STEEZANOMICS.
← Los Angeles Rams @ Philadelphia Eagles
Base market snapshot from 10:03 AM EDT on Thu, Oct 1. bet365 refreshed separately at 4:18 PM EDT. Check your book before acting on anything here.

Zach Ertz

PHILos Angeles Rams @ Philadelphia EaglesSun 1:00 PM

Ertz on the fieldred zone touches per game 0.46red zone targets per game 0.69receptions per game 3.85

Anytime TD

34 games logged
line0.5

LAR · what this defence allows
TDs allowed to TEs0.50.50.3
66th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.417 games (2025) · 8 totalseason 0.5no per-play form for this stat39th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.63 games (2026) · 1 totalsupports OVERT-10/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-16/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
red zone targets allowed to TEs0.80.81.0
13th percentile for most allowedleague avg 1.217 games (2025) · 14 totalseason 0.8no per-play form for this stat37th percentile for most allowedleague avg 1.23 games (2026) · 3 totalsupports UNDERT-27/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-17/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
touchdowns allowed2.02.02.0
21st percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.417 games (2025) · 34 totalseason 2.0no per-play form for this stat35th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.53 games (2026) · 6 totalsupports UNDERT-25/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-19/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
Zach Ertz Breakdown · his own data
red zone touches per game0.460.40
SZN
67th percentile for mostleague avg 0.4013 games (2025)vs last 5 · 54th pctseason 0.46 (67th)5 gamessupports OVERneutral
red zone targets per game0.690.80
SZN
63rd percentile for mostleague avg 0.5913 games (2025)vs last 5 · 77th pctseason 0.69 (63rd)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
receptions per game3.854.00
SZN
83rd percentile for mostleague avg 2.5513 games (2025)vs last 5 · 85th pctseason 3.85 (83rd)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
0.5line
OVER+650Courtsideat 0.5

Longest Reception

34 games logged
line8.5

LAR · what this defence allows
20+ yard receptions allowed to TEs0.47.6%0.0
21st percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.617 games (2025) · 7 totalvs per completion · 10th pct · 29 of 32season 0.4 (21st)17 games16th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.53 games (2026) · 0 totalsupports UNDERT-24/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-22/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
30+ yard receptions allowed to TEs0.11.1%0.0
21st percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.217 games (2025) · 1 totalvs per completion · 23rd pct · T-23 of 32season 0.1 (21st)17 games35th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.23 games (2026) · 0 totalsupports UNDERT-20/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-10/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
40+ yard receptions allowed (all positions)0.31.3%0.0
19th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.417 games (2025) · 5 totalvs per completion · 16th pct · T-26 of 32season 0.3 (19th)17 games5th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.63 games (2026) · 0 totalsupports UNDERT-24/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-29/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
yards after catch allowed to TEs20.03.713.7
18th percentile for most allowedleague avg 25.817 games (2025) · 340 totalvs per reception · 13th pct · 28 of 32season 20.0 (18th)17 games13th percentile for most allowedleague avg 27.03 games (2026) · 41 totalsupports UNDERT-26/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER28/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
air yards faced260.67.9226.7
77th percentile for most facedleague avg 239.817 games (2025) · 4431 totalvs per target · 55th pct · 15 of 32season 260.6 (77th)17 games42nd percentile for most facedleague avg 248.73 games (2026) · 680 totalsupports OVER8/32 NFL defencesneutral19/32 NFL defencesneutral
Zach Ertz Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game3.854.00
SZN
83rd percentile for mostleague avg 2.5513 games (2025)vs last 5 · 85th pctseason 3.85 (83rd)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
yards per catch10.2610.92
SZN
56th percentile for mostleague avg 10.1112 games (2025)vs last 5 · 67th pctseason 10.26 (56th)5 gamesneutralsupports OVER
air yards per target9.199.80
SZN
91st percentile for mostleague avg 5.8713 games (2025)vs last 5 · 95th pctseason 9.19 (91st)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
20+ yard catches per game0.380.40
SZN
68th percentile for mostleague avg 0.3113 games (2025)vs last 5 · 71st pctseason 0.38 (68th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
8.5line
OVER-115bet365at 8.5
UNDER-115bet365at 8.5

