← Kansas City Chiefs @ Las Vegas Raiders
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Patrick Mahomes

KCKansas City Chiefs @ Las Vegas RaidersSun 4:25 PM

Mahomes on the fieldred zone touches per game 1.07carries per game 4.57

Anytime TD

36 games logged
line0.5

LV · what this defence allows
TDs allowed to QBs0.30.30.3
90th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.217 games (2025) · 6 totalseason 0.3no per-play form for this stat69th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.23 games (2026) · 1 totalsupports OVERT-3/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-7/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
red zone carries allowed to QBs1.81.80.7
100th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.817 games (2025) · 30 totalseason 1.8no per-play form for this stat45th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.93 games (2026) · 2 totalsupports OVER1/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-14/32 NFL defencesneutral
touchdowns allowed2.62.62.3
65th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.417 games (2025) · 45 totalseason 2.6no per-play form for this stat50th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.53 games (2026) · 7 totalsupports OVER12/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-15/32 NFL defencesneutral
Head to HeadPatrick Mahomes vs LV0/3 with a touchdown
dateRZtouchrush ydsrec ydsTD
10/19'25042800
11/29'2402400
10/27'24061700
Patrick Mahomes Breakdown · his own data
red zone touches per game1.071.40
SZN
76th percentile for mostleague avg 0.7214 games (2025)vs last 5 · 88th pctseason 1.07 (76th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
carries per game4.573.80
SZN
71st percentile for mostleague avg 3.5514 games (2025)vs last 5 · 64th pctseason 4.57 (71st)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
0.5line
OVER+425BetMGMat 0.5

Completions

36 games logged
line20.5

LV · what this defence allows
completions allowed21.168.5%19.7
61st percentile for most allowedleague avg 20.617 games (2025) · 359 totalvs per attempt · 92nd pct · T-3 of 32season 21.1 (61st)17 games32nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 20.93 games (2026) · 59 totalsupports OVER13/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-20/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
dropbacks faced34.956.4%37.7
32nd percentile for most facedleague avg 36.517 games (2025) · 594 totalvs per play · 15th pct · T-27 of 32season 34.9 (32nd)17 games65th percentile for most facedleague avg 36.73 games (2026) · 113 totalsupports UNDER22/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER12/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
sacks per dropback6.2%6.2%8.8%
45th percentile for highest sack rateleague avg 6.5%17 games (2025)vs per dropback · 45th pct · 18 of 32season 6.2% (45th)17 games94th percentile for highest sack rateleague avg 5.9%3 games (2026)neutral18/32 NFL defencesneutral3/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
Head to HeadPatrick Mahomes vs LV3/3 over 20.5
datecmpattpass ydspass TD
10/19'2526352863
11/29'2426463061
10/27'2427382622
Patrick Mahomes Breakdown · his own data
pass attempts per game35.8631.80
SZN
98th percentile for mostleague avg 28.2814 games (2025)vs last 5 · 71st pctseason 35.86 (98th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
passing yards per game256.21232.20
SZN
88th percentile for mostleague avg 198.1014 games (2025)vs last 5 · 74th pctseason 256.21 (88th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
20.5line
OVER-110betPARXat 20.5
UNDER+102DraftKingsat 20.5

Interceptions

36 games logged
line0.5

LV · what this defence allows
interceptions forced0.51.5%1.3
19th percentile for most forcedleague avg 0.717 games (2025) · 8 totalvs per attempt · 18th pct · T-26 of 32season 0.5 (19th)17 games94th percentile for most forcedleague avg 0.73 games (2026) · 4 totalsupports UNDERT-25/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-1/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
completions allowed21.168.5%19.7
61st percentile for most allowedleague avg 20.617 games (2025) · 359 totalvs per attempt · 92nd pct · T-3 of 32season 21.1 (61st)17 games32nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 20.93 games (2026) · 59 totalsupports OVER13/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-20/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
passing yards allowed214.37.0222.3
39th percentile for most allowedleague avg 225.017 games (2025) · 3644 totalvs per attempt · 45th pct · 18 of 32season 214.3 (39th)17 games45th percentile for most allowedleague avg 231.33 games (2026) · 667 totalsupports UNDER20/32 NFL defencesneutral18/32 NFL defencesneutral
Head to HeadPatrick Mahomes vs LV1/3 over 0.5
dateintattcmppass yds
10/19'2503526286
11/29'2404626306
10/27'2413827262
Patrick Mahomes Breakdown · his own data
pass attempts per game35.8631.80
SZN
98th percentile for mostleague avg 28.2814 games (2025)vs last 5 · 71st pctseason 35.86 (98th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
completions per game22.5019.40
SZN
88th percentile for mostleague avg 18.1614 games (2025)vs last 5 · 54th pctseason 22.50 (88th)5 gamessupports OVERneutral
0.5line
OVER+135bet365at 0.5
UNDER-139DraftKingsat 0.5

