Base market snapshot from 10:03 AM EDT on Thu, Oct 1. bet365 refreshed separately at 2:26 PM EDT. Check your book before acting on anything here.
Sam Darnold
SEALos Angeles Chargers @ Seattle SeahawksSun 4:25 PM
Darnold on the fieldred zone touches per game 0.35carries per game 2.06
Anytime TD
40 games loggedline0.5
red zone touches
LAC · what this defence allows
TDs allowed to QBs0.20.20.7
63rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.217 games (2025) · 4 totalseason 0.2no per-play form for this stat90th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.23 games (2026) · 2 totalsupports OVERT-11/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-2/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
red zone carries allowed to QBs0.60.61.0
15th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.817 games (2025) · 10 totalseason 0.6no per-play form for this stat66th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.93 games (2026) · 3 totalsupports UNDERT-26/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-10/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
touchdowns allowed1.91.92.7
11th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.417 games (2025) · 32 totalseason 1.9no per-play form for this stat63rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.53 games (2026) · 8 totalsupports UNDERT-28/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-11/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
Sam Darnold Breakdown · his own data
red zone touches per game0.350.40
SZN24th percentile for mostleague avg 0.7217 games (2025)vs last 5 · 30th pctseason 0.35 (24th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
carries per game2.062.60
SZN26th percentile for mostleague avg 3.5517 games (2025)vs last 5 · 33rd pctseason 2.06 (26th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
0.5line
OVER+950BetMGMat 0.5
Completions
40 games loggedline21.5
pass attempts
LAC · what this defence allows
completions allowed18.160.8%20.7
6th percentile for most allowedleague avg 20.617 games (2025) · 307 totalvs per attempt · 13th pct · 28 of 32season 18.1 (6th)17 games56th percentile for most allowedleague avg 20.93 games (2026) · 62 totalsupports UNDER30/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-14/32 NFL defencesneutral
dropbacks faced34.661.6%34.0
23rd percentile for most facedleague avg 36.517 games (2025) · 588 totalvs per play · 65th pct · 12 of 32season 34.6 (23rd)17 games26th percentile for most facedleague avg 36.73 games (2026) · 102 totalsupports UNDER25/32 NFL defencessupports OVER24/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
sacks per dropback7.6%7.6%6.9%
81st percentile for highest sack rateleague avg 6.5%17 games (2025)vs per dropback · 81st pct · 7 of 32season 7.6% (81st)17 games68th percentile for highest sack rateleague avg 5.9%3 games (2026)supports UNDER7/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER11/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
Sam Darnold Breakdown · his own data
pass attempts per game28.0626.80
SZN38th percentile for mostleague avg 28.2817 games (2025)vs last 5 · 29th pctseason 28.06 (38th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
passing yards per game238.12201.40
SZN81st percentile for mostleague avg 198.1017 games (2025)vs last 5 · 45th pctseason 238.12 (81st)5 gamessupports OVERneutral
19.5line
OVER-275bet365at 19.5
20.5line
OVER-135theScore Betat 20.5
UNDER+105theScore Betat 20.5
21.5line
OVER+105Bovadaat 21.5
UNDER-125betPARXat 21.5
24.5line
OVER+210bet365at 24.5
29.5line
OVER+800bet365at 29.5
Interceptions
40 games loggedline0.5
pass attempts
LAC · what this defence allows
interceptions forced1.13.8%1.0
92nd percentile for most forcedleague avg 0.717 games (2025) · 19 totalvs per attempt · 97th pct · 2 of 32season 1.1 (92nd)17 games73rd percentile for most forcedleague avg 0.73 games (2026) · 3 totalsupports OVERT-3/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-6/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
