These are the prices from a snapshot taken at 10:03 AM EDT on Thu, Oct 1. Nothing has been re-pulled since. Check your book before acting on anything here.
Michael Mayer
LVKansas City Chiefs @ Las Vegas RaidersSun 4:25 PM
Mayer on the fieldred zone touches per game 0.42red zone targets per game 0.50receptions per game 2.92
Anytime TD
26 games loggedline0.5
red zone touches
KC · what this defence allows
TDs allowed to TEs0.20.20.7
5th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.417 games (2025) · 4 totalseason 0.2no per-play form for this stat66th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.63 games (2026) · 2 totalsupports UNDERT-30/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-8/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
red zone targets allowed to TEs0.70.71.3
2nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 1.217 games (2025) · 12 totalseason 0.7no per-play form for this stat63rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 1.23 games (2026) · 4 totalsupports UNDERT-31/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-9/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
touchdowns allowed1.91.91.7
11th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.417 games (2025) · 32 totalseason 1.9no per-play form for this stat16th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.53 games (2026) · 5 totalsupports UNDERT-28/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-24/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
Head to HeadMichael Mayer vs KC0/3 with a touchdown
| date | RZ | touch | rec yds | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/04'26 | 1 | 3 | 47 | 0 |
| 10/19'25 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 0 |
| 11/29'24 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
Michael Mayer Breakdown · his own data
red zone touches per game0.420.40
SZN59th percentile for mostleague avg 0.4012 games (2025)vs last 5 · 54th pctseason 0.42 (59th)5 gamesneutralneutral
red zone targets per game0.500.80
SZN49th percentile for mostleague avg 0.5912 games (2025)vs last 5 · 77th pctseason 0.50 (49th)5 gamesneutralsupports OVER
receptions per game2.924.80
SZN63rd percentile for mostleague avg 2.5512 games (2025)vs last 5 · 93rd pctseason 2.92 (63rd)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
0.5line
OVER+475Fanaticsat 0.5
Longest Reception
26 games loggedline11.5
targets
KC · what this defence allows
20+ yard receptions allowed to TEs0.713.4%0.3
68th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.617 games (2025) · 11 totalvs per completion · 74th pct · 9 of 32season 0.7 (68th)17 games50th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.53 games (2026) · 1 totalsupports OVERT-9/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-12/32 NFL defencesneutral
30+ yard receptions allowed to TEs0.23.7%0.3
66th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.217 games (2025) · 3 totalvs per completion · 71st pct · T-9 of 32season 0.2 (66th)17 games79th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.23 games (2026) · 1 totalsupports OVERT-9/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-6/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
40+ yard receptions allowed (all positions)0.42.1%1.0
53rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.417 games (2025) · 7 totalvs per completion · 53rd pct · T-15 of 32season 0.4 (53rd)17 games87th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.63 games (2026) · 3 totalneutralT-13/32 NFL defencesneutralT-4/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
yards after catch allowed to TEs25.95.426.7
48th percentile for most allowedleague avg 25.817 games (2025) · 440 totalvs per reception · 74th pct · 9 of 32season 25.9 (48th)17 games48th percentile for most allowedleague avg 27.03 games (2026) · 80 totalneutral17/32 NFL defencessupports OVER17/32 NFL defencesneutral
air yards faced199.77.0213.7
6th percentile for most facedleague avg 239.817 games (2025) · 3395 totalvs per target · 10th pct · 29 of 32season 199.7 (6th)17 games32nd percentile for most facedleague avg 248.73 games (2026) · 641 totalsupports UNDER30/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER22/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
Head to HeadMichael Mayer vs KC1/3 over 11.5
| date | tgt | rec | rec yds | lng rec |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/04'26 | 5 | 3 | 47 | 23 |
| 10/19'25 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 10 |
| 11/29'24 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 |
Michael Mayer Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game2.924.80
SZN63rd percentile for mostleague avg 2.5512 games (2025)vs last 5 · 93rd pctseason 2.92 (63rd)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
yards per catch9.449.85
SZN41st percentile for mostleague avg 10.1111 games (2025)vs last 5 · 51st pctseason 9.44 (41st)5 gamesneutralneutral
air yards per target4.764.68
SZN33rd percentile for mostleague avg 5.8712 games (2025)vs last 5 · 31st pctseason 4.76 (33rd)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
20+ yard catches per game0.250.40
SZN52nd percentile for mostleague avg 0.3112 games (2025)vs last 5 · 71st pctseason 0.25 (52nd)5 gamesneutralsupports OVER
11.5line
OVER-120bet365at 11.5
UNDER-110bet365at 11.5
19.5line
OVER+300bet365at 19.5
29.5line
