Base market snapshot from 10:03 AM EDT on Thu, Oct 1. bet365 refreshed separately at 11:07 AM EDT. Check your book before acting on anything here.
Tyler Warren
INDIndianapolis Colts @ Washington CommandersSun 9:30 AM
Warren on the fieldred zone touches per game 0.88red zone targets per game 1.35receptions per game 4.47
Anytime TD
20 games loggedline0.5
red zone touches
WSH · what this defence allows
TDs allowed to TEs0.80.81.7
97th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.417 games (2025) · 13 totalseason 0.8no per-play form for this stat95th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.63 games (2026) · 5 totalsupports OVER2/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-2/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
red zone targets allowed to TEs1.61.63.0
89th percentile for most allowedleague avg 1.217 games (2025) · 28 totalseason 1.6no per-play form for this stat100th percentile for most allowedleague avg 1.23 games (2026) · 9 totalsupports OVERT-4/32 NFL defencessupports OVER1/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
touchdowns allowed3.03.03.7
90th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.417 games (2025) · 51 totalseason 3.0no per-play form for this stat92nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.53 games (2026) · 11 totalsupports OVERT-3/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-2/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
Tyler Warren Breakdown · his own data
red zone touches per game0.880.80
SZN91st percentile for mostleague avg 0.4017 games (2025)vs last 5 · 88th pctseason 0.88 (91st)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
red zone targets per game1.351.00
SZN93rd percentile for mostleague avg 0.5917 games (2025)vs last 5 · 88th pctseason 1.35 (93rd)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
receptions per game4.475.60
SZN88th percentile for mostleague avg 2.5517 games (2025)vs last 5 · 99th pctseason 4.47 (88th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
0.5line
OVER+180Fanaticsat 0.5
Longest Reception
20 games loggedline18.5
targets
WSH · what this defence allows
20+ yard receptions allowed to TEs0.815.1%0.7
81st percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.617 games (2025) · 13 totalvs per completion · 87th pct · 5 of 32season 0.8 (81st)17 games73rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.53 games (2026) · 2 totalsupports OVER7/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-8/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
30+ yard receptions allowed to TEs0.37.0%0.7
97th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.217 games (2025) · 6 totalvs per completion · 97th pct · 2 of 32season 0.3 (97th)17 games90th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.23 games (2026) · 2 totalsupports OVER2/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-3/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
40+ yard receptions allowed (all positions)0.83.7%0.7
95th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.417 games (2025) · 13 totalvs per completion · 95th pct · T-2 of 32season 0.8 (95th)17 games65th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.63 games (2026) · 2 totalsupports OVERT-2/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-7/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
yards after catch allowed to TEs31.86.341.3
90th percentile for most allowedleague avg 25.817 games (2025) · 541 totalvs per reception · 97th pct · 2 of 32season 31.8 (90th)17 games94th percentile for most allowedleague avg 27.03 games (2026) · 124 totalsupports OVER4/32 NFL defencessupports OVER3/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
air yards faced241.78.0249.7
52nd percentile for most facedleague avg 239.817 games (2025) · 4109 totalvs per target · 71st pct · 10 of 32season 241.7 (52nd)17 games45th percentile for most facedleague avg 248.73 games (2026) · 749 totalneutral16/32 NFL defencessupports OVER18/32 NFL defencesneutral
Tyler Warren Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game4.475.60
SZN88th percentile for mostleague avg 2.5517 games (2025)vs last 5 · 99th pctseason 4.47 (88th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
yards per catch10.645.55
SZN64th percentile for mostleague avg 10.1117 games (2025)vs last 5 · 2nd pctseason 10.64 (64th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports UNDER
air yards per target5.202.95
SZN41st percentile for mostleague avg 5.8717 games (2025)vs last 5 · 9th pctseason 5.20 (41st)5 gamesneutralsupports UNDER
20+ yard catches per game0.590.00
SZN80th percentile for mostleague avg 0.3117 games (2025)vs last 5 · 6th pctseason 0.59 (80th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports UNDER
17.5line
OVER-120bet365at 17.5
UNDER-110bet365at 17.5
18.5line
OVER-110Bovadaat 18.5
UNDER-118DraftKingsat 18.5
19.5line
OVER+115bet365at 19.5
29.5line
OVER+450bet365at 29.5