completions allowed18.160.8%20.7
6th percentile for most allowedleague avg 20.617 games (2025) · 307 totalvs per attempt · 13th pct · 28 of 32season 18.1 (6th)17 games56th percentile for most allowedleague avg 20.93 games (2026) · 62 totalsupports UNDER30/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-14/32 NFL defencesneutral
passing yards allowed194.96.6244.7
10th percentile for most allowedleague avg 225.017 games (2025) · 3314 totalvs per attempt · 23rd pct · 25 of 32season 194.9 (10th)17 games65th percentile for most allowedleague avg 231.33 games (2026) · 734 totalsupports UNDER29/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER12/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
Sam Darnold Breakdown · his own data
pass attempts per game28.0626.80
SZN38th percentile for mostleague avg 28.2817 games (2025)vs last 5 · 29th pctseason 28.06 (38th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
completions per game19.0018.40
SZN44th percentile for mostleague avg 18.1617 games (2025)vs last 5 · 36th pctseason 19.00 (44th)5 gamesneutralsupports UNDER
0.5line
OVER+120BetOnline.agat 0.5
UNDER-145bet365at 0.5
1.5line
OVER+550bet365at 1.5
2.5line
OVER+1200bet365at 2.5
Longest Completion
40 games loggedline35.5
pass attempts
LAC · what this defence allows
20+ yard receptions allowed2.212.1%3.0
5th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.917 games (2025) · 37 totalvs per completion · 26th pct · 24 of 32season 2.2 (5th)17 games56th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.93 games (2026) · 9 totalsupports UNDERT-30/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-13/32 NFL defencesneutral
30+ yard receptions allowed0.73.6%1.3
11th percentile for most allowedleague avg 1.017 games (2025) · 11 totalvs per completion · 13th pct · 28 of 32season 0.7 (11th)17 games68th percentile for most allowedleague avg 1.13 games (2026) · 4 totalsupports UNDERT-27/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-8/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
40+ yard receptions allowed0.42.3%0.7
53rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.417 games (2025) · 7 totalvs per completion · 65th pct · T-11 of 32season 0.4 (53rd)17 games65th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.63 games (2026) · 2 totalneutralT-13/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-7/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
yards after catch allowed105.55.894.7
55th percentile for most allowedleague avg 106.017 games (2025) · 1794 totalvs per reception · 90th pct · 4 of 32season 105.5 (55th)17 games29th percentile for most allowedleague avg 104.73 games (2026) · 284 totalneutral15/32 NFL defencessupports OVER23/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
air yards faced217.57.7277.3
23rd percentile for most facedleague avg 239.817 games (2025) · 3697 totalvs per target · 40th pct · T-19 of 32season 217.5 (23rd)17 games71st percentile for most facedleague avg 248.73 games (2026) · 832 totalsupports UNDER25/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER10/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
Sam Darnold Breakdown · his own data
pass attempts per game28.0626.80
SZN38th percentile for mostleague avg 28.2817 games (2025)vs last 5 · 29th pctseason 28.06 (38th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
completions per game19.0018.40
SZN44th percentile for mostleague avg 18.1617 games (2025)vs last 5 · 36th pctseason 19.00 (44th)5 gamesneutralsupports UNDER
19.5line
OVER-4000bet365at 19.5
29.5line
OVER-240bet365at 29.5
34.5line
OVER-115bet365at 34.5
UNDER-115bet365at 34.5
35.5line
OVER-115Fliffat 35.5
UNDER-108DraftKingsat 35.5
39.5line
OVER+145bet365at 39.5
49.5line
OVER+350bet365at 49.5
59.5line
OVER+750bet365at 59.5
Longest Rush
40 games loggedline3.5
carries
LAC · what this defence allows
10+ yard rushes allowed to QBs0.821.0%0.3