Longest Completion

36 games logged
line38.5

LV · what this defence allows
20+ yard receptions allowed2.210.3%2.3
5th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.917 games (2025) · 37 totalvs per completion · 0th pct · 32 of 32season 2.2 (5th)17 games34th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.93 games (2026) · 7 totalsupports UNDERT-30/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-21/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
30+ yard receptions allowed0.94.5%1.0
35th percentile for most allowedleague avg 1.017 games (2025) · 16 totalvs per completion · 37th pct · T-20 of 32season 0.9 (35th)17 games45th percentile for most allowedleague avg 1.13 games (2026) · 3 totalsupports UNDERT-20/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-15/32 NFL defencesneutral
40+ yard receptions allowed0.52.5%0.3
77th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.417 games (2025) · 9 totalvs per completion · 76th pct · T-7 of 32season 0.5 (77th)17 games29th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.63 games (2026) · 1 totalsupports OVERT-6/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-18/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
yards after catch allowed100.14.7107.7
44th percentile for most allowedleague avg 106.017 games (2025) · 1702 totalvs per reception · 26th pct · 24 of 32season 100.1 (44th)17 games68th percentile for most allowedleague avg 104.73 games (2026) · 323 totalneutralT-18/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER11/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
air yards faced218.97.4292.7
26th percentile for most facedleague avg 239.817 games (2025) · 3722 totalvs per target · 19th pct · 26 of 32season 218.9 (26th)17 games77th percentile for most facedleague avg 248.73 games (2026) · 878 totalsupports UNDER24/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER8/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
Head to HeadPatrick Mahomes vs LV1/3 over 38.5
datecmpattpass ydslng cmp
10/19'25263528644
11/29'24264630634
10/27'24273826225
Patrick Mahomes Breakdown · his own data
pass attempts per game35.8631.80
SZN
98th percentile for mostleague avg 28.2814 games (2025)vs last 5 · 71st pctseason 35.86 (98th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
completions per game22.5019.40
SZN
88th percentile for mostleague avg 18.1614 games (2025)vs last 5 · 54th pctseason 22.50 (88th)5 gamessupports OVERneutral
38.5line
OVER-115bet365at 38.5
UNDER-115bet365at 38.5

Longest Rush

36 games logged
line10.5

LV · what this defence allows
10+ yard rushes allowed to QBs0.513.4%0.7
27th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.617 games (2025) · 9 totalvs per carry · 16th pct · 27 of 32season 0.5 (27th)17 games61st percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.63 games (2026) · 2 totalsupports UNDERT-22/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-8/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
20+ yard rushes allowed (all positions)0.51.8%0.3
44th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.617 games (2025) · 9 totalvs per carry · 35th pct · T-20 of 32season 0.5 (44th)17 games47th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.53 games (2026) · 1 totalneutralT-18/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-14/32 NFL defencesneutral
yards per carry allowed to QBs4.34.37.7
0th percentile for most allowedleague avg 5.617 games (2025)vs per carry · 0th pct · 32 of 32season 4.3 (0th)17 games81st percentile for most allowedleague avg 5.73 games (2026)supports UNDER32/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER7/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
runs stuffed at the line5.821.3%4.3
97th percentile for most stuffsleague avg 4.317 games (2025) · 98 totalvs per carry · 94th pct · 3 of 32season 5.8 (97th)17 games53rd percentile for most stuffsleague avg 4.23 games (2026) · 13 totalsupports UNDER2/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-15/32 NFL defencesneutral
Head to HeadPatrick Mahomes vs LV1/3 over 10.5
datecarrush ydslng rush
10/19'2542810
11/29'24245
10/27'2461714
Patrick Mahomes Breakdown · his own data
carries per game4.573.80
SZN
71st percentile for mostleague avg 3.5514 games (2025)vs last 5 · 64th pctseason 4.57 (71st)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
yards per carry6.415.74
SZN
90th percentile for mostleague avg 4.2714 games (2025)vs last 5 · 79th pctseason 6.41 (90th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
10+ yard runs per game1.290.80
SZN
100th percentile for mostleague avg 0.5514 games (2025)vs last 5 · 65th pctseason 1.29 (100th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
snap share97.4%98.4%
SZN
83rd percentile for mostleague avg 87.6%14 games (2025)vs last 5 · 90th pctseason 97.4% (83rd)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
10.5line
OVER-115bet365at 10.5
UNDER-115bet365at 10.5

