Base market snapshot from 10:03 AM EDT on Thu, Oct 1. bet365 refreshed separately at 2:04 PM EDT. Check your book before acting on anything here.
MarShawn Lloyd
GBGreen Bay Packers @ Tampa Bay BuccaneersSun 1:00 PM
Anytime TD
4 games loggedline0.5
red zone touches
TB · what this defence allows
TDs allowed to RBs0.80.80.3
42nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.917 games (2025) · 14 totalseason 0.8no per-play form for this stat26th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.83 games (2026) · 1 totalneutralT-17/32 NFL defencesseason onlyT-21/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
red zone carries allowed to RBs2.42.42.3
2nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 3.817 games (2025) · 40 totalseason 2.4no per-play form for this stat19th percentile for most allowedleague avg 3.93 games (2026) · 7 totalsupports UNDERT-31/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER26/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
touchdowns allowed2.72.71.7
69th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.417 games (2025) · 46 totalseason 2.7no per-play form for this stat16th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.53 games (2026) · 5 totalsupports OVERT-10/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-24/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
0.5line
OVER+290BetMGMat 0.5
Longest Reception
4 games loggedline5.5
targets
TB · what this defence allows
20+ yard receptions allowed to RBs0.817.7%0.0
100th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.317 games (2025) · 14 totalvs per completion · 100th pct · 1 of 32season 0.8 (100th)17 games23rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.23 games (2026) · 0 totalsupports OVER1/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-18/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
30+ yard receptions allowed to RBs0.25.1%0.0
97th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.117 games (2025) · 4 totalvs per completion · 90th pct · 4 of 32season 0.2 (97th)17 games40th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.13 games (2026) · 0 totalsupports OVERT-1/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-7/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
40+ yard receptions allowed (all positions)0.62.6%0.7
89th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.417 games (2025) · 10 totalvs per completion · 84th pct · 6 of 32season 0.6 (89th)17 games65th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.63 games (2026) · 2 totalsupports OVERT-4/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-7/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
yards after catch allowed to RBs50.010.849.0
97th percentile for most allowedleague avg 34.317 games (2025) · 850 totalvs per reception · 100th pct · 1 of 32season 50.0 (97th)17 games97th percentile for most allowedleague avg 32.63 games (2026) · 147 totalsupports OVER2/32 NFL defencessupports OVER2/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
air yards faced257.48.0188.7
74th percentile for most facedleague avg 239.817 games (2025) · 4375 totalvs per target · 65th pct · 12 of 32season 257.4 (74th)17 games10th percentile for most facedleague avg 248.73 games (2026) · 566 totalsupports OVER9/32 NFL defencessupports OVER29/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
5.5line
OVER-110bet365at 5.5
UNDER-120bet365at 5.5
19.5line
OVER+750bet365at 19.5
29.5line
OVER+1150bet365at 29.5
Longest Rush
4 games loggedline8.5
carries
TB · what this defence allows
10+ yard rushes allowed to RBs1.79.3%1.0
23rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.217 games (2025) · 29 totalvs per carry · 34th pct · T-21 of 32season 1.7 (23rd)17 games13th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.03 games (2026) · 3 totalsupports UNDER25/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-26/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
20+ yard rushes allowed to RBs0.52.6%0.0
53rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.517 games (2025) · 8 totalvs per carry · 71st pct · T-9 of 32season 0.5 (53rd)17 games19th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.33 games (2026) · 0 totalneutralT-13/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-20/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
