Base market snapshot from 10:03 AM EDT on Thu, Oct 1. bet365 refreshed separately at 12:21 PM EDT. Check your book before acting on anything here.
Tetairoa McMillan
CARDetroit Lions @ Carolina PanthersSun 8:20 PM
McMillan on the fieldred zone touches per game 0.59red zone targets per game 0.88receptions per game 4.12
Anytime TD
21 games loggedline0.5
red zone touches
DET · what this defence allows
TDs allowed to WRs1.31.31.0
97th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.917 games (2025) · 22 totalseason 1.3no per-play form for this stat58th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.93 games (2026) · 3 totalsupports OVER2/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-10/32 NFL defencesneutral
red zone targets allowed to WRs2.92.92.0
79th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.417 games (2025) · 49 totalseason 2.9no per-play form for this stat37th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.53 games (2026) · 6 totalsupports OVERT-7/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-20/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
touchdowns allowed2.82.84.3
77th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.417 games (2025) · 47 totalseason 2.8no per-play form for this stat100th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.53 games (2026) · 13 totalsupports OVERT-7/32 NFL defencessupports OVER1/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
Tetairoa McMillan Breakdown · his own data
red zone touches per game0.590.40
SZN82nd percentile for mostleague avg 0.3617 games (2025)vs last 5 · 60th pctseason 0.59 (82nd)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
red zone targets per game0.881.20
SZN75th percentile for mostleague avg 0.6317 games (2025)vs last 5 · 93rd pctseason 0.88 (75th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
receptions per game4.123.40
SZN82nd percentile for mostleague avg 2.8917 games (2025)vs last 5 · 66th pctseason 4.12 (82nd)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
0.5line
OVER+160Fanaticsat 0.5
Longest Reception
21 games loggedline25.5
targets
DET · what this defence allows
20+ yard receptions allowed to WRs2.522.3%3.3
90th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.017 games (2025) · 43 totalvs per completion · 97th pct · 2 of 32season 2.5 (90th)17 games89th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.13 games (2026) · 10 totalsupports OVER4/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-4/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
30+ yard receptions allowed to WRs1.412.4%1.7
100th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.817 games (2025) · 24 totalvs per completion · 100th pct · 1 of 32season 1.4 (100th)17 games97th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.93 games (2026) · 5 totalsupports OVER1/32 NFL defencessupports OVER2/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
40+ yard receptions allowed to WRs0.33.1%1.0
56th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.317 games (2025) · 6 totalvs per completion · 48th pct · 17 of 32season 0.3 (56th)17 games95th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.43 games (2026) · 3 totalneutralT-12/32 NFL defencesneutralT-2/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
yards after catch allowed to WRs42.83.840.3
45th percentile for most allowedleague avg 45.517 games (2025) · 727 totalvs per reception · 24th pct · T-24 of 32season 42.8 (45th)17 games35th percentile for most allowedleague avg 45.03 games (2026) · 121 totalneutral18/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER21/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
air yards faced315.510.0326.7
100th percentile for most facedleague avg 239.817 games (2025) · 5364 totalvs per target · 100th pct · 1 of 32season 315.5 (100th)17 games94th percentile for most facedleague avg 248.73 games (2026) · 980 totalsupports OVER1/32 NFL defencessupports OVER3/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
Tetairoa McMillan Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game4.123.40
