Base market snapshot from 12:05 PM EDT on Thu, Oct 1. bet365 refreshed separately at 3:34 PM EDT. Check your book before acting on anything here.
Messiah Burch
BUFWestern Michigan Broncos @ Buffalo BullsSat 1:00 PM
Burch on the fieldcarries per game 1.83receptions per game 0.67
Anytime TD
10 games loggedline0.5
touches
WMU · what this defence allows
TDs allowed to RBs0.50.50.7
28th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.710 games (2025) · 5 totalseason 0.5no per-play form for this stat28th percentile for most allowedleague avg 1.23 games (2026) · 2 totalsupports UNDERT-99/141 FBS defencessupports UNDERT-81/123 FBS defencessupports UNDER
carries faced33.933.937.0
33rd percentile for most facedleague avg 36.010 games (2025) · 339 totalseason 33.9no per-play form for this stat65th percentile for most facedleague avg 35.43 games (2026) · 111 totalsupports UNDER95/141 FBS defencessupports UNDERT-43/123 FBS defencessupports OVER
touchdowns allowed2.12.13.0
10th percentile for most allowedleague avg 3.110 games (2025) · 21 totalseason 2.1no per-play form for this stat45th percentile for most allowedleague avg 3.13 games (2026) · 9 totalsupports UNDER127/141 FBS defencessupports UNDERT-62/123 FBS defencesneutral
Messiah Burch Breakdown · his own data
carries per game1.8310.40
SZN4th percentile for mostleague avg 7.936 games (2025)vs last 5 · 75th pctseason 1.83 (4th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports OVER
receptions per game0.671.00
SZN36th percentile for mostleague avg 1.096 games (2025)vs last 5 · 53rd pctseason 0.67 (36th)5 gamessupports UNDERneutral
0.5line
OVER+130bet365at 0.5
odds snapshot · pulled 12:05 PM EDT on Thu, Oct 1 · not live pricing