39.5line
OVER+800bet365at 39.5
49.5line
OVER+1150bet365at 49.5
Receiving Yards
20 games loggedline47.5
receptions
WSH · what this defence allows
receiving yards allowed to TEs61.212.167.3
81st percentile for most allowedleague avg 53.317 games (2025) · 1040 totalvs per reception · 97th pct · 2 of 32season 61.2 (81st)17 games81st percentile for most allowedleague avg 52.53 games (2026) · 202 totalsupports OVER7/32 NFL defencessupports OVER7/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
receptions allowed to TEs5.174.8%4.7
31st percentile for most allowedleague avg 5.317 games (2025) · 86 totalvs per target · 76th pct · T-8 of 32season 5.1 (31st)17 games42nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 5.23 games (2026) · 14 totalsupports UNDERT-22/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-18/32 NFL defencesneutral
receiving yards allowed257.112.5291.7
87th percentile for most allowedleague avg 225.017 games (2025) · 4371 totalvs per reception · 100th pct · 1 of 32season 257.1 (87th)17 games97th percentile for most allowedleague avg 231.33 games (2026) · 875 totalsupports OVER5/32 NFL defencessupports OVER2/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
yards after catch allowed to TEs31.86.341.3
90th percentile for most allowedleague avg 25.817 games (2025) · 541 totalvs per reception · 97th pct · 2 of 32season 31.8 (90th)17 games94th percentile for most allowedleague avg 27.03 games (2026) · 124 totalsupports OVER4/32 NFL defencessupports OVER3/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
Tyler Warren Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game4.475.60
SZN88th percentile for mostleague avg 2.5517 games (2025)vs last 5 · 99th pctseason 4.47 (88th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
targets per game6.597.00
SZN95th percentile for mostleague avg 3.5117 games (2025)vs last 5 · 98th pctseason 6.59 (95th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
target share21.3%22.1%
SZN94th percentile for mostleague avg 11.5%17 games (2025)vs last 5 · 96th pctseason 21.3% (94th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
snap share83.8%88.8%
SZN89th percentile for mostleague avg 57.4%17 games (2025)vs last 5 · 96th pctseason 83.8% (89th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
19.5line
OVER-1401bet365at 19.5
29.5line
OVER-450bet365at 29.5
39.5line
OVER-220bet365at 39.5
46.5line
OVER-114FanDuelat 46.5
UNDER-110theScore Betat 46.5
47.5line
OVER-113DraftKingsat 47.5
UNDER-111DraftKingsat 47.5
49.5line
OVER-115bet365at 49.5
UNDER-115bet365at 49.5
59.5line
OVER+145bet365at 59.5
69.5line
OVER+225bet365at 69.5
79.5line
OVER+350bet365at 79.5
89.5line
OVER+550bet365at 89.5
99.5line
OVER+750bet365at 99.5
109.5line
OVER+900bet365at 109.5
119.5line
OVER+1200bet365at 119.5
Receptions
20 games loggedline5.5
targets
WSH · what this defence allows
receptions allowed to TEs5.174.8%4.7
31st percentile for most allowedleague avg 5.317 games (2025) · 86 totalvs per target · 76th pct · T-8 of 32season 5.1 (31st)17 games42nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 5.23 games (2026) · 14 totalsupports UNDERT-22/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-18/32 NFL defencesneutral
targets allowed to TEs6.86.86.7
31st percentile for most allowedleague avg 7.317 games (2025) · 115 totalseason 6.8no per-play form for this stat42nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 7.23 games (2026) · 20 totalsupports UNDERT-22/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER19/32 NFL defencesneutral
receptions allowed20.620.624.0
47th percentile for most allowedleague avg 20.617 games (2025) · 350 totalseason 20.6no per-play form for this stat90th percentile for most allowedleague avg 20.93 games (2026) · 72 totalneutralT-17/32 NFL defencesseason onlyT-3/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
Tyler Warren Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game4.475.60
SZN88th percentile for mostleague avg 2.5517 games (2025)vs last 5 · 99th pctseason 4.47 (88th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
targets per game6.597.00
SZN95th percentile for mostleague avg 3.5117 games (2025)vs last 5 · 98th pctseason 6.59 (95th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
target share21.3%22.1%
SZN94th percentile for mostleague avg 11.5%17 games (2025)vs last 5 · 96th pctseason 21.3% (94th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
snap share83.8%88.8%
SZN89th percentile for mostleague avg 57.4%17 games (2025)vs last 5 · 96th pctseason 83.8% (89th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
2.5line
OVER-1600bet365at 2.5
3.5line
OVER-500bet365at 3.5
4.5line
OVER-200bet365at 4.5
5.5line
OVER+110BetOnline.agat 5.5
UNDER-130betPARXat 5.5
6.5line
OVER+200bet365at 6.5
7.5line
OVER+400bet365at 7.5
8.5line
OVER+650bet365at 8.5
9.5line
OVER+900bet365at 9.5
odds snapshot · pulled 10:03 AM EDT on Thu, Oct 1 · not live pricing