SZN82nd percentile for mostleague avg 2.8917 games (2025)vs last 5 · 66th pctseason 4.12 (82nd)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
yards per catch15.2913.99
SZN84th percentile for mostleague avg 12.9017 games (2025)vs last 5 · 69th pctseason 15.29 (84th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
air yards per target12.1812.79
SZN60th percentile for mostleague avg 11.2017 games (2025)vs last 5 · 71st pctseason 12.18 (60th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
20+ yard catches per game1.001.00
SZN85th percentile for mostleague avg 0.5317 games (2025)vs last 5 · 85th pctseason 1.00 (85th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
19.5line
OVER-325bet365at 19.5
24.5line
OVER-115Fliffat 24.5
UNDER-110theScore Betat 24.5
25.5line
OVER-109DraftKingsat 25.5
UNDER-119DraftKingsat 25.5
26.5line
OVER-115bet365at 26.5
UNDER-115bet365at 26.5
29.5line
OVER+105bet365at 29.5
39.5line
OVER+250bet365at 39.5
49.5line
OVER+500bet365at 49.5
Receiving Yards
21 games loggedline70.5
receptions
DET · what this defence allows
receiving yards allowed to WRs155.513.7189.3
77th percentile for most allowedleague avg 139.617 games (2025) · 2644 totalvs per reception · 87th pct · 5 of 32season 155.5 (77th)17 games90th percentile for most allowedleague avg 148.33 games (2026) · 568 totalsupports OVER8/32 NFL defencessupports OVER4/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
receptions allowed to WRs11.359.2%14.0
58th percentile for most allowedleague avg 11.017 games (2025) · 193 totalvs per target · 19th pct · 26 of 32season 11.3 (58th)17 games90th percentile for most allowedleague avg 11.33 games (2026) · 42 totalneutral14/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER4/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
receiving yards allowed236.911.8326.3
65th percentile for most allowedleague avg 225.017 games (2025) · 4027 totalvs per reception · 87th pct · 5 of 32season 236.9 (65th)17 games100th percentile for most allowedleague avg 231.33 games (2026) · 979 totalsupports OVER12/32 NFL defencessupports OVER1/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
yards after catch allowed to WRs42.83.840.3
45th percentile for most allowedleague avg 45.517 games (2025) · 727 totalvs per reception · 24th pct · T-24 of 32season 42.8 (45th)17 games35th percentile for most allowedleague avg 45.03 games (2026) · 121 totalneutral18/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER21/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
Tetairoa McMillan Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game4.123.40
SZN82nd percentile for mostleague avg 2.8917 games (2025)vs last 5 · 66th pctseason 4.12 (82nd)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
targets per game7.186.60
SZN86th percentile for mostleague avg 4.6817 games (2025)vs last 5 · 82nd pctseason 7.18 (86th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
target share25.6%21.1%
SZN91st percentile for mostleague avg 15.1%17 games (2025)vs last 5 · 81st pctseason 25.6% (91st)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
snap share87.2%85.6%
SZN94th percentile for mostleague avg 61.6%17 games (2025)vs last 5 · 91st pctseason 87.2% (94th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
19.5line
OVER-2000bet365at 19.5
29.5line
OVER-900bet365at 29.5
39.5line
OVER-450bet365at 39.5
49.5line
OVER-275bet365at 49.5
59.5line
OVER-175bet365at 59.5
68.5line
OVER-115bet365at 68.5
UNDER-115bet365at 68.5
69.5line
OVER-115bet365at 69.5
UNDER-113betPARXat 69.5
70.5line
OVER-111DraftKingsat 70.5
UNDER-113DraftKingsat 70.5
79.5line
OVER+130bet365at 79.5
89.5line
OVER+170bet365at 89.5
99.5line
OVER+250bet365at 99.5
109.5line
OVER+350bet365at 109.5
119.5line
OVER+475bet365at 119.5
129.5line
OVER+600bet365at 129.5
139.5line
OVER+750bet365at 139.5
149.5line
OVER+850bet365at 149.5
Receptions
21 games loggedline4.5
targets
DET · what this defence allows
receptions allowed to WRs11.359.2%14.0
58th percentile for most allowedleague avg 11.017 games (2025) · 193 totalvs per target · 19th pct · 26 of 32season 11.3 (58th)17 games90th percentile for most allowedleague avg 11.33 games (2026) · 42 totalneutral14/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER4/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
