STEEZANOMICS.

Trevor Connelly

VGK · NHLLWTOR @ VGKThu 10:00 PMT-Mobile Arena

Prices last pulled 5:48 PM ET

Anytime Goal

4 games logged · thin sample

Anytime Goal · 4 games logged · thin sample

1 of 4 (25%) scored a goal over all 4, too few games to read anything into · to score +425 bet365 · prices from

line0.5
1+ goal
1
0
0
0

quoted at 0.5: O +425 (bet365) · U -450 (theScore Bet)

9/29vs CHI10/2vs ANA10/4@ VAN10/6@ SEA

latest0 Tue, Oct 6, 2026 · @ SEA

goal

1 of 4 (25%) cleared 0.5 over all 4, too few games to read anything into

time on iceno range set11:29 avg over the 4 charted
by window, any range:all11:29

Anytime Goal: Breakdowns

Trevor Connelly Breakdown · his own data
goals per game0.250.25
league avg 0.214 gamesseason 0.25needs five gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
shots on goal per game1.501.50
league avg 1.624 gamesseason 1.50needs five games
time on ice per game11.511.5
league avg 14.84 gamesseason 11.5needs five games

Season breakdowns: regular season only. Chart and season windows include playoffs.

Toronto Maple Leafs · what this team allows
goals allowed to forwards2.882.40
SZN
89th percentileleague avg 2.6182 games (2025)vs last 5season 2.88 (89th)5 gamessupports OVER29/32 teamsneutral
shots on goal allowed32.4428.60
SZN
98th percentileleague avg 27.8382 games (2025)vs last 5season 32.44 (98th)5 gamessupports OVER32/32 teamsneutral
goals allowed, all skaters3.602.80
SZN
95th percentile for goals allowedleague avg 3.0882 games (2025)vs last 5season 3.60 (95th)5 gamessupports OVER31/32 teamsneutral

Shots on Goal

4 games logged · thin sample

Shots on Goal · 4 games logged · thin sample

2 of 4 (50%) cleared 1.5 over all 4, too few games to read anything into · over −106 NoVigsharp book · under +112 Bally Bet · prices from

line1.5
1.5
4
0
2
0

quoted at 1.5: O -120 (bet365) · U +112 (Bally Bet)

9/29vs CHI10/2vs ANA10/4@ VAN10/6@ SEA

latest0 Tue, Oct 6, 2026 · @ SEA

1.5

2 of 4 (50%) cleared 1.5 over all 4, too few games to read anything into

time on iceno range set11:29 avg over the 4 charted
by window, any range:all11:29

Shots on Goal: Breakdowns

Trevor Connelly Breakdown · his own data
shots on goal per game1.501.50
league avg 1.624 gamesseason 1.50needs five gamesneutralseason only
time on ice per game11.511.5
league avg 14.84 gamesseason 11.5needs five games

Season breakdowns: regular season only. Chart and season windows include playoffs.

Toronto Maple Leafs · what this team allows
shots on goal allowed to forwards23.7421.60
SZN
98th percentile for shots allowed to forwardsleague avg 20.1482 games (2025)vs last 5season 23.74 (98th)5 gamessupports OVER32/32 teamsneutral
shots on goal allowed, all skaters32.4428.60
SZN
98th percentile for shots allowedleague avg 27.8382 games (2025)vs last 5season 32.44 (98th)5 gamessupports OVER32/32 teamsneutral

Points

4 games logged · thin sample

Points · 4 games logged · thin sample

2 of 4 (50%) cleared 0.5 over all 4, too few games to read anything into · over +120 bet365 · under −145 theScore Bet · pull times beside each book

line0.5
0.5
1
0
0
1

quoted at 0.5: O +120 (bet365) · U -145 (theScore Bet)

9/29vs CHI10/2vs ANA10/4@ VAN10/6@ SEA

latest1 Tue, Oct 6, 2026 · @ SEA

0.5

2 of 4 (50%) cleared 0.5 over all 4, too few games to read anything into

time on iceno range set11:29 avg over the 4 charted
by window, any range:all11:29

Points: Breakdowns

Trevor Connelly Breakdown · his own data
points per game0.500.50
league avg 0.494 gamesseason 0.50needs five gamesneutralseason only
power-play points per game0.000.00
league avg 0.114 gamesseason 0.00needs five games
time on ice per game11.511.5
league avg 14.84 gamesseason 11.5needs five games

Season breakdowns: regular season only. Chart and season windows include playoffs.

