Base market snapshot from 10:03 AM EDT on Thu, Oct 1. bet365 refreshed separately at 10:27 AM EDT. Check your book before acting on anything here.
Tony Pollard
TENTennessee Titans @ Baltimore RavensSun 1:00 PM
Pollard on the fieldred zone touches per game 1.18red zone targets per game 0.06carries per game 14.24
Anytime TD
36 games loggedline0.5
red zone touches
BAL · what this defence allows
TDs allowed to RBs0.90.91.0
56th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.917 games (2025) · 15 totalseason 0.9no per-play form for this stat69th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.83 games (2026) · 3 totalneutralT-13/32 NFL defencesseason onlyT-9/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
red zone carries allowed to RBs3.93.94.3
60th percentile for most allowedleague avg 3.817 games (2025) · 66 totalseason 3.9no per-play form for this stat65th percentile for most allowedleague avg 3.93 games (2026) · 13 totalsupports OVERT-13/32 NFL defencessupports OVER12/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
touchdowns allowed2.42.42.7
55th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.417 games (2025) · 41 totalseason 2.4no per-play form for this stat63rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.53 games (2026) · 8 totalneutral15/32 NFL defencesseason onlyT-11/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
Tony Pollard Breakdown · his own data
red zone touches per game1.182.00
SZN15th percentile for mostleague avg 2.1917 games (2025)vs last 5 · 43rd pctseason 1.18 (15th)5 gamessupports UNDERneutral
red zone targets per game0.060.20
SZN10th percentile for mostleague avg 0.3617 games (2025)vs last 5 · 39th pctseason 0.06 (10th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
carries per game14.2414.00
SZN71st percentile for mostleague avg 10.9417 games (2025)vs last 5 · 69th pctseason 14.24 (71st)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
receptions per game1.942.20
SZN42nd percentile for mostleague avg 2.1517 games (2025)vs last 5 · 58th pctseason 1.94 (42nd)5 gamesneutralneutral
0.5line
OVER+210Fanaticsat 0.5
Longest Reception
36 games loggedline7.5
targets
BAL · what this defence allows
20+ yard receptions allowed to RBs0.36.4%0.0
84th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.317 games (2025) · 6 totalvs per completion · 61st pct · 13 of 32season 0.3 (84th)17 games23rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.23 games (2026) · 0 totalsupports OVERT-5/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-18/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
30+ yard receptions allowed to RBs0.24.3%0.0
97th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.117 games (2025) · 4 totalvs per completion · 81st pct · 7 of 32season 0.2 (97th)17 games40th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.13 games (2026) · 0 totalsupports OVERT-1/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-7/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
40+ yard receptions allowed (all positions)0.52.3%0.3
77th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.417 games (2025) · 9 totalvs per completion · 65th pct · T-11 of 32season 0.5 (77th)17 games29th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.63 games (2026) · 1 totalsupports OVERT-6/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-18/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
yards after catch allowed to RBs46.58.421.7
94th percentile for most allowedleague avg 34.317 games (2025) · 791 totalvs per reception · 66th pct · T-11 of 32season 46.5 (94th)17 games13th percentile for most allowedleague avg 32.63 games (2026) · 65 totalsupports OVER3/32 NFL defencessupports OVER28/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
air yards faced294.08.4217.7
97th percentile for most facedleague avg 239.817 games (2025) · 4998 totalvs per target · 84th pct · 6 of 32season 294.0 (97th)17 games35th percentile for most facedleague avg 248.73 games (2026) · 653 totalsupports OVER2/32 NFL defencessupports OVER21/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
Tony Pollard Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game1.942.20
SZN42nd percentile for mostleague avg 2.1517 games (2025)vs last 5 · 58th pctseason 1.94 (42nd)5 gamesneutralneutral
yards per catch7.613.23
SZN53rd percentile for mostleague avg 7.5914 games (2025)vs last 5 · 0th pctseason 7.61 (53rd)5 gamesneutralsupports UNDER
air yards per target0.280.23
SZN63rd percentile for mostleague avg -0.1315 games (2025)vs last 5 · 59th pctseason 0.28 (63rd)5 gamessupports OVERneutral
20+ yard catches per game0.060.00