yards per carry allowed to RBs4.34.32.9
60th percentile for most allowedleague avg 4.317 games (2025)vs per carry · 60th pct · T-13 of 32season 4.3 (60th)17 games0th percentile for most allowedleague avg 4.13 games (2026)supports OVERT-13/32 NFL defencessupports OVER32/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
RB carries stuffed at the line3.921.5%3.7
65th percentile for most stuffsleague avg 3.817 games (2025) · 67 totalvs per carry · 100th pct · 1 of 32season 3.9 (65th)17 games50th percentile for most stuffsleague avg 3.83 games (2026) · 11 totalsupports UNDER12/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-15/32 NFL defencesneutral
8.5line
OVER-105bet365at 8.5
UNDER-125bet365at 8.5
9.5line
OVER+125bet365at 9.5
19.5line
OVER+650bet365at 19.5
29.5line
OVER+1100bet365at 29.5
Receiving Yards
4 games loggedline6.5
receptions
TB · what this defence allows
receiving yards allowed to RBs50.610.940.0
100th percentile for most allowedleague avg 31.617 games (2025) · 860 totalvs per reception · 100th pct · 1 of 32season 50.6 (100th)17 games81st percentile for most allowedleague avg 30.43 games (2026) · 120 totalsupports OVER1/32 NFL defencessupports OVER7/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
receptions allowed to RBs4.784.0%6.3
71st percentile for most allowedleague avg 4.317 games (2025) · 79 totalvs per target · 94th pct · 3 of 32season 4.7 (71st)17 games100th percentile for most allowedleague avg 4.43 games (2026) · 19 totalsupports OVER10/32 NFL defencessupports OVER1/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
receiving yards allowed254.811.4220.0
84th percentile for most allowedleague avg 225.017 games (2025) · 4332 totalvs per reception · 77th pct · 8 of 32season 254.8 (84th)17 games42nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 231.33 games (2026) · 660 totalsupports OVER6/32 NFL defencessupports OVER19/32 NFL defencesneutral
yards after catch allowed to RBs50.010.849.0
97th percentile for most allowedleague avg 34.317 games (2025) · 850 totalvs per reception · 100th pct · 1 of 32season 50.0 (97th)17 games97th percentile for most allowedleague avg 32.63 games (2026) · 147 totalsupports OVER2/32 NFL defencessupports OVER2/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
3.5line
OVER-120bet365at 3.5
UNDER-110bet365at 3.5
4.5line
OVER-120Hard Rock Betat 4.5
UNDER-110Hard Rock Betat 4.5
5.5line
OVER-114FanDuelat 5.5
UNDER-110theScore Betat 5.5
6.5line
OVER-115Fliffat 6.5
UNDER-106DraftKingsat 6.5
19.5line
OVER+400bet365at 19.5
29.5line
OVER+800bet365at 29.5
39.5line
OVER+1150bet365at 39.5
Receptions
4 games loggedline1.5
targets
TB · what this defence allows
receptions allowed to RBs4.784.0%6.3
71st percentile for most allowedleague avg 4.317 games (2025) · 79 totalvs per target · 94th pct · 3 of 32season 4.7 (71st)17 games100th percentile for most allowedleague avg 4.43 games (2026) · 19 totalsupports OVER10/32 NFL defencessupports OVER1/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
targets allowed to RBs5.55.57.3
48th percentile for most allowedleague avg 5.517 games (2025) · 94 totalseason 5.5no per-play form for this stat89th percentile for most allowedleague avg 5.53 games (2026) · 22 totalneutralT-16/32 NFL defencesseason onlyT-4/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
receptions allowed22.322.321.3
81st percentile for most allowedleague avg 20.617 games (2025) · 379 totalseason 22.3no per-play form for this stat63rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 20.93 games (2026) · 64 totalsupports OVER7/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-12/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
0.5line
OVER-300bet365at 0.5
1.5line
OVER+160bet365at 1.5
UNDER-177DraftKingsat 1.5
2.5line
OVER+500bet365at 2.5
3.5line
OVER+1100bet365at 3.5
Rush + Rec Yards
4 games loggedline32.5
touches
TB · what this defence allows
rushing yards allowed to RBs78.84.355.0
16th percentile for most allowedleague avg 94.917 games (2025) · 1340 totalvs per carry · 58th pct · 14 of 32season 78.8 (16th)17 games3rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 91.63 games (2026) · 165 totalsupports UNDER27/32 NFL defencesneutral31/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
receiving yards allowed to RBs50.610.940.0
