Base market snapshot from 12:05 PM EDT on Thu, Oct 1. bet365 refreshed separately at 2:27 PM EDT. Check your book before acting on anything here.
Pierce Walsh
MINNMichigan Wolverines @ Minnesota Golden GophersSat 12:00 PM
Walsh on the fieldreceptions per game 1.00
Anytime TD
4 games loggedline0.5
touches
MICH · what this defence allows
TDs allowed to TEs0.30.30.0
84th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.212 games (2025) · 4 totalseason 0.3no per-play form for this stat23rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.34 games (2026) · 0 totalsupports OVERT-22/141 FBS defencessupports OVERT-67/123 FBS defencessupports UNDER
receptions allowed to TEs2.92.93.8
97th percentile for most allowedleague avg 1.612 games (2025) · 35 totalseason 2.9no per-play form for this stat70th percentile for most allowedleague avg 3.24 games (2026) · 15 totalsupports OVER5/141 FBS defencessupports OVERT-37/123 FBS defencessupports OVER
touchdowns allowed2.22.21.5
11th percentile for most allowedleague avg 3.112 games (2025) · 26 totalseason 2.2no per-play form for this stat12th percentile for most allowedleague avg 3.14 games (2026) · 6 totalsupports UNDER125/141 FBS defencessupports UNDERT-107/123 FBS defencessupports UNDER
Pierce Walsh Breakdown · his own data
receptions per gamethin1.001.50
SZN2nd percentile for mostleague avg 2.22thin sample: 2 games (2025)vs last 5 · 19th pctseason 1.00 (2nd)4 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
0.5line
OVER+1000Hard Rock Betat 0.5
Receiving Yards
4 games loggedline9.5
receptions
MICH · what this defence allows
receiving yards allowed210.610.1149.5
34th percentile for most allowedleague avg 223.112 games (2025) · 2527 totalvs per reception · 5th pct · 134 of 141season 210.6 (34th)12 games6th percentile for most allowedleague avg 226.54 games (2026) · 598 totalsupports UNDER93/141 FBS defencessupports UNDER116/123 FBS defencessupports UNDER
receptions allowed20.820.815.8
79th percentile for most allowedleague avg 19.012 games (2025) · 250 totalseason 20.8no per-play form for this stat19th percentile for most allowedleague avg 19.24 games (2026) · 63 totalsupports OVER30/141 FBS defencessupports OVERT-99/123 FBS defencessupports UNDER
Pierce Walsh Breakdown · his own data
receptions per gamethin1.001.50
SZN2nd percentile for mostleague avg 2.22thin sample: 2 games (2025)vs last 5 · 19th pctseason 1.00 (2nd)4 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
9.5line
OVER-114BetOnline.agat 9.5
UNDER-114BetOnline.agat 9.5
19.5line
OVER+235bet365at 19.5
29.5line
OVER+500bet365at 29.5
39.5line
OVER+900bet365at 39.5
49.5line
OVER+1500bet365at 49.5
Receptions
4 games loggedline1.5
receiving yards
MICH · what this defence allows
completions allowed20.863.8%15.8
79th percentile for most allowedleague avg 19.012 games (2025) · 250 totalvs per attempt · 61st pct · T-54 of 141season 20.8 (79th)12 games19th percentile for most allowedleague avg 19.24 games (2026) · 63 totalsupports OVER30/141 FBS defencessupports OVERT-99/123 FBS defencessupports UNDER
Pierce Walsh Breakdown · his own data
receptions per gamethin1.001.50
SZN2nd percentile for mostleague avg 2.22thin sample: 2 games (2025)vs last 5 · 19th pctseason 1.00 (2nd)4 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
1.5line
OVER+115bet365at 1.5
UNDER-145bet365at 1.5
odds snapshot · pulled 12:05 PM EDT on Thu, Oct 1 · not live pricing