79th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.617 games (2025) · 13 totalvs per carry · 81st pct · 7 of 32season 0.8 (79th)17 games29th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.63 games (2026) · 1 totalsupports OVERT-6/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-19/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
20+ yard rushes allowed (all positions)0.41.7%0.3
19th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.617 games (2025) · 7 totalvs per carry · 26th pct · T-23 of 32season 0.4 (19th)17 games47th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.53 games (2026) · 1 totalsupports UNDERT-25/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-14/32 NFL defencesneutral
yards per carry allowed to QBs5.35.34.0
32nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 5.617 games (2025)vs per carry · 32nd pct · 22 of 32season 5.3 (32nd)17 games19th percentile for most allowedleague avg 5.73 games (2026)supports UNDER22/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER26/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
runs stuffed at the line4.822.1%4.0
79th percentile for most stuffsleague avg 4.317 games (2025) · 81 totalvs per carry · 97th pct · 2 of 32season 4.8 (79th)17 games45th percentile for most stuffsleague avg 4.23 games (2026) · 12 totalsupports UNDERT-6/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-17/32 NFL defencesneutral
Sam Darnold Breakdown · his own data
carries per game2.062.60
SZN26th percentile for mostleague avg 3.5517 games (2025)vs last 5 · 33rd pctseason 2.06 (26th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
yards per carry4.092.15
SZN44th percentile for mostleague avg 4.2712 games (2025)vs last 5 · 10th pctseason 4.09 (44th)5 gamesneutralsupports UNDER
10+ yard runs per game0.120.00
SZN17th percentile for mostleague avg 0.5517 games (2025)vs last 5 · 6th pctseason 0.12 (17th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
snap share96.2%82.0%
SZN69th percentile for mostleague avg 87.6%17 games (2025)vs last 5 · 21st pctseason 96.2% (69th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports UNDER
3.5line
OVER-115bet365at 3.5
UNDER-115bet365at 3.5
9.5line
OVER+210bet365at 9.5
19.5line
OVER+800bet365at 19.5
Passing Attempts
40 games loggedline30.5
completions
LAC · what this defence allows
pass attempts faced29.729.730.7
13th percentile for most facedleague avg 32.117 games (2025) · 505 totalseason 29.7no per-play form for this stat32nd percentile for most facedleague avg 32.53 games (2026) · 92 totalsupports UNDER28/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-21/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
pass rate faced61.6%61.6%54.3%
65th percentile for most passed againstleague avg 60.2%17 games (2025)season 61.6%no per-play form for this stat19th percentile for most passed againstleague avg 60.4%3 games (2026)supports OVER12/32 NFL defencessupports OVER26/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
pass rate over expected faced-0.2%-0.2%-4.9%
76th percentile for most passed againstleague avg -2.2%17 games (2025)season -0.2%no per-play form for this stat23rd percentile for most passed againstleague avg -2.0%3 games (2026)supports OVERT-8/32 NFL defencessupports OVER25/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
plays faced56.256.262.7
3rd percentile for most facedleague avg 60.617 games (2025) · 955 totalseason 56.2no per-play form for this stat58th percentile for most facedleague avg 60.73 games (2026) · 188 totalsupports UNDER31/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER14/32 NFL defencesneutral
sacks per dropback7.6%7.6%6.9%
81st percentile for highest sack rateleague avg 6.5%17 games (2025)season 7.6%no per-play form for this stat68th percentile for highest sack rateleague avg 5.9%3 games (2026)supports UNDER7/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER11/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
Sam Darnold Breakdown · his own data
completions per game19.0018.40
SZN44th percentile for mostleague avg 18.1617 games (2025)vs last 5 · 36th pctseason 19.00 (44th)5 gamesneutralsupports UNDER
