Base market snapshot from 10:03 AM EDT on Thu, Oct 1. bet365 refreshed separately at 4:18 PM EDT. Check your book before acting on anything here.
Will Shipley
PHILos Angeles Rams @ Philadelphia EaglesSun 1:00 PM
Shipley on the fieldred zone touches per game 0.00red zone targets per game 0.09carries per game 1.27
Anytime TD
21 games loggedline0.5
red zone touches
LAR · what this defence allows
TDs allowed to RBs0.50.50.0
6th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.917 games (2025) · 9 totalseason 0.5no per-play form for this stat6th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.83 games (2026) · 0 totalsupports UNDER30/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-28/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
red zone carries allowed to RBs2.62.62.7
8th percentile for most allowedleague avg 3.817 games (2025) · 45 totalseason 2.6no per-play form for this stat26th percentile for most allowedleague avg 3.93 games (2026) · 8 totalsupports UNDERT-29/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-23/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
touchdowns allowed2.02.02.0
21st percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.417 games (2025) · 34 totalseason 2.0no per-play form for this stat35th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.53 games (2026) · 6 totalsupports UNDERT-25/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-19/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
Will Shipley Breakdown · his own data
red zone touches per game0.000.80
SZN0th percentile for mostleague avg 2.1911 games (2025)vs last 5 · 14th pctseason 0.00 (0th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
red zone targets per game0.090.20
SZN19th percentile for mostleague avg 0.3611 games (2025)vs last 5 · 39th pctseason 0.09 (19th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
carries per game1.272.40
SZN3rd percentile for mostleague avg 10.9411 games (2025)vs last 5 · 5th pctseason 1.27 (3rd)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
receptions per game0.821.20
SZN5th percentile for mostleague avg 2.1511 games (2025)vs last 5 · 20th pctseason 0.82 (5th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
0.5line
OVER+1200Bally Betat 0.5
Rushing Yards
21 games loggedline4.5
carries
LAR · what this defence allows
rushing yards allowed to RBs88.74.280.3
32nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 94.917 games (2025) · 1507 totalvs per carry · 42nd pct · 19 of 32season 88.7 (32nd)17 games32nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 91.63 games (2026) · 241 totalsupports UNDER22/32 NFL defencesneutral22/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
carries allowed to RBs21.081.9%21.0
39th percentile for most allowedleague avg 21.917 games (2025) · 357 totalvs share of carries · 65th pct · 12 of 32season 21.0 (39th)17 games34th percentile for most allowedleague avg 22.23 games (2026) · 63 totalsupports UNDER20/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-21/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
runs faced23.938.0%24.7
42nd percentile for most run againstleague avg 24.117 games (2025) · 406 totalvs per play · 29th pct · 23 of 32season 23.9 (42nd)17 games56th percentile for most run againstleague avg 24.03 games (2026) · 74 totalneutral19/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-14/32 NFL defencesneutral
RB carries stuffed at the line2.512.0%2.0
0th percentile for most stuffsleague avg 3.817 games (2025) · 43 totalvs per carry · 3rd pct · 31 of 32season 2.5 (0th)17 games11th percentile for most stuffsleague avg 3.83 games (2026) · 6 totalsupports OVER32/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-28/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
Will Shipley Breakdown · his own data
carries per game1.272.40
SZN3rd percentile for mostleague avg 10.9411 games (2025)vs last 5 · 5th pctseason 1.27 (3rd)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
yards per carry2.772.54
SZN5th percentile for mostleague avg 4.236 games (2025)vs last 5 · 2nd pctseason 2.77 (5th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
4.5line
OVER-105bet365at 4.5
UNDER-125bet365at 4.5
odds snapshot · pulled 10:03 AM EDT on Thu, Oct 1 · not live pricing