SZN22nd percentile for mostleague avg 0.1517 games (2025)vs last 5 · 8th pctseason 0.06 (22nd)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
7.5line
OVER-115Hard Rock Betat 7.5
UNDER-110Bovadaat 7.5
8.5line
OVER-110bet365at 8.5
UNDER-120bet365at 8.5
19.5line
OVER+550bet365at 19.5
29.5line
OVER+900bet365at 29.5
Longest Rush
36 games loggedline12.5
carries
BAL · what this defence allows
10+ yard rushes allowed to RBs2.110.8%3.0
42nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.217 games (2025) · 36 totalvs per carry · 68th pct · 11 of 32season 2.1 (42nd)17 games94th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.03 games (2026) · 9 totalneutralT-18/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-2/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
20+ yard rushes allowed to RBs0.31.8%0.7
29th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.517 games (2025) · 6 totalvs per carry · 35th pct · T-20 of 32season 0.3 (29th)17 games79th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.33 games (2026) · 2 totalsupports UNDERT-21/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-6/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
yards per carry allowed to RBs4.24.24.2
39th percentile for most allowedleague avg 4.317 games (2025)vs per carry · 39th pct · 20 of 32season 4.2 (39th)17 games55th percentile for most allowedleague avg 4.13 games (2026)supports UNDER20/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER15/32 NFL defencesneutral
RB carries stuffed at the line3.216.2%4.3
26th percentile for most stuffsleague avg 3.817 games (2025) · 54 totalvs per carry · 32nd pct · 22 of 32season 3.2 (26th)17 games71st percentile for most stuffsleague avg 3.83 games (2026) · 13 totalsupports OVER24/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-9/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
Tony Pollard Breakdown · his own data
carries per game14.2414.00
SZN71st percentile for mostleague avg 10.9417 games (2025)vs last 5 · 69th pctseason 14.24 (71st)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
yards per carry4.294.41
SZN51st percentile for mostleague avg 4.2317 games (2025)vs last 5 · 56th pctseason 4.29 (51st)5 gamesneutralneutral
10+ yard runs per game1.591.60
SZN81st percentile for mostleague avg 1.1317 games (2025)vs last 5 · 81st pctseason 1.59 (81st)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
snap share62.5%54.6%
SZN76th percentile for mostleague avg 51.1%17 games (2025)vs last 5 · 61st pctseason 62.5% (76th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
9.5line
OVER-260bet365at 9.5
11.5line
OVER-125bet365at 11.5
UNDER-105bet365at 11.5
12.5line
OVER-104DraftKingsat 12.5
UNDER-120theScore Betat 12.5
19.5line
OVER+320bet365at 19.5
29.5line
OVER+700bet365at 29.5
39.5line
OVER+900bet365at 39.5
49.5line
OVER+1200bet365at 49.5
Receiving Yards
36 games loggedline9.5
receptions
BAL · what this defence allows
receiving yards allowed to RBs43.27.812.0
95th percentile for most allowedleague avg 31.617 games (2025) · 735 totalvs per reception · 71st pct · 10 of 32season 43.2 (95th)17 games6th percentile for most allowedleague avg 30.43 games (2026) · 36 totalsupports OVERT-2/32 NFL defencessupports OVER30/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
receptions allowed to RBs5.580.3%4.7
95th percentile for most allowedleague avg 4.317 games (2025) · 94 totalvs per target · 71st pct · 10 of 32season 5.5 (95th)17 games61st percentile for most allowedleague avg 4.43 games (2026) · 14 totalsupports OVERT-2/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-10/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
receiving yards allowed259.011.0231.3
90th percentile for most allowedleague avg 225.017 games (2025) · 4403 totalvs per reception · 61st pct · 13 of 32season 259.0 (90th)17 games58th percentile for most allowedleague avg 231.33 games (2026) · 694 totalsupports OVER4/32 NFL defencessupports OVER14/32 NFL defencesneutral
yards after catch allowed to RBs46.58.421.7
94th percentile for most allowedleague avg 34.317 games (2025) · 791 totalvs per reception · 66th pct · T-11 of 32season 46.5 (94th)17 games13th percentile for most allowedleague avg 32.63 games (2026) · 65 totalsupports OVER3/32 NFL defencessupports OVER28/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
Tony Pollard Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game1.942.20
SZN42nd percentile for mostleague avg 2.1517 games (2025)vs last 5 · 58th pctseason 1.94 (42nd)5 gamesneutralneutral
targets per game2.412.40
SZN42nd percentile for mostleague avg 2.7217 games (2025)vs last 5 · 42nd pctseason 2.41 (42nd)5 gamesneutralneutral
