Base market snapshot from 10:03 AM EDT on Thu, Oct 1. bet365 refreshed separately at 10:27 AM EDT. Check your book before acting on anything here.
Mark Andrews
BALTennessee Titans @ Baltimore RavensSun 1:00 PM
Andrews on the fieldred zone touches per game 0.53red zone targets per game 0.88receptions per game 2.82
Anytime TD
39 games loggedline0.5
red zone touches
TEN · what this defence allows
TDs allowed to TEs0.50.50.3
74th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.417 games (2025) · 9 totalseason 0.5no per-play form for this stat39th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.63 games (2026) · 1 totalsupports OVER9/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-16/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
red zone targets allowed to TEs0.80.80.0
13th percentile for most allowedleague avg 1.217 games (2025) · 14 totalseason 0.8no per-play form for this stat2nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 1.23 games (2026) · 0 totalsupports UNDERT-27/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-31/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
touchdowns allowed3.03.01.7
90th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.417 games (2025) · 51 totalseason 3.0no per-play form for this stat16th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.53 games (2026) · 5 totalsupports OVERT-3/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-24/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
Mark Andrews Breakdown · his own data
red zone touches per game0.530.20
SZN74th percentile for mostleague avg 0.4017 games (2025)vs last 5 · 34th pctseason 0.53 (74th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports UNDER
red zone targets per game0.880.40
SZN80th percentile for mostleague avg 0.5917 games (2025)vs last 5 · 36th pctseason 0.88 (80th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports UNDER
receptions per game2.823.80
SZN59th percentile for mostleague avg 2.5517 games (2025)vs last 5 · 80th pctseason 2.82 (59th)5 gamesneutralsupports OVER
0.5line
OVER+165BetMGMat 0.5
Longest Reception
39 games loggedline15.5
targets
TEN · what this defence allows
20+ yard receptions allowed to TEs0.712.0%0.0
68th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.617 games (2025) · 11 totalvs per completion · 65th pct · 12 of 32season 0.7 (68th)17 games16th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.53 games (2026) · 0 totalsupports OVERT-9/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-22/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
30+ yard receptions allowed to TEs0.24.3%0.0
81st percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.217 games (2025) · 4 totalvs per completion · 81st pct · 7 of 32season 0.2 (81st)17 games35th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.23 games (2026) · 0 totalsupports OVERT-6/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-10/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
40+ yard receptions allowed (all positions)0.52.5%0.3
77th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.417 games (2025) · 9 totalvs per completion · 76th pct · T-7 of 32season 0.5 (77th)17 games29th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.63 games (2026) · 1 totalsupports OVERT-6/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-18/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
yards after catch allowed to TEs32.05.910.7
94th percentile for most allowedleague avg 25.817 games (2025) · 544 totalvs per reception · 94th pct · 3 of 32season 32.0 (94th)17 games0th percentile for most allowedleague avg 27.03 games (2026) · 32 totalsupports OVER3/32 NFL defencessupports OVER32/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
air yards faced230.78.0192.7
45th percentile for most facedleague avg 239.817 games (2025) · 3922 totalvs per target · 61st pct · 13 of 32season 230.7 (45th)17 games21st percentile for most facedleague avg 248.73 games (2026) · 578 totalneutral18/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-25/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
Mark Andrews Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game2.823.80
SZN59th percentile for mostleague avg 2.5517 games (2025)vs last 5 · 80th pctseason 2.82 (59th)5 gamesneutralsupports OVER
yards per catch8.498.48
SZN26th percentile for mostleague avg 10.1117 games (2025)vs last 5 · 26th pctseason 8.49 (26th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
air yards per target7.416.30
SZN74th percentile for mostleague avg 5.8717 games (2025)vs last 5 · 58th pctseason 7.41 (74th)5 gamessupports OVERneutral
20+ yard catches per game0.180.00
SZN42nd percentile for mostleague avg 0.3117 games (2025)vs last 5 · 6th pctseason 0.18 (42nd)5 gamesneutralsupports UNDER
15.5line
OVER-115bet365at 15.5
UNDER-113DraftKingsat 15.5
16.5line
OVER-105theScore Betat 16.5
UNDER-125theScore Betat 16.5
19.5line
OVER+180bet365at 19.5