Receiving Yards

34 games logged
line9.5

LAR · what this defence allows
receiving yards allowed to TEs45.68.424.0
21st percentile for most allowedleague avg 53.317 games (2025) · 775 totalvs per reception · 6th pct · 30 of 32season 45.6 (21st)17 games3rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 52.53 games (2026) · 72 totalsupports UNDERT-25/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER31/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
receptions allowed to TEs5.471.9%3.3
56th percentile for most allowedleague avg 5.317 games (2025) · 92 totalvs per target · 50th pct · T-15 of 32season 5.4 (56th)17 games8th percentile for most allowedleague avg 5.23 games (2026) · 10 totalneutralT-14/32 NFL defencesneutralT-28/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
receiving yards allowed234.610.6174.0
61st percentile for most allowedleague avg 225.017 games (2025) · 3988 totalvs per reception · 35th pct · 21 of 32season 234.6 (61st)17 games3rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 231.33 games (2026) · 522 totalsupports OVER13/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER31/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
yards after catch allowed to TEs20.03.713.7
18th percentile for most allowedleague avg 25.817 games (2025) · 340 totalvs per reception · 13th pct · 28 of 32season 20.0 (18th)17 games13th percentile for most allowedleague avg 27.03 games (2026) · 41 totalsupports UNDERT-26/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER28/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
Zach Ertz Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game3.854.00
SZN
83rd percentile for mostleague avg 2.5513 games (2025)vs last 5 · 85th pctseason 3.85 (83rd)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
targets per game5.546.00
SZN
88th percentile for mostleague avg 3.5113 games (2025)vs last 5 · 89th pctseason 5.54 (88th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
target share19.1%19.1%
SZN
90th percentile for mostleague avg 11.5%13 games (2025)vs last 5 · 90th pctseason 19.1% (90th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
snap share66.5%66.0%
SZN
73rd percentile for mostleague avg 57.4%13 games (2025)vs last 5 · 73rd pctseason 66.5% (73rd)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
9.5line
OVER-114FanDuelat 9.5
UNDER-114FanDuelat 9.5

Receptions

34 games logged
line1.5

LAR · what this defence allows
receptions allowed to TEs5.471.9%3.3
56th percentile for most allowedleague avg 5.317 games (2025) · 92 totalvs per target · 50th pct · T-15 of 32season 5.4 (56th)17 games8th percentile for most allowedleague avg 5.23 games (2026) · 10 totalneutralT-14/32 NFL defencesneutralT-28/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
targets allowed to TEs7.57.58.3
58th percentile for most allowedleague avg 7.317 games (2025) · 128 totalseason 7.5no per-play form for this stat79th percentile for most allowedleague avg 7.23 games (2026) · 25 totalneutral14/32 NFL defencesseason onlyT-7/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
receptions allowed22.222.218.7
77th percentile for most allowedleague avg 20.617 games (2025) · 377 totalseason 22.2no per-play form for this stat16th percentile for most allowedleague avg 20.93 games (2026) · 56 totalsupports OVER8/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-26/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
Zach Ertz Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game3.854.00
SZN
83rd percentile for mostleague avg 2.5513 games (2025)vs last 5 · 85th pctseason 3.85 (83rd)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
targets per game5.546.00
SZN
88th percentile for mostleague avg 3.5113 games (2025)vs last 5 · 89th pctseason 5.54 (88th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
target share19.1%19.1%
SZN
90th percentile for mostleague avg 11.5%13 games (2025)vs last 5 · 90th pctseason 19.1% (90th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
snap share66.5%66.0%
SZN
73rd percentile for mostleague avg 57.4%13 games (2025)vs last 5 · 73rd pctseason 66.5% (73rd)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
1.5line
OVER+115Hard Rock Betat 1.5
UNDER-105bet365at 1.5

odds snapshot · pulled 10:03 AM EDT on Thu, Oct 1 · not live pricing