OVER+800bet365at 29.5
Receiving Yards
26 games loggedline21.5
receptions
KC · what this defence allows
receiving yards allowed to TEs47.69.943.0
35th percentile for most allowedleague avg 53.317 games (2025) · 809 totalvs per reception · 42nd pct · 19 of 32season 47.6 (35th)17 games39th percentile for most allowedleague avg 52.53 games (2026) · 129 totalsupports UNDER21/32 NFL defencesneutral20/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
receptions allowed to TEs4.881.2%5.7
21st percentile for most allowedleague avg 5.317 games (2025) · 82 totalvs per target · 100th pct · 1 of 32season 4.8 (21st)17 games61st percentile for most allowedleague avg 5.23 games (2026) · 17 totalsupports UNDERT-25/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-12/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
receiving yards allowed205.110.3183.7
23rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 225.017 games (2025) · 3487 totalvs per reception · 16th pct · 27 of 32season 205.1 (23rd)17 games6th percentile for most allowedleague avg 231.33 games (2026) · 551 totalsupports UNDER25/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER30/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
yards after catch allowed to TEs25.95.426.7
48th percentile for most allowedleague avg 25.817 games (2025) · 440 totalvs per reception · 74th pct · 9 of 32season 25.9 (48th)17 games48th percentile for most allowedleague avg 27.03 games (2026) · 80 totalneutral17/32 NFL defencessupports OVER17/32 NFL defencesneutral
Head to HeadMichael Mayer vs KC1/3 over 21.5
| date | tgt | rec | rec yds | tgt % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/04'26 | 5 | 3 | 47 | 19.2% |
| 10/19'25 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 11.8% |
| 11/29'24 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5.9% |
Michael Mayer Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game2.924.80
SZN63rd percentile for mostleague avg 2.5512 games (2025)vs last 5 · 93rd pctseason 2.92 (63rd)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
targets per game4.175.80
SZN67th percentile for mostleague avg 3.5112 games (2025)vs last 5 · 88th pctseason 4.17 (67th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
target share14.8%20.5%
SZN69th percentile for mostleague avg 11.5%12 games (2025)vs last 5 · 91st pctseason 14.8% (69th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
snap share65.3%88.0%
SZN72nd percentile for mostleague avg 57.4%12 games (2025)vs last 5 · 96th pctseason 65.3% (72nd)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
19.5line
OVER-140bet365at 19.5
20.5line
OVER-113betPARXat 20.5
UNDER-115betPARXat 20.5
21.5line
OVER-114DraftKingsat 21.5
UNDER-110DraftKingsat 21.5
29.5line
OVER+160bet365at 29.5
39.5line
OVER+300bet365at 39.5
49.5line
OVER+550bet365at 49.5
59.5line
OVER+800bet365at 59.5
69.5line
OVER+1100bet365at 69.5
Receptions
26 games loggedline2.5
targets
KC · what this defence allows
receptions allowed to TEs4.881.2%5.7
21st percentile for most allowedleague avg 5.317 games (2025) · 82 totalvs per target · 100th pct · 1 of 32season 4.8 (21st)17 games61st percentile for most allowedleague avg 5.23 games (2026) · 17 totalsupports UNDERT-25/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-12/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
targets allowed to TEs5.95.97.7
10th percentile for most allowedleague avg 7.317 games (2025) · 101 totalseason 5.9no per-play form for this stat63rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 7.23 games (2026) · 23 totalsupports UNDER29/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-10/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
receptions allowed20.020.019.7
32nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 20.617 games (2025) · 340 totalseason 20.0no per-play form for this stat32nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 20.93 games (2026) · 59 totalsupports UNDER22/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-20/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
Head to HeadMichael Mayer vs KC1/3 over 2.5
| date | tgt | rec | rec yds | tgt % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/04'26 | 5 | 3 | 47 | 19.2% |
| 10/19'25 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 11.8% |
| 11/29'24 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5.9% |
Michael Mayer Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game2.924.80
SZN63rd percentile for mostleague avg 2.5512 games (2025)vs last 5 · 93rd pctseason 2.92 (63rd)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
targets per game4.175.80
SZN67th percentile for mostleague avg 3.5112 games (2025)vs last 5 · 88th pctseason 4.17 (67th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
target share14.8%20.5%
SZN69th percentile for mostleague avg 11.5%12 games (2025)vs last 5 · 91st pctseason 14.8% (69th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
snap share65.3%88.0%
SZN72nd percentile for mostleague avg 57.4%12 games (2025)vs last 5 · 96th pctseason 65.3% (72nd)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
0.5line
OVER-2000bet365at 0.5
1.5line
OVER-350bet365at 1.5
2.5line
OVER-115bet365at 2.5
UNDER+100theScore Betat 2.5
3.5line
OVER+225bet365at 3.5
4.5line
OVER+500bet365at 4.5
5.5line
OVER+850bet365at 5.5
odds snapshot · pulled 10:03 AM EDT on Thu, Oct 1 · not live pricing