targets allowed to WRs19.219.220.0
81st percentile for most allowedleague avg 17.817 games (2025) · 326 totalseason 19.2no per-play form for this stat79th percentile for most allowedleague avg 18.23 games (2026) · 60 totalsupports OVER7/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-7/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
receptions allowed20.120.128.7
35th percentile for most allowedleague avg 20.617 games (2025) · 342 totalseason 20.1no per-play form for this stat100th percentile for most allowedleague avg 20.93 games (2026) · 86 totalsupports UNDER21/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER1/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
Tetairoa McMillan Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game4.123.40
SZN82nd percentile for mostleague avg 2.8917 games (2025)vs last 5 · 66th pctseason 4.12 (82nd)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
targets per game7.186.60
SZN86th percentile for mostleague avg 4.6817 games (2025)vs last 5 · 82nd pctseason 7.18 (86th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
target share25.6%21.1%
SZN91st percentile for mostleague avg 15.1%17 games (2025)vs last 5 · 81st pctseason 25.6% (91st)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
snap share87.2%85.6%
SZN94th percentile for mostleague avg 61.6%17 games (2025)vs last 5 · 91st pctseason 87.2% (94th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
1.5line
OVER-4000bet365at 1.5
2.5line
OVER-1000bet365at 2.5
3.5line
OVER-350bet365at 3.5
4.5line
OVER-140bet365at 4.5
UNDER+121DraftKingsat 4.5
5.5line
OVER+140bet365at 5.5
6.5line
OVER+275bet365at 6.5
7.5line
OVER+500bet365at 7.5
8.5line
OVER+800bet365at 8.5
9.5line
OVER+1100bet365at 9.5
Rush + Rec Yards
21 games loggedline72.5
touches
DET · what this defence allows
receiving yards allowed to WRs155.513.7189.3
77th percentile for most allowedleague avg 139.617 games (2025) · 2644 totalvs per reception · 87th pct · 5 of 32season 155.5 (77th)17 games90th percentile for most allowedleague avg 148.33 games (2026) · 568 totalsupports OVER8/32 NFL defencessupports OVER4/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
rushing yards allowed to WRs7.511.50.7
94th percentile for most allowedleague avg 3.717 games (2025) · 127 totalvs per carry · 100th pct · 1 of 32season 7.5 (94th)17 games45th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.43 games (2026) · 2 totalsupports OVER3/32 NFL defencessupports OVER18/32 NFL defencesneutral
receiving yards allowed236.911.8326.3
65th percentile for most allowedleague avg 225.017 games (2025) · 4027 totalvs per reception · 87th pct · 5 of 32season 236.9 (65th)17 games100th percentile for most allowedleague avg 231.33 games (2026) · 979 totalsupports OVER12/32 NFL defencessupports OVER1/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
yards after catch allowed to WRs42.83.840.3
45th percentile for most allowedleague avg 45.517 games (2025) · 727 totalvs per reception · 24th pct · T-24 of 32season 42.8 (45th)17 games35th percentile for most allowedleague avg 45.03 games (2026) · 121 totalneutral18/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER21/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
Tetairoa McMillan Breakdown · his own data
touches per game4.123.40
no comparison available17 games (2025)vs last 5season 4.125 gamesneutralneutral
targets per game7.186.60
SZN86th percentile for mostleague avg 4.6817 games (2025)vs last 5 · 82nd pctseason 7.18 (86th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
snap share87.2%85.6%
SZN94th percentile for mostleague avg 61.6%17 games (2025)vs last 5 · 91st pctseason 87.2% (94th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
49.5line
OVER-325bet365at 49.5
72.5line
OVER-115bet365at 72.5
UNDER-115bet365at 72.5
74.5line
OVER-115bet365at 74.5
99.5line
OVER+210bet365at 99.5
124.5line
OVER+450bet365at 124.5
149.5line
OVER+800bet365at 149.5
odds snapshot · pulled 10:03 AM EDT on Thu, Oct 1 · not live pricing