Base market snapshot from 10:03 AM EDT on Thu, Oct 1. bet365 refreshed separately at 5:06 PM EDT. Check your book before acting on anything here.
Ty Johnson
BUFNew England Patriots @ Buffalo BillsSun 1:00 PM
Johnson on the fieldred zone touches per game 1.24red zone targets per game 0.24carries per game 2.94
Anytime TD
38 games loggedline0.5
red zone touches
NE · what this defence allows
TDs allowed to RBs0.60.60.7
10th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.917 games (2025) · 10 totalseason 0.6no per-play form for this stat50th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.83 games (2026) · 2 totalsupports UNDER29/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-13/32 NFL defencesneutral
red zone carries allowed to RBs2.82.83.0
13th percentile for most allowedleague avg 3.817 games (2025) · 47 totalseason 2.8no per-play form for this stat37th percentile for most allowedleague avg 3.93 games (2026) · 9 totalsupports UNDER28/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-19/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
touchdowns allowed2.12.12.0
26th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.417 games (2025) · 36 totalseason 2.1no per-play form for this stat35th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.53 games (2026) · 6 totalsupports UNDER24/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-19/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
Head to HeadTy Johnson vs NE0/4 with a touchdown
| date | RZ | touch | rush yds | rec yds | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/14'25 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 15 | 0 |
| 10/06'25 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
| 01/05'25 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 12/22'24 | 0 | 6 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
Ty Johnson Breakdown · his own data
red zone touches per game1.243.00
SZN19th percentile for mostleague avg 2.1917 games (2025)vs last 5 · 78th pctseason 1.24 (19th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports OVER
red zone targets per game0.240.20
SZN44th percentile for mostleague avg 0.3617 games (2025)vs last 5 · 39th pctseason 0.24 (44th)5 gamesneutralsupports UNDER
carries per game2.945.00
SZN8th percentile for mostleague avg 10.9417 games (2025)vs last 5 · 14th pctseason 2.94 (8th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
receptions per game1.412.40
SZN27th percentile for mostleague avg 2.1517 games (2025)vs last 5 · 73rd pctseason 1.41 (27th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports OVER
0.5line
OVER+540Bally Betat 0.5
Longest Reception
38 games loggedline9.5
targets
NE · what this defence allows
20+ yard receptions allowed to RBs0.23.6%0.3
31st percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.317 games (2025) · 3 totalvs per completion · 23rd pct · 25 of 32season 0.2 (31st)17 games65th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.23 games (2026) · 1 totalsupports UNDERT-20/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-7/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
30+ yard receptions allowed to RBs0.00.0%0.0
10th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.117 games (2025) · 0 totalvs per completion · 10th pct · T-26 of 32season 0.0 (10th)17 games40th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.13 games (2026) · 0 totalsupports UNDERT-26/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-7/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
40+ yard receptions allowed (all positions)0.20.9%0.3
6th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.417 games (2025) · 3 totalvs per completion · 10th pct · 29 of 32season 0.2 (6th)17 games29th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.63 games (2026) · 1 totalsupports UNDERT-29/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-18/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
yards after catch allowed to RBs34.36.936.3
55th percentile for most allowedleague avg 34.317 games (2025) · 583 totalvs per reception · 23rd pct · 25 of 32season 34.3 (55th)17 games68th percentile for most allowedleague avg 32.63 games (2026) · 109 totalneutral15/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER11/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
air yards faced223.77.6172.7
35th percentile for most facedleague avg 239.817 games (2025) · 3803 totalvs per target · 29th pct · 23 of 32season 223.7 (35th)17 games0th percentile for most facedleague avg 248.73 games (2026) · 518 totalsupports UNDER21/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER32/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
Head to HeadTy Johnson vs NE1/4 over 9.5
| date | tgt | rec | rec yds | lng rec |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/14'25 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 12 |
| 10/06'25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 01/05'25 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 12/22'24 | 1 | 0 | 0 | — |
Ty Johnson Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game1.412.40
SZN27th percentile for mostleague avg 2.1517 games (2025)vs last 5 · 73rd pctseason 1.41 (27th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports OVER
yards per catch11.119.10
SZN97th percentile for mostleague avg 7.5911 games (2025)vs last 5 · 80th pctseason 11.11 (97th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
air yards per target-1.15-1.82
SZN32nd percentile for mostleague avg -0.1313 games (2025)vs last 5 · 14th pctseason -1.15 (32nd)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
20+ yard catches per game0.120.20
