Base market snapshot from 10:03 AM EDT on Thu, Oct 1. bet365 refreshed separately at 12:24 PM EDT. Check your book before acting on anything here.
Michael Wilson
ARIArizona Cardinals @ New York GiantsSun 1:00 PM
Wilson on the fieldred zone touches per game 0.47red zone targets per game 1.00receptions per game 4.59
Anytime TD
36 games loggedline0.5
red zone touches
NYG · what this defence allows
TDs allowed to WRs1.01.01.3
71st percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.917 games (2025) · 17 totalseason 1.0no per-play form for this stat81st percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.93 games (2026) · 4 totalsupports OVERT-8/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-5/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
red zone targets allowed to WRs2.62.63.3
68th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.417 games (2025) · 44 totalseason 2.6no per-play form for this stat82nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.53 games (2026) · 10 totalsupports OVER11/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-5/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
touchdowns allowed2.72.72.7
69th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.417 games (2025) · 46 totalseason 2.7no per-play form for this stat63rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.53 games (2026) · 8 totalsupports OVERT-10/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-11/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
Michael Wilson Breakdown · his own data
red zone touches per game0.470.60
SZN70th percentile for mostleague avg 0.3617 games (2025)vs last 5 · 83rd pctseason 0.47 (70th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
red zone targets per game1.001.40
SZN85th percentile for mostleague avg 0.6317 games (2025)vs last 5 · 96th pctseason 1.00 (85th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
receptions per game4.595.60
SZN87th percentile for mostleague avg 2.8917 games (2025)vs last 5 · 93rd pctseason 4.59 (87th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
0.5line
OVER+210Fanaticsat 0.5
Longest Reception
36 games loggedline20.5
targets
NYG · what this defence allows
20+ yard receptions allowed to WRs2.218.8%1.7
69th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.017 games (2025) · 37 totalvs per completion · 61st pct · 13 of 32season 2.2 (69th)17 games35th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.13 games (2026) · 5 totalsupports OVERT-10/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-19/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
30+ yard receptions allowed to WRs0.97.6%0.7
63rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.817 games (2025) · 15 totalvs per completion · 68th pct · 11 of 32season 0.9 (63rd)17 games32nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.93 games (2026) · 2 totalsupports OVERT-12/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-21/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
40+ yard receptions allowed to WRs0.21.5%0.3
13th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.317 games (2025) · 3 totalvs per completion · 10th pct · 29 of 32season 0.2 (13th)17 games39th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.43 games (2026) · 1 totalsupports UNDERT-27/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-14/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
yards after catch allowed to WRs44.43.848.3
55th percentile for most allowedleague avg 45.517 games (2025) · 754 totalvs per reception · 29th pct · 23 of 32season 44.4 (55th)17 games71st percentile for most allowedleague avg 45.03 games (2026) · 145 totalneutral15/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER10/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
air yards faced243.27.8266.7
58th percentile for most facedleague avg 239.817 games (2025) · 4134 totalvs per target · 52nd pct · 16 of 32season 243.2 (58th)17 games65th percentile for most facedleague avg 248.73 games (2026) · 800 totalneutral14/32 NFL defencesneutral12/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
Michael Wilson Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game4.595.60
SZN87th percentile for mostleague avg 2.8917 games (2025)vs last 5 · 93rd pctseason 4.59 (87th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
yards per catch12.3913.18
SZN49th percentile for mostleague avg 12.9017 games (2025)vs last 5 · 60th pctseason 12.39 (49th)5 gamesneutralsupports OVER
air yards per target12.1211.38
SZN60th percentile for mostleague avg 11.2017 games (2025)vs last 5 · 51st pctseason 12.12 (60th)5 gamessupports OVERneutral
20+ yard catches per game0.820.80
SZN78th percentile for mostleague avg 0.5317 games (2025)vs last 5 · 78th pctseason 0.82 (78th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
19.5line
OVER-160bet365at 19.5
20.5line
OVER-110theScore Betat 20.5
UNDER-110Hard Rock Betat 20.5
21.5line
OVER-115bet365at 21.5
UNDER-115bet365at 21.5
29.5line
OVER+190bet365at 29.5
39.5line
OVER+400bet365at 39.5
49.5line
OVER+750bet365at 49.5
