STEEZANOMICS.
← Michigan Wolverines @ Minnesota Golden Gophers
Base market snapshot from 12:05 PM EDT on Thu, Oct 1. bet365 refreshed separately at 2:27 PM EDT. Check your book before acting on anything here.

TJ Thomas

MINNMichigan Wolverines @ Minnesota Golden GophersSat 12:00 PM

Thomas on the fieldcarries per game 11.00receptions per game 3.00

Anytime TD

5 games logged
line0.5

MICH · what this defence allows
TDs allowed to RBs0.40.40.5
19th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.712 games (2025) · 5 totalseason 0.4no per-play form for this stat18th percentile for most allowedleague avg 1.24 games (2026) · 2 totalsupports UNDER114/141 FBS defencessupports UNDERT-98/123 FBS defencessupports UNDER
carries faced32.632.632.5
20th percentile for most facedleague avg 36.012 games (2025) · 391 totalseason 32.6no per-play form for this stat32nd percentile for most facedleague avg 35.44 games (2026) · 130 totalsupports UNDERT-113/141 FBS defencessupports UNDERT-84/123 FBS defencessupports UNDER
touchdowns allowed2.22.21.5
11th percentile for most allowedleague avg 3.112 games (2025) · 26 totalseason 2.2no per-play form for this stat12th percentile for most allowedleague avg 3.14 games (2026) · 6 totalsupports UNDER125/141 FBS defencessupports UNDERT-107/123 FBS defencessupports UNDER
TJ Thomas Breakdown · his own data
carries per gamethin11.009.00
SZN
79th percentile for mostleague avg 7.93thin sample: 1 games (2025)vs last 5 · 66th pctseason 11.00 (79th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
receptions per gamethin3.002.80
SZN
96th percentile for mostleague avg 1.09thin sample: 1 games (2025)vs last 5 · 95th pctseason 3.00 (96th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
0.5line
OVER+160Hard Rock Betat 0.5

Receiving Yards

5 games logged
line9.5

MICH · what this defence allows
receiving yards allowed210.610.1149.5
34th percentile for most allowedleague avg 223.112 games (2025) · 2527 totalvs per reception · 5th pct · 134 of 141season 210.6 (34th)12 games6th percentile for most allowedleague avg 226.54 games (2026) · 598 totalsupports UNDER93/141 FBS defencessupports UNDER116/123 FBS defencessupports UNDER
receptions allowed20.820.815.8
79th percentile for most allowedleague avg 19.012 games (2025) · 250 totalseason 20.8no per-play form for this stat19th percentile for most allowedleague avg 19.24 games (2026) · 63 totalsupports OVER30/141 FBS defencessupports OVERT-99/123 FBS defencessupports UNDER
TJ Thomas Breakdown · his own data
receptions per gamethin3.002.80
SZN
96th percentile for mostleague avg 1.09thin sample: 1 games (2025)vs last 5 · 95th pctseason 3.00 (96th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
9.5line
OVER-115bet365at 9.5
UNDER-111BetOnline.agat 9.5

Receptions

5 games logged
line1.5

MICH · what this defence allows
completions allowed20.863.8%15.8
79th percentile for most allowedleague avg 19.012 games (2025) · 250 totalvs per attempt · 61st pct · T-54 of 141season 20.8 (79th)12 games19th percentile for most allowedleague avg 19.24 games (2026) · 63 totalsupports OVER30/141 FBS defencessupports OVERT-99/123 FBS defencessupports UNDER
TJ Thomas Breakdown · his own data
receptions per gamethin3.002.80
SZN
96th percentile for mostleague avg 1.09thin sample: 1 games (2025)vs last 5 · 95th pctseason 3.00 (96th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
1.5line
OVER-150bet365at 1.5
UNDER+120bet365at 1.5

Rushing Yards

5 games logged
line27.5

MICH · what this defence allows
rushing yards allowed102.03.187.0
9th percentile for most allowedleague avg 156.512 games (2025) · 1224 totalvs per carry · 9th pct · 128 of 141season 102.0 (9th)12 games8th percentile for most allowedleague avg 150.04 games (2026) · 348 totalsupports UNDERT-128/141 FBS defencessupports UNDER113/123 FBS defencessupports UNDER
TJ Thomas Breakdown · his own data
carries per gamethin11.009.00
SZN
79th percentile for mostleague avg 7.93thin sample: 1 games (2025)vs last 5 · 66th pctseason 11.00 (79th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
yards per carrythin4.185.55
SZN
36th percentile for mostleague avg 4.80thin sample: 1 games (2025)vs last 5 · 74th pctseason 4.18 (36th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports OVER
27.5line
OVER-115Hard Rock Betat 27.5
UNDER-115Hard Rock Betat 27.5

odds snapshot · pulled 12:05 PM EDT on Thu, Oct 1 · not live pricing