passing yards per game238.12201.40
SZN81st percentile for mostleague avg 198.1017 games (2025)vs last 5 · 45th pctseason 238.12 (81st)5 gamessupports OVERneutral
19.5line
OVER-5000bet365at 19.5
24.5line
OVER-800bet365at 24.5
30.5line
OVER-103DraftKingsat 30.5
UNDER-121betPARXat 30.5
31.5line
OVER-105bet365at 31.5
UNDER-125bet365at 31.5
34.5line
OVER+190bet365at 34.5
39.5line
OVER+550bet365at 39.5
44.5line
OVER+1000bet365at 44.5
Passing Touchdowns
40 games loggedline1.5
pass attempts
LAC · what this defence allows
passing TDs allowed0.93.2%1.3
6th percentile for most allowedleague avg 1.517 games (2025) · 16 totalvs per attempt · 6th pct · 30 of 32season 0.9 (6th)17 games35th percentile for most allowedleague avg 1.63 games (2026) · 4 totalsupports UNDER30/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-18/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
red zone trips allowed2.946.9%4.0
26th percentile for most allowedleague avg 3.217 games (2025) · 49 totalvs TD rate · 10th pct · 29 of 32season 2.9 (26th)17 games76th percentile for most allowedleague avg 3.33 games (2026) · 12 totalsupports UNDERT-23/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-6/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
passing yards allowed194.96.6244.7
10th percentile for most allowedleague avg 225.017 games (2025) · 3314 totalvs per attempt · 23rd pct · 25 of 32season 194.9 (10th)17 games65th percentile for most allowedleague avg 231.33 games (2026) · 734 totalsupports UNDER29/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER12/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
Sam Darnold Breakdown · his own data
pass attempts per game28.0626.80
SZN38th percentile for mostleague avg 28.2817 games (2025)vs last 5 · 29th pctseason 28.06 (38th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
completions per game19.0018.40
SZN44th percentile for mostleague avg 18.1617 games (2025)vs last 5 · 36th pctseason 19.00 (44th)5 gamesneutralsupports UNDER
0.5line
OVER-1000bet365at 0.5
1.5line
OVER-120Bally Betat 1.5
UNDER+110bet365at 1.5
2.5line
OVER+275bet365at 2.5
3.5line
OVER+850bet365at 3.5
Passing Yards
40 games loggedline232.5
completions
LAC · what this defence allows
passing yards allowed194.96.6244.7
10th percentile for most allowedleague avg 225.017 games (2025) · 3314 totalvs per attempt · 23rd pct · 25 of 32season 194.9 (10th)17 games65th percentile for most allowedleague avg 231.33 games (2026) · 734 totalsupports UNDER29/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER12/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
dropbacks faced34.661.6%34.0
23rd percentile for most facedleague avg 36.517 games (2025) · 588 totalvs per play · 65th pct · 12 of 32season 34.6 (23rd)17 games26th percentile for most facedleague avg 36.73 games (2026) · 102 totalsupports UNDER25/32 NFL defencessupports OVER24/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
sacks per dropback7.6%7.6%6.9%
81st percentile for highest sack rateleague avg 6.5%17 games (2025)vs per dropback · 81st pct · 7 of 32season 7.6% (81st)17 games68th percentile for highest sack rateleague avg 5.9%3 games (2026)supports UNDER7/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER11/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
Sam Darnold Breakdown · his own data
pass attempts per game28.0626.80
SZN38th percentile for mostleague avg 28.2817 games (2025)vs last 5 · 29th pctseason 28.06 (38th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
completions per game19.0018.40
SZN44th percentile for mostleague avg 18.1617 games (2025)vs last 5 · 36th pctseason 19.00 (44th)5 gamesneutralsupports UNDER
149.5line
OVER-2500bet365at 149.5
174.5line
OVER-900bet365at 174.5
199.5line
OVER-400bet365at 199.5
224.5line
OVER-175bet365at 224.5
231.5line
OVER-115Hard Rock Betat 231.5
UNDER-115Hard Rock Betat 231.5
232.5line
OVER-111DraftKingsat 232.5
UNDER-113DraftKingsat 232.5
233.5line
OVER-114Bally Betat 233.5
UNDER-114betPARXat 233.5