Receiving Yards
36 games loggedline57.5
receptions
NYG · what this defence allows
receiving yards allowed to WRs151.813.1155.7
74th percentile for most allowedleague avg 139.617 games (2025) · 2580 totalvs per reception · 71st pct · 10 of 32season 151.8 (74th)17 games56th percentile for most allowedleague avg 148.33 games (2026) · 467 totalsupports OVER9/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-14/32 NFL defencesneutral
receptions allowed to WRs11.662.1%12.3
61st percentile for most allowedleague avg 11.017 games (2025) · 197 totalvs per target · 52nd pct · 16 of 32season 11.6 (61st)17 games73rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 11.33 games (2026) · 37 totalsupports OVER13/32 NFL defencesneutralT-8/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
receiving yards allowed229.910.9227.7
52nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 225.017 games (2025) · 3908 totalvs per reception · 52nd pct · 16 of 32season 229.9 (52nd)17 games48th percentile for most allowedleague avg 231.33 games (2026) · 683 totalneutral16/32 NFL defencesneutral17/32 NFL defencesneutral
yards after catch allowed to WRs44.43.848.3
55th percentile for most allowedleague avg 45.517 games (2025) · 754 totalvs per reception · 29th pct · 23 of 32season 44.4 (55th)17 games71st percentile for most allowedleague avg 45.03 games (2026) · 145 totalneutral15/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER10/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
Michael Wilson Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game4.595.60
SZN87th percentile for mostleague avg 2.8917 games (2025)vs last 5 · 93rd pctseason 4.59 (87th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
targets per game7.419.80
SZN87th percentile for mostleague avg 4.6817 games (2025)vs last 5 · 98th pctseason 7.41 (87th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
target share19.1%27.4%
SZN74th percentile for mostleague avg 15.1%17 games (2025)vs last 5 · 92nd pctseason 19.1% (74th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
snap share81.3%90.2%
SZN82nd percentile for mostleague avg 61.6%17 games (2025)vs last 5 · 96th pctseason 81.3% (82nd)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
19.5line
OVER-1401bet365at 19.5
29.5line
OVER-600bet365at 29.5
39.5line
OVER-300bet365at 39.5
49.5line
OVER-165bet365at 49.5
56.5line
OVER-115bet365at 56.5
UNDER-115bet365at 56.5
57.5line
OVER-114BetOnline.agat 57.5
UNDER-114BetOnline.agat 57.5
58.5line
OVER-111DraftKingsat 58.5
UNDER-113DraftKingsat 58.5
60.5line
OVER-115betPARXat 60.5
UNDER-113betPARXat 60.5
69.5line
OVER+145bet365at 69.5
79.5line
OVER+210bet365at 79.5
89.5line
OVER+300bet365at 89.5
99.5line
OVER+450bet365at 99.5
109.5line
OVER+600bet365at 109.5
119.5line
OVER+800bet365at 119.5
129.5line
OVER+900bet365at 129.5
139.5line
OVER+1150bet365at 139.5
Receptions
36 games loggedline5.5
targets
NYG · what this defence allows
receptions allowed to WRs11.662.1%12.3
61st percentile for most allowedleague avg 11.017 games (2025) · 197 totalvs per target · 52nd pct · 16 of 32season 11.6 (61st)17 games73rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 11.33 games (2026) · 37 totalsupports OVER13/32 NFL defencesneutralT-8/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
targets allowed to WRs18.618.620.0
69th percentile for most allowedleague avg 17.817 games (2025) · 317 totalseason 18.6no per-play form for this stat79th percentile for most allowedleague avg 18.23 games (2026) · 60 totalsupports OVERT-10/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-7/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
receptions allowed21.121.122.3
58th percentile for most allowedleague avg 20.617 games (2025) · 358 totalseason 21.1no per-play form for this stat74th percentile for most allowedleague avg 20.93 games (2026) · 67 totalneutral14/32 NFL defencesseason only9/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
Michael Wilson Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game4.595.60
SZN87th percentile for mostleague avg 2.8917 games (2025)vs last 5 · 93rd pctseason 4.59 (87th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
targets per game7.419.80
SZN87th percentile for mostleague avg 4.6817 games (2025)vs last 5 · 98th pctseason 7.41 (87th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
target share19.1%27.4%
SZN74th percentile for mostleague avg 15.1%17 games (2025)vs last 5 · 92nd pctseason 19.1% (74th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
snap share81.3%90.2%
SZN82nd percentile for mostleague avg 61.6%17 games (2025)vs last 5 · 96th pctseason 81.3% (82nd)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
1.5line
OVER-5000bet365at 1.5
2.5line
OVER-900bet365at 2.5
3.5line
OVER-325bet365at 3.5
4.5line
OVER-135bet365at 4.5
UNDER+114betPARXat 4.5
5.5line
OVER+145bet365at 5.5
UNDER-145Hard Rock Betat 5.5
6.5line
OVER+250bet365at 6.5
7.5line
OVER+500bet365at 7.5
8.5line
OVER+800bet365at 8.5
9.5line
OVER+1200bet365at 9.5
odds snapshot · pulled 10:03 AM EDT on Thu, Oct 1 · not live pricing