SZN54th percentile for mostleague avg 0.1517 games (2025)vs last 5 · 78th pctseason 0.12 (54th)5 gamesneutralsupports OVER
9.5line
OVER-110bet365at 9.5
UNDER-115Bovadaat 9.5
19.5line
OVER+450bet365at 19.5
29.5line
OVER+800bet365at 29.5
39.5line
OVER+1150bet365at 39.5
Receiving Yards
38 games loggedline12.5
receptions
NE · what this defence allows
receiving yards allowed to RBs29.86.036.0
45th percentile for most allowedleague avg 31.617 games (2025) · 507 totalvs per reception · 6th pct · 30 of 32season 29.8 (45th)17 games66th percentile for most allowedleague avg 30.43 games (2026) · 108 totalneutral18/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-11/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
receptions allowed to RBs4.982.4%4.0
85th percentile for most allowedleague avg 4.317 games (2025) · 84 totalvs per target · 87th pct · 5 of 32season 4.9 (85th)17 games34th percentile for most allowedleague avg 4.43 games (2026) · 12 totalsupports OVERT-5/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-19/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
receiving yards allowed206.610.0189.7
26th percentile for most allowedleague avg 225.017 games (2025) · 3512 totalvs per reception · 10th pct · 29 of 32season 206.6 (26th)17 games16th percentile for most allowedleague avg 231.33 games (2026) · 569 totalsupports UNDER24/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER27/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
yards after catch allowed to RBs34.36.936.3
55th percentile for most allowedleague avg 34.317 games (2025) · 583 totalvs per reception · 23rd pct · 25 of 32season 34.3 (55th)17 games68th percentile for most allowedleague avg 32.63 games (2026) · 109 totalneutral15/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER11/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
Head to HeadTy Johnson vs NE1/4 over 12.5
| date | tgt | rec | rec yds | tgt % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/14'25 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 11.5% |
| 10/06'25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0% |
| 01/05'25 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6.5% |
| 12/22'24 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3.7% |
Ty Johnson Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game1.412.40
SZN27th percentile for mostleague avg 2.1517 games (2025)vs last 5 · 73rd pctseason 1.41 (27th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports OVER
targets per game1.942.60
SZN32nd percentile for mostleague avg 2.7217 games (2025)vs last 5 · 48th pctseason 1.94 (32nd)5 gamessupports UNDERneutral
target share6.7%9.1%
SZN32nd percentile for mostleague avg 8.9%17 games (2025)vs last 5 · 58th pctseason 6.7% (32nd)5 gamessupports UNDERneutral
snap share29.6%30.4%
SZN10th percentile for mostleague avg 51.1%17 games (2025)vs last 5 · 12th pctseason 29.6% (10th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
11.5line
OVER-115bet365at 11.5
UNDER-115bet365at 11.5
12.5line
OVER-110Hard Rock Betat 12.5
UNDER-109DraftKingsat 12.5
13.5line
OVER-105theScore Betat 13.5
UNDER-125theScore Betat 13.5
14.5line
OVER-115betPARXat 14.5
UNDER-113betPARXat 14.5
19.5line
OVER+170bet365at 19.5
29.5line
OVER+350bet365at 29.5
39.5line
OVER+650bet365at 39.5
49.5line
OVER+850bet365at 49.5
59.5line
OVER+1150bet365at 59.5
Receptions
38 games loggedline1.5
targets
NE · what this defence allows
receptions allowed to RBs4.982.4%4.0
85th percentile for most allowedleague avg 4.317 games (2025) · 84 totalvs per target · 87th pct · 5 of 32season 4.9 (85th)17 games34th percentile for most allowedleague avg 4.43 games (2026) · 12 totalsupports OVERT-5/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-19/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
targets allowed to RBs6.06.05.3
81st percentile for most allowedleague avg 5.517 games (2025) · 102 totalseason 6.0no per-play form for this stat47th percentile for most allowedleague avg 5.53 games (2026) · 16 totalsupports OVER7/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-17/32 NFL defencesneutral
receptions allowed20.620.619.7
47th percentile for most allowedleague avg 20.617 games (2025) · 350 totalseason 20.6no per-play form for this stat32nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 20.93 games (2026) · 59 totalneutralT-17/32 NFL defencesseason onlyT-20/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
Head to HeadTy Johnson vs NE1/4 over 1.5
| date | tgt | rec | rec yds | tgt % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/14'25 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 11.5% |
| 10/06'25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0% |
| 01/05'25 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6.5% |
| 12/22'24 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3.7% |
Ty Johnson Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game1.412.40
SZN27th percentile for mostleague avg 2.1517 games (2025)vs last 5 · 73rd pctseason 1.41 (27th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports OVER
targets per game1.942.60
SZN32nd percentile for mostleague avg 2.7217 games (2025)vs last 5 · 48th pctseason 1.94 (32nd)5 gamessupports UNDERneutral
target share6.7%9.1%
SZN32nd percentile for mostleague avg 8.9%17 games (2025)vs last 5 · 58th pctseason 6.7% (32nd)5 gamessupports UNDERneutral
snap share29.6%30.4%
SZN10th percentile for mostleague avg 51.1%17 games (2025)vs last 5 · 12th pctseason 29.6% (10th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
0.5line
OVER-700bet365at 0.5
1.5line
OVER-120bet365at 1.5
UNDER+112betPARXat 1.5
2.5line
OVER+210bet365at 2.5
3.5line
OVER+550bet365at 3.5
4.5line
OVER+1000bet365at 4.5
odds snapshot · pulled 10:03 AM EDT on Thu, Oct 1 · not live pricing