Base market snapshot from 10:03 AM EDT on Thu, Oct 1. bet365 refreshed separately at 11:07 AM EDT. Check your book before acting on anything here.
Luke McCaffrey
WSHIndianapolis Colts @ Washington CommandersSun 9:30 AM
McCaffrey on the fieldred zone touches per game 0.14red zone targets per game 0.43receptions per game 1.57
Anytime TD
20 games loggedline0.5
red zone touches
IND · what this defence allows
TDs allowed to WRs0.90.91.0
53rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.917 games (2025) · 16 totalseason 0.9no per-play form for this stat58th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.93 games (2026) · 3 totalneutralT-13/32 NFL defencesseason onlyT-10/32 NFL defencesneutral
red zone targets allowed to WRs3.63.62.7
100th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.417 games (2025) · 62 totalseason 3.6no per-play form for this stat56th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.53 games (2026) · 8 totalsupports OVER1/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-12/32 NFL defencesneutral
touchdowns allowed2.42.43.3
48th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.417 games (2025) · 40 totalseason 2.4no per-play form for this stat79th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.53 games (2026) · 10 totalneutralT-16/32 NFL defencesseason onlyT-6/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
Luke McCaffrey Breakdown · his own data
red zone touches per game0.140.20
SZN19th percentile for mostleague avg 0.367 games (2025)vs last 5 · 29th pctseason 0.14 (19th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
red zone targets per game0.430.40
SZN32nd percentile for mostleague avg 0.637 games (2025)vs last 5 · 30th pctseason 0.43 (32nd)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
receptions per game1.571.40
SZN20th percentile for mostleague avg 2.897 games (2025)vs last 5 · 17th pctseason 1.57 (20th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
0.5line
OVER+2400Bally Betat 0.5
odds snapshot · pulled 10:03 AM EDT on Thu, Oct 1 · not live pricing