Toronto Maple Leafs · what this team allows
points allowed to forwards7.115.80
SZN
95th percentileleague avg 6.1982 games (2025)vs last 5season 7.11 (95th)5 gamessupports OVER31/32 teamsneutral
power-play points allowed1.541.80
SZN
22nd percentileleague avg 1.7782 games (2025)vs last 5season 1.54 (22nd)5 gamessupports UNDERT-7/32 teamsneutral
goals allowed, all skaters3.602.80
SZN
95th percentile for goals allowedleague avg 3.0882 games (2025)vs last 5season 3.60 (95th)5 gamessupports OVER31/32 teamsneutral

Assists

4 games logged · thin sample

Assists · 4 games logged · thin sample

1 of 4 (25%) cleared 0.5 over all 4, too few games to read anything into · over +250 bet365 · under −350 Hard Rock · pull times beside each book

line0.5
0.5
0
0
0
1

quoted at 0.5: O +250 (bet365) · U -350 (Hard Rock)

9/29vs CHI10/2vs ANA10/4@ VAN10/6@ SEA

latest1 Tue, Oct 6, 2026 · @ SEA

0.5

1 of 4 (25%) cleared 0.5 over all 4, too few games to read anything into

time on iceno range set11:29 avg over the 4 charted
by window, any range:all11:29

Assists: Breakdowns

Trevor Connelly Breakdown · his own data
assists per game0.250.25
league avg 0.284 gamesseason 0.25needs five gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
points per game0.500.50
league avg 0.494 gamesseason 0.50needs five games
time on ice per game11.511.5
league avg 14.84 gamesseason 11.5needs five games

Season breakdowns: regular season only. Chart and season windows include playoffs.

Toronto Maple Leafs · what this team allows
assists allowed to forwards4.233.40
SZN
95th percentileleague avg 3.5882 games (2025)vs last 5season 4.23 (95th)5 gamessupports OVER31/32 teamsneutral
goals allowed, all skaters3.602.80
SZN
95th percentile for goals allowedleague avg 3.0882 games (2025)vs last 5season 3.60 (95th)5 gamessupports OVER31/32 teamsneutral

Power Play Points

4 games logged · thin sample

Power Play Points · 4 games logged · thin sample

0 of 4 (0%) cleared 0.5 over all 4, too few games to read anything into · over +500 Bovada · under −500 theScore Bet · prices from

line0.5
0.5
0
0
0
0

quoted at 0.5: O +500 (Bovada) · U -500 (theScore Bet)

9/29vs CHI10/2vs ANA10/4@ VAN10/6@ SEA

latest0 Tue, Oct 6, 2026 · @ SEA

0.5

0 of 4 (0%) cleared 0.5 over all 4, too few games to read anything into

time on iceno range set11:29 avg over the 4 charted
by window, any range:all11:29

Power Play Points: Breakdowns

Trevor Connelly Breakdown · his own data
power-play points per game0.000.00
league avg 0.114 gamesseason 0.00needs five gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
points per game0.500.50
league avg 0.494 gamesseason 0.50needs five games
time on ice per game11.511.5
league avg 14.84 gamesseason 11.5needs five games

Season breakdowns: regular season only. Chart and season windows include playoffs.

Toronto Maple Leafs · what this team allows
power-play points allowed1.541.80
SZN
22nd percentileleague avg 1.7782 games (2025)vs last 5season 1.54 (22nd)5 gamessupports UNDERT-7/32 teamsneutral
points allowed to forwards7.115.80
SZN
95th percentileleague avg 6.1982 games (2025)vs last 5season 7.11 (95th)5 gamessupports OVER31/32 teamsneutral

Pull times are shown with the prices.

Other markets

Anytime Goal · Shots on Goal 1.5 · Points 0.5 · Assists 0.5 · Power Play Points 0.5
O 0.5 +120 bet365 · U 0.5 −145 theScore BetO · U ET Oct 8