Base market snapshot from 10:03 AM EDT on Thu, Oct 1. bet365 refreshed separately at 2:04 PM EDT. Check your book before acting on anything here.
Tucker Kraft
GBGreen Bay Packers @ Tampa Bay BuccaneersSun 1:00 PM
Kraft on the fieldred zone touches per game 1.12red zone targets per game 1.50receptions per game 4.00
Anytime TD
29 games loggedline0.5
red zone touches
TB · what this defence allows
TDs allowed to TEs0.70.70.7
94th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.417 games (2025) · 12 totalseason 0.7no per-play form for this stat66th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.63 games (2026) · 2 totalsupports OVER3/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-8/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
red zone targets allowed to TEs1.11.11.3
42nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 1.217 games (2025) · 19 totalseason 1.1no per-play form for this stat63rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 1.23 games (2026) · 4 totalneutral19/32 NFL defencesseason onlyT-9/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
touchdowns allowed2.72.71.7
69th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.417 games (2025) · 46 totalseason 2.7no per-play form for this stat16th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.53 games (2026) · 5 totalsupports OVERT-10/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-24/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
Tucker Kraft Breakdown · his own data
red zone touches per game1.120.80
SZN96th percentile for mostleague avg 0.408 games (2025)vs last 5 · 88th pctseason 1.12 (96th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
red zone targets per game1.501.00
SZN96th percentile for mostleague avg 0.598 games (2025)vs last 5 · 88th pctseason 1.50 (96th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
receptions per game4.003.60
SZN85th percentile for mostleague avg 2.558 games (2025)vs last 5 · 78th pctseason 4.00 (85th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
0.5line
OVER+265Fanaticsat 0.5
Longest Reception
29 games loggedline16.5
targets
TB · what this defence allows
20+ yard receptions allowed to TEs0.36.1%1.0
10th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.617 games (2025) · 6 totalvs per completion · 6th pct · 30 of 32season 0.3 (10th)17 games84th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.53 games (2026) · 3 totalsupports UNDERT-28/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-5/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
30+ yard receptions allowed to TEs0.11.0%0.0
21st percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.217 games (2025) · 1 totalvs per completion · 10th pct · T-28 of 32season 0.1 (21st)17 games35th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.23 games (2026) · 0 totalsupports UNDERT-20/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-10/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
40+ yard receptions allowed (all positions)0.62.6%0.7
89th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.417 games (2025) · 10 totalvs per completion · 84th pct · 6 of 32season 0.6 (89th)17 games65th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.63 games (2026) · 2 totalsupports OVERT-4/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-7/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
yards after catch allowed to TEs28.34.933.0
61st percentile for most allowedleague avg 25.817 games (2025) · 481 totalvs per reception · 45th pct · 18 of 32season 28.3 (61st)17 games81st percentile for most allowedleague avg 27.03 games (2026) · 99 totalsupports OVER13/32 NFL defencesneutral7/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
air yards faced257.48.0188.7
74th percentile for most facedleague avg 239.817 games (2025) · 4375 totalvs per target · 65th pct · 12 of 32season 257.4 (74th)17 games10th percentile for most facedleague avg 248.73 games (2026) · 566 totalsupports OVER9/32 NFL defencessupports OVER29/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
Tucker Kraft Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game4.003.60
SZN85th percentile for mostleague avg 2.558 games (2025)vs last 5 · 78th pctseason 4.00 (85th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
yards per catch14.1313.22
SZN95th percentile for mostleague avg 10.118 games (2025)vs last 5 · 91st pctseason 14.13 (95th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
air yards per target5.475.74
SZN47th percentile for mostleague avg 5.878 games (2025)vs last 5 · 51st pctseason 5.47 (47th)5 gamesneutralneutral
20+ yard catches per game0.751.00
SZN95th percentile for mostleague avg 0.318 games (2025)vs last 5 · 99th pctseason 0.75 (95th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
16.5line
OVER-115bet365at 16.5
UNDER-115bet365at 16.5
19.5line
OVER+135bet365at 19.5
29.5line
OVER+500bet365at 29.5