Passing Attempts

36 games logged
line31.5

LV · what this defence allows
pass attempts faced30.830.832.0
32nd percentile for most facedleague avg 32.117 games (2025) · 524 totalseason 30.8no per-play form for this stat53rd percentile for most facedleague avg 32.53 games (2026) · 96 totalsupports UNDER22/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-15/32 NFL defencesneutral
pass rate faced56.4%56.4%61.4%
15th percentile for most passed againstleague avg 60.2%17 games (2025)season 56.4%no per-play form for this stat66th percentile for most passed againstleague avg 60.4%3 games (2026)supports UNDERT-27/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-11/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
pass rate over expected faced-1.6%-1.6%-6.4%
52nd percentile for most passed againstleague avg -2.2%17 games (2025)season -1.6%no per-play form for this stat10th percentile for most passed againstleague avg -2.0%3 games (2026)neutral16/32 NFL defencesseason only29/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
plays faced62.062.061.3
71st percentile for most facedleague avg 60.617 games (2025) · 1054 totalseason 62.0no per-play form for this stat52nd percentile for most facedleague avg 60.73 games (2026) · 184 totalsupports OVER10/32 NFL defencessupports OVER16/32 NFL defencesneutral
sacks per dropback6.2%6.2%8.8%
45th percentile for highest sack rateleague avg 6.5%17 games (2025)season 6.2%no per-play form for this stat94th percentile for highest sack rateleague avg 5.9%3 games (2026)neutral18/32 NFL defencesseason only3/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
Head to HeadPatrick Mahomes vs LV3/3 over 31.5
dateattcmppass ydspass TD
10/19'2535262863
11/29'2446263061
10/27'2438272622
Patrick Mahomes Breakdown · his own data
completions per game22.5019.40
SZN
88th percentile for mostleague avg 18.1614 games (2025)vs last 5 · 54th pctseason 22.50 (88th)5 gamessupports OVERneutral
passing yards per game256.21232.20
SZN
88th percentile for mostleague avg 198.1014 games (2025)vs last 5 · 74th pctseason 256.21 (88th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
31.5line
OVER-109betPARXat 31.5
UNDER-110bet365at 31.5

Passing Touchdowns

36 games logged
line1.5

LV · what this defence allows
passing TDs allowed1.44.4%1.7
31st percentile for most allowedleague avg 1.517 games (2025) · 23 totalvs per attempt · 42nd pct · T-18 of 32season 1.4 (31st)17 games58th percentile for most allowedleague avg 1.63 games (2026) · 5 totalsupports UNDERT-22/32 NFL defencesneutralT-11/32 NFL defencesneutral
red zone trips allowed3.857.8%3.0
87th percentile for most allowedleague avg 3.217 games (2025) · 64 totalvs TD rate · 52nd pct · 16 of 32season 3.8 (87th)17 games35th percentile for most allowedleague avg 3.33 games (2026) · 9 totalsupports OVER5/32 NFL defencesneutralT-19/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
passing yards allowed214.37.0222.3
39th percentile for most allowedleague avg 225.017 games (2025) · 3644 totalvs per attempt · 45th pct · 18 of 32season 214.3 (39th)17 games45th percentile for most allowedleague avg 231.33 games (2026) · 667 totalsupports UNDER20/32 NFL defencesneutral18/32 NFL defencesneutral
Head to HeadPatrick Mahomes vs LV2/3 over 1.5
dateattcmppass ydspass TD
10/19'2535262863
11/29'2446263061
10/27'2438272622
Patrick Mahomes Breakdown · his own data
pass attempts per game35.8631.80
SZN
98th percentile for mostleague avg 28.2814 games (2025)vs last 5 · 71st pctseason 35.86 (98th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
completions per game22.5019.40
SZN
88th percentile for mostleague avg 18.1614 games (2025)vs last 5 · 54th pctseason 22.50 (88th)5 gamessupports OVERneutral
1.5line
OVER-130Bovadaat 1.5
UNDER+107betPARXat 1.5

Passing Yards

36 games logged
line235.5

LV · what this defence allows
passing yards allowed214.37.0222.3
39th percentile for most allowedleague avg 225.017 games (2025) · 3644 totalvs per attempt · 45th pct · 18 of 32season 214.3 (39th)17 games45th percentile for most allowedleague avg 231.33 games (2026) · 667 totalsupports UNDER20/32 NFL defencesneutral18/32 NFL defencesneutral
dropbacks faced34.956.4%37.7
32nd percentile for most facedleague avg 36.517 games (2025) · 594 totalvs per play · 15th pct · T-27 of 32season 34.9 (32nd)17 games65th percentile for most facedleague avg 36.73 games (2026) · 113 totalsupports UNDER22/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER12/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
sacks per dropback6.2%6.2%8.8%
45th percentile for highest sack rateleague avg 6.5%17 games (2025)vs per dropback · 45th pct · 18 of 32season 6.2% (45th)17 games94th percentile for highest sack rateleague avg 5.9%3 games (2026)neutral18/32 NFL defencesneutral3/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
Head to HeadPatrick Mahomes vs LV3/3 over 235.5
datecmpattpass ydspass TD
10/19'2526352863
11/29'2426463061
10/27'2427382622
Patrick Mahomes Breakdown · his own data
pass attempts per game35.8631.80
SZN
98th percentile for mostleague avg 28.2814 games (2025)vs last 5 · 71st pctseason 35.86 (98th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
completions per game22.5019.40
SZN
88th percentile for mostleague avg 18.1614 games (2025)vs last 5 · 54th pctseason 22.50 (88th)5 gamessupports OVERneutral
235.5line
OVER-115Bally Betat 235.5
UNDER-113betPARXat 235.5

