdown or not
| Date | Opponent | Anytime TD | Scored |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Oct 11, 2026 | @ SEA | 0 | no |
| Sun, Oct 4, 2026 | vs DEN | 0 | no |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | vs ARI | 0 | no |
| Sun, Sep 20, 2026 | vs MIA | 0 | no |
| Thu, Sep 10, 2026 | @ LAR | 0 | no |
| Sat, Jan 17, 2026 | @ SEA | 0 | no |
| Sun, Jan 11, 2026 | @ PHI | 0 | no |
| Sat, Jan 3, 2026 | vs SEA | 0 | no |
| Sun, Dec 28, 2025 | vs CHI | 0 | no |
| Mon, Dec 22, 2025 | @ IND | 0 | no |
| Sun, Dec 14, 2025 | vs TEN | 0 | no |
| Sun, Nov 30, 2025 | @ CLE | 0 | no |
| Mon, Nov 24, 2025 | vs CAR | 0 | no |
| Sun, Nov 16, 2025 | @ ARI | 0 | no |
| Sun, Nov 9, 2025 | vs LAR | 1 | yes |
| Sun, Nov 2, 2025 | @ NYG | 0 | no |
| Sun, Oct 26, 2025 | @ HOU | 0 | no |
| Sun, Oct 19, 2025 | vs ATL | 0 | no |
| Sun, Oct 12, 2025 | @ TB | 0 | no |
| Thu, Oct 2, 2025 | @ LAR | 0 | no |
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