Base market snapshot from 10:03 AM EDT on Thu, Oct 1. bet365 refreshed separately at 2:26 PM EDT. Check your book before acting on anything here.

Nate Adkins

DENDenver Broncos @ San Francisco 49ersSun 4:25 PM

Adkins on the fieldred zone touches per game 0.17red zone targets per game 0.33receptions per game 1.00

Anytime TD

21 games logged

line0.5

SF · what this defence allows

TDs allowed to TEs0.60.60.0

81st percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.417 games (2025) · 10 totalseason 0.6no per-play form for this stat11th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.63 games (2026) · 0 totalsupports OVERT-6/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-25/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER

red zone targets allowed to TEs1.41.41.3

82nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 1.217 games (2025) · 24 totalseason 1.4no per-play form for this stat63rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 1.23 games (2026) · 4 totalsupports OVERT-6/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-9/32 NFL defencessupports OVER

touchdowns allowed2.52.51.7

58th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.417 games (2025) · 42 totalseason 2.5no per-play form for this stat16th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.53 games (2026) · 5 totalneutral14/32 NFL defencesseason onlyT-24/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER

Nate Adkins Breakdown · his own data

red zone touches per game0.170.40

SZN

26th percentile for mostleague avg 0.406 games (2025)vs last 5 · 54th pctseason 0.17 (26th)5 gamessupports UNDERneutral

red zone targets per game0.330.80

SZN

28th percentile for mostleague avg 0.596 games (2025)vs last 5 · 77th pctseason 0.33 (28th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports OVER

receptions per game1.001.20

SZN

9th percentile for mostleague avg 2.556 games (2025)vs last 5 · 17th pctseason 1.00 (9th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER

0.5line

OVER+1300Bally Betat 0.5

odds snapshot · pulled 10:03 AM EDT on Thu, Oct 1 · not live pricing