target share7.6%7.8%
SZN39th percentile for mostleague avg 8.9%17 games (2025)vs last 5 · 42nd pctseason 7.6% (39th)5 gamessupports UNDERneutral
snap share62.5%54.6%
SZN76th percentile for mostleague avg 51.1%17 games (2025)vs last 5 · 61st pctseason 62.5% (76th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
8.5line
OVER-113DraftKingsat 8.5
UNDER-110Hard Rock Betat 8.5
9.5line
OVER-109betPARXat 9.5
UNDER-110theScore Betat 9.5
11.5line
OVER-110bet365at 11.5
UNDER-120bet365at 11.5
19.5line
OVER+200bet365at 19.5
29.5line
OVER+450bet365at 29.5
39.5line
OVER+700bet365at 39.5
49.5line
OVER+900bet365at 49.5
Receptions
36 games loggedline1.5
targets
BAL · what this defence allows
receptions allowed to RBs5.580.3%4.7
95th percentile for most allowedleague avg 4.317 games (2025) · 94 totalvs per target · 71st pct · 10 of 32season 5.5 (95th)17 games61st percentile for most allowedleague avg 4.43 games (2026) · 14 totalsupports OVERT-2/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-10/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
targets allowed to RBs6.96.95.7
97th percentile for most allowedleague avg 5.517 games (2025) · 117 totalseason 6.9no per-play form for this stat56th percentile for most allowedleague avg 5.53 games (2026) · 17 totalsupports OVER2/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-13/32 NFL defencesneutral
receptions allowed23.523.523.7
100th percentile for most allowedleague avg 20.617 games (2025) · 399 totalseason 23.5no per-play form for this stat84th percentile for most allowedleague avg 20.93 games (2026) · 71 totalsupports OVER1/32 NFL defencessupports OVER6/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
Tony Pollard Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game1.942.20
SZN42nd percentile for mostleague avg 2.1517 games (2025)vs last 5 · 58th pctseason 1.94 (42nd)5 gamesneutralneutral
targets per game2.412.40
SZN42nd percentile for mostleague avg 2.7217 games (2025)vs last 5 · 42nd pctseason 2.41 (42nd)5 gamesneutralneutral
target share7.6%7.8%
SZN39th percentile for mostleague avg 8.9%17 games (2025)vs last 5 · 42nd pctseason 7.6% (39th)5 gamessupports UNDERneutral
snap share62.5%54.6%
SZN76th percentile for mostleague avg 51.1%17 games (2025)vs last 5 · 61st pctseason 62.5% (76th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
0.5line
OVER-900bet365at 0.5
1.5line
OVER-170bet365at 1.5
UNDER+135bet365at 1.5
2.5line
OVER+160bet365at 2.5
3.5line
OVER+400bet365at 3.5
4.5line
OVER+750bet365at 4.5
5.5line
OVER+1150bet365at 5.5
Rush + Rec Yards
36 games loggedline59.5
touches
BAL · what this defence allows
rushing yards allowed to RBs82.14.287.3
19th percentile for most allowedleague avg 94.917 games (2025) · 1396 totalvs per carry · 39th pct · 20 of 32season 82.1 (19th)17 games39th percentile for most allowedleague avg 91.63 games (2026) · 262 totalsupports UNDER26/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER20/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
receiving yards allowed to RBs43.27.812.0
95th percentile for most allowedleague avg 31.617 games (2025) · 735 totalvs per reception · 71st pct · 10 of 32season 43.2 (95th)17 games6th percentile for most allowedleague avg 30.43 games (2026) · 36 totalsupports OVERT-2/32 NFL defencessupports OVER30/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
rushing yards allowed106.74.2105.0
29th percentile for most allowedleague avg 116.917 games (2025) · 1813 totalvs per carry · 32nd pct · 22 of 32season 106.7 (29th)17 games42nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 111.93 games (2026) · 315 totalsupports UNDER23/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER19/32 NFL defencesneutral
yards after catch allowed to RBs46.58.421.7
94th percentile for most allowedleague avg 34.317 games (2025) · 791 totalvs per reception · 66th pct · T-11 of 32season 46.5 (94th)17 games13th percentile for most allowedleague avg 32.63 games (2026) · 65 totalsupports OVER3/32 NFL defencessupports OVER28/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
Tony Pollard Breakdown · his own data
touches per game16.1816.20
no comparison available17 games (2025)vs last 5season 16.185 gamesneutralneutral
carries per game14.2414.00
SZN71st percentile for mostleague avg 10.9417 games (2025)vs last 5 · 69th pctseason 14.24 (71st)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
targets per game2.412.40
SZN42nd percentile for mostleague avg 2.7217 games (2025)vs last 5 · 42nd pctseason 2.41 (42nd)5 gamesneutralneutral
snap share62.5%54.6%
SZN76th percentile for mostleague avg 51.1%17 games (2025)vs last 5 · 61st pctseason 62.5% (76th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