29.5line
OVER+700bet365at 29.5
39.5line
OVER+1150bet365at 39.5
Receiving Yards
39 games loggedline37.5
receptions
TEN · what this defence allows
receiving yards allowed to TEs55.710.316.0
58th percentile for most allowedleague avg 53.317 games (2025) · 947 totalvs per reception · 61st pct · 13 of 32season 55.7 (58th)17 games0th percentile for most allowedleague avg 52.53 games (2026) · 48 totalneutral14/32 NFL defencessupports OVER32/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
receptions allowed to TEs5.476.7%3.7
56th percentile for most allowedleague avg 5.317 games (2025) · 92 totalvs per target · 89th pct · T-4 of 32season 5.4 (56th)17 games18th percentile for most allowedleague avg 5.23 games (2026) · 11 totalneutralT-14/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-26/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
receiving yards allowed248.311.9199.0
81st percentile for most allowedleague avg 225.017 games (2025) · 4221 totalvs per reception · 94th pct · 3 of 32season 248.3 (81st)17 games23rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 231.33 games (2026) · 597 totalsupports OVER7/32 NFL defencessupports OVER25/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
yards after catch allowed to TEs32.05.910.7
94th percentile for most allowedleague avg 25.817 games (2025) · 544 totalvs per reception · 94th pct · 3 of 32season 32.0 (94th)17 games0th percentile for most allowedleague avg 27.03 games (2026) · 32 totalsupports OVER3/32 NFL defencessupports OVER32/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
Mark Andrews Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game2.823.80
SZN59th percentile for mostleague avg 2.5517 games (2025)vs last 5 · 80th pctseason 2.82 (59th)5 gamesneutralsupports OVER
targets per game4.125.00
SZN65th percentile for mostleague avg 3.5117 games (2025)vs last 5 · 77th pctseason 4.12 (65th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
target share17.0%22.3%
SZN79th percentile for mostleague avg 11.5%17 games (2025)vs last 5 · 96th pctseason 17.0% (79th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
snap share61.7%59.0%
SZN63rd percentile for mostleague avg 57.4%17 games (2025)vs last 5 · 59th pctseason 61.7% (63rd)5 gamessupports OVERneutral
19.5line
OVER-700bet365at 19.5
29.5line
OVER-260bet365at 29.5
36.5line
OVER-114DraftKingsat 36.5
UNDER-110DraftKingsat 36.5
37.5line
OVER-114BetOnline.agat 37.5
UNDER-114BetOnline.agat 37.5
38.5line
OVER-115theScore Betat 38.5
UNDER-115theScore Betat 38.5
39.5line
OVER-125bet365at 39.5
40.5line
OVER-110bet365at 40.5
UNDER-112betPARXat 40.5
49.5line
OVER+155bet365at 49.5
59.5line
OVER+275bet365at 59.5
69.5line
OVER+450bet365at 69.5
79.5line
OVER+700bet365at 79.5
89.5line
OVER+900bet365at 89.5
99.5line
OVER+1150bet365at 99.5
Receptions
39 games loggedline3.5
targets
TEN · what this defence allows
receptions allowed to TEs5.476.7%3.7
56th percentile for most allowedleague avg 5.317 games (2025) · 92 totalvs per target · 89th pct · T-4 of 32season 5.4 (56th)17 games18th percentile for most allowedleague avg 5.23 games (2026) · 11 totalneutralT-14/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-26/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
targets allowed to TEs7.17.15.7
39th percentile for most allowedleague avg 7.317 games (2025) · 120 totalseason 7.1no per-play form for this stat19th percentile for most allowedleague avg 7.23 games (2026) · 17 totalsupports UNDER20/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-25/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
receptions allowed20.820.819.7
52nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 20.617 games (2025) · 354 totalseason 20.8no per-play form for this stat32nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 20.93 games (2026) · 59 totalneutral16/32 NFL defencesseason onlyT-20/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
Mark Andrews Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game2.823.80
SZN59th percentile for mostleague avg 2.5517 games (2025)vs last 5 · 80th pctseason 2.82 (59th)5 gamesneutralsupports OVER
targets per game4.125.00
SZN65th percentile for mostleague avg 3.5117 games (2025)vs last 5 · 77th pctseason 4.12 (65th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
target share17.0%22.3%
SZN79th percentile for mostleague avg 11.5%17 games (2025)vs last 5 · 96th pctseason 17.0% (79th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
snap share61.7%59.0%
SZN63rd percentile for mostleague avg 57.4%17 games (2025)vs last 5 · 59th pctseason 61.7% (63rd)5 gamessupports OVERneutral
1.5line
OVER-1600bet365at 1.5
2.5line
OVER-400bet365at 2.5
3.5line
OVER-143BetOnline.agat 3.5
UNDER+125theScore Betat 3.5
4.5line
OVER+140bet365at 4.5
UNDER-159betPARXat 4.5
5.5line
OVER+275bet365at 5.5
6.5line
OVER+550bet365at 6.5
7.5line
OVER+850bet365at 7.5
odds snapshot · pulled 10:03 AM EDT on Thu, Oct 1 · not live pricing