Base market snapshot from 10:08 AM EDT on Sun, Oct 4. bet365 refreshed separately at 10:59 AM EDT. Check your book before acting on anything here.
Tyler Badie
DENDenver Broncos @ San Francisco 49ersSun 4:25 PM
Badie on the fieldred zone touches per game 0.36red zone targets per game 0.29carries per game 0.57
Anytime TD
22 games loggedline0.5
red zone touches
SF · what this defence allows
TDs allowed to RBs0.90.90.7
56th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.917 games (2025) · 15 totalseason 0.9no per-play form for this stat48th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.83 games (2026) · 2 totalneutralT-13/32 NFL defencesseason onlyT-14/32 NFL defencesneutral
red zone carries allowed to RBs3.23.26.0
21st percentile for most allowedleague avg 3.817 games (2025) · 55 totalseason 3.2no per-play form for this stat87th percentile for most allowedleague avg 3.93 games (2026) · 18 totalsupports UNDERT-25/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER5/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
touchdowns allowed2.52.51.7
58th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.417 games (2025) · 42 totalseason 2.5no per-play form for this stat15th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.53 games (2026) · 5 totalneutral14/32 NFL defencesseason onlyT-25/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
Tyler Badie Breakdown · his own data
red zone touches per game0.360.40
SZN2nd percentile for mostleague avg 2.1914 games (2025)vs last 5 · 3rd pctseason 0.36 (2nd)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
red zone targets per game0.290.40
SZN44th percentile for mostleague avg 0.3614 games (2025)vs last 5 · 59th pctseason 0.29 (44th)5 gamesneutralneutral
carries per game0.570.80
SZN3rd percentile for mostleague avg 10.9414 games (2025)vs last 5 · 3rd pctseason 0.57 (3rd)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
receptions per game1.361.40
SZN25th percentile for mostleague avg 2.1514 games (2025)vs last 5 · 26th pctseason 1.36 (25th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
0.5line
OVER+1200Bovadaat 0.5
Longest Reception
22 games loggedline3.5
targets
SF · what this defence allows
20+ yard receptions allowed to RBs0.12.1%0.0
13th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.317 games (2025) · 2 totalvs per completion · 6th pct · 30 of 32season 0.1 (13th)17 games23rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.23 games (2026) · 0 totalsupports UNDERT-26/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-18/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
30+ yard receptions allowed to RBs0.11.1%0.0
35th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.117 games (2025) · 1 totalvs per completion · 23rd pct · 25 of 32season 0.1 (35th)17 games40th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.13 games (2026) · 0 totalsupports UNDERT-17/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-7/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
40+ yard receptions allowed (all positions)0.31.3%0.7
19th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.417 games (2025) · 5 totalvs per completion · 16th pct · T-26 of 32season 0.3 (19th)17 games61st percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.63 games (2026) · 2 totalsupports UNDERT-24/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-8/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
yards after catch allowed to RBs40.07.229.3
84th percentile for most allowedleague avg 34.317 games (2025) · 680 totalvs per reception · 34th pct · T-21 of 32season 40.0 (84th)17 games34th percentile for most allowedleague avg 32.83 games (2026) · 88 totalsupports OVER6/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-21/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
air yards faced255.97.7250.0
71st percentile for most facedleague avg 239.817 games (2025) · 4351 totalvs per target · 45th pct · 18 of 32season 255.9 (71st)17 games48th percentile for most facedleague avg 249.83 games (2026) · 750 totalsupports OVER10/32 NFL defencesneutral17/32 NFL defencesneutral
Tyler Badie Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game1.361.40
SZN25th percentile for mostleague avg 2.1514 games (2025)vs last 5 · 26th pctseason 1.36 (25th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
yards per catch7.088.60
SZN41st percentile for mostleague avg 7.5912 games (2025)vs last 5 · 69th pctseason 7.08 (41st)5 gamesneutralsupports OVER
air yards per target-2.59-2.17
SZN3rd percentile for mostleague avg -0.1313 games (2025)vs last 5 · 10th pctseason -2.59 (3rd)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
20+ yard catches per game0.000.20
SZN8th percentile for mostleague avg 0.1514 games (2025)vs last 5 · 78th pctseason 0.00 (8th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports OVER
3.5line
OVER-115bet365at 3.5
UNDER-115bet365at 3.5
19.5line
OVER+900bet365at 19.5
Longest Rush
22 games loggedline1.5
carries
SF · what this defence allows
10+ yard rushes allowed to RBs1.99.3%1.0
29th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.217 games (2025) · 33 totalvs per carry · 34th pct · T-21 of 32season 1.9 (29th)17 games13th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.03 games (2026) · 3 totalsupports UNDER23/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-26/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
20+ yard rushes allowed to RBs0.62.8%0.0
73rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.517 games (2025) · 10 totalvs per carry · 79th pct · T-7 of 32season 0.6 (73rd)17 games19th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.33 games (2026) · 0 totalsupports OVERT-8/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-20/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
yards per carry allowed to RBs4.54.54.0