59.5line
OVER-114Courtsideat 59.5
UNDER-112betPARXat 59.5
60.5line
OVER-115Hard Rock Betat 60.5
UNDER-115Hard Rock Betat 60.5
62.5line
OVER-115bet365at 62.5
UNDER-115bet365at 62.5
74.5line
OVER+150bet365at 74.5
124.5line
OVER+750bet365at 124.5
Rushing Attempts
36 games loggedline13.5
snap share
BAL · what this defence allows
carries allowed to RBs19.677.0%21.0
11th percentile for most allowedleague avg 21.917 games (2025) · 334 totalvs share of carries · 3rd pct · 31 of 32season 19.6 (11th)17 games34th percentile for most allowedleague avg 22.23 games (2026) · 63 totalsupports UNDERT-28/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-21/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
runs faced22.435.3%23.3
23rd percentile for most run againstleague avg 24.117 games (2025) · 380 totalvs per play · 13th pct · 28 of 32season 22.4 (23rd)17 games42nd percentile for most run againstleague avg 24.03 games (2026) · 70 totalsupports UNDER25/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER19/32 NFL defencesneutral
rushing yards allowed to RBs82.14.287.3
19th percentile for most allowedleague avg 94.917 games (2025) · 1396 totalvs per carry · 39th pct · 20 of 32season 82.1 (19th)17 games39th percentile for most allowedleague avg 91.63 games (2026) · 262 totalsupports UNDER26/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER20/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
Tony Pollard Breakdown · his own data
snap share62.5%54.6%
SZN76th percentile for mostleague avg 51.1%17 games (2025)vs last 5 · 61st pctseason 62.5% (76th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
rushing yards per game63.6561.20
SZN76th percentile for mostleague avg 48.1417 games (2025)vs last 5 · 71st pctseason 63.65 (76th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
yards per carry4.294.41
SZN51st percentile for mostleague avg 4.2317 games (2025)vs last 5 · 56th pctseason 4.29 (51st)5 gamesneutralneutral
9.5line
OVER-400bet365at 9.5
12.5line
OVER-110betPARXat 12.5
UNDER-115bet365at 12.5
13.5line
OVER+100Fliffat 13.5
UNDER-114BetOnline.agat 13.5
19.5line
OVER+600bet365at 19.5
24.5line
OVER+1200bet365at 24.5
Rushing Yards
36 games loggedline47.5
carries
BAL · what this defence allows
rushing yards allowed to RBs82.14.287.3
19th percentile for most allowedleague avg 94.917 games (2025) · 1396 totalvs per carry · 39th pct · 20 of 32season 82.1 (19th)17 games39th percentile for most allowedleague avg 91.63 games (2026) · 262 totalsupports UNDER26/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER20/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
carries allowed to RBs19.677.0%21.0
11th percentile for most allowedleague avg 21.917 games (2025) · 334 totalvs share of carries · 3rd pct · 31 of 32season 19.6 (11th)17 games34th percentile for most allowedleague avg 22.23 games (2026) · 63 totalsupports UNDERT-28/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-21/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
runs faced22.435.3%23.3
23rd percentile for most run againstleague avg 24.117 games (2025) · 380 totalvs per play · 13th pct · 28 of 32season 22.4 (23rd)17 games42nd percentile for most run againstleague avg 24.03 games (2026) · 70 totalsupports UNDER25/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER19/32 NFL defencesneutral
RB carries stuffed at the line3.216.2%4.3
26th percentile for most stuffsleague avg 3.817 games (2025) · 54 totalvs per carry · 32nd pct · 22 of 32season 3.2 (26th)17 games71st percentile for most stuffsleague avg 3.83 games (2026) · 13 totalsupports OVER24/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-9/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
Tony Pollard Breakdown · his own data
carries per game14.2414.00
SZN71st percentile for mostleague avg 10.9417 games (2025)vs last 5 · 69th pctseason 14.24 (71st)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
yards per carry4.294.41
SZN51st percentile for mostleague avg 4.2317 games (2025)vs last 5 · 56th pctseason 4.29 (51st)5 gamesneutralneutral
19.5line
OVER-1799bet365at 19.5
29.5line
OVER-500bet365at 29.5
39.5line
OVER-210bet365at 39.5
46.5line
OVER-112DraftKingsat 46.5
UNDER-112betPARXat 46.5
47.5line
OVER-114BetOnline.agat 47.5
UNDER-114BetOnline.agat 47.5
48.5line
OVER-115bet365at 48.5
UNDER-115bet365at 48.5
59.5line
OVER+160bet365at 59.5
69.5line
OVER+250bet365at 69.5
79.5line
OVER+400bet365at 79.5
89.5line
OVER+550bet365at 89.5
99.5line
OVER+800bet365at 99.5
109.5line
OVER+900bet365at 109.5
119.5line
OVER+1150bet365at 119.5
odds snapshot · pulled 10:03 AM EDT on Thu, Oct 1 · not live pricing