Rushing Attempts

36 games logged
line3.5

LV · what this defence allows
carries allowed to QBs5.117.0%3.3
92nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 4.217 games (2025) · 87 totalvs share of carries · 71st pct · 10 of 32season 5.1 (92nd)17 games39th percentile for most allowedleague avg 4.03 games (2026) · 10 totalsupports OVERT-3/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-19/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
runs faced27.143.6%23.7
90th percentile for most run againstleague avg 24.117 games (2025) · 460 totalvs per play · 85th pct · T-5 of 32season 27.1 (90th)17 games48th percentile for most run againstleague avg 24.03 games (2026) · 71 totalsupports OVER4/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-16/32 NFL defencesneutral
rushing yards allowed to QBs15.73.125.7
26th percentile for most allowedleague avg 18.017 games (2025) · 266 totalvs per carry · 3rd pct · 31 of 32season 15.7 (26th)17 games89th percentile for most allowedleague avg 17.73 games (2026) · 77 totalsupports UNDER24/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-4/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
Head to HeadPatrick Mahomes vs LV2/3 over 3.5
datecarrush ydsrecrec ydsTD
10/19'25428000
11/29'2424000
10/27'24617000
Patrick Mahomes Breakdown · his own data
snap share97.4%98.4%
SZN
83rd percentile for mostleague avg 87.6%14 games (2025)vs last 5 · 90th pctseason 97.4% (83rd)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
rushing yards per game30.1423.00
SZN
86th percentile for mostleague avg 16.1914 games (2025)vs last 5 · 74th pctseason 30.14 (86th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
yards per carry6.415.74
SZN
90th percentile for mostleague avg 4.2714 games (2025)vs last 5 · 79th pctseason 6.41 (90th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
3.5line
OVER+110bet365at 3.5
UNDER-140bet365at 3.5

Rushing Yards

36 games logged
line15.5

LV · what this defence allows
rushing yards allowed to QBs15.73.125.7
26th percentile for most allowedleague avg 18.017 games (2025) · 266 totalvs per carry · 3rd pct · 31 of 32season 15.7 (26th)17 games89th percentile for most allowedleague avg 17.73 games (2026) · 77 totalsupports UNDER24/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-4/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
carries allowed to QBs5.117.0%3.3
92nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 4.217 games (2025) · 87 totalvs share of carries · 71st pct · 10 of 32season 5.1 (92nd)17 games39th percentile for most allowedleague avg 4.03 games (2026) · 10 totalsupports OVERT-3/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-19/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
runs faced27.143.6%23.7
90th percentile for most run againstleague avg 24.117 games (2025) · 460 totalvs per play · 85th pct · T-5 of 32season 27.1 (90th)17 games48th percentile for most run againstleague avg 24.03 games (2026) · 71 totalsupports OVER4/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-16/32 NFL defencesneutral
runs stuffed at the line5.821.3%4.3
97th percentile for most stuffsleague avg 4.317 games (2025) · 98 totalvs per carry · 94th pct · 3 of 32season 5.8 (97th)17 games53rd percentile for most stuffsleague avg 4.23 games (2026) · 13 totalsupports UNDER2/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-15/32 NFL defencesneutral
Head to HeadPatrick Mahomes vs LV2/3 over 15.5
datecarrush ydsrecrec ydsTD
10/19'25428000
11/29'2424000
10/27'24617000
Patrick Mahomes Breakdown · his own data
carries per game4.573.80
SZN
71st percentile for mostleague avg 3.5514 games (2025)vs last 5 · 64th pctseason 4.57 (71st)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
yards per carry6.415.74
SZN
90th percentile for mostleague avg 4.2714 games (2025)vs last 5 · 79th pctseason 6.41 (90th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
15.5line
OVER-114betPARXat 15.5
UNDER-109DraftKingsat 15.5

odds snapshot · pulled 10:03 AM EDT on Thu, Oct 1 · not live pricing