NFL PLAYER PROPS · Sunday, November 1
3 selections from 30 NFL anytime touchdown props across 12 games that cleared our form and pricing filters on Sunday's slate. Each one shows the price, the book quoting it, the matchup behind it, and the reason it might be wrong.
Our graded record is 124-99-6 at +35.4% ROI since Sep 25, as of Nov 1. Every public pick since Sep 25, 2026, losers included.
| Pick | Price | Book | Why |
|---|---|---|---|
| Drake Maye Over 0.5 Anytime TD | +325 | Hard Rock Bet | over in 30% of his last ten; Drake Maye averages 1.29 red zone touches a game over 17 games, against 0.71 for QBs (86th percentile) |
| Parker Washington Over 0.5 Anytime TD | +105 | BetMGM | over in 60% of his last ten; Parker Washington averages 0.69 red zone touches a game over 16 games, against 0.34 for WRs (90th percentile) |
| Tyler Warren Over 0.5 Anytime TD | +335 | Bally Bet | over in 30% of his last ten; Tyler Warren averages 0.88 red zone touches a game over 17 games, against 0.35 for TEs (93rd percentile) |
Form here is 60% of a player's last ten games and 40% of his season rate, last season's until this one has enough games behind it, weighed against what the books are charging once the vig is stripped out, and against what the matchup says. A prop only appears when the matchup backs it as well as the form does.
Next best +320 at FanDuelSame 0.5 line
Drake Maye has gone over 0.5 anytime TD in 19% of 21 games last season and 30% across the last ten.
Drake Maye averages 1.29 red zone touches a game over 17 games, against 0.71 for QBs (86th percentile).
Drake Maye averages 6.06 carries a game over 17 games, against 3.53 for QBs (88th percentile).
Miami Dolphins rank 11th of 32 for TDs allowed to QBs, at 0.2 a game over 17 games.
Next best −104 at Bally BetSame 0.5 line
Parker Washington has gone over 0.5 anytime TD in 35% of 17 games last season and 60% across the last ten.
Parker Washington averages 0.69 red zone touches a game over 16 games, against 0.34 for WRs (90th percentile).
Parker Washington averages 1.00 red zone targets a game over 16 games, against 0.60 for WRs (85th percentile).
Parker Washington averages 3.62 receptions a game over 16 games, against 2.75 for WRs (69th percentile).
Next best +335 at BetRiversSame 0.5 line
Tyler Warren has gone over 0.5 anytime TD in 29% of 17 games last season and 30% across the last ten.
Tyler Warren averages 0.88 red zone touches a game over 17 games, against 0.35 for TEs (93rd percentile).
Tyler Warren averages 1.35 red zone targets a game over 17 games, against 0.52 for TEs (93rd percentile).
Tyler Warren averages 4.47 receptions a game over 17 games, against 2.20 for TEs (88th percentile).
These are our strongest market-specific props, chosen on the best combination of recent form, season baseline, the matchup itself, and the line actually available. The Lab's card is a separate five-pick slate selected across every market, and it is graded on the public record.
Where the record lives: the Lab's public record starts Sep 25, 2026, the card and the boosts together, with every pick and every loss on the results page. Each prop above is frozen with the exact price and book shown from the moment it was published. These angles are not on that graded record; the card and the boosts are.
Same slate: Best NFL receiving yards props for Sunday.
Built from the Lab's board for Sunday, November 1. Prices were read across every book quoting each line at Oct 31, 10:30 AM ET and are frozen at those numbers. Prices move; check before you bet. The sentences above are generated from the same numbers printed beside them. 19+. If betting stops being fun, ConnexOntario, 1-866-531-2600.
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