239.5line
OVER-115bet365at 239.5
UNDER-115bet365at 239.5
249.5line
OVER+110bet365at 249.5
274.5line
OVER+210bet365at 274.5
299.5line
OVER+400bet365at 299.5
324.5line
OVER+650bet365at 324.5
349.5line
OVER+1000bet365at 349.5
Rushing Attempts
40 games loggedline2.5
snap share
LAC · what this defence allows
carries allowed to QBs4.317.5%6.0
53rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 4.217 games (2025) · 73 totalvs share of carries · 77th pct · 8 of 32season 4.3 (53rd)17 games90th percentile for most allowedleague avg 4.03 games (2026) · 18 totalneutralT-15/32 NFL defencessupports OVER4/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
runs faced21.638.4%28.7
13th percentile for most run againstleague avg 24.117 games (2025) · 367 totalvs per play · 35th pct · 21 of 32season 21.6 (13th)17 games87th percentile for most run againstleague avg 24.03 games (2026) · 86 totalsupports UNDER28/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER5/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
rushing yards allowed to QBs18.64.312.3
55th percentile for most allowedleague avg 18.017 games (2025) · 316 totalvs per carry · 42nd pct · 19 of 32season 18.6 (55th)17 games32nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 17.73 games (2026) · 37 totalneutral15/32 NFL defencesneutralT-21/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
Sam Darnold Breakdown · his own data
snap share96.2%82.0%
SZN69th percentile for mostleague avg 87.6%17 games (2025)vs last 5 · 21st pctseason 96.2% (69th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports UNDER
rushing yards per game5.594.60
SZN26th percentile for mostleague avg 16.1917 games (2025)vs last 5 · 19th pctseason 5.59 (26th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
yards per carry4.092.15
SZN44th percentile for mostleague avg 4.2712 games (2025)vs last 5 · 10th pctseason 4.09 (44th)5 gamesneutralsupports UNDER
2.5line
OVER-105bet365at 2.5
UNDER-125bet365at 2.5
4.5line
OVER+450bet365at 4.5
Rushing Yards
40 games loggedline3.5
carries
LAC · what this defence allows
rushing yards allowed to QBs18.64.312.3
55th percentile for most allowedleague avg 18.017 games (2025) · 316 totalvs per carry · 42nd pct · 19 of 32season 18.6 (55th)17 games32nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 17.73 games (2026) · 37 totalneutral15/32 NFL defencesneutralT-21/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
carries allowed to QBs4.317.5%6.0
53rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 4.217 games (2025) · 73 totalvs share of carries · 77th pct · 8 of 32season 4.3 (53rd)17 games90th percentile for most allowedleague avg 4.03 games (2026) · 18 totalneutralT-15/32 NFL defencessupports OVER4/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
runs faced21.638.4%28.7
13th percentile for most run againstleague avg 24.117 games (2025) · 367 totalvs per play · 35th pct · 21 of 32season 21.6 (13th)17 games87th percentile for most run againstleague avg 24.03 games (2026) · 86 totalsupports UNDER28/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER5/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
runs stuffed at the line4.822.1%4.0
79th percentile for most stuffsleague avg 4.317 games (2025) · 81 totalvs per carry · 97th pct · 2 of 32season 4.8 (79th)17 games45th percentile for most stuffsleague avg 4.23 games (2026) · 12 totalsupports UNDERT-6/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-17/32 NFL defencesneutral
Sam Darnold Breakdown · his own data
carries per game2.062.60
SZN26th percentile for mostleague avg 3.5517 games (2025)vs last 5 · 33rd pctseason 2.06 (26th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
yards per carry4.092.15
SZN44th percentile for mostleague avg 4.2712 games (2025)vs last 5 · 10th pctseason 4.09 (44th)5 gamesneutralsupports UNDER
3.5line
OVER-110bet365at 3.5
UNDER-120bet365at 3.5
19.5line
OVER+550bet365at 19.5
29.5line
OVER+900bet365at 29.5
odds snapshot · pulled 10:03 AM EDT on Thu, Oct 1 · not live pricing