68th percentile for most allowedleague avg 4.317 games (2025)vs per carry · 68th pct · 11 of 32season 4.5 (68th)17 games42nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 4.13 games (2026)supports OVER11/32 NFL defencessupports OVER19/32 NFL defencesneutral
RB carries stuffed at the line3.617.2%4.0
40th percentile for most stuffsleague avg 3.817 games (2025) · 61 totalvs per carry · 47th pct · T-17 of 32season 3.6 (40th)17 games63rd percentile for most stuffsleague avg 3.73 games (2026) · 12 totalsupports OVERT-19/32 NFL defencesneutralT-11/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
Tyler Badie Breakdown · his own data
carries per game0.570.80
SZN3rd percentile for mostleague avg 10.9414 games (2025)vs last 5 · 3rd pctseason 0.57 (3rd)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
yards per carry3.002.40
SZN5th percentile for mostleague avg 4.234 games (2025)vs last 5 · 2nd pctseason 3.00 (5th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
10+ yard runs per game0.000.00
SZN2nd percentile for mostleague avg 1.1314 games (2025)vs last 5 · 2nd pctseason 0.00 (2nd)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
snap share18.9%18.4%
SZN0th percentile for mostleague avg 51.1%14 games (2025)vs last 5 · 0th pctseason 18.9% (0th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
1.5line
OVER-110bet365at 1.5
UNDER-120bet365at 1.5
9.5line
OVER+650bet365at 9.5
Receiving Yards
22 games loggedline3.5
receptions
SF · what this defence allows
receiving yards allowed to RBs35.26.431.7
71st percentile for most allowedleague avg 31.617 games (2025) · 598 totalvs per reception · 19th pct · 26 of 32season 35.2 (71st)17 games52nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 30.63 games (2026) · 95 totalsupports OVER10/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER16/32 NFL defencesneutral
receptions allowed to RBs5.583.2%5.7
95th percentile for most allowedleague avg 4.317 games (2025) · 94 totalvs per target · 90th pct · 4 of 32season 5.5 (95th)17 games87th percentile for most allowedleague avg 4.43 games (2026) · 17 totalsupports OVERT-2/32 NFL defencessupports OVER5/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
receiving yards allowed241.810.3215.0
71st percentile for most allowedleague avg 225.017 games (2025) · 4110 totalvs per reception · 19th pct · 26 of 32season 241.8 (71st)17 games29th percentile for most allowedleague avg 232.23 games (2026) · 645 totalsupports OVER10/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER23/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
yards after catch allowed to RBs40.07.229.3
84th percentile for most allowedleague avg 34.317 games (2025) · 680 totalvs per reception · 34th pct · T-21 of 32season 40.0 (84th)17 games34th percentile for most allowedleague avg 32.83 games (2026) · 88 totalsupports OVER6/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-21/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
Tyler Badie Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game1.361.40
SZN25th percentile for mostleague avg 2.1514 games (2025)vs last 5 · 26th pctseason 1.36 (25th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
targets per game2.212.00
SZN39th percentile for mostleague avg 2.7214 games (2025)vs last 5 · 35th pctseason 2.21 (39th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
target share6.1%6.3%
SZN29th percentile for mostleague avg 8.9%14 games (2025)vs last 5 · 31st pctseason 6.1% (29th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
snap share18.9%18.4%
SZN0th percentile for mostleague avg 51.1%14 games (2025)vs last 5 · 0th pctseason 18.9% (0th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
3.5line
OVER-115bet365at 3.5
UNDER-115bet365at 3.5
19.5line
OVER+550bet365at 19.5
29.5line
OVER+1000bet365at 29.5
Receptions
22 games loggedline0.5
targets
SF · what this defence allows
receptions allowed to RBs5.583.2%5.7
95th percentile for most allowedleague avg 4.317 games (2025) · 94 totalvs per target · 90th pct · 4 of 32season 5.5 (95th)17 games87th percentile for most allowedleague avg 4.43 games (2026) · 17 totalsupports OVERT-2/32 NFL defencessupports OVER5/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
targets allowed to RBs6.76.77.3
94th percentile for most allowedleague avg 5.517 games (2025) · 113 totalseason 6.7no per-play form for this stat89th percentile for most allowedleague avg 5.63 games (2026) · 22 totalsupports OVER3/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-4/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
receptions allowed23.423.423.0
97th percentile for most allowedleague avg 20.617 games (2025) · 398 totalseason 23.4no per-play form for this stat79th percentile for most allowedleague avg 21.03 games (2026) · 69 totalsupports OVER2/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-7/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
Tyler Badie Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game1.361.40
SZN25th percentile for mostleague avg 2.1514 games (2025)vs last 5 · 26th pctseason 1.36 (25th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
targets per game2.212.00
SZN39th percentile for mostleague avg 2.7214 games (2025)vs last 5 · 35th pctseason 2.21 (39th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
target share6.1%6.3%
SZN29th percentile for mostleague avg 8.9%14 games (2025)vs last 5 · 31st pctseason 6.1% (29th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
snap share18.9%18.4%
SZN0th percentile for mostleague avg 51.1%14 games (2025)vs last 5 · 0th pctseason 18.9% (0th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
0.5line
OVER-170bet365at 0.5
UNDER+135bet365at 0.5
1.5line
OVER+225bet365at 1.5
2.5line
OVER+750bet365at 2.5
odds snapshot · pulled 10:08 AM EDT on Sun, Oct 4 · not live pricing