39.5line
OVER+900bet365at 39.5
Receiving Yards
29 games loggedline41.5
receptions
TB · what this defence allows
receiving yards allowed to TEs56.69.761.0
61st percentile for most allowedleague avg 53.317 games (2025) · 963 totalvs per reception · 29th pct · 23 of 32season 56.6 (61st)17 games66th percentile for most allowedleague avg 52.53 games (2026) · 183 totalsupports OVER13/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-11/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
receptions allowed to TEs5.876.7%5.7
76th percentile for most allowedleague avg 5.317 games (2025) · 99 totalvs per target · 89th pct · T-4 of 32season 5.8 (76th)17 games61st percentile for most allowedleague avg 5.23 games (2026) · 17 totalsupports OVERT-8/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-12/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
receiving yards allowed254.811.4220.0
84th percentile for most allowedleague avg 225.017 games (2025) · 4332 totalvs per reception · 77th pct · 8 of 32season 254.8 (84th)17 games42nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 231.33 games (2026) · 660 totalsupports OVER6/32 NFL defencessupports OVER19/32 NFL defencesneutral
yards after catch allowed to TEs28.34.933.0
61st percentile for most allowedleague avg 25.817 games (2025) · 481 totalvs per reception · 45th pct · 18 of 32season 28.3 (61st)17 games81st percentile for most allowedleague avg 27.03 games (2026) · 99 totalsupports OVER13/32 NFL defencesneutral7/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
Tucker Kraft Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game4.003.60
SZN85th percentile for mostleague avg 2.558 games (2025)vs last 5 · 78th pctseason 4.00 (85th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
targets per game5.505.80
SZN86th percentile for mostleague avg 3.518 games (2025)vs last 5 · 88th pctseason 5.50 (86th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
target share18.9%14.9%
SZN88th percentile for mostleague avg 11.5%8 games (2025)vs last 5 · 69th pctseason 18.9% (88th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
snap share86.0%76.2%
SZN93rd percentile for mostleague avg 57.4%8 games (2025)vs last 5 · 81st pctseason 86.0% (93rd)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
19.5line
OVER-550bet365at 19.5
29.5line
OVER-230bet365at 29.5
38.5line
OVER-115bet365at 38.5
UNDER-115bet365at 38.5
39.5line
OVER-110betPARXat 39.5
UNDER-118betPARXat 39.5
41.5line
OVER-109DraftKingsat 41.5
UNDER-114FanDuelat 41.5
49.5line
OVER+150bet365at 49.5
59.5line
OVER+250bet365at 59.5
69.5line
OVER+450bet365at 69.5
79.5line
OVER+600bet365at 79.5
89.5line
OVER+850bet365at 89.5
99.5line
OVER+1100bet365at 99.5
Receptions
29 games loggedline3.5
targets
TB · what this defence allows
receptions allowed to TEs5.876.7%5.7
76th percentile for most allowedleague avg 5.317 games (2025) · 99 totalvs per target · 89th pct · T-4 of 32season 5.8 (76th)17 games61st percentile for most allowedleague avg 5.23 games (2026) · 17 totalsupports OVERT-8/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-12/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
targets allowed to TEs7.67.67.7
63rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 7.317 games (2025) · 129 totalseason 7.6no per-play form for this stat63rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 7.23 games (2026) · 23 totalsupports OVERT-12/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-10/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
receptions allowed22.322.321.3
81st percentile for most allowedleague avg 20.617 games (2025) · 379 totalseason 22.3no per-play form for this stat63rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 20.93 games (2026) · 64 totalsupports OVER7/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-12/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
Tucker Kraft Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game4.003.60
SZN85th percentile for mostleague avg 2.558 games (2025)vs last 5 · 78th pctseason 4.00 (85th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
targets per game5.505.80
SZN86th percentile for mostleague avg 3.518 games (2025)vs last 5 · 88th pctseason 5.50 (86th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
target share18.9%14.9%
SZN88th percentile for mostleague avg 11.5%8 games (2025)vs last 5 · 69th pctseason 18.9% (88th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
snap share86.0%76.2%
SZN93rd percentile for mostleague avg 57.4%8 games (2025)vs last 5 · 81st pctseason 86.0% (93rd)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
1.5line
OVER-1600bet365at 1.5
2.5line
OVER-400bet365at 2.5
3.5line
OVER-135bet365at 3.5
UNDER+130Bovadaat 3.5
4.5line
OVER+145bet365at 4.5
5.5line
OVER+300bet365at 5.5
6.5line
OVER+550bet365at 6.5
7.5line
OVER+900bet365at 7.5
odds snapshot · pulled 10:03 AM EDT on Thu, Oct 1 · not live pricing