100th percentile for most allowedleague avg 31.617 games (2025) · 860 totalvs per reception · 100th pct · 1 of 32season 50.6 (100th)17 games81st percentile for most allowedleague avg 30.43 games (2026) · 120 totalsupports OVER1/32 NFL defencessupports OVER7/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
rushing yards allowed99.14.376.0
13th percentile for most allowedleague avg 116.917 games (2025) · 1684 totalvs per carry · 42nd pct · 19 of 32season 99.1 (13th)17 games3rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 111.93 games (2026) · 228 totalsupports UNDER28/32 NFL defencesneutral31/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
yards after catch allowed to RBs50.010.849.0
97th percentile for most allowedleague avg 34.317 games (2025) · 850 totalvs per reception · 100th pct · 1 of 32season 50.0 (97th)17 games97th percentile for most allowedleague avg 32.63 games (2026) · 147 totalsupports OVER2/32 NFL defencessupports OVER2/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
28.5line
OVER-115bet365at 28.5
UNDER-115bet365at 28.5
32.5line
OVER-113Courtsideat 32.5
UNDER-112Courtsideat 32.5
74.5line
OVER+1000bet365at 74.5
Rushing Attempts
4 games loggedline6.5
snap share
TB · what this defence allows
carries allowed to RBs18.378.5%19.0
3rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 21.917 games (2025) · 311 totalvs share of carries · 10th pct · 29 of 32season 18.3 (3rd)17 games18th percentile for most allowedleague avg 22.23 games (2026) · 57 totalsupports UNDER31/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-26/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
runs faced20.434.9%21.3
3rd percentile for most run againstleague avg 24.117 games (2025) · 346 totalvs per play · 10th pct · 29 of 32season 20.4 (3rd)17 games19th percentile for most run againstleague avg 24.03 games (2026) · 64 totalsupports UNDER31/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER26/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
rushing yards allowed to RBs78.84.355.0
16th percentile for most allowedleague avg 94.917 games (2025) · 1340 totalvs per carry · 58th pct · 14 of 32season 78.8 (16th)17 games3rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 91.63 games (2026) · 165 totalsupports UNDER27/32 NFL defencesneutral31/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
4.5line
OVER-550bet365at 4.5
6.5line
OVER-140bet365at 6.5
UNDER+110bet365at 6.5
9.5line
OVER+300bet365at 9.5
Rushing Yards
4 games loggedline24.5
carries
TB · what this defence allows
rushing yards allowed to RBs78.84.355.0
16th percentile for most allowedleague avg 94.917 games (2025) · 1340 totalvs per carry · 58th pct · 14 of 32season 78.8 (16th)17 games3rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 91.63 games (2026) · 165 totalsupports UNDER27/32 NFL defencesneutral31/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
carries allowed to RBs18.378.5%19.0
3rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 21.917 games (2025) · 311 totalvs share of carries · 10th pct · 29 of 32season 18.3 (3rd)17 games18th percentile for most allowedleague avg 22.23 games (2026) · 57 totalsupports UNDER31/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-26/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
runs faced20.434.9%21.3
3rd percentile for most run againstleague avg 24.117 games (2025) · 346 totalvs per play · 10th pct · 29 of 32season 20.4 (3rd)17 games19th percentile for most run againstleague avg 24.03 games (2026) · 64 totalsupports UNDER31/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER26/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
RB carries stuffed at the line3.921.5%3.7
65th percentile for most stuffsleague avg 3.817 games (2025) · 67 totalvs per carry · 100th pct · 1 of 32season 3.9 (65th)17 games50th percentile for most stuffsleague avg 3.83 games (2026) · 11 totalsupports UNDER12/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-15/32 NFL defencesneutral
19.5line
OVER-150bet365at 19.5
21.5line
OVER-115bet365at 21.5
UNDER-115bet365at 21.5
22.5line
OVER-117DraftKingsat 22.5
UNDER-107DraftKingsat 22.5
23.5line
OVER-114FanDuelat 23.5
UNDER-114FanDuelat 23.5
24.5line
OVER-110theScore Betat 24.5
UNDER-115BetMGMat 24.5
29.5line
OVER+180bet365at 29.5
39.5line
OVER+400bet365at 39.5
49.5line
OVER+700bet365at 49.5
59.5line
OVER+1000bet365at 59.5
odds snapshot · pulled 10:03 AM EDT on Thu, Oct 1 · not live pricing